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Forex Forum Archive for 05/23/2018

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GVI Trader 23:05 GMT May 23, 2018
Giuseppe Conte asked to form Italian government
Reply   
ROME — Italian President Sergio Mattarella on Wednesday asked Giuseppe Conte to oversee the creation of a new government made up of two populist parties.

Conte, 53, said he wants to be “the defense lawyer of the Italian people” at home and abroad and is “fully aware of the challenges we face” as he prepares to become prime minister at the head of a governing coalition of the anti-establishment 5Star Movement and the far-right League.

Giuseppe Conte asked to form Italian government

Mtl JP 22:40 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

NZD Trade Balance in 5mins

GVI Trader john 20:25 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

10-yr 2.990% last. Key psychological level 3.00%...

GVI Trader john 19:57 GMT May 23, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

This Week: 1.1676-1.1830
Wed: 1.1676-1.1789
Tue: 1.1757-1.1830
Mon: 1.1717-1.1779



Spot EURUSD: 1.1696
Pivot Point: 1.1789

20-day avg: 1.1907
50-day avg: 1.2151
100-day avg: 1.2223
200-day avg: 1.2024

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

Mtl JP 19:56 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

3.005%
Yield High Today 3.07%
Yield Low Today 3.00%

US 10-YR (US10Y:U.S.)

Mtl JP 19:47 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018



kids ... it is my increasing perception that the USD rally is close to topping out if it has not done so already.
and odds of a correction r growing
plz mind your risk

Mtl JP 19:26 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

usdcad
nh 1.2830 = middle of range I keep pointing out
your move next

GVI Forex Blog 19:12 GMT May 23, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 23 May 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 23 May 2018

PAR 19:01 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

FED more interested in a booming stock market than in fighting inflation .

Livingston nh 18:54 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed promises for one year out but confidence exceeds competence - "this time is different" (yield curve) - Dudley's next meeting is his last, replaced by R* Guru Williams


"accommodative", "gradual" and lower for longer -- snowflakes that may not survive the Summer

PAR 18:49 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

Painful

dc CB 18:47 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

Fed mins offer nothing to the large number of shorts in Treas futures who must roll out of June contracts and into Septs.

Mtl JP 18:37 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018



so post-minutes players will have some time to justify-trade on u.s. fiscal structurals / interspersed with reactions to President Trump's bellicose outburst antics.
-
USDCAD still in old 1.2730 - 1.2930 range as no breakout yet
May 30th: BoC rates
June 12-13 FOMC

odds are puppy oscillates until it does

london red 18:34 GMT May 23, 2018
EURUSD

mix of offers and stops by 11710, big lt fib. daily close below bearish.

PAR 18:34 GMT May 23, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Algos dumping VIX .

london red 18:32 GMT May 23, 2018
EURUSD

mkt fighting ending trend in st term at least. the 10 now approaching 3%. stops below.

PAR 18:28 GMT May 23, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long EURUS 1.1690 . Stop 1.1645 . Target open .

GVI 18:21 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

FOMC MINUTES FROM MAY 2ND MEETING: FEDERAL FUNDS RATE COULD REACH NEUTRAL LEVEL 'BEFORE TOO LONG' IF RATE HIKES CONTINUED; OFFICIALS SAW TRADE AND FISCAL POLICIES AS SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTY
- Modest inflation overshoot 'could be helpful'- See above trend GDP growth through 2020- It's important to monitor the yield curve slope
- Officials saw trajectory of fiscal policy difficult to forecast
- Participants generally viewed the risks to the economic outlook to be roughly balanced.
- Most participants judged that if incoming information broadly confirmed their current economic outlook, it would likely soon be appropriate for the Committee to take another step in removing policy accommodation

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 18:16 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

18:15 kashkari yakking

PAR 18:13 GMT May 23, 2018
Algos Fed
Reply   
Algos go on buying bonanza after Fed minutes.

BTFD .

