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Forex Forum Archive for 01/09/2006

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Syd 23:59 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
SYDNEY (AFX) - The US dollar was trading mixed against the major currency pairs, while overnight comments from Federal Reserve officials that inflation is still a concern provided a measure of support, dealers said.
They said the US dollar was bought overnight, halting the recent heavy selling after the weak December non-farm payrolls data released on Friday, as traders returned to growth fundamentals and interest rate differentials.Thursday's release of the US trade balance for November where the market consensus is for a 66.0 bln usd deficit.
They said a result around the consensus or better is likely to be positive for the US dollar, reducing concerns about the size of the deficit following the record 68.9 usd bln outcome for October.
Dealers said central bankers from the G10 economies met yesterday, expecting the global economy to likely accelerate in growth for 2006 as threats fade and companies step up investments. The NAB currency strategists said the euro has weakened over the past few days, despite ECB member Nout Wellink saying the bank is more likely to raise interest rates if economic growth picks up.
They said indicators are pointing to greater growth ahead in the economic group, but a faltering in the euro is likely due to a couple of ECB interest rate hikes expected this year not materially reducing the US dollar's yield advantage.
"With the speculative community now having the largest net long euro position since early September 2005, further gains will be harder to come by," NAB currency strategists said.
"We still believe the 200-day moving average for the euro of 1.2212 usd as a bridge too far in the absence of any further notable compression in the US yield advantage over the euro zone," they said

London Neil 23:58 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
los angeles ss 23:53// I should add a convincing break above 2103 and I am bullish.If Euro/$ sees 2095 will short with a stop @ 2110.
FWIW.

Caribbean! Rafe... 23:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Then will come a horrible undoing of people and animals
The third Anti-Christ very soon annihilated,
Twenty-seven years [the] blood will submit to war:
Blood-soaked human bodies, and a reddened icy hail will cover the Earth.

LINK

Caribbean! Rafe... 23:54 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
south// could be..

Caribbean! Rafe... 23:53 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
euro. resistance at 12119, support at 12027-17

los angeles ss 23:53 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Thanks Neil, reassuring. gl/gt

Atlanta South 23:52 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Rafe//
ref 23:31. Very informative & i would say they
have 0 on the trenches. What say you?

Philadelphia Caba 23:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
There's AUD Trade Balance (NOV) due at 19:30 EST

Syd 23:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
AUD/USD: US Investment Banks Sell, Stops Triggered Below 0.7525 IFR

London Neil 23:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
los angeles ss 23:44// My charts are saying short with a minor support @ 2051 , S1 @ 2036 then nothing till 2000.

Syd 23:49 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
wellington am 23:46 cheers many thanks

Milan Pm 23:49 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
so far nothing serious to suggest

good nite

Syd 23:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Re: Gold could see it reach a temporary high this week as I mentioned before Xmas, but obviously 9th Jan was not it, on runs like this something may trigger a top

wellington am 23:46 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Yep, still bullish MT. Still holding AUD/NZD longs. But the market's too nervous about more US rate rises for the dollar sell off to start just yet (IMHO). So fading strength here.

Milan Pm 23:45 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
ohoh I see...again nervousness leads the nonsense maths,stats, believengs?

Syd 23:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
wellington am 23:41 are you still bullish M/T saw the aud as a good sell on the last rally to 7555 but you always get the bulls at the top pushing for more , its like eating you have to know when is enough

los angeles ss 23:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
My indicators show room for downside euro. If Tokoyo buys the dollar and eur/usd can break 1.2070 convincingly, think we could revisit the 1.2040s again before too long. Any thoughts on this?

London Neil 23:43 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Farnham SFH 23:40// I am so with you....

Milan Pm 23:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
good morning...

usdcad 1.1660 seemingly pivotal

Ldn Delboy 23:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Good night everybody, I consider you my friends, I spend many hours with you everyday here on the forum, wish you all GL>.

wellington am 23:41 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd.
Wouldn't be surprised to see 73 again. As for a stop, I'll be watching for a failure of the double top.

GL.

Farnham SFH 23:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
London Neil 23:38 GMT
Undersood..wish he would just take the hint..

Syd 23:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
wellington am 23:36 thanks for that do you have a target for Aud s/t thanks

Ldn Delboy 23:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ok, you may be right.

London Neil 23:38 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   

Syd 23:26 GMT January 9, 2006//
GT's

Farnham SFH 23:26//
Fair point , well presented.
I would like Trigger to take it to the PF so the the people who actualy know what they are talking about can put him straight on a few things and free up the FF from his detritus.

sydney gvm 23:37 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Delboy - 74 posts today and less than a handful of any relevance to anyone - give it a rest

wellington am 23:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Sold AUD/USD at market for failure of double top on 4hr charts.

dc fxq 23:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
get the political crap to the p[rop[er forum pleaseQ

ENOUGH!

Ldn Delboy 23:33 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
lets be serious, we are here to make money not argue.

Caribbean! Rafe... 23:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
delboy// They got your pics on the net...

The guy between the kid and the gook with eyes half shut

Farnham SFH 23:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
neither..

Clearwater Beach wsj 23:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/GBP short good swing trade to .6750, maybe by friday.imho

Ldn Delboy 23:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
SFH, you have seen both sides of my face, you decide which side you prefer.

Syd 23:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
should read IS exporting it

London Neil 23:20 thats all on the matter from me cheers

Ldn Delboy 23:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 23:24 GMT
if/when we reach that point, there will be peace in the world.

Farnham SFH 23:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
niel..why waste you breath on this moron?

Ldn Delboy 23:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
London Neil 23:20 GMT
we are discussing the impact of geopolitics on FX here, If we get into discussing politics it must go to the PF.

Syd 23:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 23:07 in 20-30 yrs there should be other source of fuel for example Australia has a huge Gas exploration and is not exporting it to the US and China ,If (when) something else is found the Middle East will find the oil wont be worth everyone fighting over.

London Neil 23:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 23:13//

Unsurprisingly you missed the point.

We have a FF here?? and a PF?? wow I thought it was "Triggers blogspot".

Take the politics to the appropriate forum then and please stop with the "3 posts to complete one sentence" thing.

vilnius donse 23:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
shorted usdjpy 114.48 stp 115.18 trgt 113.50
longed eurusd 1.2082 stp 1.2040 trgt 1.2222...:)

good night gentlemen

Ldn Delboy 23:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
London Neil 23:09 GMT
I don't really want to turn the FF into PF so I try to be very short (Sudan and Kazakhstan are two good examples).

London Neil 23:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 23:04 GMT January 9, 2006
(Chinese and Russians will not let further Americans presents in the region).

Ironic, funny and a few other nouns that are not quite so complimentary, well done!

Ldn Delboy 23:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 22:57 GMT
Lebanon and part of the middle east were French colonies. that is why French have been supporting the Palestinians all the time.

Ldn Delboy 23:04 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 22:52 GMT
Nobody will be bombing anybody, Iran cannot do it (It has neither got the technology nor the balls of fighting a superpower), and Israel/Americans cannot do it in case it escalates the third world war (Chinese and Russians will not let further Americans presents in the region).

Budapest Daniel 23:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 22:52 GMT January 9, 2006

Don't worry, if a nuclear missile is shot down, the ignition device will not work. If it still works then the missile is destroyed well above the ground and the strong steady winds in the upper atmosphere will dissolve to the point where it is not dangerous anymore. :)

Syd 22:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 22:43 GMT Depends what you consider Europes backyard , I dont think the French consider iraq etc its backyard, you should ask a few old timers that and see what answer you get .

Caribbean! Rafe... 22:52 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
let's not worry who is big or small fish.. let's worry about who uses nuclear weapons first... if iran decides to prove to the USA they have nuclear might and power by firing a missile towards the us mainland on any us military action, then the missiles will be shot down before reaching usa soil and shot down while they are over the caribbean islands....

Ldn Delboy 22:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
brb in 15 min

Ldn Delboy 22:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
lets face it whoever has a better access to the Middle East oil and gass will be in control of the world economy in the next 25-50 years.

Ldn Delboy 22:43 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 22:28 GMT
The fact is that Europe is not happy with Americans presence in the Middle East, Europe feels a kind of ownership to its back yard (especially when it is full of oil and wealth).

Syd 22:43 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Delboy agree with that , but that little Perana fish can do a lot of damage.


SYDNEY (AFX) - Australian sales are expected to be flat in the March quarter, Dun & Bradstreet said its quarterly survey of business expectations showed

The firm said the impact of high fuel costs and the management of cashflow were identified by the survey as being the two main issues facing businesses over calendar 2006

D&B said while December quarter sales are expected to show modest growth, its index for expected sales in the first quarter of 2006 fell two points to zero, the lowest index since 1991

Ldn Delboy 22:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 22:35 GMT
I did not mean to under estimate them; I was just saying that they are not a big fish in this world.

Syd 22:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 22:32 GMT I know what you are saying , however however I wouldnt underestimate them

Ldn Delboy 22:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 22:21 GMT January 9, 2006
Israel is a country of 6-7m so it is relatively a small country in the world.

