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TRCI

Provided by TRCI

How to make a little and lose a lot trading Forex

 

Forex provides significant profit opportunities for aggressive traders because of such factors as twenty-four hour liquidity, ultra-high leverage and easy market access.  But for some reason, many of us insist on giving in to our masochistic streak, so here’s a list of practices that are sure to cause you enormous pain when trading Forex.

 

Take too large a position

This generally occurs when the trader either misjudges or fails to study the likely swings of a given currency.  Frequently, new traders simply select a lot size that “feels right” without evaluating the level of risk that such a trade contains.  Often, when the trader has encountered a few successful trades, he/she increases the size of the trades without fully considering the potential P&L (more L than P) swings that can easily occur. The considerable leverage that forex affords represents a constant temptation to make this mistake.

 

Fail to set stops realistically and fail to honor them once you set them

Stop losses represent the literal definition for the amount of risk the trader is prepared to assume and most traders calculate them in pips, not absolute dollars.  If you’ve ever stepped into a casino, you know that are required to convert your money into chips.  This is done for several reasons but one subtle effect is that of desensitizing you to the actual amount of cash that you are wagering.  Setting stops off of a position on a chart tells you what level you wish to exit, not the cost.  Viewing your stop loss in pips rather than cash can provide the same effect as that of chips in a casino. 

If you plan to stay alive trading forex, each time you set a stop a certain number of pips away, perform the simply conversion to cash and recognize that this represents the amount of money you are prepared to risk on the trade.  Then add a few for slippage (the difference between where your stop is set and where you are likely to be executed) and then honor the stop.  Failing to honor the stop is equivalent to not determining one in the first place, a surefire way to eliminate all of your trading capital.  Stop losses are the single most important tool in your trading arsenal.

 

Develop a stubborn streak

(see “failure to honor stops” above)

Read TRCI’s three golden rules of trading and be sure to ignore them as a quick way to end your trading career.

“Panic when everybody else panics… but try not to panic last.”

“If you find footsteps on your face, get up and follow them.”

“We usually can’t afford to be right… in the long run.”

 

Convert failed trades into “Investments”

When entering a trade, consciously or not, the trader has an idea of how long he/she plans to stay in the position.  If the trade works, the exit usually takes care of itself, but if the trade fails to follow the desired path, one frequent trap is to view it through a different time perspective.  This can be dangerous because each adjustment moves the position from a trade to an investment.  Such a move permits a lack of discipline to enter into the process and can lead to a potentially damaging phenomenon called “hope”.  Once hope becomes the dominant factor in decision-making, discipline will likely be ignored with disastrous results.  When this occurs, stop losses tend to show up on the endangered species list.

 

We concede that the truly creative trader that wishes to endure pain and suffering can find a plethora of ways to get the job done.  The above list represents the ones that we have found to be most effective.

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Extensive Free Daily Technical Chart Points

9/2/2010 EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
Close 1.2815 84.25 1.0133 1.5392 1.0529
High 1.2848 84.55 1.0186 1.5455 1.0556
Low 1.2777 84.01 1.0096 1.5351 1.0473
Mov avgs EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
5 day 1.2740 84.53 1.0196 1.5434 1.0562
10 day 1.2714 84.69 1.0258 1.5464 1.0556
20 day 1.2834 85.13 1.0353 1.5581 1.0457
50 day 1.2801 86.55 1.0477 1.5439 1.0428
100 day 1.2699 89.23 1.0839 1.5131 1.0376
200 day 1.3352 89.96 1.0669 1.5434 1.0389
Pivots 1.2813 84.27 1.0138 1.5399 1.0519

Source: Free Global-View FX Database


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Global-View.com Chart Gallery
09/2/2010                
20:08 GMT   2yr bp 10yr bp DJIA 10316 61
USDX 82.44 -6 0.49 -1 2.63 5 S&P 1090 11
  USD vs.     Fixed Income   NAS 2199 25
EUR 1.2823 16 0.61 -1 2.28 6 DAX 6084 0
GBP 1.5396 53 0.71 2 2.96 3 FTSE 5371 5
CHF 1.0129 22 0.38 3 1.26 8 SMI 6334 0
JPY 84.23 18 0.13 0 1.12 9 NIK 9063 136
CAD 1.0530 21 1.19 7 2.87 2 TSE 12089 111
AUD 0.9115 16 4.34 -1 4.82 2 ASX 4533 37
NZD 0.7152 32 HSI 20869 245
CNY 6.8080 32 SSEC 2659 36
  EUR vs.     GBP vs.       AUD vs
JPY 108.01 10 JPY 129.68 72 GBP 1.6885 91
GBP 83.29 39 CHF 155.95 88 CAD 0.9601 37
CHF 1.2988 12 CAD 1.6212 21 CHF 1.0820 0
AUD 1.4063 10   JPY vs.   NZD 1.2740 31
CAD 1.3502 46 CHF 83.16 0 Commodities
  CHF vs. CAD 1.25 48 Gold 1251.1 6.30
CAD 1.082 2 AUD 76.8 0 WTI 74.98 1.02
                   
                   



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