GVI Trader john 18:13 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. May 2, 2018 Fed Policy Minutes



NEWS ALERT
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes
Mildly dovish


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 18:05 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

no raging hike bulls type minutes
turning that mester was da one with a hint:
market has it right expecting 2-3 hikes
players zzzz

london red 18:01 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

seems around the edges a bit worried about going overboard on hikes etc nothing to hang a long hat on. if rallies, fade.

london red 17:58 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

11710/35 initial fading spots if fed talks about overshoot as reason to hold back for longer. not much sup til 11635

Mtl JP 17:49 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

kids... that time again:
housekeeping reminder IF u trade using MT4

Tactical Stuff for MT4
MT's speed negatively affected by
- Number of MT4 running
- Number of Charts opened
- How long MT4 has been running

Posi-effects on speed:
- reduce number of Max bars in history
- disable news
- restart MT

Mtl JP 17:49 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

kids... that time again:
housekeeping reminder IF u trade using MT4

Tactical Stuff for MT4
MT's speed negatively affected by
- Number of MT4 running
- Number of Charts opened
- How long MT4 has been running

Posi-effects on speed:
- reduce number of Max bars in history
- disable news
- restart MT

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

will seek to affirm Italy's place in Europe:
haha NO getting rid of the leach of EU
give me giveme gimmee !

Mtl JP 17:36 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

red 17:12 w/ur guidance I am and continue to be biased to sell rallies as long as under 1,3450 for that 1,31-ish handle

GVI 17:36 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

taly Pres Mattarella gives PM mandate to Giuseppe Conte; asks Conte to form govt (as expected) - press - Conte: accepts mandate to attempt to form govt; will be a govt of change; will seek to affirm Italy's place in Europe

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 17:29 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

AL my point is that at some point of massive and fast enough of rate of change it does assert itself. Remember that as it could come in handy elsewhere at a different time.

Dillon AL 17:20 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

teen interest rates in Turkey or 40% in Argentina. It matters not

PAR 17:12 GMT May 23, 2018
Crude
Reply   
Crude prices will move higher because of tropical.depression in the gulf of Mexico . Great timing.

london red 17:12 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

cable has its own wkly channel at 13287. tomo retail sales. due partly to differing easter period, sales could be positive yet still be down y/y. however 0.4 ex fuel f/c on m/m and y/y while headline 0.8 m/m 0.2% y/y. levels of 13280 are the 38.2 fib of flash low sub 115 and high abv 144. 50% of adjusted low abv 118 is by 131. retail sales are volatile but also "well flagged" pre release, however a beat should see some good if maybe temporary upside given the battering its seen this week so far.

dc CB 17:07 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

the overnight yield supression bears fruit
Yest afternoon the 5 closed at 2.899

auction results: 5Y High Yield 2.864%, WI 2.864%

london red 17:04 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

11685 channel under threat again. 11550 followed by 11350-11450 if lower low. at that stage there are converging tech on wkly/mnthly

PAR 17:02 GMT May 23, 2018
Turkey
Reply   
Turkey should go for a Malaysian style currency board and in six months all this story will be forgotten

Mtl JP 16:59 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

sooo .. . there would, after all, appear to be a practical mathematical point at which interest rate does get a grab:
12:30 Turkey central bank move pushes LLW lending rate to 16.5% from 13.5%
12:32 U.S. dollar retreats from record high versus Turkish lira
12:33 U.S. dollar down 0.8% versus Turkish lira
12:41 Turkish central bank hikes lending rate, halts lira drop - MarketWatch

next we need to see how temporary that (3/13.5=22.2% hike) is

Mtl JP 16:47 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

euro 1.17
Td to build a short is ok as long as eur stays sub 1.1850
trgt 300 / 400 pips south

GVI 16:45 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Pres Trump: Mexico and Canada have been very difficult in NAFTA negotiations ** NOTE: 05/17 (US) US Trade Rep Lightizer: NAFTA countries are nowhere near close to a deal; will continue to engage in negotiations - Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 16:44 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

try moves beginning to filter into other em, some profits clearly now being taken. lets see if they stick into close as fed still to come.

dc CB 16:31 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump

that first line just cements the fact that you have no idea

PAR 16:29 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump

Gaddafi spondored Sarkozy s campaign and Sarkozy had him killed in order to keep that quiet .

Kim Jong Un is smarter than the great Libyan guide.

Singapore Td 16:27 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

Thanks Jay. I'd like to have a mid term bias from which to build short term strategies. AT as you have shown and mentioned can help with the short term trading.

Mtl JP 16:23 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump

PAR how do u know that
rodman whisper that in ear ?

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 16:22 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

TD, I just use the Amazing Trader to guide my trading so no need to think that far ahead.

With that said, there were forecasts not long ago for EURUSD 1.30 so given where we are trading, I would say the high is likely in for the year.

Now there are some event risks on the horizon:

Mueller investigation
US midterm elections

Then of course there is NK and Iran.

Let's hope for an active summer s it is often a good time to trade.

So maybe there is a window for the dollar to move higher before the focus shifts to the midterms and possible Republicans losing the majority in the House.