Syd 22:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Farnham SFH 22:22 I have been watching a lot of the commentary on it, with the US people now getting concerned over the amount of deaths well over 2000 + I dont see US taking it on, and would back away if French and Germans didnt pull their weight .

Ldn Delboy 22:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
syd, the main issues are Taiwan, Ukrain and ex-Soviet Union states around the Caspian sea.

Farnham SFH 22:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd
Europe wont want to know..especially after Iraq

Syd 22:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 22:18 GMT I wouldnt consider Israel a little fish , US seems to want to get Europe involved this time from some of the mouthing coming from France. Cant see them taking it on without its in Europes interest as was Iraq.

Ldn Delboy 22:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
they would not dare any of these otherwise ....

Ldn Delboy 22:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
and there are a couple of big whales behind them.....

Ldn Delboy 22:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 22:16 GMT January 9, 2006
They are after the big fish not the little one.

Syd 22:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Haifa ac 13:49 GMT
you have to wonder if Iran are not trying to provoke Israel into an attack. They are doing their best to antagonize

Van jv 22:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
As for Gold, the key ? rather is , what GOLDmax shall be reached in this cycle---

Ldn Delboy 21:54 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
We better stop this before having a warning.

Ldn Delboy 21:52 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ok John Wayne!

Caribbean! Rafe... 21:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 21:27 GMT January 9, 2006

i drink fruit juices, 1 cup of coffee per day.. no whisky for me bruther..lol

Gen dk 21:46 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn Delboy 21:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Asians have to support USD to:
1. be competitive
2. save their vast investments
3. Ö I canít think of anything now but I am sure there is one.

dammam 21:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
euro/used finding good support at 1.2060

ABHA FXS 21:41 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
ABHA FXS 01:57 GMT January 9, 2006
corrction
2 postion short usdchf 1.2780/90 st 1.2900 t 1.2580 //OPEN
ABHA FXS 01:19 GMT January 9, 2006
1 POSTION LONG EURUSD 1.2000/10 ST 1.1920 T 1.2200
1 POSTION LONG EURUSD 1.2060 ST 1.1920 T 1.2200 //OPEN
1 POSTION LONG GBPUSD 1.7633 ST 1.7540 T 1.7739 // OPEN
1 POSTION LONG GBPUSD 1.7600/10 ST 1.7540 T 1.7739




nob 21:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
hello guys, did anybody bought gold today ?
as we mentioned earlier

Ldn Delboy 21:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Guys, big players are as confused as us, don't worry.

Ldn Delboy 21:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Chicken!

Tallinn viies 21:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
good evening guys,
have been following market today and seems to me that someone have bought twice under the lows where most of intraday traders would have been expecting stops to kick in (I would do that if intrest to buy big amounts without scaring market too much, just taking stops which going trough to my books),
is it serious or buying interest gone for now? this is the question.
seems that first time Ldn guys didnt rush to cover. later just before 5pm ldn time new push lower to see how serious bidder down there and seems it was quite big name. MNI writes that pretty impressive flows earlier today. any ideas whats up?

ldn 21:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
PI, prestan krakorit, ok?

Goes SpongeBob 21:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
that's it, last one for today !!!

DOW bears will have @ 31/DEC/2006 an exotic island named PANDA ... money to make is on the down side this year.

only current guts feeling

PEACE & BYE

Ldn Delboy 21:27 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ok, I see everybody knows about my drinking problem so I have to resign?
Purk smokes pot! Rafe is into hard stuff! And nobody complains about that!
I am not going to resign!

Goes SpongeBob 21:25 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   


Goes SpongeBob 12:45 GMT January 9, 2006
Ldn Delboy 12:40 GMT January 9, 2006

good point !!!

maybe the $540/- is actually $560/- ... $540/- made many to get burn ... but, any trader with good knowledge of the markets made money with shorts very fast that time and later the long guys made their money. therefore, $560/- should CAP, but who knows as it's only cartoon's guts feeling :-)

bottom line, 550-557 are short levels for me.

fwiw

PI 21:25 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I think trend reversal time is over and EUR will firm u in next weeks..

PI 21:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Has anybody idea about EURUSD ?

PI 21:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
We should alwlays sell at season high ..this is opportunity .

Caribbean! Rafe... 21:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 21:01 GMT January 9, 2006

a breathalyser test would work wonders for you too...lol

Goes SpongeBob 21:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
let's put it that way ... if someone went XAU long @ 1981 then now he may take some profits ... if someone will go XAU short NOW he will wait less then 25YRS ... IMO & FWIW

Farnham SFH 21:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Pi...then sell it along with bob and gl
I am still long..

Pi 21:17 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I was for sponge Bob ...it is good selling opportunity GOLD

PI 21:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
We should sell gold at present level just with 1% of equity position without stop loss .. then secondd position around 560 same position then just wait

INSTANT-BULL KARDASH 21:15 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
we are Europeans, we will bring Allah to Gunther, Hans and Frans

Goes SpongeBob 21:12 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
SFH 20:45 GMT / ok ... thanks for your view ... here, if the question set as: "what will print first, $570 or $520?" ... then, I will go for $520 but will add that after printing $520 it MAY-MAYBE go very fast to $570 and all still this month ... but, don't forget it's only cartoon's view ... LOL

trade safe mate !!!

PI 21:12 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
USD CAD should reach below 1,15 again to buy ..

Ldn Delboy 21:12 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EU is a community of 25 nations who cannot speak each others languages, they speak English instead! Wait till Turkey joins!

Goes SpongeBob 21:10 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
SFH 20:45 GMT / ok ... thanks for your view ... here, if the question set as: "what will print first, $570 or $520?" ... then, I will go for $520 but will add that after printing $520 it will go very fast to $570 and all still this month ... but, don't forget it's only cartoon's view ... LOL

trade safe mate !!!

Ldn Delboy 21:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Helsinki iw 21:03 GMT
oh yes we know, you europeans have a test for everything!

Piestany 21:08 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
mayby we should wait for consolidation around 1,1940EUR USD and then to buy ..clear language easy to follow

Philadelphia Caba 21:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Shorting eur/gbp also with another order at .6855

Atlanta South 21:06 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy//
Now, now Delboy, but you got a second.

Helsinki iw 21:03 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Several other tests spring to mind also.

Piestany 21:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Should we expect more consolidation in EUR USD and then to star buy at l,2030or 1,2000 level?

Ldn Delboy 21:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I think we need to set a language test for those who want to join the FF, it is getting hard to follow!

Piestany 21:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Could someone if I should start to sell gold or not , or if should I buy EUR USD

Indo chart_psycic 20:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
the record of speaking
dow jones index will go to the top 11858. when index meet that level stock will fall. please inform to your friends to hold blue chip stock now and sell when index meet that level.
raden_masandi: I write it when index still at 11009

go to rest now.. we will see eur/usd 1.2043.
see u later to all

Clearwater Beach wsj 20:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/GBP short .6845. tgt .6810

The Netherlands Purk 20:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 18:03 GMT January 9, 2006

Good that you made money along the way Pippirate man... het ga je goed.

For now usd/cad is still looking good. since the 1,1455 frm last week we have seen some patterns, up, down, down up....
I am looking for 1,21 at the end of this month and who know what can happen more. Thing is with the loonie that we could face some strange patterns along the way...
Purk

Farnham SFH 20:45 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
well bob fwiw, i sold out a long earlier today but just reinstated for an expected extra 20$ this month I hope..

Indo chart_psycic 20:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
maybe many US sharks go out the pit now, but to meet 1.2071 is easy although low volatile market.

Goes SpongeBob 20:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold: +/- $560 must CAP ... if not, then $600 still this month ... or not

Goes SpongeBob 20:41 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold: with DOW playing with 9/11 prices and money more difficult to get ... song of a swan will take XAU first to somewhere below $500 and then we will see ... FWIW

Las Vegas DJS 20:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hello....I am somewhat new here and do all of my trading with Technicals. I have watched some of you discuss Gold Futures. Could some one tell me the corr with Gold and US I presume and where to get the Futures info early on?

Thanks

Don

los angeles ss 20:33 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
thanks delboy and cccuk. gl/gt

Ldn Delboy 20:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Outstanding credit dropped at an annual rate of 0.4%, or $649 million, in November to $2.156 trillion. In October, credit fell a revised $8.4 billion, or 4.7% annual rate.

London cccuk 20:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
01-09 22:06 DJ US Consumer Credit Dropped $649 Million In November -2-

los angeles ss 20:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Anyone please post US Consumer Credit data when you get it. Thanks.

Indo chart_psycic 19:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
sorry about my often posting here, but I wnat all my friends make profit too.lets meet eur/usd 1.2043 and then cut reverse there too with stop 20 pips only.

Gen dk 19:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indo chart_psycic 19:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
reuters show me just now 1.2093, my passengers position were active.

Naples DC 19:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
you had it..

Goes SpongeBob 19:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
very good and very happy evening,

EUR QUEEN: I don't know 1.21-1.22 before or after, I am after money to make this world a better place for many as possible peaceful people ... but, the script you raised is very possible.


if it helps to someone then, "think like a shark and a whale and make pips like golden fish"

hot, hot, very hot ... freezing outside ... life are great when balance is right ... PEACE

Indo chart_psycic 19:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
show me 1.2093 please !!!!!!

