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Category Name: VIDEOS: Trading Basics
 
» Sub-Category Name: Module 2: Chart Patterns
 
 
Lesson 4: Trading the Head and Shoulders Pattern
By: Informedtrades.com

Lesson 4: Trading the Head and Shoulders Pattern

In our last lesson we learned how to spot a head and shoulders pattern and a reverse head and shoulders pattern in the forex, futures, and stock markets. In this lesson we are going to look at a specific strategy that many traders use to trade these patterns.

Upon the break of the neckline support level the chart pattern is said to be in place so this is where traders will commonly look to enter a short position. Their target will be calculated by measuring the distance from the head of the pattern down to the neckline and then projecting that distance downward from the breakpoint of the neckline. The stop will then be placed just above the right hand shoulder of the pattern which is considered resistance. The idea here is that once the neckline support has been broken sellers will theoretically remain in control but if this does not happen then you are protected with a stop loss just above the nearest resistance level.

Example of the Head and Shoulders Strategy:


For the reverse head and shoulders the strategy is a mirror image of the above. Upon the break of the neckline resistance the pattern is said to be in place so traders will commonly look to buy at this level. Just as with the head and shoulders their target will be calculated by measuring the distance between the head and the neckline but in this case the target is projected upward from the break point of the neckline. The stop will then be placed just above the right had shoulder of the pattern which is in this case considered the nearest support level.

Example of the Reverse Head and Shoulders Strategy:


For confirmation, traders will commonly look for a downward sloping neckline before entering a trade on the break of a head and shoulders pattern and an upward sloping neckline before entering a trade on the reverse head and shoulders, as this is further indication that the trend is reversing. Secondly traders like to see the volume on the second peak (trough with a reverse head and shoulders) be lower than the volume on the first, and the volume on the third peak (trough in a reverse head and shoulders) be lower than the volume on the second peak as this is further confirmation that the trend is ready to reverse. Lastly they will look for increasing volume on the break of the neckline to show that the break is real.

That’s our lesson for today. You should now have a good understanding of the head and shoulders pattern and the reverse head and shoulders pattern as well as a trading strategy for each of them. In our next lesson we are going to finish up on reversal patterns by looking at the rising wedge and falling wedge patterns and then we will move onto continuation patterns after that.

 
 

 

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9/2/2010 EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
Close 1.2815 84.25 1.0133 1.5392 1.0529
High 1.2848 84.55 1.0186 1.5455 1.0556
Low 1.2777 84.01 1.0096 1.5351 1.0473
Mov avgs EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
5 day 1.2740 84.53 1.0196 1.5434 1.0562
10 day 1.2714 84.69 1.0258 1.5464 1.0556
20 day 1.2834 85.13 1.0353 1.5581 1.0457
50 day 1.2801 86.55 1.0477 1.5439 1.0428
100 day 1.2699 89.23 1.0839 1.5131 1.0376
200 day 1.3352 89.96 1.0669 1.5434 1.0389
Pivots 1.2813 84.27 1.0138 1.5399 1.0519

Source: Free Global-View FX Database


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Global-View.com Chart Gallery
09/2/2010                
20:08 GMT   2yr bp 10yr bp DJIA 10316 61
USDX 82.44 -6 0.49 -1 2.63 5 S&P 1090 11
  USD vs.     Fixed Income   NAS 2199 25
EUR 1.2823 16 0.61 -1 2.28 6 DAX 6084 0
GBP 1.5396 53 0.71 2 2.96 3 FTSE 5371 5
CHF 1.0129 22 0.38 3 1.26 8 SMI 6334 0
JPY 84.23 18 0.13 0 1.12 9 NIK 9063 136
CAD 1.0530 21 1.19 7 2.87 2 TSE 12089 111
AUD 0.9115 16 4.34 -1 4.82 2 ASX 4533 37
NZD 0.7152 32 HSI 20869 245
CNY 6.8080 32 SSEC 2659 36
  EUR vs.     GBP vs.       AUD vs
JPY 108.01 10 JPY 129.68 72 GBP 1.6885 91
GBP 83.29 39 CHF 155.95 88 CAD 0.9601 37
CHF 1.2988 12 CAD 1.6212 21 CHF 1.0820 0
AUD 1.4063 10   JPY vs.   NZD 1.2740 31
CAD 1.3502 46 CHF 83.16 0 Commodities
  CHF vs. CAD 1.25 48 Gold 1251.1 6.30
CAD 1.082 2 AUD 76.8 0 WTI 74.98 1.02
                   
                   



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