In our last lesson we learned how different candlestick formations can tell us different things about whether the buyers or the sellers won out in a particular time period. In today’s lesson we are going to look at some of the basic candlestick patterns and what they mean when looked at in the context of recent price action in the market.
The Spinning Top
When a candlestick with a short body in the middle of two long wicks forms in the market this is indicative of a situation where neither the buyers nor the sellers have won for that time period as the market has closed relatively unchanged from where it opened. The upper and lower long wicks however tell us that both the buyers and the sellers had the upper hand at some point during the time period the candle represents. When you see this type of candlestick form after a runup or run down in the market it can be an indication of a pending reversal as the indescision in the market is representative of the buyers loosing momentum when this occurs after an uptrend and the sellers loosing momentum after a downtrend.
Spinning top After a Trend
Like the Spinning Top the Doji Represents indecision in the market but is normally considered a stronger signal because unlike the spinning top the open and the close that form the Doji Candle are at the same level. If a Doji forms in sideways market action this is not significant as the sideways market action is already indicative of indecision in the market. If the Doji forms in an uptrend or downtrend this is normally seen as significant as this is a signal that the buyers are loosing conviction when formed in an uptrend and a signal that sellers are loosing conviction if seen in a downtrend. Most traders will place greater significance on the Doji when it forms in a market that is in overbought or oversold territory.
Doji After a Trend
That completes our lesson for today. In our next lesson we are going to look at several more candlestick formations known as the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Patterns and how traders use these in their trading strategies so we hope to see you in that lesson.
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS: 30-MAY MONDAY
00:00 GB/US- Holiday 31-MAY TUESDAY
07:55 DE- Employment
09:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
13:45 US- Chicago PMI
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence 1-JUNE WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- GDP
all day Global PMIs
18:00 US- Beige Book 2-JUNE THURSDAY
11:45 EZ- ECB
12:15 US- ADP
12:30 US Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude 3-JUNE FRIDAY
all Day Global PMIs
12:30 US- Employment
Trading Themes --
For once Fed Chair Yellen did not disappoint the markets. On Friday she said that a rate
hike in "coming months" probably would be appropriate. I take "coming months" to mean June or July. Her statement gives her room to delay a hike should "Brexit" become an issue. Her comments came after many traders had given up hope for a policy statement.
The EURUSD has tested the psychological 1.1200 line early Friday, but then traded sharply lower close to the 1.1100 level after chair Yellen signalled a rate hike possibly as early as on June 15. There has been no doubt recently that the Fed wants to raise rates soon. Doubts only have been about timing.
Both Japanese National and Core CPI remain in contraction (-0.3% y/y) as of April. The latest data keep the pressure on the BOJ to take actions to lift the economy out of its persistent deflation.
John M.Bland MBA co-founder global-View.com
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