Indo chart_psycic 19:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 19:19 GMT January 9, 2006
who want to sell gold now???

Ldn Delboy 19:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I should have listened to Qindex, he suggested to go long Gold when it was $415.

Ldn Delboy 19:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Gold 551!

dc fxq 19:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 19:05 GMT

must have been that stop in the pub! :)

Ldn Delboy 19:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
My grandmother used to call 10 names until got the right name to call us!

Ldn Delboy 19:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I must be getting old mixing Soros with Buffet!

USA G-8 18:59 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
GT to all

your favorite wealth/currency ;)

IF not it should be

http://tinyurl.com/duyx4

Ldn Delboy 18:59 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
dc fxq 18:55 GMT January 9, 2006
oops, sorry I mixed him with Buffet, the information I gave was about Buffet not Soro.

Indo chart_psycic 18:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold top tgt 551.59, 566.86
usd/cad top tgt 1.1779
aud/usd top tgt 0.7736
eur botm tgt 1.5402
eur/jpy btm tgt 137.57, 137.34, 135.65
eur/gbp btm tgt 0.6807, 0.6757
gbp/chf btm tgt 2.2239, top tgt 2.2734
gbp/jpy btm tgt 199.24
aud/jpy top tgt 88.35, 87.59
chf/jpy top tgt 91.29, btm tgt 87.59

dc fxq 18:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
His net worth reached an estimated $11 billion.

dc fxq 18:55 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 18:35 GMT

Not even close to the top 10. Gates, Buffet, Dell and others are far wealthier. Soros just has a big mouth.

Milan Pm 18:37 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Also Crude Oil seems targeting 69/70 a barrel ...cald wheater resuming on the whole north pole ...200 deaths reported in India to snow/cold ....Iran to is supportive ...plus inventories dropped decently already last weeks and seems more to go ....consumptions are extremely high here

Ldn Delboy 18:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Sacramento BDR 18:22 GMT
I believe Soro's company manages about $400b money but his own wealth is estimated about $30b (if I am not mistaken he was the second richest man in the USD last year after Bill gate with $50b).
He also has close links with some wealthy investors in Europe and the middle east, so it is not hard to imagine they collectively control the market and make a quick easy money!
It has nothing to do with luck, the secret of success is in EPC (Engineering, Planning and Control).

Milan Pm 18:27 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 18:23 GMT January 9, 2006

too bold an article...techincals are yet mixed and the journalist as usual a small mind junior reporter trying to speculate onto the past --- to easy writing maybe the owner about to sell the goup as the level of their writers has impressively lost quality during last years.

Milan Pm 18:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
btw Soros is not involved in the finance business now some years....just Open democracy and congresses/consultancy plus some politics, but has hard times with Bush.....

the theater has also changed sharply and there are plenty of new powerful lobbies around...nothing to compare to the early 90s

Syd 18:23 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Euro Falls Against Dollar as Technical Indicator Signals Drop
Currencies Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) -- The euro fell the most against the dollar in almost three weeks after a technical indicator approached a level that signaled the 12-nation currency's rally will stall
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10001081&sid=abXYLmvmtdlM&refer=benchmark_currency_rates

Atlanta South 18:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Pecs Andres/
18:00//Tks for that. I new there
was mega loss somewhere. Now
those problems we don't need.

Sacramento BDR 18:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 17:02 GMT January 9, 2006
Delboy. Wasn't Buffet short 20bl USD last year too?

Atlanta South 18:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
London Neil///
I thought i had heard that. Like i
said, not much heard about that one.

Milan Pm 18:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
so in face of most short termer forecasts this gold about to break 550 for 568 minor resitance....establishing long term interest to me here is confirmed somewhere 668 this year to me

gt

Rye,NY et 18:11 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Nice call on Euro, Raden...

Indo chart_psycic 18:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 18:02 GMT January 9, 2006
yes ..like you said and you think about me.
cheers.

Amman wfakhoury 18:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Eur/Usd
======
may rise a little the decline during asia session

London Neil 18:04 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Spotforex NY 13:33 GMT December 22, 2005

Mega fund manager Soros is known to have 'broke the Bank of England" for $1 billion back in '92...but little is noted about his $1.5 billion loss in Dollar Yen shortly thereafter '94).

Rivonia PipPirate 18:03 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
The Neverlands Puke
Re: Rivonia 12:44 GMT = Rwanda Big Bwannah ...What one consenting adult does to himself has nothing to do with me. PLOL

Ldn Delboy 18:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Indo chart_psycic 17:55 GMT January 9, 2006
my passengers? what! you are a buss driver?

Pecs Andras 18:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Sorry. 900 million USD loss

Pecs Andras 18:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atlanta South 17:57 GMT January 9, 2006
One huge loss I hear about was 900 billion USD in FX back sometime in 1999 or so

Indo chart_psycic 17:58 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
istanbul shorunmu 17:55 GMT January 9, 2006
LOL.
maybe soros have plan to cut reverse his buy eur/usd when at 1.2093
do we know?

Atlanta South 17:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy/
I remember reading something about that, & u are
probably correct about the laughing all the way to
the bank. He does seem to be lucky. I wonder
has he suffered any hugh losses that never mad
it to print?

Indo chart_psycic 17:55 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
my passengers only wait eur/usd at 1.2093 for act after success cut reverse from 1.2180-1.2053-1.2079.
also plan gbp/usd sell at 1.7688.
I hope we are in the same perpective.

istanbul shorunmu 17:55 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Indo chart_psycic 17:40 GMT January 9, 2006
I want to know what soros will act when eur/usd touch 1.2093. let the market will lead him. not he lead the market.

He will panic and jump out of the window LOL

GL GT

GVI Jay 17:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atlanta Fed Pres Guynn - if you want access to our AFX News feed, send me an EMAIL

From AFX:
*FED'S GUYNN SAYS U.S. ECONOMY STRONGER THAN PEOPLE THINK
*GUYNN: CLOSER TO RATE PAUSE, THE LESS EXPLICIT FED CAN BE
*GUYNN SEES INFLATION EXPECTATIONS REMAINING ANCHORED
*GUYNN SEES 2006 GDP GROWTH IN 3-4% RANGE
*GUYNN: SEES JOB GROWTH AROUND 175K PER MONTH IN '06
*GUYNN: FEDERAL DEFICIT OUTLOOK 'VERY WORRISOME'
*GUYNN SEES MORE MODERATE GROWTH IN HOUSING SECTOR IN '06

Amman wfakhoury 17:46 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 09:42 GMT January 9, 2006
EUR/USD
======
Buy 12080 tp 12130 buy another @ new low if decline
============

Exit 2 Buy entry 12080 and 12060 @ 12085

London Templar 17:43 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Could someone tell me where I could get history of daily closing / Monthly Closing Gold Prices online which includes the high and low for 30 years?

TIA

Farnham SFH 17:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
chart_psycic 17:40
Maybe he will read your posts and act accordingly..

Indo chart_psycic 17:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I want to know what soros will act when eur/usd touch 1.2093. let the market will lead him. not he lead the market.

Ldn Delboy 17:38 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 17:28 GMT
that was a news on AFX, but there is lots of info on the web, here is his official website http://www.soros.org/about/bios/a_soros

Indo chart_psycic 17:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
if soros...have short position of USD maybe will get the problem with eur/usd

Ldn Delboy 17:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atlanta South 17:22 GMT
I remember he said he would bet $20b last year (on the TV) when eur/usd was about 1.3 that usd would go further down. I bet at the same time he went usd long and has been laughing all the way to the bank all year.

Caribbean! Rafe... 17:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
soros' bets will pay off big as he's a long term trader and the trend is still down.. what movement we are seeing is probably just a correction and a great way for him to add to his shorts as market has come to him begging for him to short some more. soros has a lot of luck.

delboy is there is some write up on soros post the link so i can visit the site also.

Atlanta South 17:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy//
Ref 17:02//We should all have his problems.
He's a big boy with deep pockets, as in the Sage.

Singapore fs 17:14 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Singapore JBM 16:58 GMT January 9, 2006
Since we are in the same city, we should go out for a drink one of this day... :P

Moscow Vasya 17:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Five elephants came out to play - out on a spider web one day... That was such enormous fun - wait fot another elephant to come. )))

Indo chart_psycic 17:04 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
PLAN USD/CHF SINCE TOUCHED 1.2673 WILL TOUCH TOP TARGET 1.2869, 1.2916,1.2976,1.3072, 1.3182
SO EUR/USD IF TOUCH 1.2079 OR 1.2093 IS VERY DANGER.

Ldn Delboy 17:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
George Soros is worried about his usd short bets! and is complaining about rate hikes!

Singapore JBM 16:58 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
again, despite all the cheering going on, pls note another rejection from 1.17 usdcad, still sell on rallies or the most is ranging until 1.1970/80 is taken out this time

Clearwater Beach wsj 16:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/GBP tp at .6831 from .6865 yesterday. will reload short @ .6840.

EU theEUROqueen 16:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Goes SpongeBob..
Wellcome back to the EU..! the euro will go back to the 1,21-1,22 b4 we will see the 1,16++within a few weeks do u agree?? happy trade..

