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Forex Forum Archive for 01/15/2003

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GoldCoast fxi 23:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
$Bears Y/EUR/CHF out of gunpowder last night....job unfinished on my charts..... GBP appear done on 9/01

Berkeley AG 23:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Technical indicators pointing that GBP/USD (Moving Averages has just diverged downward) is heading to a short term downtrend. That and my oscillators are reading overbought indicators

I sell GBP/USD at 1.0640, take profit at 1.0590.

OZ deanobravo 23:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 23:28 GMT looks to be 0.5820-80 play for the mom...still holding core long and trading other stuff around it..looks good imho, however, I am starting to feel increasingly cautious as this thing does have a habit of walking up by the stairs and then usuing the elevator to come down ...gl gt

nyc 23:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
MARKET TALK: EUR/USD Heavy On Italy Outlook Downgrade
EUR/USD likely to trade with slightly heavy tone after S&P's downgrade of Italy's outlook overnight, but though S&P's action puts spotlight on fiscal position of Italy and other euro-zone economies, Tokyo dealers expect pair to be underpinned around 1.0530 by lingering geopolitical concerns; range-top for session likely 1.0580

melbourne farmacia 23:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks deano - Syd. Deano are you still loading up your AUD position ?

Tallinn viies 23:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
hi there,
euro formed short term top on my charts.
in asia range should be 1,0580/85 and 1,0535/40.
I have short euro from 1,0524.
planning to sell more at 1,0579. stop for that at 1,0609.
target 1,0485
fwiw

syd 23:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia yes

OZ deanobravo 23:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 23:20 GMT sure is...forecast -8k and 6.1%

melbourne farmacia 23:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Melb RS - If your around, Is employment data released today?
11.30am EST.
cheers

Sydney FXtrader 23:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
I mean I was stopped out of the game. I didn't expect the bounce from 1.0500 would go pass 1.0545/50.

Bel Air KK 23:04 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
BT - IMHO the people with the most accurate info. during Asia are: NoodyGirl, Sfx, and RS. On a tech level, Raden Mas and Dr. Q are the best.

Keep careful eye on their posts.

Good trades.

Toronto 23:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sydney fx trader: If you were short DUR/US at 1.0577, and exited at 1.0559 you made a profit, and were not stopped out.

Sydney FXtrader 22:59 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
My short at 1.0577 on Tuesday was stopped out at 1.0559 after the strong rebounce from 1.0500. Is this a top building or just a consolidation of further uptrend?
The best bet is to sell the break of 1.0500. If EURUSD is unable to substain the break of 1.0600. Sell on the break back of 1.0600. Stay aside for now.
USDJPY is looking very likely to fall through 117.50 to 115.50 soon. It's a question of when rather than if.

Rivonia Pippirate 22:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yes, it is Wolvie, about 18 months and still a appy, any advice will be great. I do this full time now, but find it very risky.

Bel Air KK 22:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
BT - My take on Eur/Usd and Usd/Yen:

Eur/Usd - 1.0600 looks like will not be broken any time soon. This has been tested 4 times this week without success. I do not see a reason why it will break today. We shall see range trading from 1.0500 - 1.0590.

Usd/Yen - Same story. Range trade 117.50 - 118.70. Until either side breaks, keep trading the extreames and make some money. This has been my strategy for past couple days.


Nothing out of Japan in the form of econ. data and nothing out of EZ except y/y German GDP.

Unless N. Korea starts mouthing off or US/and Allies attack Iraq, should be a relatively quiet day in Asia. The only noise will come from MoF.

Cheers.

Bel Air KK 22:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore BT - I'm sorry, that post regarding short eur/usd was for BA.

Cheers.

Wallst RHV 22:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
sell some more euros

Paris-London PL 22:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Lokk like there is still some yield to be have in the EUR-NOK...Sell EUR play carry

Wallst RHV 22:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Close 19:35 Eur longs here at 1.0565 (+-50 for the day)

Stockholm ZA 22:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Test..

Atlanta web 22:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Currently I am long on eur/usd and short on usd/jpy. What do you think about this from the current levels?

NYC NAG 21:53 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks LA

Rivonia PipPirate 21:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
welcome Welkom J.W 20:54 dare I say "Wolvie"? How long u been trading?

LA 21:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
aud low .5825

NYC NAG 21:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can anyone tell me what the low in AUD has been today

Welkom J.W 20:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
While the market drifts, could anyone give me some info on trader's traps?

Singapore BT 20:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK 18:18 GMT
If you're still around. Thank you but I'm actually short USD/JPY not EUR/USD. But anyway I'm also long EUR and AUD against USD both missed PT by a few pips. What's your take on EUR and JPY now? TIA GTs

Gen dk 20:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Toronto BA 20:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Everyone has to play their own game- just going on his past calls he is pretty accurate-

prague mark 20:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA 20:06 GMT
u are right - considering +/-100 pips his forecast is fine :))))

LA 7 20:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA. Did he give a stop? tell that to those long usd who were swallowed by the sharks today.

LA 7 20:07 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
miami alcira This is the most active forum you will find. it is a slow market. When activity picks up, so will the flow here.

Toronto BA 20:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Raden Mas called for 1.044 eur/usd earlier-
his predictions are usually close

Melb mpfx 20:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Ooooooo, new forum style, just testing....

Livingston nh 19:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki - thanx but still underwater on EUR position

prague mark 19:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
miami alcira
is it OK for u: eur/usd next week range 1,0360-1,0640?

nyc tony 19:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
The question u ask , has too many replies.
NO ONE can tell you where the dollar will trade with precise accuracy over the coming weeks.

miami alcira 19:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
This is a very slow form, What is a more active time to come in????/

Wallstreet Gordon Gecko 19:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
charlie sheen// even if the stakes were too high?

london dice 19:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
anyone using 10-20 pip stops will be better off in Las vegas

miami alcira 19:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hello everyone.

Dose anyone have a view on USD in the upcoming weeks?

Toronto BA 19:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

I poured red wine in coffee by mistake -it wasn't bad

NY CHARLIE SHEEN 19:37 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Gecko would never use a 10 point stop

Wallstreet Gordon Gecko 19:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
reverse shorts here at 1.0450 (+30) with a 10 pip stop

Chicago Irish 19:26 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
LOL Mel It was the first forced fusion attempt.........tea and wine don't mix.Vive L'difference!

Livingston nh 19:22 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Mel - Canada is apparently not attractive enough to be incorporated within the boundaries of the US, the recent strength of its currency notwithstanding

UK JB 19:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Lovely, but what are non-iarget populations?

LA Mel 19:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
nh, is canada a developed nation?

helsinki iw 19:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Livingston nh/ You got it right up there at the 80ies. Good call.

Livingston nh 19:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Let me in a good word here for Bubonic Plague (smallpox too if available) - the Renaissance was one result of the plagues because it concentrated capital - any fool that released these horrors would least affect developed nations but would make AIDS "crisis" pale in comparison to how it decimated non-iarget populations// sell EUR

LA ARTOFYEN 19:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yippie, you kill all the suspense! lol

Is tahat right, Irish? I'm sure 14th century Europe could have used those remedies but then again, it would have adversely affected the real estate market.

Wash JFed 19:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Beige Book -- Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicated subdued growth in economic activity from mid-November through early January, with little change in overall conditions relative to the last survey period. Most Districts characterized growth as "sluggish" or economic activity as "soft" or "subdued."

LA Mel 19:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
thank you dr. irish

Singapore 19:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
What was the traded Cable low, about 45 mins ago, please?

Chicago Irish 19:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
SF CC:Re Bub.plague,can now be treated with antibiotics such as Ciprofloxacin,Tetracycline and Doxycyline fyg.

NYC YIPPEE 18:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bad.. Doom and gloom etc etc

berlin steph 18:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
beige book 19gmt , some one has a forecast ? thanks

prague mark 18:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
does FED boys will impact the market at 19:00GMT?

SF cc 18:37 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
News out of Lubbock, Texas - that vials of bubonic plague are now missing from Texas Tech University. Officials are not using the word "stolen" yet... they just can't find them anymore.

Livingston nh 18:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Buy USD/JPY here below 118 - watch a touch of 21 da mva

Bel Air KK 18:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
BT - if you're still short Euro/Usd, you may want to take profit now around 60 offered. short term charts giving mixed signals, though we may still see 25/30 by NY close.

Cheers

NYC NYC 18:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
eur/usd 1.05-1.06 still the range.

fairfield jsh 17:53 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
ayone think the eur can break 600? or are we in for a deeper correction now that is has failed for the 3rd time to break? tia

LA 17:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Only vechile I know that provides all that you asked for in one simple place is price action. About specifics, I'd have to leave that to the hordes of corporate traders and FX news journalists.

Vienna we 17:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
LA
where to you obtain such information like how many buyers/sellers are, where the buyers/sellers are from, volume, and so on? TIA

LA 17:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
More sellers than buyers!

london 17:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vratsa, thats a hanging man bearish signal on the eur/usd daily chart

Tulsa US 17:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
anyone knows what caused USD drop this morning at 8am US eastern time?

Manchester Daniel 17:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vrasta - I am using the 4 hour charts with bollinger bands and MACD.
Although it is an engulfing candle - I will use the Upper bollinger band as a RESISTANCE. Also the "fast" MACD line has crossed below the "slow" MACD line, but and is still UNDER the slow line. Again, I am treating the SLOW line as Resistance. Of course, we will see.
Euro could go up - my trades are not perfect (whose are???) - just protect all with stop losses and overall, one should be OK.

Sofia Red 17:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Livingston nh 16:19 GMT January 15, 2003
Imho there is a good chance that study resistance will be broken till eow while EUR/USD rate holds above 1.0535.Good trades.

