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Category Name: VIDEOS: Trading Basics
 
» Sub-Category Name: Module 2: Chart Patterns
 
 
Lesson 4: Trading the Head and Shoulders Pattern
By: Informedtrades.com

Lesson 4: Trading the Head and Shoulders Pattern

In our last lesson we learned how to spot a head and shoulders pattern and a reverse head and shoulders pattern in the forex, futures, and stock markets. In this lesson we are going to look at a specific strategy that many traders use to trade these patterns.

Upon the break of the neckline support level the chart pattern is said to be in place so this is where traders will commonly look to enter a short position. Their target will be calculated by measuring the distance from the head of the pattern down to the neckline and then projecting that distance downward from the breakpoint of the neckline. The stop will then be placed just above the right hand shoulder of the pattern which is considered resistance. The idea here is that once the neckline support has been broken sellers will theoretically remain in control but if this does not happen then you are protected with a stop loss just above the nearest resistance level.

Example of the Head and Shoulders Strategy:


For the reverse head and shoulders the strategy is a mirror image of the above. Upon the break of the neckline resistance the pattern is said to be in place so traders will commonly look to buy at this level. Just as with the head and shoulders their target will be calculated by measuring the distance between the head and the neckline but in this case the target is projected upward from the break point of the neckline. The stop will then be placed just above the right had shoulder of the pattern which is in this case considered the nearest support level.

Example of the Reverse Head and Shoulders Strategy:


For confirmation, traders will commonly look for a downward sloping neckline before entering a trade on the break of a head and shoulders pattern and an upward sloping neckline before entering a trade on the reverse head and shoulders, as this is further indication that the trend is reversing. Secondly traders like to see the volume on the second peak (trough with a reverse head and shoulders) be lower than the volume on the first, and the volume on the third peak (trough in a reverse head and shoulders) be lower than the volume on the second peak as this is further confirmation that the trend is ready to reverse. Lastly they will look for increasing volume on the break of the neckline to show that the break is real.

That’s our lesson for today. You should now have a good understanding of the head and shoulders pattern and the reverse head and shoulders pattern as well as a trading strategy for each of them. In our next lesson we are going to finish up on reversal patterns by looking at the rising wedge and falling wedge patterns and then we will move onto continuation patterns after that.

 
 

 

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3/12/2010 EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
Close 1.3758 90.45 1.0580 1.5181 1.0179
High 1.3796 91.08 1.0696 1.5217 1.0251
Low 1.3670 90.18 1.0578 1.5028 1.0157
Mov avgs EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
5 day 1.3660 90.35 1.0692 1.5049 1.0243
10 day 1.3638 89.73 1.0717 1.5048 1.0291
20 day 1.3617 90.04 1.0744 1.5274 1.0387
50 day 1.3908 90.43 1.0565 1.5722 1.0453
100 day 1.4322 90.13 1.0391 1.6060 1.0517
200 day 1.4328 91.80 1.0491 1.6209 1.0739
Pivots 1.3741 90.57 1.0618 1.5142 1.0196

Source: Free Global-View FX Database


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Global-View.com Chart Gallery
03/15/2010                
9:51 GMT   2yr bp 10yr bp DJIA 10625 2
USDX 80.09 26 0.93 -2 3.69 -1 S&P 1150 0
USD vs.             NAS 2368 1
EUR 1.3719 41 1.03 -2 3.15 -2 DAX 5931 -14
GBP 1.5052 131 1.20 -3 4.07 -3 FTSE 5607 -19
CHF 1.0605 24 0.49 0 1.94 0 SMI 6823 0
JPY 90.70 24 0.15 0 1.35 0 NIK 10752 1
CAD 1.0186 3 1.39 0 3.53 -1 TSE 12014 37
AUD 0.9132 20 4.89 1 5.67 0 ASX 4784 -34
NZD 0.7021 10         HSI 21079 131
CNY 6.8269 5         SSEC 2977 36
EUR vs. GBP vs.   CHF vs.  
JPY 124.43 4 JPY 136.52 82   JPY 85.53 3
GBP 91.14 52 CHF 159.63 102   Gold 1104.2 2.32
CHF 1.4549 10         WTI 80.91 0.40
 



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