Gen dk 16:33 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indo chart_psycic 16:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
big bank know what they will do

Rivonia PipPirate 16:23 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 15:31 Well Purkie, FYI and in case you did not guess,
Rivonia 12:44 GMT = Rwanda Big Bwannah
I understand very little clog lingo, can only speak a little kitchen Flemish.

dogs? Made some nice guilders from Her Majesty today. GL

Indo chart_psycic 16:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
after touched 1.2053 will go to top tgt 1.2079 and 1.2093

Oxford Gren 16:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Cable.... well tangled :-((

Indo chart_psycic 16:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
eur/usd touched 1.2053..now is on the battle !!!

Ldn Delboy 16:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
NYC 16:05 GMT
Don't forget moderation!

Ldn Delboy 16:04 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
just went long gbp to keep myself awake.

Ldn Delboy 16:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
what a day! Boredom is killing me.

Indo chart_psycic 16:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I hope we are in the same opinion that usd/jpy after touched 113.78 will go to the top 115.39

Indo chart_psycic 15:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
my passengers still hold sold eur/usd since touched 1.2180 and will cut reverse plan if touch 1.2053, 1.1939, 1.1879, 1.1839
also gbp/usd since touch 1.7699 will cut reverse plan if touch 1.7357, 1.7280, 1.7171
new plan for entry sell gbp/usd : 1.7829, 1.7985
new plan for entry sell eur/usd : 1.2296, 1.2389

all those numbers are good for entry with small risk (about 20 pips)
have a nice to try

Indo chart_psycic 15:41 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
hello everybody..

Goes SpongeBob 15:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
purky, no (ice) biking ... playing some ADR papers here, close NIKKEI + moving JPY = smile on my face.

anyway, check yr inbox ... I think Lady Purk will like me ... bye

The Netherlands Purk 15:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate 14:25 GMT January 9, 2006

Aha, it wasn't you was it? Well it was very funny, and i am sure you understood every word of it...
How is SA treating you? Any dogs on the run?
Purk

Dallas GEP 15:29 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well 6844 is not a bad place short on EUR/GBP so I am now IN short from there. 6860 is potential top and 6810 is potential bottom IMO.

dc fxq 15:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atl TJ 14:56 GMT January 9, 2006
Macro Econ WAGS for 2006

*** US Housing bubble is much ado about nothing. Appreciation drops to 3-5% vs 10%. Is that really a bubble busting or reversion to the norm? Homeowners will be fine but speculators may get smacked around.***

I tend to agree that resident/owners won't see much impact but the "come lately" spec buyers, esp of condo's will get reamed.

Clearwater Beach wsj 15:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Chuck: you bet Iam short on EUR/USD. see my note of 13:57. didn't get much response.

Dallas GEP 15:14 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
QUITO, I got out of my eur/gbp LONGS at 6841...I posted INCORRECTLY earlier.

Milan Pm 15:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Just this last one oil chart

http://www.wtrg.com/daily/crudeoilprice.html


by rule of thumb we are pretty much at the mid of the correction started from the upper 70s a barrel. If the price to stay sustained - and with the Iran story might well be -
I can't exclude a test of the highs established....from there only a reversal is possible or as well marking new highs above 80$ to 100$ a barrel.

let's see....might well surprise on upside as by tom Iran is going ahead with Its nukes It seems

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
YES, valdez, I guess that is my point exactly SHORT is the preffered direction presently, I would like to enter around 6850/55 area if possible tho

Dallas GEP 15:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well Quito I was SHORT for about 3 weeks as you know and I TP THEN I thought we would see a bounce long from 6830 area but my feeling is now we could see 6800/10 first and I was VERY VERY heavy on possie size so I will wait to see action. It STILL could very well long from here IF euro finds support at that 1.2060 level but it is acting somewhat bearish currently

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
GEP, short it now...there is a lot of potential in this one me thinks...check daily chart. I should have held my short from last week's top but here in January am more prone to tp Fridays and reenter Monday's on confirmation of move. Oh well, just my 2 centavos worth. Am out for the day...may check back in a bit later this PM EST around NY close.

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:03 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Clearwater, you're positioned short on euro pound, aren't you?

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
THAT would be my longs my friend!!! Time for a workout, back later!!!

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
GEP amigo, why did you exit? I just entered a half our ago and am positive? I'd wait this one out for a week at least....just want your opinion. Chuck

Dallas GEP 14:59 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well got out of eur/gbp shorts at BE.

Atl TJ 14:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Macro Econ WAGS for 2006

* Capital Spending or lack thereof gets more attention than consumer spending. Too many corps with too much cash. Spending, dividends, M&A?
* US job creation continues trend.
* Twin deficits will be in vogue vs interest rates since tightening cycle will be done this year. My guess is 4 more .25's to come.
*Gold and oil will surprise.
* Stocks will make a nice run.
* US Housing bubble is much ado about nothing. Appreciation drops to 3-5% vs 10%. Is that really a bubble busting or reversion to the norm? Homeowners will be fine but speculators may get smacked around.
* SOS (Same Ole *&^%) on geopolitical front. Darwin gets the spotlight. Watch for short term runs to safe haven currencies.

Milan Pm 14:52 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
As seeing not much that activity in this US monday morning...will cut off and see later how will impact the increase of the US consumers debt demand data this later NYC.

Milan Pm 14:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
$350,000 Seems me very small peanuts stuff...tks however guess is Barrick recent mergings related....

pose attention also to the big book hedgers...not much of an interest goes on higher at current levels...maybe they will hedge the upside if a correction unfolds IMO

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:43 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Milan Pm 13:54 GMT // Having been on site a few times at gold exploration drilling sites here in Ecuador (a close friend is an exploration driller here... www.cuencanet.com/driller ) and he as well as the rest of the drillers in Ecuaodor FILLED UP with work. I dunno about the resto of the world but I do know drilling equipment firms are backordered for $350,000 HD and HDD drill rigs. Just my micro imput on gold.

Our strategy for the week


EUR/USD could very well have found it's top but we're staying out of this pair as it's not exhibited confirmation enough of north or south suficient for us to put up with its frustrations and take on it's risks.

We reloaded EUR/GBP for the ride south this week. We covered that same possie Friday with profit as it's January and we're not sure of movements yet. Ordinarily we would have held the positon all the way to support at 6745, our target. This position will be another Friday TP.

EUR/CHF is too close to the pivit point support to position wisely and with little risk, however it does look like it's got 65 pips to go for pivit north. At some time this week we may long it, depends on what we see in the way of support line obedience. Next week would be a good time to play this pair for a two week longing position trade...keep watching it.

USD/CAD's strange pattern on dailies suggests a double bottom mid Dec & Jan 5 which may head north although this pair has dipped south since May 15. Today it couldn't muster bull strength however, bouncing off resistance of Dec 19 & 27th, barely tipping res Jan 5. A counter view would be since it's range traded since Dec 14, it's gonna head south now that it's at resistance this morning. Too iffy for our taste long term, will let others tinker with this.

All our calculations are done on daily charts, precise entries and exits on 1/2 hour charts.

Rivonia PipPirate 14:25 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 12:51 Sorry, not guilty. That was a post from a "NO Name" Rivonia species, often seen after it has lost a lot of loot through bad judgement.8-]

Milan Pm 14:15 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
was also interesting on friday how the 1.1615/30 held the sell-off from 1.1650/60....as there to be the key first support and where the big guys turned long and seemingly defended the friday move too.....so might be a one day up/down or we might see yet higher levels before It drops again...

as far a per long termers the move did not started 1.1760/70 as key to the 1.1410, but It was 1.1822 and 1.1800 where the Cad made historical new highs. Again It will depend on how the market will move trough those important zones to evaluate further long term ways, which are around the 1.2 on higher and around 1.01 the 1991 lows printed.

But this, the last part, is seemingly a long story to unfold.

gt

Ldn Delboy 14:14 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Bob I don't know them sorry, and you know we are not supposed to discuss that kind of things here!

Goes SpongeBob 14:11 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Delboy 13:50 GMT

thanks ... what is your idea about fx-all ??? ... I heard very good words about them.

Milan Pm 14:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba 13:56 GMT January 9, 2006

as far as Cad is seemingly not reacting to higher oil am staying side here ...maybe tom will be lower but shd be better to wait late nyc imho

hk ab 14:06 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
What is frying the goose?

Ldn Delboy 14:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
US Justice dept evacuated

Clearwater Beach wsj 13:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/GBP short looks to be a good swing trade for this week.

Philadelphia Caba 13:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Is anyone shorting usd/cad against 1.1730 & 65?

Hong Kong Qindex 13:54 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Spot Gold : The current expected trading ranges has been posted in my page : Register with Jay at jay@global-view.com if you have no access to my page.

Milan Pm 13:54 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Haifa ac 13:49 GMT January 9, 2006

not following CRB idx anymore...to many items making the reading a non sense statistical one ....


"Gold's bull run is likely to sustain itself in the near term as it
continues to get support from investment funds and positive
fundamentals," Ncdex said. The Ncdex report said the yellow metal remains high on the priority list of many funds and asset managers who want to diversify their portfolio.

