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9/30/14 20:09
Target   3-Mo
2.50 Aust 2.96
0.10 Japan 0.12
0.50 U.K. 0.56
0.05 E-Z 0.06
0.00 Switz 0.01
1.00 Cda 1.17
0.25 U.S. 0.23
2-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.66 #REF!
Japan 0.08 #REF!
U.K. 0.67 #REF!
E-Z -0.07 #REF!
Switz -0.01 #REF!
Cda 1.13 #REF!
U.S. 0.59 #REF!
   
10-YR % bp chg
Aust 3.51 #REF!
Japan 0.52 #REF!
U.K. 2.43 #REF!
E-Z 0.95 #REF!
Switz 0.48 #REF!
Cda 2.14 #REF!
U.S. 2.50 #REF!

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EXCLUSIVE: Countdown to Next Data News

Economic Calendar

01/10/14 7:30 A CH PMI Cons: n/a Last: 52.9

Eurozone Flash HICP Sees Prices Continuing To Fall. Weak German Employment Figures. Final U.K. QQ GDP Revised Higher
 September 30, 2014 10:30 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Current Market Conditions:
Markets have remained in a mild RISK-ON posture following weak flash Eurozone HICP (revised) data and weaker than expected German unemployment figures ahead of the ECB decision on Thursday.. The EURUSD is still trading lower on the day.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are lower. The 10-yr bund is 0.950%,  -1.0% bp. Peripheral bond yields are mixed.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.427% -1.3 bp. BOE Gov Carney has continued to signal a Spring 2015 rate hike.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.490%, +0.2bp.The Psychological focus is now back to 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed mixed. Bourses in Europe are ending modestly higher.  U.S. shares are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


    HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Tankan, PMI, CN- PMI, EZ/DE/FR/GB/CH- PMIs, US- ADP Jobs, PMIs
  • Eurozone flash September HICP saw prices continue to fall. This will intensify the pressure on the ECB to stabilize prices at its meeting this week. 
  • German unemployment figures were weaker than expected, but retail Sales data were mixed.
  • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.  .
  • On Wednesday, the BOJ quarterly Tankan Survey is due along with a slew of manufacturing PMI indices. The September ADP private Jobs estimate is awaited.
  • Thursday sees the latest ECB Po;icy decision.
  • On Friday, a slew of Service PMIs are set for release along with the September U.S jobs report.  
  • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

TUESDAY
00:30 JP Unemployment  BOJ  target goal
00:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
06:00 DE Retail Sales Key Demand Metric
07:00 CH KOF Sentiment Indicator
07:55  DE Unemployment Jobs are key for ECB
08:30 GB GDP Key production measure 
09:00  EZ flash HICP yy .ECB inflation target
12:30 A CA GDP  Widest economic measure
13:45 A US Chicago PMI  Key regional PMI
14:00 A US CB Consumer Confidence Established index
23:50 A JP Tankan (lg mfg) Top production indicator
WEDNESDAY
00:13 JP Final PMI Closely-followed production index
01:00  CN NBS PMI Closely-followed production index
01:30 AU Retail Sales Consumer activity
01:45 CN HSBC final PMI Closely-followed production index
07:30 CH PMI Closely-followed production index
07:55 DE MFG PMI final Closely-followed production index
07:58 EZ MFG PMI final Closely-followed production index
08:28  GB MFG PMI Closely-followed production index
12:15  US ADP Jobs Predictor of non-farm payrolls
13:45  US MKT MFG PMI final Closely-followed production index
14:00  US ISM MFG PMI Closely-followed production index
14:00  US Construction  Economic activity measure
THURSDAY
01:30 AU Trade Important Trade measure
08:28 GB Construction PMI Closely-followed production index
11:45 EZ Europe Cntl Bank More ease to be signaled?
12:30  US Initial Claims 300 293
14:00  US Factory Orders Future production predictor
FRIDAY
07:55 DE SVC PMI final Key Service Sector index
07:58  EZ SVC PMI final Key Service Sector index
08:28 GB SVC PMI Key Service Sector index
12:30  CA Trade External sector measure 
12:30  US Payrolls Major Fed Target
12:30  US Trade Impacts GDP calculation
13:45  US Markit SVC PM Key Service Sector index
14:00  US ISM SVC PMI Key Service Sector index
FOREX CALENDAR
Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
01/10/14 7:30 A CH PMI n/a 52.9
01/10/14 7:50 B FR MFG PMI final 48.8 48.8
01/10/14 7:55 A DE MFG PMI final 50.3 50.3
01/10/14 7:58 A EZ MFG PMI final 50.5 50.5
01/10/14 8:28 A GB MFG PMI 52.7 52.5
01/10/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
01/10/14 12:15 A US ADP Jobs 202 204
01/10/14 13:45 A US MKT MFG PMI final 57.9 57.9
01/10/14 14:00 A US ISM MFG PMI 58 59
01/10/14 14:00 A US Construction Mar 0.40% 1.80%
01/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a -4.3
01/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a -0.4
01/10/14 14:30 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a 0.82
01/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 93.40%
02/10/14 0:00 A THURSDAY
02/10/14 1:30 A AU Trade A$bln n/a -1.359
02/10/14 8:28 A GB Construction PMI 63.5 64
02/10/14 11:45 A EZ Europe Cntl Bank 0.15% 0.15%
02/10/14 12:30 A EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a
02/10/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 300 293
02/10/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.44
02/10/14 14:00 A US Factory Orders -9.00% 10.50%
02/10/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 97
03/10/14 0:00 A FRIDAY
03/10/14 7:50 B FR SVC PMI final 49.4 49.4
03/10/14 7:55 A DE SVC PMI final 54.6 54.9
03/10/14 7:58 A EZ SVC PMI final 52.8 52.8
03/10/14 8:28 A GB SVC PMI 59 60.5
03/10/14 9:00 B EZ Retail Sls mm 0.10% -0.40%
03/10/14 9:00 B EZ Retail Sls yy 0.70% 0.80%
03/10/14 12:30 A CA Trade C$bn n/a 2.58
03/10/14 12:30 A US Jobless % 6.10% 6.10%
03/10/14 12:30 A US Payrolls 213 142
03/10/14 12:30 A US Priv Jobs 200 134
03/10/14 12:30 A US Trade USDb -41 -40.5
03/10/14 13:45 A US Markit SVC PMI 58.5 58.5
03/10/14 14:00 A US ISM SVC PMI 58.5 59.6
03/10/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a


calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.



John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
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