Vratsa 17:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Manchester Daniel ,how Bullish engulfing give entry point of 1.0589 to short Euro?? Thanks.

Johannesburg CA 16:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Berkley I hope you are right, I am also long @ 118.20 hoping for 118.60 by NY close.

Bazley JW 16:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Berkley AG - would you mind if I ask you a few questions re your system via email? If you don't could you please email jay with your email address? TIA

GoldCoast fxi 16:53 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
IMHO, looks like cycle pivot turn getting close
last 5th wave coming shortly on $Y- Eur$- $chf

Berkeley AG 16:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Luckily, I took off my stop orders before going to sleep. Took modest profit with the GBP at 1.0650. Took Euro profit at 1.0580. I kinda knew it wouldn't hit past the 1.0600 anytime soon.

Holding my Yen position with a limit target at 118.60 after buying it at 118.10. Not setting any stop orders as usual. Any opinions?

Bel Air KK 16:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rumours about BUBA on the offer around 80/85 today. Also, S & P is reviewing Italy's Debt Rating. Expect downgrade to happen soon.

Gen dk 16:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

China BD 16:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
NYC Ed- yes and so is Ivan Drago....too bad tommy morrison is on $ bull side

van Gecko 16:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
morning ab.. usd/cad Goose is setting up for a potentially vely power reversal from earth..
good trades..
islander.. it's nice to live life in the 'old & slow' lanes after so many years up in the skies.. ;)

Livingston nh 16:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air kk - a good point re: EUR/JPY if this EUR move has been a diversification and nervous repatriation - the next currency to be dumped would be yen

NYC ED 16:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
1.06 that is....................?

NYC ED 16:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
China BD 16:33 Apollo is in the corner calling for a break of .6000.

Bel Air KK 16:34 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
llooks like the real fight is with eur/yen at the moment.

China BD 16:33 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
NYC Ed- yes this is the title fight....clubberlang(euro bulls)Vs. Rocky's brother in law Paulie(dollar bulls)...who will win no one knows

China BD 16:33 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
NYC Ed- yes this is the title fight....clubberlang(euro bulls)Vs. Rocky's brother in law Paulie(dollar bulls)...who will win no one knows

Manchester Daniel 16:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FW-cs: I have sent you an email. Look forward to chatting with you.

Incidentally, using 4 hour chart, BB set at period 10, deviation 2, this gave me an entry point of 1.0589 to short Euro - look at the previous 4 hour candle - we go UP from bottom band to top band - did not catch all of that - but it was actually an easy trade - ah well, cant get them all!!

Daniel

NYC ED 16:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
ChinaBD Is this BULSS vs BEARS front row action

Bel Air KK 16:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Eur/Usd - Yesterday, the sellers around this level were from the Middle East and China. Today the sellers are US names. Looks like the long term players are cashing-in on long positional trades. This to me means they think we are near the top for this pair for the year. IMVHO.

helsinki iw 16:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Livingston/ I really must do something else now. Can we talk later?
Sorry mate.

Wallstreet Gordon Gecko 16:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sell euro here at 1.0580

helsinki iw 16:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
mark/ failure here at 1,0600. But want to give it abother chance
still. Below 1,0550 I would think it failed and would also think
1,0500 will not hold anymore.

Gen dk 16:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Livingston nh 16:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
helsinki - u seem a EUR bull - could u take a look at hourly EUR chart w/ MACD set 13/34/8 -- I think EUR may be range bound not trnd --BUT ... // this MACD pattern would have me sell here ( i'm short small here just to focus wud buy more under 1.05)

prague mark 16:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
helsinki iw 12:27 GMT January 15, 2003
FWIW/ Charts suggests larger move lower in store for EUR/USD, supports
at 1,0460 and 1,0440. My system giving a sell signal, but not sure
whether to take it or not. Get the feeling we are not yet through
testing the topside, so would like to see one more go at 1,0600.
There is decent r/r in buying EUR/USD here with s/l below 1,0500 if
one favours upside still. Personally was uncomfortable beeing short
and cut it, experience is if you`re not happy with your position, cut
it and look again.

topside seen - so when u gonna be happy to short? :)))))))))))

Philly brm 16:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FW CS - I prefer to NOT be day trader - what is your time frame and what indicators do you find helpful. TIA

QC Wang 16:15 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
helsinki iw 16:13 GMT ......me, of course!

FW CS 16:15 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Beijing Road
Email me and I will send you an explanation of fractals. You can get my email from Jay

Rome Tony 16:15 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
GoldCoast & Gaza ibiza , Thnx.

helsinki iw 16:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
How many here are going to play breakout artist at 1,0601 bid?

hk ab 16:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
anything especially supportive to cad today? just ask if not, then thinking about the crosses boost this geese.

FW CS 16:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we
Whoa you must be a very short term trader. I never could successfully day trade. Contracting bands are usually a sign a breakout is coming.

St. Pete islander 16:12 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Gecko 15:49 GMT Old and Slow. Answer should come soon. gt

QC Wang 16:12 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
1.06, one more time here, being tested.......so I am quite sure...very soon at 1.0620-30

Shelbyville MKT 16:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Kaunas: I am trading CME Options. You could contact any Futures Broker to trade these options. The CME Swiss contract trades in 125,000 Dollar lots.

Gaza Ibiza 16:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony 15:56 GMT January 15, 2003
FACT : north korea - US i.e. event risk
Reality: Squeeze of Intra day Euro Shorts.

beijing road 16:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
TO CS, what you mean by"fractal"which i could not find it in the dictionary.

Vienna we 16:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FW CS
btw: bollingers are tightening in the 5 min-chart...

GoldCoast fxi 16:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony
the battle bears/bulls = cycle pivot getting close

Kaunas DP 16:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville MKT 15:59 GMT
can u share the broker u are trading options with (most probably via e-mail) - TIA

FW CS 16:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Manchester Daniel
Sure we can discuss B Bands and fractals too if you want. Get my email from Jay to contact me also am interested in hearing your views.

Shelbyville MKT 15:59 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FWIW: I sold some 1.33 USD/chf March put options.

QC Wang 15:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
hey guys, what is happening right now---Dlr is following Dow Jones.

Singapore BT 15:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK
Thank you. I'm happy with 50, decent profit for today. I'll watch a littl more, pretty interesting trades going on. Lots of GTS :)

helsinki iw 15:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK 15:55/ Yes, but all the rate has to do is stay here for
awhile, and all that will unwind. There is nothing inthose charts that
suggest a move to 1,0525/30. Which is not to say it can`t happen,
ofcourse. Lets see what goes on with the selling at 1,0590/00 first.

Rome Tony 15:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
ok we understand that today was bad for most traders, but does anyone know why that happend, I mean what made the us$ move sharply the past 1 hour agains most expectations ??

Bel Air KK 15:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
helsinki iw 15:47 GMT January 15, 2003

5 min:
I see RSI @ 72.89 = still pretty high, momentum has come down a bit, but MACD ready to cross.

Bel Air KK 15:53 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore BT 15:46 GMT January 15, 2003

Usd/Yen: A crazy beast indeed. I too believe we may need to test 117 before heading back up (125), but I don't thin we will see anything below 117.50 today (by NY close). Several reasons for this. Technically, 117.55 is a daily support. There is an Options Barrier @ 50 and finally, this is a rumour, the MoF/BOJ has orders to protect 50.

It would be ok to see a test of 50 then a rebound, but only to eliminate short speculators.

If NY Close is below 118.00 then expect a lot of verbal intervention from MOF. A close above 118.70 would change short term bearishness, but odds of that are not good at the moment.

Cheers.

hk ab 15:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good morning Gecko.
Thanks to Noody and made some fortunes on aud spike.
hope that can get some more tomorrow, now exited.

van Gecko 15:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
morning islander..:) you're one patient sob'er... *_^
gl..

helsinki iw 15:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK/ If you take a look at your 5mins charts again, you will
note that they are no longer oversold.

Vienna we 15:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Porto PJT and @all

Please don't let me be misunderstood. I think the signals of gen dk are good. Only today bad luck!

Bel Air KK 15:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Last comment BA: If not comfortable w/ position, then lower s/l to entry (79 in your case) as soon as you see bid @ 60, this way, if market turns after a lesser dip to 40/50 and not 25/30 then you won't lose anything, but even gain a few white hairs... ;)

cheers

Jerusalem Serge 15:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Raden do you have new signals

Singapore BT 15:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK Could you share your outlook for USD/JPY? I personally feel that it would have a try lower of 117 again today. TIA & GTs

Manchester Daniel 15:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FW-cs Hi there. I note you mention Bollinger Bands. I have been experimenting with bollinger bands, setting the period at 10 and deviation at 2. Mostly using the bands on the 4 hour chart, with reasonable success as entry and exit points.

Can you please advise what parameters you are using (is it 15 for period as you mention "15 day bollinger band".

Would like to discuss use of BB more with you if that is possible. We can do by email, or perhaps you have MSN Messenger?

All the best - Daniel

Kaunas DP 15:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK 15:41 GMT
agree 100%

Porto PJT 15:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we, i suppose gen dk will be positive in the end of the month, thats is what really counts.Qindex and Raden mas make great forecasts and sometimes are wrong too, you cant jugde a system for a bad day.Just my opinion.

Spotforex NY 15:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we - noted...that is why it is important for one to determine their own level of risk on any given trade. I too run hot and cold with my signals...but do well over the long run. Happy hunting all!!!

Jerusalem Serge 15:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rumours of european CB sitting on 1.0590

QC Wang 15:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Take a look at the US Stocks.....Dlr shouldn`t be better......

Sofia Red 15:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we// imho only the killer-whales are lucky today and it is very difficult to play 'pilot fish' in bubble waters. Good Luck to you.