On the demand-supply front, the report said, demand in 2005 for the metal was around 3,957 tonnes, while supplies were only around 2,495 tonnes, and the situation is likely to ontinue in 2006 as well.

"Moreover, moves to develop new mining ventures has been slow despite the surging gold price as production costs had sharply risen," Ncdex said.

The negative real US Federal Reserve Fund rate would continue for another six months providing support to gold as an attractive alternative investment when compared with currency holdings, the report added.

The growing popularity of exchange traded funds will make gold more accessible as an investment opportunity, the report said.

According to the Ncdex report, slackening physical demand for gold due to rising prices and profit booking by traders are the only two negative factors that could cap the precious metal's unprecedented
rally.

Ldn Delboy 13:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Goes SpongeBob 13:26 GMT
Also, sometimes there are problems with the feeds they get from different liquidity providers and banks. The number you see on the platform may not have been refreshed, you can only find out if you try to trade, you will get a quote with the real market rate.

Haifa ac 13:49 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Milan Pm 13:45 GMT //34 weeks crb.

HK RF@ 13:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 13:31 GMT January 9, 2006

Gold will react only when attack on the Iranian nuclear installations will occur.

The ideal timing will be soon, when Israel will be before election(March) and the situation there may seem chaotic.

Milan Pm 13:45 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Haifa ac 13:41 GMT January 9, 2006

based on what?

as far as Ive seen aroudn demand is stronger than offer, for this metal and many others as well,
however - as already said am not excluding a lower correction from current levels but so not even a higher breakout has to be excluded

Haifa ac 13:41 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 13:31 //Gold is finished. The next safe haven will be the dollar.

Ldn Delboy 13:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Goes SpongeBob 13:26 GMT
Are you looking at the live feeds or demoes?
On the live feeds there are sometimes a few pips difference (3 to 5 pips for a short time) but I have not seen 12 pips difference in quiet markets.
Also, one of the brokers you mentioned has variable margins and can have a totally different high and lowes to the others.

san diego bobl 13:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
No free lunches on my radar screen today... but am nibbling in the usd/cad here @ 1.1707 long

Milan Pm 13:37 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Goes SpongeBob 13:26 GMT January 9, 2006

WHAT WAS EBS LOW

then you can see who are the more professianl borkers I guess

Ldn Delboy 13:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Iran accused of breaking nuclear commitments; Khamenei says programme will go on .

PS: Watch the gold

Goes SpongeBob 13:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
delboy, you are the one that can answer.

how is that possible that platforms show Ä/$ bids between 1.2076-1.2088, no joke

Atl TJ 13:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Is the Loonie trying to tell us something or is it just being the Loonie?

Ldn Delboy 13:22 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
6 hrs in a 25 pip range!

HK RF@ 13:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   

Does any trader have records whether friday the 13th, was good or bad for the USD.

HK RF@ 13:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Gold has hit the 545 Target

HK RF@ 12:42 GMT January 7, 2006

Now it caves in (maybe my above warning will come out to be true), which is good for Yen.

Ldn Delboy 13:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
that is very good idea, keeping healthy, can you get me 10 box of Marlboro plz? I need to exercise my fingers a bit!

The Netherlands Purk 13:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Look out for the WAK BOB...

Goes SpongeBob 13:10 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Delboy 13:05 GMT

ok ... will stay for 1hr more and then will go (ice) biking, better be a healthy trader.

Philadelphia Caba 13:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Re kiwi:
I guess it's better to wait if .7000 print to establish some fresh shorts, imo. gt!

Ldn Delboy 13:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Goes SpongeBob 12:59 GMT
No news or catalyst today.

Goes SpongeBob 12:59 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I don't get it, today would be the day for the action to resume. maybe everyone (and their sisters in law) waiting to Martin to come back. maybe.

nyc jk 12:59 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
re AUD, NZD Uridashi, from W estpac strategy report:
"We also had solid Japanese demand for A$ and NZ$ last week too. Friday alone saw NZ$760m of uridashi priced and heavy buying of A$ debt suggests that upcoming A$ uridashi redemption may be less of an issue than many
think. "

Dammam 12:58 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Gold is crossing the 20 moving averages with macd is close to intercects at 15 min , for long 250 - 300 pips

Ldn Delboy 12:55 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
GWB is on the TV, I don't understand a word he is saying, can anyone translate plz?

Goes SpongeBob 12:53 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Rivonia 12:44 GMT January 9, 2006

watch the guys tatoo on his thing, it says:
Welcome to Rawanda and have a nice day !!!

LOL

The Netherlands Purk 12:51 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Rivonia 12:44 GMT January 9, 2006

I like this man, he speaks dutch very good.. you have to put some forex in it Pippirate. Did i already mentioned how good you are?
Do not take that Banana guy serious, he is chasing rabbits...
Purk

The Netherlands Purk 12:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Nob? what is that? Sure i am interested in gold, my wife wants a neckless...
I want to long the usd/chf and i am gathering patience. kiwi looks good for shorting as well. Plenty of opps...
Now i have to go, junior has more war in his pants...
Purk

GVI john 12:48 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
nob. Welcome. Gold postings are mainly on the Futures forum. Please use a broadly recognizable location. Thanks

nob 12:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I feel that 550 is the short term too, but I think it wil stay in range 540-550

Milan Pm 12:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
αισθητικον moves today

nob 12:45 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
sorry new to this forum
hello everyone

Goes SpongeBob 12:45 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 12:40 GMT January 9, 2006

good point !!!

maybe the $540/- is actually $560/- ... $540/- made many to get burn ... but, any trader with good knowledge of the markets made money with shorts very fast that time and later the long guys made their money. therefore, $560/- should CAP, but who knows as it's only cartoon's guts feeling :-)

bottom line, 550-557 are short levels for me.

fwiw

Rivonia 12:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
OUCHHHHHH..those weten moederfuckers van zeker Rwanda wat om in de douche aan witte jongens als me... levensonderhoud te doen dat de zeep laat vallen fun..it bij het begin kwetste een littlebit was

nob 12:43 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
any one intersted in gold?

The Netherlands Purk 12:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hi Bob, ask Jay m e-mail again, i have lost yours in the killings... had to clean up the whole mess with a NERD friend of mine. Send it and we will meet...

Mr. Bwannah or whatever your name is... go see a doctor....
PLOL

Ldn Delboy 12:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Gold 545 high!
who was it who said it is capped at 537?

Goes SpongeBob 12:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
NZD: exactly on the levels that sent it ++200 pips lower not so long ago ... in general, it's cross roads.

gt

Goes SpongeBob 12:38 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Purky, Hi Hi Hi !!!

you have my email address, please send me one as I want to meet with you (and with Lappy if she will get better). good luck and best of trades.

Richland QC Mailman 12:38 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
OK guys, need to step out at the moment to meet a long-time friend. Hope when back, sweet deliveries underway.

gl/gt

Rwanda Big Bwannah 12:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 12:28 GMT January 9, 2006
Purky man...are you sure you didnt do to mr lappy what i did to RIVONIA....if you did ,then it wasnt the virus man....

Richland QC Mailman 12:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Euro - 3 hours ago ended with a doji which is coinciding with the stochs cross (oversold conditions) on the hourly chart. 1.2060 is also the next buying point after 1.2090.

Added another long earlier at 1.2078.

Richland QC Mailman 12:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Folks, I think we may have seen the bottom of the euro at least for now (and for the day?), especially if 1.2100 prints again.

The Netherlands Purk 12:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well, i really want to thank the m... who send me a virus this morning, it killed mr. Lappy.
I am still short on the eur/usd. Closed a possie earlier this morning with some profit, and was waiting for better entries.... but till now they did not come..
Now i am going to read all the stuff below me...
Purk

London 12:27 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
dc fxq 12:21 GMT January 9, 2006
bummer.

Richland QC Mailman 12:23 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Folks, who has got the nerves to long euro ahead of 1.2063 low? And who has no fear to short the swissie ahead of 1.2800?

Anyway, shorted the loonie 1.1694 stop at 1.1730.

dc fxq 12:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
London 12:18 GMT

Sorry, he's being released later today.

Helsinki iw 12:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Soros on the wires:

http://today.reuters.com/News/newsArticle.aspx?type=businessNews&storyID=2006-01-09T102005Z_01_ARM922966_RTRUKOC_0_US-MARKETS-SOROS.xml

London 12:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Did Cheney die yet ?

Ldn Delboy 12:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
GEP, Is the current weakness in eur/gbp because of the bird-flue or something else?

Bandung The Guns 12:17 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
euro boyz..introducing i'm the guns..
i recomendicing from your pal's that you're compatent in euro
can you help me in these currency ( euro ) 'cause i"ve problems so confused. i've sell in 1.1870 n' buy in 1.2041...
can you help?thanks alot my man...

Ldn Delboy 11:58 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
falling wedge formation on eur/usd chart

Bdg The Guns 11:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
raden mas andi..how about respon payroll to euro in 2 days ''kahareup"? oleh-oleh aqua....

Ldn Delboy 11:53 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 11:49 GMT January 9, 2006
Ldn Delboy 11:31
That comment was about Cheney not Martin!

Ldn Delboy 11:52 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 11:49 GMT
Maybe the year-end book keeping and paper work, etc.