But as I said, I prefer to let the Amazing Trader acts as my guide.

PAR 16:20 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump

Kim Jong Un wants survival more than a deal and getting liquidated afterwards ,as happened with so many great leaders in the past .

PAR 16:20 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump

Kim Jong Un wants survival more than a deal and getting liquidated afterwards ,as happened with so many great leaders in the past .

london red 16:19 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

i think what coeure said is right, or at least in the way he said it. it will take time to feed though.
shot across the bows frm turkey CB, may keep try traders honest but doubt will be much to change sentiment generally.

Mtl JP 16:14 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

market zeees on Coeure.s enthusiastic enthusiasm that eu expansion is strong and everywher.

their attempts at building a general posi-perception as they try to prepare playrs for their ending of meddling in market little comical but they - ecb - do deserve credit for trying

Singapore Td 16:10 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

John, technicals so far suggesting so unless we have a dramatic turn around. A few months left, since summer boring ranges should be upon us soon.

GVI Trader john 16:05 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January

IMO- It would be tempting to say yes, but when there is more than a half year to go, who can know? 7+ months in forex is an eternity.

Singapore Td 15:57 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January
Reply   
Have we seen euro's high for this year? Comments?

Singapore Td 15:56 GMT May 23, 2018
Euro's yearly top made in January
Reply   
Have we seen euro's high for this year? Comments?

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:49 GMT May 23, 2018
AT Master Class
Reply   
We will be presenting our first AT Master Class designed to introduce you to our advanced trading techniques.

Contact us for details

GVI Forex Blog 15:44 GMT May 23, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 28 May 2018
AA GB/US- Holiday
Tue 29 May 2018
A CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 30 May 2018
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 CA- Bank of Canada
Thu 31 May 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 1 Jun 2018
A Various Final PMIs
A 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 12:30 US- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018

Jkt Abel 15:28 GMT May 23, 2018
STOCKS

PAR, buy usdcad with stop 12843 will do.

PAR 15:26 GMT May 23, 2018
STOCKS

Did you BTFD ?

PAR 15:18 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump

Big legislation will be signed by me shortly. After many years, RIGHT TO TRY and big changes to DODD FRANK.

PAR 15:16 GMT May 23, 2018
Cheerleader Trump
Reply   
There will be big news coming soon for our great American Autoworkers. After many decades of losing your jobs to other countries, you have waited long enough

dc CB 15:06 GMT May 23, 2018
Iron-Knee
Reply   
Eric Arthur Blair

Tweet

dc CB 14:35 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

and so ends the dream of $90 Crude
And ss the Hi for Gasoline clicks in on schedule ---just in time for Memorial Day Weekend driving.

GVI Trader john 14:31 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +5.800 vs. -2.830 exp vs. -1.400 prev.
Distillates: -1.000 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -3.800 prev.
Gasoline: +1.900 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -0.900 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer



Dillon AL 14:26 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

Bean Counters

Mtl JP 14:22 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

so pray tell who and for what purpose uses the

Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate

GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales For April 2018 Flatten
Reply   
April 2018 New Homes Sales. Data misses. Previous data revised lower.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales For April 2018 Flatten

Mtl JP 14:14 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

I used to think the FED was under permission spell of GS to yey/ney ok to hike which took janet some time to "get"

dc CB 14:10 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

GVI Trader john 13:38 GMT
JP- Im not sure the Fed has a "whisperer" anymore. I don't recall Yellen or Bernanke "planting" stories in the press as their predecessors did.
____________________________________
HUH? Under the Obama Regime, the FED (Bernanke and then Yellen) was a political tool. Keeping rates at 0 way beyond what was required. "we will normalize when Unemp drops below 6%, and other lies we were told.

This is no longer the case. If only for the reason that Trump is seen as an interloper in the grand scheme of the CBankers

Livingston nh 14:06 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

jp - hahahahh (spilled coffee) haahaha

Livingston nh 14:03 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Although the "flash" releases are usually marketing ploys the ISM and PMI have been reporting accelerating inflation pressures -- today's flash release "May data revealed a sharp and accelerated rise in operating expenses across the private sector economy. The latest increase in average input prices was the fastest since July 2013. Anecdotal evidence mainly cited higher prices for metals (especially steel) and increased oil-related costs during the latest survey period."