Sofia Alex 15:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we 15:35 GMT January 15, I know what is the guy doing mate, well as you have probably noticed there it is not said all the signals are winners......So I think that you should pay attention to the general profit or loss not only to one day.I t happens to all of us you know...sometimes even Dr. Q is wrong:)))LOL

Bel Air KK 15:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
BA - the spike up in eur/usd was not really enthusiasm to buy Euro, but rather a knee jerk reaction to the N. Korea news. The market was short via speculators thus they had to do a quick cover. I think very soon the market will stabilize back to pre N. Korea news levels once traders realize that the N. Koreans will and have been making negative comments until they are "paid" their extortion/blackmail monies.

Vienna we 15:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Spotforex NY
I'm sure that other users of gen dk's signals are satisfied - I only wanted to say that todays this signals generated 184 pips loss up to now. Yesterday 2 pips profit, and the day before 40 pips profit.

LA SNP 15:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
anyone having difficulty connecting to DealSmart & Metaquotes servers - too ?
have tried running ping and tracert commands to their IPs but no reply yet

NC JJM 15:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
someone is accumulating a ton on $/chf down there near 1.3800 and selling a truck load of euro near 1.0585-00......big player for sure.........imvho

Spotforex NY 15:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we - I know of traders that likes Gen DK signals. WE all have our own style and risk parameters.

Toronto BA 15:37 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Bel Air- hope so!!

Vienna we 15:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex

gen dk provides trading signals - I've a trial but today he's not really a lucky guy (or shall I say - a "system"?)

Bel Air KK 15:34 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Short term charts (5m, 10 m and 15 m) all overbought on eur/usd, should see retracement back to level before spike up, which was 25/30.

GL & GT

Sofia Alex 15:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vienna we 15:29 GMT , what do you mean mate?

Toronto BA 15:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Tierro- it is taking me for a ride!

Den Bosch 15:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FW CS // what do you mean by fractal buy failure? TIA

Gen dk 15:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Vienna we 15:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Gen dk

hm, seems not to be your day today...

Tierra del Fuego Magellan 15:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA // me!...I did it yesterday and will do it again somewhere these levels ...are you for a ride too?

Toronto BA 15:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

thx Belair- shorted some at 79 -

FW CS 15:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
$/Yen
Looking to go short $/Yen 5 pips below yesterday's low which is a fractal low and would constitute a fractal buy failure. Market been moving down ever since it tested the 1/7 15 day Bollinger midpoint

Gen dk 15:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bel Air KK 15:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
BA : another good R?R trade: short eur/usd now @ 80, s/l @ 610, t/p @ 30

QC Wang 15:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
just be patient.....not to much to worry...and sell more usd at 1.0605.good luck guys.....

Toronto BA 15:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Glad I am playing mimi- ouch what move- anyone shorting eur/usd here?

St. Pete islander 15:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Gecko, Good morning. One more time, it seems. :o) gt

Sofia Alex 15:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Portsmut amateur 15:17 GMT ,mate as follows when the market is over the entry price I tighten the stop as much as possible.I am even thinking of putting the stop at the entry price of 1.0569.GL and GT to all of you

Portsmut amateur 15:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex, Hi mate how do you derive this stop at 1.0559? thanks

USD bull 15:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
If the 1.0635/50, the 38.2% retracement of the 1995-2000 bear trend holds there could even be a sizeable correction of recent gains back towards 1.02-1.03 area given that the latest speculative positioning data suggest the dollar remains very oversold and may be due for a correction soon.

van Gecko 15:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
morning Tierra del Fuego Magellan.. fast inverted hammers generates more 2-way liquidities & are good accumulation on blip/dip opportunties for positional players at/near major r/s levels..
gl..

Sofia Alex 15:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
QC Wang 15:11 GMT January 15, no problem mate.I had a buy signal on 1hour chart on Eur$ at 1.0569, stops at 1.0559 and profit over 1.06 if seen

QC Wang 15:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex 15:07 ...sure....thanks for your advice

NC JJM 15:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
shall see if that big bid in $/chf below 1.3800 is still there and if it will be profitable short-term again to short near 1.0600 in euro........

Sofia Alex 15:07 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
QC Wang 15:02 GMT January 15, be careful if not taken we may see some Eur$ selling , but if taken we may see very soon 1.0640

Pecs Andras 15:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Daniel
and bailed out of your EUR/YEN short, I figure.
Nice job! Hats off to you.

Manchester Daniel 15:04 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Andras - yes went long at 1.5996 on GBP

Gen dk 15:04 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

QC Wang 15:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
eur at 106 shortly, trust me

Pecs Andras 15:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Daniel
Your plan was great for Her Highness. Too bad I was involved in something at work and missed the turn. Did you go long?

Gen dk 15:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tierra del Fuego Magellan 15:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
gecko,...morning...,

What´s your opinion on the "two inverted hammers" there´s seems to be forming on daily EUR-USD ?

Thanks friend.

Toronto BA 14:59 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Wow- looked away and the EUR took off-

Bel Air KK 14:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good R/R trade:

buy Usd/Yen now 117.90, S/l @ 50 , T/P @ 118.70

helsinki iw 14:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
That piece of Korean news affecting EUR/CHF as well. Risk Aversion
trades could have this beeing the trend for the rest of the day.
All IMHO

Gen dk 14:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

beijing road 14:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
1.06 will be broken tonight£¡

Livingston nh 14:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
My short GBP/CAD has been closed despite MACD daily still no sugn of a turn -BUT will hold the frustrating short EUR which I was looking for a 1.0430 towards 21 dMVA

Rome Tony 14:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
What is going wrong with the USD plz?

Gen dk 14:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK Kevin 14:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
My long Aussie not ooking well intaday. Limit order 5880 of 1/2 position covered this morning. Squared another 1/2 position here at 5835. All flat now.

Gen dk 14:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
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Athens wifi 14:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
London SM: I do agree with you but something was going to happen and it did just the in the opposite direction..:) Thanks....

helsinki iw 14:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
This fxing thing not dipping much. Duh!

Gen dk 14:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
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helsinki iw 14:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD price action quite bullish now. Break of the 70-level would
indicate test to 1,0600. Buying next dip, stop below 1,0500. Equities
look like they will tank today.

LA SNP 14:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
short on GBP/$ (1.6060) since yesterday - appears to be rising AND fast - going to lower stops ....
will it go lower again ? what do you ppl think ?
TIA GL GT :-)

QC Wang 14:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
sorry about the errors...jpy 117.60 and eur 1.0890 of course

NYC YIPPEE 14:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Athens wifi 14:30 GMT January 15, 2003
Posted from my Villa, on a very nice sandy beach driniking a nice tall fruity cocktail.

The answer is no. Thank you.

QC Wang 14:37 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
for today.....I am expecting eur to be around 11760 and eru 1.0590...and 11700, 1.0660 should be seen in two days....any comments?

London SM 14:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Athens wifi 14:30 GMT January 15, 2003 --- Anyone who could answer that question would be sitting on a beach in his villa looking at hjis laptop and sipping drinks by the sea. be realistic in your questions and don't ask someone to be a fortune teller. there is no such thing in this business, only playing the odds.

QC Wang 14:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dlr still under pressure, let`s follow the trend.....Target eur 1.08 and jpy 115 within 2 weeks........cheers

Athens wifi 14:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas: On the euro/usd do you see it going down within the next 90 minutes sharply towards 1.0460. Thanks...

Dubai DTD 14:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas. GBP and EURO both seem to be moving up slowly. Do you still see these two going down to your targets?

Gen dk 14:15 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

brisbane ad 14:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sarasota jf // London AL great .......thank you

Gen dk 13:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
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Buenos Aires DB 13:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
To Manchester Daniel: Thanks, friend...I agree.

Manchester Daniel 13:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
DB - fwiw - just tried a SHORT Euro/YEN at 124.52 with stop at 124.67
The 1 month trend line support was broken earlier today - price has now re-traced back to the line (nearly) - so playing the short, counting on former support to now as act Resistance.

Spr NoodyG 13:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
RS dont like the way the Oz came off
Conservatively like to give it a bash lower end
Say putting a bid 0.5805 stop safely say 0.5767
Just sq off my Euros really gonna bludge n leave this Oz bid
Nite nite

Gen dk 13:33 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sarasota jf 13:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
brisbane ad 13:25 GMT January 15, 2003
or cud b a play 2 game u decide which

Buenos Aires DB 13:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
To Manchester Daniel: Hi, friend...are you still expecting a downward movement to 117.xx in U$D/JPY ? Thanks & GT.

Spr NoodyG 13:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
RS n Lee
Missed your postings was watching Philly on the tube
Yeap absolutely great call on the Oz from you RS
yep Lee in the Euros game but gonna join the offer soon and square it for the day
Long day but pretty sweet

Gen dk 13:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sofia Alex 13:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Pecs Andras 13:26 GMT January 15Eur is holding its ground pretty well for now

London AL 13:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
brisbane ad 13:25 M&A = Mergers & Aquisitions

sarasota jf 13:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
brisbane ad 13:25 GMT January 15, 2003
merger and acquisition

Manchester Daniel 13:26 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Andras - btw - most definitely from the RED side of Manchester, not the BLUE side - but my true sports love is Baseball - I am a massive New York Yankees fan (I am originally from NYC)

Pecs Andras 13:26 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good plan Daniel. I would go long, but EUR worries me. If it breaks down, cable will follow it. That is why I am looking for the short.

brisbane ad 13:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
can someone Please explain >>>> "M&A activity" thanks

Manchester Daniel 13:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hello Andras - should have mentioned, it will be a stop and REVERSE at 1.5935 -so not a question of right or wrong - I will try to play the reverse at the trend line - if I am worng, I will know it quickly, and reverse the position.