Syd 11:49 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 11:31 it was just a little out of character for Martin to be away for so long.

Goes SpongeBob 11:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Martin, Hi and good day to you !!!

do you see the current cable levels as trading above your CAPPED levels?

what about XAU (Gold) ???

tia & gt

Gen dk 11:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Goes SpongeBob 11:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I posted my view, I have nothing to suggest except to help the needy when ever possible.


Bdg The Guns 11:31 GMT January 9, 2006
mr. goes.. how about these level 1.2180 if not break?i need your suggestion?

Ldn Delboy 11:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
pack <- pact

Bdg The Guns 11:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
mr. goes.. how about these level 1.2180 if not break?i need your suggestion?

Ldn Delboy 11:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 11:19 GMT
He never dies, he has a pack with the devil.

Ldn Delboy 11:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
GBP 1.7640 has put up a good fight so far!

Oxford Gren 11:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Del: US VP's often suffer from "foot in mouth", that explains it ;-))

Ldn Delboy 11:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
shortness of breath because of a foot problem?

Hong Kong Qindex 11:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market is pulling towards the super magnet of my weekly cycle (See details at qindex dot com).

Syd 11:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
WASHINGTON (AP)--Vice President Dick Cheney was taken to George Washington Hospital early Monday experiencing shortness of breath, a spokeswoman said. Lea Anne McBride said that doctors found his EKG unchanged and determined he was retaining fluid because of medication he was taking because of a foot problem.

Syd 11:17 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:08 Aussie has a nasty habit of enticing you to buy it just when its about to c.r.a.p itself through repatriation sales of Aud/Yen

Ldn Delboy 11:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Cheney in hospital

Ldn Delboy 11:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hey martin, good to see you, we were just talking about you. what a coincident!

Gen dk 11:10 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Goes SpongeBob 11:08 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
fwiw

all signs show that 1.78 (cable) and 1.2220 (eur) will show giant allergic reaction (say 250-350 pips within max. two intraday sessions) before the next move to start.

gt

gold coast martin 11:08 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 11:03 GMT January 9, 2006
you too SYD ..all the best for 2006...And just reading your early asia posts on the kiwi and aud i agree....The first 3 months of 2006 for the kiwi and the aud will be the the months of uridashi maturities rather than uridashi issuances..and you know what that means...cheers...

London Templar 11:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hello Folks been away for a bit, back to the grind - anyone have any thoughts??

Brisbane pd 11:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Jakarta ryan - you could join http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators/

and check http://www.metaquotes.net/metatrader

Ldn Delboy 11:06 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
.... and you showed up!

Ldn Delboy 11:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:01
I was thinking it was the time for them dive!

Syd 11:03 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:01 nice to see you GT

gold coast martin 11:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 10:56 GMT January 9, 2006
lol...What about the eur and gbp Del?

Ldn Delboy 11:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 10:58 GMT
He is probably on his boat enjoying the sea (extended new year holidays). I am sure he will be back soon.

Syd 10:58 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 10:56 GMT just noticed he hasnt been seen anywhere this year . not like him

Ldn Delboy 10:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Auckland trotter 10:32 GMT
You are welcome.

Ldn Delboy 10:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 10:34 GMT
Would you dare to show up if you were him?
Look at eur and gbp!
--------------------------------
NYC,
Jealous?
I am not like UK's Lib Dem leader to give up with the first attack, I fight back!

hk ab 10:54 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gecko//many thanks, was away.
Think usd bear has an uneasy feeling on dlr/cad surprises.

Auckland trotter 10:49 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
NYC 10:45 GMT January 9, 2006
'Auckland trotter 10:32 GMT January 9, 2006
should thank his best friend Johny Walker for that advice...lol...'

????

Auckland trotter 10:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
vilnius donse 10:28 GMT January 9, 2006
'eurusd will correct ... i think 1.1960-1.1980 can print again.
looking for buy at such dips.'

I have the EUR/USD pressure going down, but see 1.1980 as a low resistance level confirmed from a fib on the day chart. There are a few other 'bounces' on the way.

Oxford Gren 10:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
£/$ is flat, are we awaiting news, or having a coffee break ?

NYC 10:45 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Auckland trotter 10:32 GMT January 9, 2006
should thank his best friend Johny Walker for that advice...lol...

Jakarta ryan 10:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
can i someone help me to send me a indicator ( file mq4 ) for meta trader, or maybe the step and studying for make the new indicator.thank's

Syd 10:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
gold coast Martin ?? not around just lately.

Auckland trotter 10:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy
Thanks for the advice on the US market following the EUR trend the other day.

Yet another lesson learnt!

Syd 10:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Turkey Govt: 5 New Bird Flu Cases Are Deadly Strain

Dallas GEP 10:29 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
stop on rest at entry at 201.29

Dallas GEP 10:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
took Profit on some of the gbp/jpy longs at 201.85

vilnius donse 10:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
eurusd will correct ... i think 1.1960-1.1980 can print again.
looking for buy at such dips.

Farnham SFH 09:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
morning all...I must say there is nothing that jumps out at me at these levels...would be a buyer of cable @ 1.7620 and euro/$ @ 1.2040..otherwise looks to be a quiet day for me
gl

Dallas GEP 09:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
LONGED gbp/jpy at 201.29 ask...stop on this pair has to be wide..try 200.53...target 202.37

Amman wfakhoury 09:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD
======
Buy 12080 tp 12130 buy another @ new low if decline.

beirut jb 09:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
yes GEP break of 12060 and 12030 should give support coz trend is long daily and weekly

GL GT

Dallas GEP 09:40 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Target for eur/gbp longs is 6866

Makassar Alimin 09:37 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
well finally someone pulled out that one crucial brick on eurjpy and the weak structure collapsed, would consider taking profit on 50% here and move stop loss to comfortable zone since we have reached the neckline of possible SHS pattern on daily plus it is exactly 200 dema here, wait for clear formation to be formed to add more, good luck

Dallas GEP 09:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
JB I like your long. USD should be sold off short term from THESE levels or 10-15 pips LOWER on the EURO

Dallas GEP 09:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
TP on all eur/gbp shorts and now I am LONG at 6841 ask

Dallas GEP 09:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Took profit on Euro shorts at 1.2080. Took profit on CHF longs at 1.2772. +67 and +69 respectively

Syd 09:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
LONDON (AP)--The former U.N. military commander in Bosnia said Monday that Prime Minister Tony Blair should be impeached over his decision to go to war in Iraq.

beirut jb 09:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
long eur/$ stop 12025, T1 12115, T2 12145

Syd 09:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Disappointing 0.1% fall in Aussie retail sales is putting downward pressure on AUD/NZD, notes ABN Amro. And, the bank points out, the NZD was already getting near-term benefit from the flows associated with the NZD100M uridashi issue from Cades and the NZD655M uridashi issue from BNG, both announced last Friday.

hong kong nt 09:17 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EURO 1.202 may appear to be a good short term buy..

Sacramento BDR 09:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Richland QC Mailman 09:05 GMT January 9, 2006
I agree with that Mailman. I'm also short 1.7694 cable. This is just a retrace back to the 100sma(IMO) on 30min chart after "blowing through it" on Friday morning NFP. I will be looking to long again when I get a confirmed signal. Probably by Asian session.

KL KL 09:06 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
SAR and long eurusd 1.1886 sl 76...also long gbpusd 1.7657 sl 47...for some quick pips

Milan Pm 09:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
eurjpy seems looking towards sup at 137.50

eurusd yet undecided above 1.2050

Richland QC Mailman 09:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
i just got a feeling come NY time there could be another round of USD selling imo.

Lahore FM 08:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Long Eur/JPY again at 137.74.Without a stops thus far.Same target 140.20.

Richland QC Mailman 08:53 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
eur/yen nice long from 138.50/60.

Folks, those who have shorted the euro 1.2130 and better could downscale now their possies at it touched 1.2090/95 Support#1.

Syd 08:53 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
JERUSALEM (AP)--Prime Minsiter Ariel Sharon began breathing independently Monday after doctors started waking him from his coma, a hospital official said. "The prime minister started immediately to breathe on his own but he's still hooked up to a respirator," Hadassah Hospital Director Dr. Shlomo Mor-Yosef said. Mor-Yosef said the process of weaning Sharon from sedation could take hours or days.

Ldn Delboy 08:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 05:36 GMT
we are usually asleep that time of the night over here. Lol....

los angeles ss 08:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Thanks Mailman, I agree with you. gl/gt

Richland QC Mailman 08:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
FM, jb let us see who has the right eye - the third eye mates. Great trades to both of you!

beirut jb 08:33 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
time to go $/jpy short too

Lahore FM 08:29 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Time to go long Eur/JPY.Long at 138.23,no stops for now.target 140.20.

Syd 08:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Aust Grasser: inflation blw 2%, sees no need for ECB hike

Gen dk 08:23 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Richland QC Mailman 08:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Looks like gbp is really due to correct as long as 1.7700 caps.