The ISM inflation gauges have been signalling 4+% CPI inflation for months - the maladjusted BLS says "no problem"

The CPI (unadjusted) is the single most important financial inflation gauge and the broader GDP deflator is the most important economic inflation gauge

The FED target is based on a narrow insignificant subset of inflation - last Spring May CPI was 1.6% (ar) with declining monthly energy costs - see if Powell stands by his wonky predecessors

GVI Trader john 14:03 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. New Home Sales April, 2018



ALERT
662 vs. 680K exp. vs. 694K (r 672) prev.


New Residential Sales

Mtl JP 14:02 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018



ya ... manipulating ... fake news
-
not sure if I posted before about puppy's range so here is a pic in interest of verbal frugality

I think currently it is better to focus on protecting what I have rather than on making $$

nh and I (exchanging trade idea and tactics)

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Flash Markit PMI Data For May Beat

Markit PMIs are improving while ISM has peaked. ISM is generally seen as more reliable

GVI Forex Blog 13:54 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Flash Markit PMI Data For May Beat
Reply   
U.S. flash Markit Mfg & Service PMI. May 2018 data beat estimates. These remain second-tier releases. Final data come out at the start of the new month.
U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI

U.S. flash Markit Service PMI

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Flash Markit PMI Data For May Beat

Livingston nh 13:47 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

Have a care - JP is manipulating CAD

Bali Sja 13:46 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

Jp, buying usdcad 12850-70 for 13150?

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. flash Markit Mfg & SVC PMI May 2018





ALERT
mfg: 56.6 vs. 55.3 exp. vs. 55.6 prev.
svc: 55.7 vs. 54.1 exp. vs. 54.0 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Markit PMI Press Release

HK [email protected] 13:43 GMT May 23, 2018
Tell the whole world; We dramatically manage Israel from a bunker.:(%
Reply   
*
Israel moves Security Cabinet meetings to secret underground bunker to stop leaks.

Israel may not be in a shooting war with Iran yet, but its security officials have reportedly moved their meetings to a secret underground bunker in Jerusalem. PM Benjamin Netanyahu apparently ordered the move to prevent leaks.

Several cabinet meetings told me Netanyahu's moved the security cabinet meetings to the bunker because of the fear of leaks from sensitive discussions on Syria and Iran,” Israel’s Channel 10’s Barak Ravid wrote on Twitter.

The news alarmed some people on Twitter, with one user saying that the ‘bunker news’ combined with previous comments on Iran from the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Israeli bragging about being the first nation to use US-made F-35 fighter jets in combat missions, creates uneasy mood.

GVI Trader john 13:38 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

JP- Im not sure the Fed has a "whisperer" anymore. I don't recall Yellen or Bernanke "planting" stories in the press as their predecessors did. Also, Hilsenrath has appeared to be as clueless as the rest of us on policy. If anything, it appears to me that Steve Leismann has become the new "golden boy".

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

wsr / trs on ritalin or some new opioid President Trump has yet to tackle?
-
26 Apr 2018 ... Deutsche Bank AG is planning to cut more than 10 percent of U.S. jobs as it withdraws from businesses where it can't compete - bbrg, BBC +++...

thing to ask is where will all those unproductive (to be kind) turfees go to ply their craft next

dc CB 13:26 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

the WSJ this morning writes that executives at the biggest German lender have "zeroed in" on plans to eliminate close to 10,000 jobs, about one in 10 employees, as part of the bank's epic cost-cutting scramble.

Deutsche Bank

london red 13:11 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

euro has tested key wkly channel at 11685, essentially a test of the break higher in dec last year. rebounds shud still be faded. 11750 again seems a good fade.

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

post Jon E. Hilsenrath who is the current alleged FED whisperer ?
-
in the meantime GREGG ROB posits that
Fed may float new ideas to market in its minutes
and that

Central bankers likely focused on bigger picture topics

HK [email protected] 12:59 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

*
Japanese investors, do not understand this lunatic Erdogan.
They have to understand too, that the US wants to bring him down by this or that way.
Financial is one way.
Clue for the Turkish people; Vote for this sultan and your country will go to the toilet.

HK [email protected] 12:53 GMT May 23, 2018
How many hotels may he built in China?
Reply   
*
How do you know, if he wants at all to build holels in China?
Any clue?
Another dramatic blasltet?

PAR 12:50 GMT May 23, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
As always sounding very.optimistic about trade deal with China.

How many hotels may he built in China ?

dc CB 12:44 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

fwiw
Japanese margin traders until recently were doubling down on their Turkish bets. They held 323,537 net long positions on the lira against the yen as of May 15, according to data from the Tokyo Financial Exchange. That was up from 266,955 contracts at the end of December.