Pecs Andras 13:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hi Daniel
I am looking to short this beast below 5950 for 5870:-)
See who is right?
GL

Manchester Daniel 13:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good Afternoon to all - 3 week trend line support for GBP/$ at 1.5950 area - planning a LONG with stop 15 pips under the line - just missed my entry on last dip. If it does not dip again, would look to go long on the break of 1.5995.

Not my favourite pair Her Magesty so any comments most appreciated.

Also looking to short EURO/YEN at market 124.50 - comments??

Centurion 13:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Howdy people! Markets gone all quite after initial moves. Now i'm lost in direction :-(

Kaunas DP 13:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
any1 has prior forex option trading experience with censored? would appreciate knowledge sharing via e-mail - TIA

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi Rn..
For intraday friend.thanks

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi Rn..
For intraday friend.thanks

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi Rn..
For intraday friend.thanks

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi Rn..
For intraday friend.thanks

van Gecko 13:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
the tales of 3 euro kisses to 21 day ma..
1/2nd happy new year kiss.. 1/8th funny knee-jerk kiss.. 1/15th So long to Saddam kiss.. ?
multiple kisses to the 21 day ma within a trend usually implies a flatering trend.. especially after the market had acheived or at/near some major r/s levels..
that said, GBP/USD had already kissed 21ma repeatively since the start of the new year with her royal short marching soldiers pentrating through the dipping 21 day ma bull line of defense with a vengence overnight..
will her Majesty's royal conti cousins be far behind..?
helloo euroo.. ?


brisbane ad 13:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
definition of M&A activity Please

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:07 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Ku
Pure technical friend.thanks

Tallinn viies 13:07 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 12:52 - rthere is no suger at all :)


plain, simple option

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Palestine..sure ? thanks.

Minsk one man 13:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
2Melb RS: tku vm 4 detailed answer. hv a good day

swk s 13:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks all for AUD ideas GL

groton88 12:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
swk- I guess there may be some M&A activity going on in aud pushing it up over last 2 weeks I still think we trend toward .60-.61 over next 2 months bond flows here very positive for currency I can't see how these flows will diminish for a while Same said for kiwi

sing jdlc 12:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
swk s 12:51 GMT
buy on dips. expect consolidation at around these present levels or a little higher.

hk ab 12:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
both watch dog, dlr/cad and gbp/jpy are showing dlr/jpy to come to 117.xx again.

groton88 12:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
In my opinion dolyen will test lower soon 116 at least -Intervention by Japan alone can't help watch out below

beijing road 12:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
whats plain-vanilla option pls?

swk s 12:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Anybody who have opinion on what is going on with AUD/USD and possible trading levels?

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 12:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Euro..
My opinion is that (..if..) 1.0558 come its a nice Sell for 1.0388 where fresh air give more BP=(BUYPower)for 1.0708/18/48

Have a nice day!
nk

Melb RS 12:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Minsk one man 12:20 GMT
Listen, there were huge disagreements about this in Asia...I trade interbank USDJPY for a player in the timezone so feel I'm qualified to give a definitive answer. I'm calling 118.64 the high - 65 traded once while 64 offered, and nothing traded in EBS between 64 and 82... I filled all sell orders up to 62 and didn't do any stops above 60. Hope that helps.

Gen dk 12:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

helsinki iw 12:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FWIW/ Charts suggests larger move lower in store for EUR/USD, supports
at 1,0460 and 1,0440. My system giving a sell signal, but not sure
whether to take it or not. Get the feeling we are not yet through
testing the topside, so would like to see one more go at 1,0600.
There is decent r/r in buying EUR/USD here with s/l below 1,0500 if
one favours upside still. Personally was uncomfortable beeing short
and cut it, experience is if you`re not happy with your position, cut
it and look again.

Calcutta Vikram 12:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
118.82, I believe, courtesy NoodyG

Minsk one man 12:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
USDJPY traded high pls if poss ? tia

Calcutta Vikram 12:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yes, PipPirate....Bang on.

Should we get back to things mundane now, like trawling for Pips? Cheers:-)

Tallinn viies 11:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
kaunas - cant see it.
I see vchannel base near 10460

Kaunas DP 11:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies
would u agree that eur/usd bull channel is somewhat 1,0360-1,0640 - TIA

Rivonia PipPirate 11:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 11:43 You mean I got the sutra bit right?

Tallinn viies 11:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Madras JJ 11:40 -
headline of the picture

Calcutta Vikram 11:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Karma? Instant KARMA? I believe you mean "Kama", Mon Ami

hk ab 11:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
viies, do you trade crosses?
two of my sources hvae 1.0640 in sight this week.

Toronto BA 11:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

viies- where are you planning to add to your short?

thx

Tallinn viies 11:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 11:11 - fa far away, dont use usually stops in that sense

stop at the moment should be over the yearly highs.
Personally planning to add there to my short position

Madras JJ 11:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Viies.. What is pildi pealkiri? Just curious...

Rivonia PipPirate 11:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 11:19 LOL,I will pull out my copy of Karma Sutra to check that, but I believe you have a point.

Gen dk 11:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Calcutta Vikram 11:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 10:36 GMT January 15, 2003

Better a little late than much too early, don't you think?

Taipei Lee 11:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Stop hunting???

Toronto BA 11:12 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

thx Genoa

hk ab 11:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
viies, what's your s/l of the 1.0505 short?

Palestine 10:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Really i noticed that GBP cant break 1.5980 so i think its critical point and if the GBP couldnt break it i think that will make move to 1.6050 another time

Nairobi Tn 10:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia solo Raden Mas
Are ur projections intraday or medium term. The seem to be in the right direction, but way beyond
Thx

Palestine 10:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Indomisia solo..
are you sure from ur Numbers you write down?

Gen dk 10:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Genoa nic 10:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good morning all

Toronto Ba: slight upward movement in euro/chf since the beginning of the year could mean that risk advertion is fading a little, and $/CHF could correct more than Euro/$, IMO

;-0 10:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
.

Rivonia PipPirate 10:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
See, my theory was true: Indonesia solo Raden Mas 10:22 GMT January 15, 2003
Good evening friends... sorry I come late

NY Morwen 10:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Im refering to Rivonia PipPirate 08:52 GMT

Calcutta Vikram 10:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Madras JJ....thanks. Just practicing for my alternate profession :-)
Trust you are keeping well.

Ldn Ku 10:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia solo Raden Mas
Just wondering, where do u get ur projections? fundamentals or technicals. Thx

NY Morwen 10:34 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hi raden, we all here were wondering about you, like you were kidnaped by some girls or stuff like that. but is good to see you around.

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 10:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
beijing Hoho..
please...

Toronto BA 10:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Thx Singapore ;}

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 10:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Eur/USD will get down 1.0440
GBP/USD will get down 1.5890
USD/CHF will get up 1.3980
USD/JPY will get up 118.85
AUD/USD will get up 0.5900
GL & GT and thaaaanks

syd 10:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
So much for the good numbers out of UK

Beijing hoho 10:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia solo Raden Mas:

Can I send you a e-mail? If yes, I would like to get your e-mail from Jay. Thanks.

Toronto BA 10:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Sarasota- I'm making money-

Singapore BT 10:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA 10:20 GMT
Today's movement is on the same path. Euro weakened against dollar so did CHF. Don't think it was in contrary to each other.

Goldcoast fxi 10:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
if you did not catch the wave today: smile.........

"When I die, I want to die like my grandfather
who died peacefully in his sleep. Not screaming
like all the passengers in his car."
- Author Unknown

d d 10:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
gbp dropping like a a rock!

Nairobi Tn 10:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hey Raden Mas Welcome!

sarasota jf 10:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA 10:20 GMT January 15, 2003
best u go trade stocks

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 10:22 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good evening friends... sorry I come late...

Madras JJ 10:22 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 04:15 GMT January 15, 2003
A friend froma different city called and told me to read your above post. Nice one. :)

hk ab 10:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
viies, just curious to ask you r u sure your t/p is 1.0460?

Toronto BA 10:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Thx again PD comino-
I notice Eur/USD and USD/CHF move contrary to each other-

Is this common- anyone?

Gen dk 10:12 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

pd cumino 10:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Another small help. (USD-JPY)
With the balance of speculative accounts still long in USD-JPY (as for flows of funds data of three principal market dealers)and interest to the other players to buy downside (namely through JPY call spreads 114/116) spot may fall further. Historical BOJ interventions happened at and below 115. Amid uncertainty of interv. one way to trade the JPY is take a longer dated USDCALL/PUTJPY strike say 125, with KO 112 valid the first 3months.

Nablus 10:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
What do you think about $ , will it be stronger than last few days?
i think Euro will comebck to 1.0435/45

Taipei Lee 10:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore Noodygirl 06:48 GMT January 15, 2003
Not even 3pm here
gonna sneak out
Live orders buy half possie 1.0520 balance 1.0505
parachute stoploss 1.0480 oco 1.0560 profits
Cheers ladies and gents

Were the orders executed or cancelled? TIA

d d 10:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
hihi moskow Kolyvanov i agree euro like a peak mount with 1.0595 as the peak

Nairobi Tn 09:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Any direction on EUR towards 1330Gmt?

Melb RS 09:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Noody - prob reasonable place to take back that AUD short from 5880 u think?

