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Forex Forum Archive for 07/20/2018

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GVI Forex Blog 19:23 GMT July 20, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 July 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 July 2018

london red 18:51 GMT July 20, 2018
If Trump can'tt provide fuel for the 2nd stage rocket...

similar to hk rf euro reversal zone for euro, yen is testing long term channel this time from topside. Holding 11150 into close would suggest a positive defence which may not rule out downside nxt week necessarily but imp does mean you can buy that downside with a min expectation of 11150 but likely much higher 112/113

GVI 18:15 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

White House official: President Trump worries that the Fed will raise rates two more times this year - CNBC

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 17:04 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1046 vs. 1054 (-8) prev.
Oil: 858 vs. 863 (-5) prev.

Canada: 211 vs. 197 (-14)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Det tm 16:26 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018

GVI Trader john 09:38:35 GMT - 07/20/2018
OPINION

He is looking ahead to November elections. He wants a strong economy and strong stock prices when there is voting underway.
_________________________________________________

During House testimony with Powell, Sean Duffy (R) Wisconsin, asked "Do you believe in America First ?" Context could not have been clearer, are you with us . . or against us?

A one off outlier can be easily dismissed, yet its looking like, along with POTUS tweets, first salvos of a real push to pressure Powell. All about the mid-term elections. If this PR
campaign gains traction, senators chiming in, S&P will already be above 3000, USD$ below 90.00

Watch those September odds, you bet, its what reversals are made of.

dc CB 15:02 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018



so much for talking down Rates

HK [email protected] 14:07 GMT July 20, 2018
If Trump can'tt provide fuel for the 2nd stage rocket...
Reply   
*
Then 1.1740 will make a top tonite.

dc CB 13:56 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018

GVI Trader john 09:38 GMT
OPINION
My initial response to the Trump comments was that he "misspoke", but now I think I can see what he was up to.
"""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""
as seen on ZeroHedge:

""It really is quite simple. Everyone is smart except Donald J. Trump. That’s why they all are billionaires and all got elected President. Only Trump does not know what he is doing."""

HK [email protected] 13:55 GMT July 20, 2018
Captain-FX-America
Reply   


*

HK [email protected] 13:55 GMT July 20, 2018
Captain-FX-America
Reply   


*

Bali Sja 13:47 GMT July 20, 2018
Japan PM Abe; Indeed Abe is good friend to Trump.

How about the new NK fatso friend

PAR 13:41 GMT July 20, 2018
US STOCKS
Reply   
Stocks recover from earlier lows after Trumps comments .

HK [email protected] 13:22 GMT July 20, 2018
Japan PM Abe; Indeed Abe is good friend to Trump.
Reply   
*
A friend in need is a friend indeed.
May be the next is Netanyahooo.
Does the US have more friends?
Ah Yes how about the Bank of England?
Commo'n say somting!

PAR 13:22 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Trump has a point . Only reason Draghi keeps blowing up the ECB balance sheet and keeps European real rates at a negative 2.5% is MANIPULATION .

There are no economic fundamentals for this policy . Just PURE MANIPULATION .

GVI 13:17 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Japan PM Abe: economy is moving towards escaping deflation - parliamentary end press conf - Japan's two lost decades are almost a thing of the past - Source TradeTheNews.com

HK [email protected] 13:15 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

*
The US is not manipulating the USD, but does what it wants in the markets.
Watch the 1.1750 per my previous suggestion.

Soon Trumpushke, will tell you to buy gold hehehe, just to bring down the pressure from the USD.
Now Trump is in control of the market.
Trump= Captain FX America!!!

Bali Sja 13:09 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Watch the close mate

GVI 13:05 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

ECB says "no comment" on President Trump's remarks about currency manipulation in Europe and China - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Singapore SC 13:01 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Bali is it time to give uo the buy usd on dips strategy?

GVI Forex Blog 13:00 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI And Retail Sales Beat big in June/May 2018
Reply   
Canada: CPI Beats expectations.

Canada: Retail Sales stronger vs. expectations

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI And Retail Sales Beat big in June/May 2018

HK [email protected] 12:58 GMT July 20, 2018
Trumpushke created a situation which makes USD strong so...
Reply   
*
Now he has to face the consequences, not only to blame China and others.
BTW; Verbal intervention is also an attempt to manipulate a currency:)

From a recent post:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Gold at the gate of the abyss.
HK [email protected] 08:46 GMT 07/20/2018
*
A 1210-support breach means an openning to a further big fall, which means a stronger USD to the dismay of Trump, and maybe other businesses in exports.
..............................................................................................
One thus can expect another verbal intervention(Friday) to slow the strengthening of the USD.
.............................................................................................