Lira Plunges as Japanese Investor Exodus Adds to Turkey's Woes

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 12:36 GMT May 23, 2018
Amazing Trader Update



As noted earlier AT signaled a potential low in USDJPY and as you can see by this 15 minute chart, it has tested the upper end of its 10990-97 resistance

AT creates order out of chaos with actionable trading patterns and levels to trade

Get Started Now

dc CB 12:30 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

Auctioning off the 5ver today.
Yest 2Y went of with a yield highest since 2008.

TinHat...overnight CBs took yields down a notch and gave the BigBanks a better price to clear some shelf space so they can help the 5ver not show Poorly.

dc CB 12:24 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

the Yen rally started at 9PM with a 40p pop ---looking at Yen Futures. in 1 and a 1/2 hours. then traded sideways until 2AM --and took off ramping with no real retrace until 5:30 another 80 pips.. thru the European morning session. 120 p

not gopolitic fear ot NK or repat.... hope U got some of it.
The Yen takes the prize so far this year for "Most Trendy"
Jan to the end of March ...End of March to ????? still ongoing ----thru June????

Time for the US now....reverse

Livingston nh 12:18 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

US 2/10 spread back down to 44 ahead of the FOMC well scrubbed Minutes

Livingston nh 11:56 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

JP - yen tracking NK (and trade?) - the 4hr shows the rollover on tweety bird

bali sja 11:55 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

i think the latter JP, judging from other pairs

Mtl JP 11:53 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

out of interest:
is lower dlryen a reflection of lower 10-yr yield OR japanese heightened geo-pol fear and thus yen repatriation ?

bali sja 11:50 GMT May 23, 2018
usd
Reply   
red, looks like sharks smell the blood...gonna be ugly

bali sja 11:45 GMT May 23, 2018
cable

the Fed dont need to hike in June anymore, it is done for them easily ;)

bali sja 11:40 GMT May 23, 2018
cable
Reply   
brexit's drop looming, time to be scared?

bali sja 11:33 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

usd is just unstoppable, DX -->100

PAR 11:33 GMT May 23, 2018
STOCKS
Reply   
Looks like we have seen the lows for the day.

BTFD .

Dubai MA 11:21 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

What news just came out?

Mtl JP 11:18 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

as DLRX at 93,90 challenging previous high

GVI Trader john 11:11 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

DJ -152

US 10-yr 3.0105%, -4.9 bp
DE 10-yr 0.508%, -5.0
UK 10-yr 1.461%, -6.2

kl shawn 11:01 GMT May 23, 2018
ECB

closed 50% euro short 11708 from 11740
free trade from here

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:47 GMT May 23, 2018
Amazing Trader Update



USDJPY 109.72

They say one picture says a thousand words so look at this Amazing Trader chart, which is a classic AT (sell the blip) pattern to the downside.

Chart shows 109.90-97 as the initial resistance band.

Note the red lines, which indicate a potential bottom that would need to take out 109.90-97 to confirm.

Not show on this chart are key supports at 109.40 and 109.14 (most important).

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 09:58 GMT May 23, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
In all my years of trading and seeing countless Italian governments, this is the first time I remember that Italian politics has been a big factor. In any case, it is risk off, stocks down bond yields down, jpy and chf up, other currencies down vs USD, Amazing Trader has worked really well (as usual) today.

Currently, looking at 15 minute Amazing Trader charts, key EURUSD res is at 1.1756, currently protected by 1,1748 and GBPUSD 1.3393, protected by 1.3389, 1.3377 and 1.3372.

Lows of the day (1.1697 and 1,3345) are the key supports.

The Amazing Trader

kl shawn 09:44 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

cable below 13370 will take us to 13150-70 by week's close

london red 09:35 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

coeure on the wires, confident on inflation. hes right of course with higher crude and lower euro its a double tail wind for inflation but will take a period of time to feed thru. nice wick on hourly cangle with high made off former channel. looking good for 117 retest while wick unbeaten.

bali sja 09:25 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

thanks red, just closed some positions for reload later

london red 09:13 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

set up could be fade 10dma/tenkan or any intrday rallies abv with stop over 200dma tgt wkly channel under 133.

london red 09:12 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

going to hard a hard time getting abv 200dma bali, which is by 13565. u will prob get some brexit related headlines over next few days they could spur a rally which can be faded.

kl shawn 09:09 GMT May 23, 2018
ECB

sold euro 11740

PAR 08:54 GMT May 23, 2018
ECB
Reply   
ECB already owns a disproportionate amount of Italian bonds but keeps on buying more and more as if there is no tomorrow.