Singapore WN 09:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
JHB CA - Some information- take it as you see it..Dealers believe
that the MoF are unlikely to allow the dollar to fall below 117.50 where some
option barriers are reported. The rumour has it that the MoF were very unhappy
with the dollar falling below 118.00 yesterday and for the whole Asian session
dealers were nervous of forex intervention due to some the strong rhetoric
coming from Japanese officials.
MoF official, Mizoguchi, warned that the ministry would take appropriate action
on excess forex movements. He added that excessive yen strength is not good for
the Japanese economy that he does not expect the currency"s strength to last for
long.
The dollar spiked to a high of 118.80 during the Tokyo lunch time on the back of
an intervention rumour which turned out to be untrue as a interbank player
bought a good amount of dollars for customer. However, dealers remain wary of
possible forex intervention and for this reason the dollar seems to be finding a
base at 118.00 where some Japanese bids are rumoured.
From IFR

moskow Kolyvanov 09:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
dd
sorry friend i think euro like a peak mount

hk ab 09:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
noody, aussie game is easier. how strong is that .59 option? May I ask?

Singapore WN 09:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Johannesburg CA 09:48 - Boet thats what makes a market , buyers and sellers... remember you have to pull the trigger and take responsibilty for profit and loss. determine your own risk profile ... Risk reward profile ...GL Mate

Spr NoodyG 09:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Im in the Euros
. fun n games
. ??? :-)

moskow Kolyvanov 09:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
johannesburg, CA
sorry friend i mean sell 118.15 profit target 116.35 stop 118.50 or sell 118.90 profit target 115.30 stop 119.50 thank's glgt

iraq sadam hossein 09:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
dolar will down,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,hahaha

melbourne farmacia 09:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
CA - welcome to FOREX !

d d 09:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
a a euro dropping like a a rock

Johannesburg CA 09:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thank you, BUT now I have two CONFLICTING opinions!!

sarasota jf 09:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Johannesburg CA 09:38 GMT January 15, 2003

usdyen will rise to 118.50

moskow Kolyvanov 09:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
johannesburg CA
yen--> sell 118.15 target 116.35 stop 118.50 thank's..glgt

moskow Kolyvanov 09:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
johannesburg CA
yen--> sell 118.15 target 116.35 stop 118.30 thank's..glgt

Singapore WN 09:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Johannesburg CA 09:38 - Buy USD with stop and Reverse below 117.85 ... Market nervous to the downside with BOJ Rumours and after false spike this am Asia we did not test last nights lows again.I think we see USD strength today across the board ... IMHO

a a 09:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
what hapen on eur/usd?

Johannesburg CA 09:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Any views on the JPY please!!??

PAR 09:33 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Could it be that the UK army is hiring people ?

PAR 09:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
As usual UK unemployment better then expected for 6 months in a row . Is that statistically possible ?

hk ab 09:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Provo John, any levels you want to shoot geese?

Nairobi Tn 09:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
EU 09:24 GMT
Thx for the info frd. GL n GT

Gen dk 09:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

EU 09:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi,
EU 08:58 GMT January 8, 2003
amman,
the source is real*time*forex.com (without*)
Daily Marrket Comments
Good forecast, free, every morning 7 - 8 GMT

Nairobi Tn 09:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Taipei Lee 09:18 GMT
Kinda new in all this frd. How to i go about with Jay?
Thx

Toronto BA 09:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Thanks PD Comino

Taipei Lee 09:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Nirobi TN rules of the forum forbid posting site info. Get my email from Jay and email me . Thanks GL

Taipei Lee 09:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 09:13 GMT January 15, 2003
Then I retract and apologise for the misunderstanding.LOL

Nairobi Tn 09:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Taipei Lee 09:10 GMT
Which site is that?
thx

PAR 09:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rumors UK unemployment figures will be much better then expected, bringing UK unemployment to an all time low.

Rivonia PipPirate 09:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Taipei Lee 09:02 LOL. That was a quick JOKE Mr Lee, NOT a comment, I am a great fan of Raden Mas. GL

Toronto BA 09:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Euro getting into the oversold region in 5 minute stochastics and commodity channel-

pd cumino 09:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
13 jan I recommended this trade: (spot 1.0540) buy EUR-PUT /USD CALL
X=1.05 K.I=1.07 for 50/60 pips 2months tenor and buy spot EUR-USD profit around 1.0580/90, stop-loss around 1.0490.
Now, with some bearish techs in sight, complete this trade buying EURCALL X=1.0550 K.I.= 1.0360 2months tenor for 50pips. Sell 1.0515/20 spot take profit 1.0460/70 stop-loss 1.0550/60.

If correct you will be sitting on two options with KI in two turning points of market and you are bidirectional in a period of high vol, possible war, possible peace during 2 months.

You will not see many other messages from me. I am not interested in forum. Since I am out of desk for holidays and I saw this forum I would do a little favor. Good luck.

Taipei Lee 09:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
For reference for newbies from a Real site

January 15th, 2003

EUR/USD
1.0554. EUR tested close to 1.0600 as expected. Supports are at 1.0520 & 1.0500. While above these supports one more upside attempt to 1.0625/30 cannot be ruled out, but momentum is weakening. Generally expect a correction down to 1.0500/1.0490 initially.
USD/CHF
1.3861. Dollar tested close to 1.3785, slightly above 1.3775 suggested. Down momentum is slackening which hints at the possibility of a move higher to 1.3925/45 in short term on break of resistance near 1.3885/90.
USD/JPY
118.20. Break of support at 118.70 took Dollar close to 117.50 yesterday. Now resistance at 118.75/85 area should contain the corrective advances for a fall to 117.35/30.
GBP/USD
1.6051. No change in view. Cable may be trading in a triangle with downside support near 1.5965/55. While it holds, Cable will retain its chances for a probe higher near 1.6185/1.6215
Other Comments
EUR/CHF: 1.4630..Divergence in MACD is noticed in hourly charts. EUR may fall to 1.4590/75 from 1.4650/55.
EUR/JPY: 124.69. EURÕs short term upside attempts are likely to fail near 125.15/20 for a fall to 124.25/20.
EUR/GBP: 0.6569. EUR tested the set target. Now some correction/consolidation is likely between 0.6550 & 0.6600.
AUD/USD: 0.5866. One more upside thrust to 0.5900/05 cannot be ruled out while above 0.5850.
USD/CAD: 1.5411. No change in view. It can rise to 1.5445/55 initially & ideally to 1.5505/15 later.


moskow Kolyvanov 09:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Taipe Lee
Yes, I see too, his prediction for all currencies exactly.......where are you Raden Mas?????

SA GL 09:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Lee, Farmacia, preciated..

Taipei Lee 09:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 08:52 GMT January 15, 2003

That is an unfair comment. If you check back to Raden Mas short term targets for USD/CHF and others crosses, you will see that he was not far off the targets and his predictions of pullback possible targets are pretty accurate as well.
Check out Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:45 GMT January 14, 2003.
He is a technical analyst by his own admission. GL

melbourne farmacia 09:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
RE last post - if EURO below 1.0500 ( my target 1.0466 ) Chf will be around 1.3961 levels.

hk ab 09:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
nk// I said "may" not never. ;)

hk ab 09:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
nk// I said "may" not never. ;)

melbourne farmacia 08:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
SA GL - USD/CHF sell around 1.3961, fibo resistance.

Taipei Lee 08:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
SA GL
Look up
melbourne farmacia 07:17 GMT January 15, 2003
for direction in USD/CHF. GL GT

Singapore WN 08:53 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
SA Ba 08:41 - Boet just slang for a system I use ... now untie yourself...

Rivonia PipPirate 08:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony 07:08 Raden Mas was last seen being chased down the street where he lives by three young ladies, hope he is ok. Hate to think what his forcasts will be like if they caught up with him.:-}

PAR 08:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Again expecting a surprise rise in UK employment figures. Uk must be only non communist country where unemployment rate goes down when companies fire people ?

Taipei Lee 08:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
SA GL Careful USD/CHF has another 20 to 30 upticks left in it before possible sell IMHO. Look at the 4 hourly charts and go back a week.

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 08:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
ab,
Never say never in FX..

Have a nice day!
nk

SA Ba 08:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore WN - pleez help out before my friend ties himself up in knots trying to figure this out ......... what does TOY stand for???? :-))

hk ab 08:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
nk, for eur maybe but for yen may not.

SA GL 08:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
USDCHF looks like a sell now.. Anyone bearish on this ?

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 08:37 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Euro may will fell at 1.0458/68..and Usd/J easily think will jump at 11948 b4 another push down come back..

nk

sarasota jf 08:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
eur bounce to 25-30 then down to 80-85 imho

Singapore WN 08:35 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hello Boys and Girls USD well bid now , will see some longs flushed out ... Toy is a USD Buy...GL to all

sofia joyrex 08:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vratsa// my system generates sell signal at 1.5992 on Cable...Good Luck!

wendeng 08:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
hi jc i cant follow you ,
can you tell me clear? i am chinese.
appreciate

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 08:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning..

nk

Berkeley AG 08:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dubai, good opinion. Looks like I might have a bad call. Shouldn't have read the tick/5minute charts. Our "Majesty" can be such a monster sometimes.

SA GL,I used a 5 minute trend chart, and used bollingers to see RSI 14 to see that it is highly oversold.

Sing dw, I highly doubt well see the GBP above 1.6100 til 2-3days from now. Definately not tonight especially with the slew of negative GBP information coming up.

Tallinn viies 08:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
good morning world!
had a wilde party yesterday...
a bit tired,
anyway, got to short euro position at 1,0524.
first target 1,0460/65

ny jc 08:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
1- doolar sell off in effect
2- usd/jpy ready for launch off
GL Atlanta GG

NY Morwen 08:21 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can anybody help me; is there a strong support at 1.0500 in Eur/Usd?
Thanks.

Vratsa 08:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
On hurly GBP/USD we have head and shoulders pattern.Sell target around 1.5940.