Syd 08:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
DJ Forex Focus: Sterling Still Set To Slide Some More
Recent signs of a pick-up in U. K. consumer activity probably won't stop the Bank of England from cutting interest rates again next month. And they probably won't be enough to halt the recent decline in sterling, either. "For the pound, the prospect of looser policy will put it under downward pressure," said Daragh Maher, senior foreign-exchange strategist with Calyon Corporate and Investment Bank in London. He predicts this will take the euro/sterling rate back up to 0.7000 in the early part of the year as the pound loses some of its attraction as a high-yielding currency. Market analysts have been debating ever since the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee last cut interest rates Aug. 4 whether the economy needed a further cut.

Syd 08:12 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
MARKET TALK: BoE Doves Will Keep GBP On Slide
With UK inflation pressures remaining subdued, the Bank of England may not be too troubled about the latest signs of pick up in consumer activity. If so, the doves should get their way, with both interest rates and GBP headed lower.

hong kong nt 08:10 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Update on FX impression at www.MensaTrader.com

Richland QC Mailman 08:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
ss, nice to hear from you. I think euro and cable are already due or shall I say overdue for correction. Euro has gone too steep without respectable retracement and may be running out of gas. In my view, it needs to move south towards 1.2080. Today is correction day IMHO.

los angeles ss 07:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Greetings mailman. You've already delivered a really nice euro short for me today, going to catch a few z's until us markets open here. What do you see for the euro during Monday's US session?

Richland QC Mailman 07:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hi guys! How are you doing all today? Back to our regular trading deliveries.

Shorted cable 1.7691 earlier.

los angeles ss 07:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Thanks aa

London aa 07:17 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
07:12 GMT GERMAN NOV TRADE DATA showed the surplus widening to Eur13.9 bn from Eur12.7 bn in Oct, with the current account surplus jumping to Eur8.1 bn from a Oct"s revised Eur6.2 bn (prev Eur8.4 bn). The wider surplus, however, was not due to a pick up in exports, but rather to a large drop in imports.

los angeles ss 07:10 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ger trade balance anyone?

van Gecko 07:08 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
ab.. SOB'ing anything in the vicinity of 1.2150/1.2250 may be money in the new year piggy bank.. euro need to sustain multiple weekly closes above 1.23 inorder to have any hope of seeing 1.26/1.28 this year.. cheerios..

los angeles ss 07:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Could someone please post the ger trade balance when you get it? TIA

Amman wfakhoury 06:37 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Kuala lampur
Eur/Usd will be in sidways movement down up down up

Syd 06:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
This is the one to watch cos they strike out of the blue,
have been caught by that one in the past , was like being hit by a cricket bat
A$2.5 billion in Australian-denominated Uridashi issuance maturing in January

Syd 06:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
The Australian dollar's losses versus the yen could also be attributed to fresh talk of unwinding of yield carry trades as well as an expected A$2.5 billion in Australian-denominated Uridashi issuance maturing in January. A steady flow of Australian data could shift the fortunes of the local unit when trade and employment data are published this week. "The Aussie has gained a lot of ground so I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a bit of a pullback," Deda said. "We do have trade data this week and that might be crucial. "We have in our official forecast the Aussie dollar heading lower; you might see it struggle to break above US$0.7600 barrier in the near term."
Commonwealth Bank currency strategist Besa Deda.


National Australia Bank strategists expect the Australian yield curve to steepen as 2006 progresses due to an under-performing local economy, with a chance of an interest rate cut in the second half of the year. "All up, we think there is a good chance the RBA (will) get through 2006 doing nothing, but if they are to do anything it will be to cut late in current 2006," NAB strategists

hk ab 06:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Gecko//More explicit hints plz? :D

Kuala Lumpur New Trader 06:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
What is the Euro direction for today?

van Gecko 06:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   

"09:08 GMT March 30, 2005

The Dollar regaining USDX 86 in April could start the Euro on its L/T journey to here..
"


the Dollar had regained USDX 86 & the link had expired.. so, after euro's immenient M/T date with 1.13 its L/T fate may be 'linked' to expiration ?


Kuala Lumpur New Trader 06:07 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Any idea how low will Euro go today?

Syd 05:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   

Hearing talk Kiwi could rally further this year due to the high rates and some consider that the Dlr/Yen still will reach 123 area again so with that said the Kiwi could be back in favour with the Uridashi as long as they retain the High interest rates for the rest of this year....
I myself would not trade it too speculative now.

DJ>
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute index of consumer sentiment fell 2.7% on month in December from a sharp rise of 9.0% in November.

"It's pretty clear that high petrol prices and subdued house prices remain tangible headwinds to consumer spending," said National Australia Bank economist David de Garis.

"In those circumstances, it's another piece of evidence pointing to contained inflationary pressures."

Also published Monday was a 2.4% on month fall in job advertisements in Australian newspapers to 20,508 ads per week in December, the first on month decline since July 2005.

ANZ Head of Australian Economics Tony Pearson said while in the past few months the ANZ job ad series has been providing some sign that demand for labor is beginning to reaccelerate, the latest reading for newspaper ads suggests any rebound might still be some time away.

Goes SpongeBob 05:38 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Syd 05:28 / thanks ... and the KIWI ??? ... personally, if KIWI scheduled to go below 0.65 then that will take place MAY/06 and on, if not then we may face new record highs during '06 ... your ideas abut the KIWI for '06 ... thanks in advance.

good & happy trading !!!

Caribbean! Rafe... 05:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
delboy is not posting which means he's hitting the bottle again...lol

Syd 05:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
A survey of 16 economists by Dow Jones Newswires points to a deficit of around A$1.9 billion in November, up from a deficit of A$1.3 billion in October

Syd 05:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Goes SpongeBob hi there, I feel when trying predict the path of the australian dollar you first have to decide who to believe in the direction of the USD ... as before Xmas the call was for a higher dollar in the first half of the year , then it was turned on its head ... If the Fed continue their rate hikes to 5% then I feel the aud will struggle to get above 77 however if they stop at 4.5% can see it rally further, 78-79 again or even further if the RBA decide to raise. My own feeling is the RBA wont raise again.
Immediatly we could get up to 76 but considered a sell and it dropping to low 72 again before it makes its final rally before the next election... this is a very broad view ,as it has many obstacles in the way to make up for the positives of commodity prices. C/A this week for one which may scare a few.

Amman wfakhoury 05:24 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD
may rise a little then decline.

Goes SpongeBob 05:11 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
hong kong nt 15:44 GMT January 5, 2006

Hi !!!

LOL ... guts were the best indicators for that trade ... I truly consider to change into GutsyBob ... 550/555 should bring the move towards 515/520 ... but, who knows!

what is your idea further from here ??? thanks in advance!


gt

Goes SpongeBob 05:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
good and happy morning,

SYD, Hi Hi !!!

if you don't mind, please share your ideas or direct me towards best sources of NZD & AUD for the longer term. I mean 3-6 months time frames and 1-3 YRS ... your personal views is much more than welcome.

tia & cheers

Syd 03:49 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
A DEADLY outbreak of bird flu would weaken the dollar, according to a leading economist.

The dollar would fall because commodity prices and interest rates would slip in a pandemic, HSBC chief economist John Edwards
But another analyst yesterday argued that any dollar plunge would likely be "short-term" because of fundamental supports for the currency.

The flu has killed more than 70 people in Asia and was linked to the death of a third family member in eastern Turkey over the weekend. Studies have estimated an outbreak could slash billions of dollars from economies worldwide.

Syd 03:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Dallas GEP 03:32 cheers, feel the market was too one way bias at the opening in a bit of panick mod to sell the big dollar , just felt it was over the top

Dallas GEP 03:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
SYD Thx for the post...I will short KIWI IF 6950 is touched but it could well short from here

Syd 03:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
NZD/USD above 0.6920 a Sell, while USD may consolidate its decline, "we anticipate further weakness in the NZD this week". Kiwi sentiment "poor", undermined by deteriorating current account data, growing confidence RBNZ's tightening has peaked, also expectation of further currency decline through 2006. Sharp fall in NZD crosses " further slowing of eurobond issuance and at a time when the NZD is heavily reliant on this form of demand". NZD/USD last 0.6923
Westpac senior currency strategist Johnathan Bayley;

los angeles ss 02:52 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Thanks to you too, Rafe!

Caribbean! Rafe... 02:50 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Euro-:

support 12078-12100

resistance 12179-12201

los angeles ss 02:44 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
thanks gep, that's generally the way I am reading it. gl/gt

wellington am 02:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Has anyone got access to carry rate differentials betwen the following pairs:

EUR/SGD
CHF/SGD
EUR/HKD
CHF/HKD

I'm getting some results from my broker that I need to confirm. thx.

Syd 02:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 02:25 GMT many thanks for that and nice to see your return :-)

Dallas GEP 02:35 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well I now also have a 1,2147 short with a 1.2080 target. I beleive that usd/chf will LONG first and at a greater rate. SO these pairs IMO are going to work on diffrent timeframes mainly becasue of JPY action. 1.2200 IMO could be HIGH printed in ASIA/LONDON but this USD selling lately is merely corrective in my view It doesn't signal a trend change.

los angeles ss 02:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
thanks much, GEP, appreciate your thoughts. Currently short eur at present time.

Canada R 02:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
"It never was my thinking that made big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!"