GVI Trader john 12:55 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

We used to call this "Verbal Intervention".

GVI Trader john 12:54 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Bullard is a lightweight. Don't pay much attention to him.

Bali Sja 12:49 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Whats Bullard gonna say later?Trump just killed Bullard's chance to be today's star

GVI 12:47 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Pres Trump reiterates his comments on rate policy and FX markets, says China and the EU have been manipulating their currencies and interest rates - Tweets: "China, the European Union and others have been manipulating their currencies and interest rates lower, while the U.S. is raising rates while the dollars gets stronger and stronger with each passing day - taking away our big competitive edge. As usual, not a level playing field...

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 12:34 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Strong CAD data.

GVI Trader john 12:33 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada: CPI (June) Retail Sales (May) 2018





NEWS ALERT
Headline CPI
mm:
0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
yy: +2.50% vs. +2.40% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.


Retail Sales
Headline: +2.0% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. -1.20% prev.
X-Autos: +1.40% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


HK [email protected] 12:16 GMT July 20, 2018
Euro
Reply   
*
To make sure euro(which currently looks to rebound) will continue it's decline against the USD, it is good to see if there will a failure at retest of 1.1750 Res.

PAR 12:04 GMT July 20, 2018
Merkel
Reply   
I am addicted to POWER .

PAR 11:54 GMT July 20, 2018
RED ALERT BULLARD

Bullard coming soon. Algos ready to.buy ,buy, buy...

GVI Forex Blog 10:46 GMT July 20, 2018
Forex Traders: Beware of the News
Reply   

For as long as I can remember the forex market has had tendency to react (often overreact) to news. However, times have changed with liquidity providers replacing bank dealers and the main source of forex pricing, leaving the market without true market makers.

Forex Traders: Beware of the News

GVI Trader john 10:45 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

May rules out any notion of a "hard border" between the rest of the UK and Northern Ireland.

GVI 10:40 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May: Her duty to serve the whole of the UK; need a Brexit agreement for the whole country; EU needs to respond to the White papper - comments from Belfast

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 10:26 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

The story here is not the interview. The story is HOW, WHEN and IF the Trump statements impact the Fed, other governments and the markets. My view is this is not over.

GVI Trader john 10:18 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

interview over nothing new.

GVI Trader john 09:50 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018

Complete Trump interview will be broadcast for the first time at the top of the hour 10:00 GMT on CNBC (15min in duration).

Mtl JP 09:49 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Dillon AL 22:17 consider anti-lock breaks (ABS)
sampling and reacting to conditions 100s of times per second

vs you pressing manual breaks in a curve on icy road

GVI Trader john 09:38 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018

OPINION

When trading forex, you will do best to leave your political views at the door. It took me a while (overnight) to figure out what happened yesterday, and on reflection it has become clear to me what was going on.

My initial response to the Trump comments was that he "misspoke", but now I think I can see what he was up to.

He is looking ahead to November elections. He wants a strong economy and strong stock prices when there is voting underway.

He does not want the Fed slowing down the economy at that time (higher rates). Also, he does not want to see China and others (Europe, UK, etc.) with weaker currencies depressing U.S. exports and stock prices. Recall the Mnuchin "currency gaffe" earlier this year. Well I think Mnuchin just took the fall for a similar situation. People like Navarro (Rasputin?) were watching what was going on and told Trump he had to take action yesterday just as the USD was about to gather some serious upward momentum.

Notice China and India both intervened in support of their currencies today. The big question is Powell and the Fed. There is only one more "actionable" Fed meeting between now and the election (September 26). Market odds in favor of a rate hike at that meeting are now a dead certain 98% in favor of a hike. Lets see how Powell responds to the Trump pressure in the next week or so. Watch those odds like a hawk...

As I said initially, mine is not a political post, to get by in this business you will always do better to leave your political opinions at home and deal with things as they are not as you might wish they were.

HK [email protected] 09:23 GMT July 20, 2018
Gold at the gate of the abyss.

*
manila tom 09:05
If the price of the product you need is right, and if the quality is right and if it is USA-made...you will buy it:) unless banned.