Dubai DTD 08:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can. Ma. 08:14 GMT Thanks. Will do that. Great trades today mate. Cheers

Can. Ma. 08:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dubai DTD,
This might be a good idea.
Watch 118.50. If broken up ( 118.50/70 )run for cover or reverse.
Good luck.
Ma.

sing dw 08:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
hi Berkeley, AG. need to clear cable at above 1.6100 again. any chance to see tonite or this week. thanks

SA GL 08:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Berkely AG. If I look at my MOMENTUM ,RSI and MACD on USDGBP on the hourly chart, I still do not get BUY signal.. Please if you can explain your view. TIA

Dubai DTD 08:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Berkeley AG 08:07 GMT I think we might see GBP around 1.6010 before higher mate. just my personal opinion FWIW. Generally looking for higher GBP too.

Dubai DTD 08:09 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks mate. Appreciate your response. Looking to sell $/Jpy around 118.40, if we get there, with stop above 118.60 for a move to 117.90/117.40. GL/GT mate

Berkeley AG 08:07 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Took profit at 118.50 after buying at 118. Still holding the Euro bought at 1.0552 for now.

Short term Buy signal for GBP coming out soon. I buy at 1.6025 and take profit at 1.6070.

Nairobi Tn 07:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Is the UK inflation data for a bearish cable?

Can. Ma. 07:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dubai DTD.
Also, H&S pattern on the USD/JPY. Neck line on the 8 h at 118.50 ( approx. )
Ma.

Atlanta GG 07:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
ny jc 07:54 Looking more likely. I am waiting for a break of the 20 lvl on Euro. Good to see the markets have kept you around.

ny jc 07:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Atlanta GG, ggod to see you. Are you also in on the dollar bull for the immediate short term?

Can. Ma. 07:53 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dubai DTD.
Bare in mind that patterns are very sujective.
Ma.

Toronto BA 07:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Tel Aviv- what is your reasoning on the eur/usd?

thx in advance

Can. Ma. 07:51 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dubai DTD,
Close. But 1 h is more evident.
Ma.

Tel Aviv NA 07:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Eur might go to 1.0510 at the most before return to high end of range.
Only then deeper correction possible.

Dubai DTD 07:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can. Ma. 07:44 GMT Thank you mate. Do you arrive at the same potential target on 8h chart too?

Can. Ma. 07:44 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dubai DTD,
Correct. Same on the 8h chart...
Ma.

Dubai DTD 07:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hi friends. On the hourly charts the euro has broken the neckline on a minor h&s pattern with potential target at 1.0490/95. Could someone confirm this please??

melbourne bigal 07:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
AUD/JPY; I am about to enter a short on this pair. 69.37, limit 67.05, stop 71.11. My reasoning is a follows:
1) A general USD/JPY bearishness has been in place for some time now, with the break of 118 this week, a downside target of 116/115 is probable.
2) On the daily AUD/JPY the 70 region has been tried twice with a failure. This is third try and I expect it to fail.
3) On the 15m/60m chart, AUD/JPY appears to have failed 70 region and is starting to head lower.
4) AUD/USD needs some consolidation after recent gains to almost 59 cents.

Anyone have a comment on this trade?

Atlanta GG 07:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
ny Sounds logical. Dollar poised for a clean sweep of weak longs. I am in.

melbourne farmacia 07:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
The following is still vaid until NY close.

melbourne farmacia 07:01 GMT January 9, 2003
USD/CHF - Fibonacci Projection Studies.

Base at High 1.4972 to new rolling low.

1.4972 - 1.4687 = 1.4578 ( done )
1.4972 - 1.4520 = 1.4347 ( done )
1.4972 - 1.4248 = 1.3971 ( done )
1.4972 - 1.4109 = 1.3779 ( target )*

* This target was missed by 2 pips on Friday ( 1.3781 ). My system can not continue a move down until 1.3779 has been hit.
January 15 / For today my $ bull target is 1.3961 for close of NY. A
break of todays low @ 1.3844 targets 1.3809 ,1.3779 and 1.3718 for now.

ny jc 07:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
China...Hearing that the dollar has all that is imaginable already pricd into it. What happens if there is a postphonement of war, or a resolution? The N. Korea thing seems as if it will find itself on the peace table as soon as now. Just some things to take a look at. Good luck Drop a line

sarasota jf 07:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
eur - i think we see eur run down to 1.0450-1.0500 - the topside is now known (1.0580-1.0600) and the market whenever we see these options in play always seems to sell off 150 pips before rallying through them at a later date - so based onthis i have turned my long position short and will turn back long at lower levels ..... usdyen i think surprisingly will run back up to50-70 again once new markets come in ... usdchf has held 1.3800 around and i think strengthens the view on a slightly weaker euro first before a new rally emerges .. gl to all imhv

Rome Tony 07:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good morning everyone
where is Raden Mas today ?

hk ab 07:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Noody, do you see aussie men can take out .59 today? what max low you see?

Singapore Sfx 07:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Love the River Taxi in thy city , Noody ...

Singapore Noodygirl 06:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
The FX Jungle
Aussie beaten higher by the beasts from Shitty Bank
Yen saw a sushi chain rolled over during lunch - thank you Shintakus, Norichukin and Mizuho
Euros hunted down by the Royal Lads

Story narrated by Noodle Woman

CO pup 06:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta- Vely Funny :)

Toronto BA 06:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

thx noody girl

Toronto BA 06:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Any calls on the Eur/usd anyone?

Singapore Noodygirl 06:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Not even 3pm here
gonna sneak out
Live orders buy half possie 1.0520 balance 1.0505
parachute stoploss 1.0480 oco 1.0560 profits
Cheers ladies and gents

Toronto BA 06:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

Morning Dubai- fx very quiet
tonite

Dubai DTD 06:19 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Good morning friends

Calcutta Vikram 06:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yes, selling near 124.65-70 with Stop above 125.00 might work, targeting 124.05. Cheers

hk ab 06:13 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vikram, I see the game today is sell eur/jpy rather than dlr/jpy what's your opinion? appreaciated.

Calcutta Vikram 06:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
FWIW...see 124.56 as 20-day and 5-Week MA on Euro-Yen. Will it break? Will it hold. On the answer depends the fortunes of both $-Yen and Euro-$. Might hover between 124.50-125.00 for a day or two, but if it fails to climb above 125.25 on a Day Close basis, the pressure could be on the downside.

Klaten simbah 05:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
How are you Doctor? Where are you now? Longtime not meet with you.
I hope you in very fine condition in this new year. Thanks.

aum bangkok 05:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
yen should be tested at 116.5-116.9 within this week.
Mof comment will build up liquidity to back yen to strength further.
Then sell dollar during rise for this week .

tkyo 05:33 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Japan Japan's Nov current account surplus came in at Y1168 bln, up 9.0% y/y. remains a backdrop yen supportive factor.

London 05:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
EUR-USD Tech: weak short term studies see longs at risk and scope seen for setback to test 1.0536/25 support.
S&P

sydney 05:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
AUD Outlook - Expect Consolidation 0.5800/0.5900- IFR

hk ab 05:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Noody, did you reenter short at those highs?

F 05:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
LINK

NY PL 05:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hi everybody! Any comments on JPY targets... Thank you.

tokyo 04:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Japan Takenaka: Markets Should Decide Forex Levels
DOLLAR A SELL ON YEN IF THATS THE CASE

tokyo 04:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Japan Takenaka: Markets Should Decide Forex Levels

NY Morwen 04:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
how about go short in Usd/Yen at 118.20?
thanks

NY Morwen 04:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
OZ deanobravo
Your right it will be 1.0497 not 1.0500
Thanks GL and Gt.

OZ deanobravo 04:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
NY Morwen 04:32 GMT sounds ok....but I wouls suggest to leave your stop below the figure level, nothing worse than getting taken out at the low...I always leave stops at for example 97 or 92 but not 00 or 95 if you get my point... gl with it mate

NY Morwen 04:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hi to all
Im thinking to go long euro/usd at 1.0535 tg 1.0620 sl 1.0500.
Any comments please.
thanks

Calcutta Vikram 04:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
'Morning Ahe :-)
MAY THE FORCE BE WITH YOU!

Hong Kong Ahe 04:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Vikram 04:15 ;O) ;O) ;O) ;O) .........

Calcutta Vikram 04:15 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
'Morning Folks.

An Israeli doctor says, "Medicine in my country is so advanced that we can take a kidney out of one man, put it in another, and have him looking for work in six weeks."

A German doctor says, "That is nothing, we can take a lung out of one
person, put in another, and have him looking for work in four weeks."

A Russian doctor says, "In my country, medicine is so advanced that we can take half a heart out of one person, put it in another, and have them both looking for work in two weeks."

The Texas doctor, not to be outdone, says, "You guys are way behind, we recently took a man with no brain out of Texas, put him in the White House for four years, and now half the country is looking for work."

Singapore Noodygirl 04:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Im sure Im safe now BOJ just agreed high is 118.82
You got luck girl
better get out whilst its safe to mug during the lunch hours
Gonna get out to the gym and work off the stress
TOKYO FOREIGN EXCHANGE INFORMATION TKYFX
- BANK OF JAPAN - CONVERSION RATE: 1 EUR=1.95583 DEM
TIME DLR/YEN LOW-HIGH BTM TTM I EUR/DLR LOW-HIGH -15JAN03-
0900 118.03/07 118.03-8.25 118.05 I 1.0564/68 1.0548-0567 OPTION VOL
1000 118.03/06 117.98-8.25 CENTRAL I --------- ----------- 1M:
1100 118.07/10 117.98-8.25 12: 118.05 I --------- ----------- 3M:
1200 118.06/10 117.98-8.25 17: I 1.0558/62 1.0548-0568
1300 118.19/22 117.98-8.82 PREVIOUS I --------- -----------

Singapore Noodygirl 04:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
RS I wish luck comes every day
U like that Hardy deal?
Looks like winemakers are becoming like banks
Fewer players

Melb RS 04:04 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yeah I got caught 30 short thru 118.30 also... then had to fill sellers 60-65... haha, easy come easy go.