Where will this all end .Crazy Mario can't keep expanding the ECB balance sheet forever . ECB already the biggest hedge fund in the world ..

GVI Trader john 08:54 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

This Week: 1.1699-1.1830
Wed: 1.1699-1.1789
Tue: 1.1757-1.1830
Mon: 1.1717-1.1779
Fri: 1.1789-1.1823



Spot EURUSD: 1.1720
Pivot Point: 1.1789

20-day avg: 1.1930
50-day avg: 1.2164
100-day avg: 1.2226
200-day avg: 1.2024

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.019% -5.2bp
DE: 0.518% -4.0bp
GB: 1.450% -6.9bp

DAX: -195
Implied Open
DJ: -154
SP: -15.4



bali sja 08:49 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

any such levels for cable for consideration?

london red 08:44 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

euro fade 40-50 stop over 118 should work if trend to continue. if euro cannot fall on italy and poor data, then not going to fall is the argument for your stop abv key old fib at 11790.

london red 08:42 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

there are always idiots on the wrong end of the brexit spectrum, so you need to watch for that if short. better to fade rallies than chase lows.

GVI Forex Blog 08:42 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI Softer Than Expected In April 2018
Reply   

U.K. CPI and RPIX chart

U.K. Headline April 2018 y/y CPI softer than expected +2.40% rise. RPIX +3.40%

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI Softer Than Expected In April 2018

bali sja 08:36 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

red, no more reason for cable to rally for the rest of this month then?

GVI Trader john 08:34 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK inflation misses.

london red 08:33 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

ppi prices saving sterling a bit, clearly crude driven. poss nxt month inflation moves higher.

GVI Trader john 08:32 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. CPI April 2018

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
CPI y/y: +2.40% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +2.50% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


bali sja 08:32 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

they kill cable first then euro?

london red 08:28 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

also hearing some big stops on the 10 if we go under 3%. mkt is massively short so quite poss. still unless we see 2.90 i think there are still legs for 3.26

london red 08:18 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

safety bid is evident look at eurchf tanked frm 1.20 to 116. last time was below 200dma was a year ago and at 1.07.

london red 08:15 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

usdjpy is down on lower us yields. the 10 is close to 3%. if holds they may massage usdjpy higher but if stocks crumble then this one is going to correct to 108.50. usd rally is fine until maliase spreads to US stocks.

GVI Forex Blog 08:10 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash PMIs Miss, Except France In May 2018
Reply   



 EZ flash PMI data chart EZ flash May 2018 PMIs Manufacturing PMIs miss. Flash Services PMIs miss, except France. Final PMIs are released at the start of each new month.

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash PMIs Miss, Except France In May 2018

GVI Trader john 08:02 GMT May 23, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EZ Flash PMIs May 2018




ALERT
EZ
mfg: 55.5 vs. 56.1 exp. vs. 56.6 prev.
svc: 53.9 vs. 54.6 exp. vs. 54.9 prev.

German
mfg: 56.8 vs. 57.9 exp. vs. 58.2 prev.
svc: 52.1 vs. 53.7 exp. vs. 53.9 prev.

France
mfg: 55.1 vs. 53.5 exp. vs. 53.7 prev.
svc: 54.3 vs. 56.5 exp. vs. 56.9 prev.


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Belgrade Knez 07:59 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

london red

thank you

bali sja 07:58 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

usdjpy is the wildcard red
where is BOJ?

london red 07:58 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

they are types of options, knock out, reverse knock out, reverse knock in. very many zeros attached and good reason for those involved to defend hence the diff dropping thru. but unless bounces thru 35/40 its going down as they need reloading bounces to pull it off.

Belgrade Knez 07:54 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

london red

what does KO and RKO stands for please?

london red 07:47 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

might be surprising to see barrier holding despite german data but there are massive payouts involved. at the 117 we are talking exotic, a mix of KO RKO etc. hence huge stops below.

GVI Forex Blog 07:47 GMT May 23, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 23 May 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018

bali sja 07:39 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

bet we will see it very soon, red

london red 07:38 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

if 117 barrier taken stops likely to drag pair to wkly channel sup at 11687. below there could experience a fast mkt.

bali sja 07:37 GMT May 23, 2018
sell euro, buy usd
Reply   
party on, new lows

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 21 May 2018
AA EZ/CH/CA- Holiday
Wed 23 May 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


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