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Category Name: VIDEOS: FOREX TRADING
 
 
 
Lesson 3: Understanding Currency Rate Movements
By: Informedtrades.com

Lesson 3: Understanding Currency Rate Movements

In our last lesson we learned how to read a currency quote. In today's lesson we are going to continue our discussion on the logistics of trading forex with a look at what an increase or decrease in a currency quote means to us as traders.


Now that we understand how to read a currency quote the next thing that it is important to understand is what an increase or decrease in the quote for a particular currency pair tells us about the value of the currencies which make up that pair. As we discussed in our last lesson, currencies are quoted in pairs or in terms of how much one currency is worth in terms of another currency. When we read a currency quote what we are seeing is how much of the second or counter currency in the pair it takes to buy one of the first or base currency in the pair.


With this in mind if the quote for a particular currency pair increases this means that it now takes more of the counter currency to buy 1 of the base currency. Another way of looking at this is that when the quote for a particular currency pair increases this means that the first or base currency in the pair has strengthened and the second or counter currency in the pair has weakened.


Conversely, when the quote for a particular currency pair decreases this means that it now takes less of the counter currency to buy 1 of the base currency. Another way of looking at this is that when the quote for a particular currency pair decreases this means that the first or base currency in the pair has weakened and the second or counter currency in the pair has strengthened.


Although a simple concept, this is one of the most confusing aspects of trading foreign exchange and something that people still mix up even after years of following the market. From my own experience the best way to think of things is simply that if the rate is increasing this means that the base currency is strengthening which automatically means that the counter currency is weakening. Conversely if the rate is decreasing this means that the base currency is weakening, which automatically means that the counter currency is strengthening.


To help solidify our understanding of forex quote movements lets login to our demo trading platforms and look at a few different currencies pairs on a price chart. If you have not done so already I encourage you to pause this video now and register for a free demo trading account by clicking the link above this video if you are watching on InformedTrades.com or in the description section of this video if you are watching on YouTube.


After logging into your real time demo trading account you should see a button in the upper right hand corner of the trading station that looks like a yellow clock circle and says create market shot over it. Select that button which should bring up a chart preferences window. Select 5 minute there for the timeframe and then click create market shot.


After doing this you should see get a realtime 5 minute chart of the EUR/USD. Lets take the example on this chart of earlier today when the market for the EUR/USD went from xxx to xxx. From the above we should now no that this increase in price means that the EUR has strengthened against the USD during this time period. Conversely if we look at the time period from xxxx to xxxx we can see a decline in price from xxx to xxx. We should now also know that this means that the EUR has weakened against the USD in this example.


The important thing to remember here is that if the price is going up in the quotes window and therefore the chart this means that the base currency is getting stronger and the counter currency is getting weaker. If the price in the chart is going down this means that that the base currency is getting weaker and the counter currency is getting stronger.


Next lets switch the chart to a 5 minute chart of the USD/JPY currency pair. Here we can see that the price for the USD/JPY currency pair has decreased from xxxx to xxxx. As the USD is the base currency in this case this means that the USD has weakened in relation to the JPY. Conversely we can also see that from xxxx to xxx the rate for the USD/JPY currency pair has increased which means that the USD has gotten stronger and the JPY has gotten weaker.


That's our lesson for today. In tomorrow’s lesson we are going to learn about the bid and ask quotes and something which is known as the spread so we hope to see you in that lesson.

 

 
 

 

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Extensive Free Daily Technical Chart Points

9/2/2010 EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
Close 1.2815 84.25 1.0133 1.5392 1.0529
High 1.2848 84.55 1.0186 1.5455 1.0556
Low 1.2777 84.01 1.0096 1.5351 1.0473
Mov avgs EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
5 day 1.2740 84.53 1.0196 1.5434 1.0562
10 day 1.2714 84.69 1.0258 1.5464 1.0556
20 day 1.2834 85.13 1.0353 1.5581 1.0457
50 day 1.2801 86.55 1.0477 1.5439 1.0428
100 day 1.2699 89.23 1.0839 1.5131 1.0376
200 day 1.3352 89.96 1.0669 1.5434 1.0389
Pivots 1.2813 84.27 1.0138 1.5399 1.0519

Source: Free Global-View FX Database


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Global-View.com Chart Gallery
09/2/2010                
20:08 GMT   2yr bp 10yr bp DJIA 10316 61
USDX 82.44 -6 0.49 -1 2.63 5 S&P 1090 11
  USD vs.     Fixed Income   NAS 2199 25
EUR 1.2823 16 0.61 -1 2.28 6 DAX 6084 0
GBP 1.5396 53 0.71 2 2.96 3 FTSE 5371 5
CHF 1.0129 22 0.38 3 1.26 8 SMI 6334 0
JPY 84.23 18 0.13 0 1.12 9 NIK 9063 136
CAD 1.0530 21 1.19 7 2.87 2 TSE 12089 111
AUD 0.9115 16 4.34 -1 4.82 2 ASX 4533 37
NZD 0.7152 32 HSI 20869 245
CNY 6.8080 32 SSEC 2659 36
  EUR vs.     GBP vs.       AUD vs
JPY 108.01 10 JPY 129.68 72 GBP 1.6885 91
GBP 83.29 39 CHF 155.95 88 CAD 0.9601 37
CHF 1.2988 12 CAD 1.6212 21 CHF 1.0820 0
AUD 1.4063 10   JPY vs.   NZD 1.2740 31
CAD 1.3502 46 CHF 83.16 0 Commodities
  CHF vs. CAD 1.25 48 Gold 1251.1 6.30
CAD 1.082 2 AUD 76.8 0 WTI 74.98 1.02
                   
                   



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