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GVI Forex Data Outlook for 27 May 2013
by global-view.com
05/24/2013 13:52:32 |
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daily
German IFO data due Friday. Pre-holiday U.S. calendar light
24 May 2013 10:00 gmt
CALENDAR North America: US- Durable Goods, COT Report
|
- HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: US- Durable Goods
- The
critical German IFO Survey came in stronger than predicted for May and
has given the EURUSD a lift. It might be that the data are flattening
(Chart on Forex forum).
- There is no reason why
markets Friday should not spend a pre-holiday session continuing to
digest the short-term implications of the testimony
by Chairman
Bernanke on Wednesday. Traders have come to the REALIZATION
that the Fed is moving into a transition period for policy. A
policy transition implies that interest rates (read bond yields) will
be moving higher and if the move to fast or too far they could weigh on
stock prices. One fear at the Fed is that this transition could weigh
on the economy and on the pace of jobs growth.
- It is a fear of the "shock
effect" on the market that has Bernanke trying to desensitize the
markets to this change in policy well
before it hits. The transition back to a more "normal" policy
will be gradual and governed by the performance of the economy and
mostly jobs. In terms of trading,
expect USD values to be heavily influenced by stock and bond markets
and for stock and bond markets to be highly sensitive to economic data
reports.
- U.S. Durable Goods orders for April today are seen better vs. March. This tends to be a volatile data survey.
20d avg
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10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD 1.3002
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JGB 0.83% -2bp
|
Asia Close Mixed
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USDJPY 100.44
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Bund 1.46% +2bp
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Europe Currently Higher
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EURJPY 130.58
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U.S.2.01% -1bp
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U.S Pre-Open.:Mixed
|
FX
Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Commentary, data. and data charts
posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
 John M. Bland, an author
and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a
corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex
trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX
analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service.. John has an MBA in
International
Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University
of California at Berkeley.
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2013, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved
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Analysis
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EXCLUSIVE: Countdown Clock to next market data:
|
|
| 26/05/13 |
23:50 |
|
JP |
BOJ Minutes |
Cons: n/a |
Last: n/a |
|
| FOREX CALENDAR |
| Time |
|
Country |
Title |
Cons |
Last |
| 26/05/13 23:50 |
|
JP |
BOJ Minutes |
n/a |
n/a |
| 27/05/13 0:00 |
|
|
MONDAY |
|
|
| 27/05/13 0:00 |
|
GB |
Holiday |
n/a |
n/a |
| 27/05/13 0:00 |
|
US |
Holiday |
n/a |
n/a |
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