Taipei Lee 03:59 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore Noodygirl
Thanks Noody

Singapore Noodygirl 03:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
RS I get your point on the 118.65
82 is considered a general mishit on EBS
FYI we made a 72/82 for 30 and got paid in the direct
We made a 70 bid thrice to clients
Must say business was lacking on the toy
thats why Noodles is a darn lucky girl

Singapore Noodygirl 03:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yamamoto must be getting furious huh? We are all waiting for the rehearsal again !

Singapore Noodygirl 03:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Mr Lee market is massively long Euro and on its crosses
Look at the Euro/Stg sold off today
We had a yard to sell Euro/Dlr from 1.0580 onwards to that trigger
Don't think we shud cross 1.0580 our time at least
The sexy proposition is however picking the correct Euro/Dlr top
Be it the long talked of 1.0640 or otherwise
Its getting nice
2 more things to cash in on my Stg options
I am a happy girl

BOJ spooked U 03:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
want another shot?

Melb RS 03:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
It traded once above 65 Noody.

Taipei Lee 03:47 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore Noodygirl
Do you see the EURO testing the 1.0525/30 area to add more longs in the early european session? TIA

hk revdax 03:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Correction to my 00:26 post. Yesterday's low of $/CAD should be 1.5370. Must have been smoking the wrong brand!

Singapore Noodygirl 03:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Not gonna keep my short at 118.70 that long
hearing trust dudes entrusted to keep the Dlr beast alive
Until Tokyo goes home we harness the 118.00 bottom
Got em in at T/P at 118.15 nice nice nice

Singapore Noodygirl 03:40 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Wow nice to cash in huh
The mkt tests MOF yesterday
the MOF tests us today via trust banks
but its a bulltrap to that 82 paid
lets see the EBS toy played a lot of games and not much business seen above 65

Bangkok BKK 03:33 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
03:22GMT
USD/JPY Said To Have Been Paid As High as 118.82 on BoJ Rumor
A rumor that the BoJ was intervening spread like wildfire in relatively thin Tokyo-lunchtime trading, sending USD/JPY up to as high as 118.82 by some accounts. More likely, the high was probably 118.50 bid or 118.60 paid but there are scattered reports of trades higher. The rumor is tipped to have started on buying by one large player. Stops were tripped above the session high of 118.25 and 118.50 as well. The market has since come off hard on the realization that the BoJ had not in fact intervened. USD/JPY trades 118.20/25 at writing, about
where it was just ahead of the rumor.

Source : IFR Forex Watch

spotforex NY 03:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Dollar Yen would rise with any BOJ intervention by no more than 100 pips and fall immediately afterwards. However, Fed intervention would move Dollar Yen 500 pips....

LA3 03:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Gecko //2.05 thanks for comments

Bangkok BKK 03:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
H.K. Trading8 03:23 GMT
I agree with your view.
If the BOJ really intervene.....USD/JPY will rise more than 100 pips (usually 120-150 pips)

H.K. Trading8 03:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

11:20 15Jan2003 DJN-DJ MARKET TALK: USD/JPY Jump Not MOF-Driven

DJ MARKET TALK: USD/JPY Jump Not MOF-Driven
[Call Us: NY 201 938-2085, London 44-20-7842-9302, Singapore 65-6415-4140]
0320 GMT (Dow Jones) USD/JPY spikes some 70 sen to briefly reach 118.70-80 level, though move not believed to be Japan MOF intervention, just speculators trying to spook markets in thin lunchtime trade, Tokyo traders say; "this just shows how jittery the market is over intervention," says Japan brokerage trader. Pair at 118.32, after falling all the way back to near 118.25 immediately after blip up. (MXT)

melb th 03:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
farmacia// some private changers or digital gold can be cheaper but they can have their own ways to get at you. Someone may be able to suggest a good method to move funds.

hk ab 03:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
eur/jpy is next victim.

spotforex NY 03:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Anthrax scare in Wash DC - testing to see if the tests will be positive. Mail was heading to FED. Only a potential confirmation. Making sure that it is not a false positive on the subtance.

melbourne farmacia 03:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
USD/JPY - missed my short by 5 pips!!!!!!! my Cynic hat stays on!

hk ab 03:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
I think boj is not rumoured!!
Noody, you catch the trophy again!!!!

Bangkok BKK 03:08 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
USD/JPY
What happen ?
Is that BOJ ' intervention?

OZ deanobravo 03:06 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
rumour boj in

HK Sam 03:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB think they are short big time, so use their position to TRY and move the markets - Well seasoned traders ignore but some fundamental T/newies lose out

Hong Kong AB 02:58 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sam// r they still talking down eur and aussie?

Taipei Lee 02:57 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Stockholm ZA Much appreciated. GL GT

Taipei Lee 02:55 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Singapore WN thanks for the input. GL GT

Stockholm ZA 02:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Taipei Lee 02:24

118,08 - 118,25 GL

melbourne farmacia 02:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Sorry to offend any bank traders, got my cynic hat on today.

Sydney 02:45 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
JP Morgan technical analysts say gold could reach $430/oz "in coming years"; absence of any dramatic falls on recent way up to near 6-year highs (bullion plunged $25 on day it reached $341 in 1999) and ability to hold $348 support give increased credence to view market has double-bottomed at $252-$254, with gold now on track for rally toward $430. Recommend going long at $352.25.

Hong Kong AB 02:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Deano, do you see any more potential for the kangaroo to jump. Short at .5880.

Oh ya, Noody, thanks for your 5875 KO note yesterday.

GC L 02:43 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia complete sharks,

Hong Kong AB 02:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Noody, deep thanks yesterday for the yen tips.
So, you see some more room for dlr/jpy longs?
My longs last night was stopped 118. now wait and see.

HK. Sam 02:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
One thing I would like to point out to New traders, be careful of traders, even those in high positions at some Banks trying their best to put doubt in about a currency when it its doing well. Such as you get with certain ones in Australia very carefully placing reports on Newswires . I have closed positions out only to regret later especially on the Aud.. The best person to listen to on here is someone similar to Shanghai BC he changes his location now and again but BC initials. I say this because still seeing it on newswires from Banks who have been Bearish and missed out on the Aussie and Euro Rallies due to their Earlier views , now still trying to catch up by hopefully spreading a few nasty comments. This is a typical type to avoid reading economist Stephen Koukoulas

Toronto BA 02:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   

This is mind numbing! These currencies can really tread water-

Went live this weekend- I'm up a few bucks on the minis- don't drink and trade I found out- got a little too rambunctious shorting the dollar yesterday and it took off-

It is lots of fun going live-
Entry points seem to be the key for me right now-

GL to all-

melbourne farmacia 02:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks GC L - You gota love the banks! I mean the retail buy/sell rates they quote ya, ie AUD/NZD from CBA buy 1.0888 sell 1.0649, 239pips, nice little profit. Cheers.

Melb RS 02:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 02:23 1.08 59-64

Singapore Sfx 02:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Melb farmacia .. interbank mkt's 5870/72 audusd and 5404/07 nzdusd. fwiw.

Singapore WN 02:31 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Taipei Lee 02:24 - Good Morning all , as for 118.15/30 being a pivot , the only thing I can add to that is 118.30 was the soild support for the last few weeks so basically an old support will act as a new Resistance Psychologically in the minds of market participants.... USD seems to me it wants to gather a head of steam indicating that all USD negative news is priced in...GL to all

GC L 02:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia I have on pager 10839-68 reuters AUD/NZD

GC L 02:27 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
I have on pager 10839-68 reuters AUD/NZD

Brisbane . 02:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
USD/JPY See-Saws, U.S. Denies Guarantee For North Korea

Taipei Lee 02:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can anyone here confirm that the fractal pivot for the JPY is around 118.15 to 118.30 with a downside bias at the moment? TIA

melbourne farmacia 02:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can someone please give me a quote on AUD/NZD. I need to move some funds across thee waters. Thanks

van Gecko 02:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
LA3 21:59.. sorry for the late reply.. Usd/Jpy m/t side to up bias.. s/t down from 125 conforming to the recent dollar softness.. mini term, extremely bearish tones after being 'double crossed' by the 3 day slide in it's crosses & the spill over dollar negative effects from the raging Euro ..
from here, the market could consolidate with a risk of further slides to the 'all bear 115' target on a decisive break of Euro 1.065..
however, with the BOJ/MOF Sans singing the intervention blues & the dollar reaching a critical 'bear/lagtime' turning point along with the seasonal Jan/1Qtr bullish bias, the slide could be limited & one can't rule out a near term return to the 7 month range top up at the 125's..
;
gold coast 22:36.. cheers.. & good trades..





certy medusa 02:03 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
anybody knows the next targets for yen and euro

Provo John 01:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
By DJ:
Authorities said the Federal Reserve Bank notified them that preliminary tests found a positive reading for anthrax on a piece of mail addressed to the Federal Reserve Board, CNN said.
The mail didn't enter a Federal Reserve building, and there any indication that postal employees or members of the public were exposed, CNN said.
The mail facility has been temporarily shut, and precautionary tests are being performed Tuesday evening, CNN said.

Bel Air KK 01:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Fromm CNN website:

The U.S. Postal Service is testing for anthrax at one of its Washington, D.C., facilities after the Federal Reserve said its own testing of mail had indicated the potential presence of the bacteria, a postal official said.