Jesse Livermore

Trading Quotes

L.A. Igrok 02:25 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
L.A. Igrok 02:16 GMT January 9, 2006
The real key is not in any of the majors but in USDX. 85.50 is a level to buy the buck against all of them for longer term. (Potential for whole yearly range profit.)

Philadelphia Caba 02:23 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
===> Igrok, may I ask you if your 85.5 in USDX is correct? Thanks.

Syd 02:21 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
L.A. Igrok if your around again,, appreciate your views on the dollars demise at present

Dallas GEP 02:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well SS I just went long on usd/chf at 1.2703 so my current thought is EURO will short but technicals are mixed but these are good pivot points,

Ormond Beach, FL AG 02:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
i mean quotes above here at GV and my borker, anyone else?

Ormond Beach, FL AG 02:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
I am seeing huge disparity in JPY qoutes between censored and my platform!

los angeles ss 02:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Gep, what is your short term read on eur/usd from current levels. TIA

Dallas GEP 02:13 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
CCCUK, I will take out the last of my eur/gbp shorts at 6853 ask....the I will consider a LONG immediately

ABHA FXS 01:57 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
corrction
2 postion short usdchf 1.2780/90 st 1.2900 t 1.2580

los angeles ss 01:56 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
thanks Toronto, appreciate your insight. gl/gt

dr unken katt toronto 01:54 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
los angeles ss

yea, but the gold is charging , wanna test the previous high likely

Syd 01:42 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Australia's retail sales unexpectedly declined in November as consumers cut spending at clothing stores and supermarkets, adding to signs the Asia-Pacific region's fifth- largest economy is slowing.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000081&sid=aPoHnPwutAHE&refer=australia

los angeles ss 01:39 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
euro starting to look a little overbought here short term, think we might see a little downside soon, maybe test session lows again?

Vienna GD 01:38 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Delboy ... who cares about unemployment ... usd-in-closet is in ... at least NOW. This will be a funny year ... for the sharks ... and the lemmings always running after (or infront of?) the sharks ... and the ninjas ... and off to bed now. See ya!!!

Ldn Delboy 01:36 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Forget about usd, eur, gbp, etc ... yen is ruling

SOF LZ313 01:32 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hi Folks, To many people like me and Vienna, NY and others chaters believs that EUR will rise strong!

Ldn Delboy 01:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Vienna GD 01:28 GMT
Don't you think we have enough unemployment in EU?

Vienna GD 01:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Sorry, forgot to mention: see ya at 1.12!

ABHA FXS 01:29 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
euro today for 1.2180// than buy dip at 12050 or 12000 for 2270+

Vienna GD 01:29 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
sonderful = wonderful, of course!

Vienna GD 01:28 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hey folks ... please go short every single usd-pair. usd will drop into closet now and eur will go to da moon or heaven.
From now on only bad usd-news will be seen and only sonderful euro data will be seen. Go on folks sell usd as much as cou can and buy euro, euros and euros. I'll go for a sleep now, and later for work and ... and the day of recognition will come. The more and faster you buy the sooner! patience is the name of the game not greed. See ya!

SOF LZ313 01:27 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD LONG TERM 1.2250

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:25 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atlanta South 01:20 GMT January 9, 2006

12291.

Atlanta South 01:20 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Rafe//
Are u looking for 1776 this week?
Tks & gt.

ABHA FXS 01:19 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
1 POSTION LONG EURUSD 1.2000/10 ST 1.1920 T 1.2200
1 POSTION LONG EURUSD 1.2050/60 ST 1.1920 T 1.2200

1 POSTION LONG GBPUSD 1.7623/33 ST 1.7540 T 1.7739
1 POSTION LONG GBPUSD 1.7600/10 ST 1.7540 T 1.7739

1 POSTION SHORT USDJPY 115.00/10 ST 116.30 T 112.00
1 POSTION SHORT USDJPY 115.50/60 ST 116.30 T 112.00

1 POSTION SHORT USDCHF 1.2835/45 ST 1.2910 T 1.2650
1 POSTION SHORT USDCHF 1.2800/10 ST 1.2910 T 1.2650

1 POSTION SHORT EURJPY 139.50/70 ST 141.20 T 134.10
1 POSTION SHORT EURJPY 140.10/20 ST 141.20 T 134.10

Syd 01:17 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Fed's Fisher - sees inflationary risk from protectionism, budget deficit

REMARK :: Globalization helped Fed effors to bring down inflation, ficscal deficit and protectionism may undercut favourable globalization impact, could push interest rates up to keep inflation curbed.

VIEW:: Cheap imports certainly a factor in low inflation, Budget deficit impact on infation is less clear .

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
12291 by the end of this week if correct, or approx 10 days from 11776 low if not then it's a long grindy move that can take as long as 3 weeks from the date of the low.

mexico mexicanpeso 01:16 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Im not sure about stay long eurusd. A corrective trend will be an option this week, so beware of all economic leader indicators.
My suggestion for this session is short at 1.2150 and long at 1.2100

dr unken katt toronto 01:15 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
euroyippy is short not long

Rye,NY et 01:11 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Long Eur/Usd 1.2147;SAR 1.2135 for 1.2122; take 1.2198

Syd 01:09 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Fed's Minehan - Fed Funds near the bottom of neutral range

View :: Not clear what the top of this range is , but this suggest potential exists for significant further tightening if data if firm.

Notes :: Tends to focus on resource utilisation as the main source of inflationary risk.

4CAST LTD.

ARG B&BFx 01:05 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Euro a New High this Year up to 1.3666???
The past week the euro mades strong moves up, establishing a new high for this year, being the bottom 1,1776, and this can be the bottom for all the year if the big wave ((2)) corrective finished in 1.1640, the 0.382 of the big wave up ((1)) or ((A)). The friday the euro complete five swings, suggesting that a corrective phase is close, as the graphics show.

http://www.torosyososfx.com.ar/psfree.htm

ABHA FXS 01:02 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
long eurjpy 138.25/35 st 138.00 t 139.50

Syd 00:51 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Weaker-than-expected retail sales in Australia in November should be positive for bonds, with steepening tone to curve likely. No immediate reaction on bond futures market to 0.1% decline in retail sales, undershooting market expectations of 0.25% rise; Every says expects spending to remain moderate which should keep Reserve Bank of Australia on hold in 1H 2006 and looking to cut in 2H.
RBC Capital Markets

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:51 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
looks like were headed for 12291.

Syd 00:47 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
ANZ Australia Newspaper Job Ads Fell 2.4% In Dec Vs Nov

Ldn Delboy 00:37 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atlanta South 00:31 GMT
For rich people it is only money, for poor it is life or death, they will do their best (I hope).

Syd 00:34 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Australian Dollar May Fall; Report Set to Show Growth Lagging
Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) -- Australia's dollar may fall on speculation a government report today will signal the pace of economic growth is likely to trail that of the U.S.

LINK
Australian Trade Gap Probably Widened to A$1.8 Bln: BN Survey
The deficit in traded goods and services probably rose to A$1.8 billion ($1.3 billion) from A$1.33 billion in October, according to the median forecast of 18 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The Bureau of Statistics will release the report tomorrow at 11:30 a.m. in Sydney.

Atlanta South 00:31 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy/
00:25//I hope they don't let you down my friend.

Syd 00:30 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Australian Nov Retail Sales -0.1% Vs +0.25% Consensus
Bad number

los angeles ss 00:26 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Thoughts on eur/usd over the asian and upcoming european session anyone? tia

Ldn Delboy 00:25 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Atlanta South 00:18 GMT
I posted something tonight which said Asian banks have too much investment in the USD to let it go down, so I expect them to fight for me. And I will kill Roddres if they donít!

Atlanta South 00:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Post 23:50 makes a good point, but it is
just as sad that some will keep entering
their territory when the risk is well
documented.

Syd 00:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
MARKET TALK: US Payroll Picture May Be Brighter
U.S. nonfarm payroll data hit USD pretty hard in NY session Friday, with headline increase coming in at 108,000, far below the 215,00 gain forecasters had been looking for. However, November's increase was revised upward substantially, to 305,000 from 215,000, unemployment rate fell back to 4.9% from 5%. Treasurys slid on session, market still looking for an end to Fed rate hikes sooner rather than later, so all in all there may be some retracement from the initial USD gloom once the figures are digested, Japanese markets reopen Tuesday

Ldn Delboy 00:18 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Yen strength seems to continue!

Ldn Delboy 00:12 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
The UK financial services sector ended the year on a high note, reporting the fastest increase in profitability since December 1996.

Ldn Delboy 00:10 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
and i will have lots more if USD goes up!

Ldn Delboy 00:04 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Danila, I donít want to die, I still have lots of money to spend!

Syd 00:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 23:57 apparently a lot of trawler fish off there which attracts them , not a very nice end to be torn apart

dc fxq 00:01 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Ldn Delboy 23:23 GMT

Whatever - you go first though :)

Paris Danila 00:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Hi Delboy... are you ok ?

Ldn Delboy 00:00 GMT January 9, 2006 Reply   
Well, I think nature is going to teach us a lesson. This bird-flue is going to be the lesson. The fact is that we are not prepared for it, we even donít know what it is and what it can do. It may decimate the earth population. God help us all.

 


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