GVI Trader john 09:12 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1645
Pivot Point: 1.1632

This Week: 1.1575-1.1745
Fri: 1.1626-1.1674
Thu: 1.1575-1.1678
Wed: 1.1607-1.1665
Tue: 1.1649-1.1745
Mon: 1.1675-1.1725

20-day avg: 1.1666
50-day avg: 1.1698
100-day avg: 1.1975
200-day avg: 1.1984


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (98%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.853% -0.3bp
DE: 0.335% +0.3bp
GB: 1.185% +0.1bp

DAX: +4
Implied Open
DJ: -31
SP: +2.1




See the Amazing Trader Live!

manila tom 09:05 GMT July 20, 2018
Gold at the gate of the abyss.

exports? what to export when you go into a trade war?

HK [email protected] 08:54 GMT July 20, 2018
Gold at the gate of the abyss.

Buy Gold
Entry: 1210 Target: 1250 Stop: 1195

*
A contrarian trader, can expect a retest of 1250 B4 resumption of price decline.

HK [email protected] 08:46 GMT July 20, 2018
Gold at the gate of the abyss.
Reply   
*
A 1210-support breach means an openning to a further big fall, which means a stronger USD to the dismay of Trump, and maybe other businesses in exports.

One thus can expect another verbal intervention(Friday) to slow the strengthening of the USD.

It is clear, that a too strong USD, will lead at last to big job losses by closures and/or moving production overseas, a process which if gains momentum will not be easy to reverse.


GVI Forex Blog 08:43 GMT July 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 20 Jun 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 23 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Tue 24 July 2018
AFlash PMIs
Wed 25 July 2018
AFlash PMIs
A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 26 July 2018
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
Fri 27 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 20 July 2018

manila tom 08:04 GMT July 20, 2018
RED ALERT BULLARD

yes, they continue buying dips in stox and usdjpy, no fear

PAR 07:15 GMT July 20, 2018
RED ALERT BULLARD

Stocks in Asia reversed losses and yuan recovered its drop amid signs of intervention from China authorities looking to stem currency’s weakness. China banks seen buying Yuan after its fall to 1y low. Dollar sags after Trump shows displeasure towards Fed hikes. US 10y ylds <2.85%

PAR 07:06 GMT July 20, 2018
RUSSIA
Reply   
Trump sees huge business opportunities in Russia .


Russia should be Europe s natural trading partner but USA denies us access to the Russian market . Crazy Europe .

Russia is our partner , not our enemy .

PAR 06:42 GMT July 20, 2018
RED ALERT BULLARD
Reply   
Today’s eco calendar is empty apart from a speech by Fed governor Bullard, one of the most dovish, non-voting, FOMC members.

Global dollar strength started influenced trading on other markets yesterday. Overnight moves suggests the greenback lost momentum. This could also take away bids in the US Note future. Risk sentiment is a wildcard for trading.

manila tom 03:31 GMT July 20, 2018
sell euro, buy usd
Reply   
sold 11652, stop 11685, it has been the theme the whole week, let's see again today target would be yesterday's low

bali sja 03:29 GMT July 20, 2018
TRUMP

AL, apply for that position to find out ;)

Dillon AL 01:44 GMT July 20, 2018
TRUMP

someone explain to me what is exactly an "International Security Policy program director at the University of Chicago" what does he do apart from spout his views and why is this position or job in existence. I thought a Uni was a place of learning and that professors were teachers of one description or another but this title seems to be something else. Or am I being naive

dc CB 00:46 GMT July 20, 2018
TRUMP

These American scholars say the real threat to the U.S. is Russophobia.

"If he [President Trump] means what he said he was right. It would be great to cooperate with Russia — I would go farther, it's imperative... We are eyeball to eyeball in a new Cold War with Russia," begins Stephen F. Cohen, considered among the world's foremost Russian academic experts, while sitting beside John Mearsheimer in this latest Vice interview, who nods his head in approval.

Mearsheimer, a longtime International Security Policy program director at the University of Chicago, questions the now largely cemented narrative created by those who have least understanding of the history of US-Russia relations: "Why won't people engage in a legitimate debate with people like Steve and me? And I believe the reason they won't is they would lose the debate - I'm fully confident of that."

American Cold War Experts: "The Real Threat Is Russophobia"

Dillon AL 00:22 GMT July 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

but disaster strikes = before disaster strikes

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 23 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Tue 24 July 2018
AFlash PMIs
Wed 25 July 2018
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 26 July 2018
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
Fri 27 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


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