OZ deanobravo 01:48 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Port Charlotte RN 01:41 GMT Dow Jones are reporting the anthrax story...its on Reuters too....apparently found in postoffice on mail addressed to Fed Reserve..

nyc 01:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
AUD/USD - Retreats From New 2 1/2 Year High, Talk Of Options

Port Charlotte RN 01:41 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
I just looked up the CNN and Washington Post website, and cannot find any hint on the Anthrax story!

GCL 01:37 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
CNN report possible traces of anthrax found in Washington DC post office

Fairfax mk 01:34 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Noody, I have seen nothing in local DC area news here today. The continuing cleanup of the long-ago contaminated Brentwood Postal facility is periodically in the news and may be a source of the story you are seeing.

Singapore Noodygirl 01:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
DJ headlines say traces of anthrax found in DC ?

Berkeley AG 01:23 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
As of right now, i dont think theres any way to see where the Yen is headed during the march 31st repatriation cycle. Best to wait until early-mid february. Definately going to be a downtrend if the Yen is high around 120-125 around then.

by the way, ive definately gotten a short term buy signal at the GBP/USD at the moment. To buy..or not to buy..that is the question. Does anybody have the answer?

Los Angeles Bern 01:18 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
GLOBAL VIEW / Jay: May I have an e-mail address for Manchester/Daniel? Thanks.

Baton Rouge WD 01:04 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Auckland TF 00:30
I'm in a similar boat but with a deeper stop.

HuckFin 00:38 I like that idea,,,,,,,I'll vote for that!!

groton88 01:01 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
I think dolyen will test 116.00 over next month Japan officials can't do anything at mom to stop it intervention by themselves won't work

Melb RS 00:56 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Chuckin wants dollars fyg

Melb RS 00:54 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Haha enjoy...

Monterrey Niman10-1 00:52 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
yay, Fairfax mk, the data wizzard to the rescue.. ;-)
still i cant make much of it other than it comes and goes.. and in sets of roughly 3years except 2001. Thx.

Singapore Noodygirl 00:50 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Thanks RS
dont mind joining the bid on the dip
will work it off the chart soon
time for a coffee
Aussie was the Yen today !

Singapore Noodygirl 00:49 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Auckland TF 00:30 GMT January 15, 2003
Hi
I need an advise about the EUR/USD pair please!
I am long at 1.0590 my stop loss is at 1.050 at the moment I am down about 40 pips on 300k volume. Any idea on what I should do to minimise the loss ?
Thank you


Hi TF bids are noted from 1.0525 at least our end
and plenty of stops once thru the nose of the 1.0600 barrier
If u r not comfy about it all
sq off around 1.0580
its the beginning of the year, the real market has just started
Chartswise the Aud and Kiwi are the clearest around
Im sure the options mkt is not stupid when it trades the 0.6000 given the 61.8% retrace target of 0.5995
Plenty of opportunities
Look out for the resident Euro Man (Tallin)
and the precious guidance from Melb RS
U'll do fine mate

Melb RS 00:46 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Yep Noody. That guy completed his interest in mid to high 80's. Looks like a few longs that hopped on board for the ride still sitting with them. Back thru 60-65 and I wouldn't rule out a look back at 40-45.

Fairfax mk 00:42 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
UsdJpy net pips

1986 Feb -1190 Mar -202 Feb+Mar -1392
1987 Feb +4 Mar -730 Feb+Mar -726
1988 Feb +55 Mar -359 Feb+Mar -304
1989 Feb -293 Mar +546 Feb+Mar +253
1990 Feb +440 Mar +883 Feb+Mar +1323
1991 Feb +123 Mar +805 Feb+Mar +928
1992 Feb +375 Mar +363 Feb+Mar +738
1993 Feb -655 Mar -263 Feb+Mar -918
1994 Feb -470 Mar -161 Feb+Mar -631
1995 Feb -285 Mar -1015 Feb+Mar -1300
1996 Feb -180 Mar +200 Feb+Mar +20
1997 Feb -100 Mar +345 Feb+Mar +245
1998 Feb -95 Mar +685 Feb+Mar +590
1999 Feb +290 Mar -35 Feb+Mar +255
2000 Feb +275 Mar -773 Feb+Mar -498
2001 Feb +98 Mar +870 Feb+Mar +968
2002 Feb -114 Mar -91 Feb+Mar -205

NC JJM 00:39 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
tks noody and melb rs....good luck today....atb

Monterrey Niman10-1 00:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
AG// butting in is the cornerstone of this nice forum, and is always very welcome. I always heard about the repatriation usd/jpy movements but the only repetitive pattern i have come across so far is usd/jpy going up during december more often than not (dont have the data handy, though). 66% is a good number nonetheless, Thanks.

Seattle MrHuckFin 00:38 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Auckland TF:You might get stopped out as I believe the EUR/USD is going to drop down a bit (i.e. do some stop cleaning)then head back up, I'm looking for it to top 1.06 this night.

Auckland AJ 00:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Note newswire in Tokyo stating that US may give security gtee to N Korea

Auckland AJ 00:36 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Note newswire in Tokyo stating that US to give security gtee to N Korea

Singapore Noodygirl 00:34 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
RS what do u think of it now
Spore props have a couple of shorts in the 80s
looking back for 55
do u think thats possible?

Melb RS 00:32 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
NC JJM 00:28 GMT 90 was pd in D3, but was 89 offered away at the time.

Auckland TF 00:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Hi
I need an advise about the EUR/USD pair please!
I am long at 1.0590 my stop loss is at 1.050 at the moment I am down about 40 pips on 300k volume. Any idea on what I should do to minimise the loss ?
Thank you

Singapore Noodygirl 00:30 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
JJM high is 90 if not wrong

Berkeley AG 00:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Not wanting to butt in Monterey. However, I've studied Yen historical repatriation flows. Its usually is a difficult flow to capture. It does occur often between February and March (I believe around 66% occurance). But it doesn't ALWAYS occur every year.

Singapore Noodygirl 00:29 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
MoF cannot fight market lah
let me ask you how does Mizoguchi handle the massive longs passed down by Kuroda?
Dont think his bullets are that big for the moment play the wind bend with it
if he comes it it wud take out stops over 118.50
but Noody is happy to sell first longs at 118.30 then reinitiate a short 118.70

NC JJM 00:28 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
can any dealers provide the high paid in aud? tia

hk revdax 00:26 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Today's Special(Jan 15)///Perform the following step one more time and the last time for this week, EMOTIONLESSLY and MECHANICALLY: Buy $/CAD, risking yesterday's low of 1.3970

Monterrey Niman10-1 00:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Andras, you seem to be assuming USDJPY will go down but not sure how much? care to talk more about repatriation? is there statistical proof that it pulls down every year? TIA.

NYC NAG 00:25 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Can anyone please tell me what the high in EURUSD has been today

PARIS EVE 00:24 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
My exposoure to the forun has been special, and I am amaised at the help you get from profecional traders, thank you

Pecs Andras 00:20 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Noodygirl
Thanks. Don't you think MoF should start becoming serious soon, for how would repartiation take place before March 31 with these levels? Or are we going to see 105-ish by that time?

OZ deanobravo 00:17 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melb th 00:11 GMT might as well ride this one out for a bit...maybe take profit on half and let the rest run...

Pecs Andras 00:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Eve
You are welcome. Please understand that fx trading is a very hard business. There are many nice people here with good views so you can learn a lot, but eventually it must be your own decision adn your own risk!
I can recommend you some more stuff through email, so if you are interested, ask Jay, the boss at this forum for my email and then I will send you more stuff to study. Just click on "Contact us" on the bottom left, and send Jay an email that you want to write to me.

Singapore Noodygirl 00:16 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Morning
Got long a bit 117.60 small n nice
MoF is checking around since last night but has not showed its fangs
Offers in place from 118.30+ so do a 00-30 until MoF becomes more serious if he comes in then we have to cover for 118.75 and 119.00 expiries
Aud shud see protection first of 0.5900 KO

Gold Coast L 00:15 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
melb th exactly my plans but blown out of the water at the moment.

Bel Air KK 00:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
MOF's Mizoguchi on the wires again

OZ deanobravo 00:14 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
MIZOGUCHI - japs ready to take approriate action on fx.....

Seattle MrHuckFin 00:12 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Pecs: How come you wouldn't trade the GBP right now? It's been very dynamic (in a good way) as of late and it almost always honors technical market movement and very seldom pulls surprizes, now I admit this one has been my baby for the last 3 + plus years but I would'nt stear anybody away from, however I do agree with you about the EUR. Just my 2¢ worth.;-)

melb th 00:11 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Deano// This is a nuisance. I wanted to take aud profit in us session tonight and load up some more around 5820 before then. If I dont take profit then I'll regret it. Any thoughts?

Pecs Andras 00:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Morning Noodygirl
Any take on Dollar/yen for now?

PARIS EVE 00:10 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Pecks. anderias
Thank you in my heart, you seem to be honest

PARIS EVE 00:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
There are some nice people out there , thank you .

Melb RS 00:05 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Deano, he still wants them here at 80

Singapore Noodygirl 00:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
God is an Australian look at the screaming OZ

Pecs Andras 00:02 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
Eve
How do you think I or anybody else can help you, Dear? It is your money that you trade, and it must be your decision how to trade it. I suggest that you wait a bit, listen and learn here at this forum. Wait until you can get a more clear picture. I would say that EUR is in a no trade zone now for a newbie. Wait until it breaks out either north through 1.0600 or south through 1.0525. You may also want to trade this range, but use a tight stop if you decide to do so. Same for CFH now but just the reversed direction. I would not touch pund or yen now if I were you.
Does it help? I wonder....
Good luck.

GC L 00:00 GMT January 15, 2003 Reply   
BRL HARDY LIMITED
hearing aud buying connection with above M&A

 


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