Forex Forum Archive for 11/01/2006

Tallinn viies 23:47 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
NYC close evaluations show 1W eurusd 25 risk reversal at 0,50 (+0,25 with a day)
sounds intresting...
good night, cu tom

KL KL 23:40 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
OK IN SHORT CABLE 1.9073 sl 83...lets see

Syd 23:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Australia's PM: Some Inflationary Pressures, Not Great

London C 23:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Anyone trading eur/cad??

Singapore GFX 23:11 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil Man,/LKWD JJ

Is it time to sell cable???. Thanks as always.

JJ

What levels are you looking at for cable. TIA

Singapore GFX 23:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Sydney ACC, Bahrain bahrain 1,

Thanks a lot for the input guys. Appreciate it. Cannes Oil Man, give us your wonderful views

Cannes Oil man 22:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
we were at 6619 before the rate decision.
Then dropped 40 pips, was not much of a move..Low liquidity broker.

London Carl 22:47 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Tehran 21:10

First, sorry to see that you lost money.

Why are you waiting 1 week to make a complaint to your broker?

This is problem with some brokers during times when data causes a GAP - there was a big drop in price of NZD (I think if i recall they did not raise interest rates).

Your broker will claim that the price you had your stop at 6607 was not available in the market - which may be true.
However, not executing your order for 20 minutes, then claiming 6582 was best available price - wow - this is really crooked.

I really dont know what u can do - have they explained to you why they waited 20 minutes to execute your order?
good luck

LKWD JJ 22:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
would like to sell gbp above figure if it goes there

Lahore FM 22:32 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
closed 223.18 long gbpjpy at 223.47 for 29 pips.will relong at 223.20.

Tallinn viies 22:31 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Market News International report:
EURO SUMMARY: Opened at $1.2760 after a $1.2743/71 overnight range.
-- Euro had stalled at $1.2765 ahead of the U.S. opening, unable to
regain overnight highs, and pair drifted to $1.2745 as ADP payrolls
estimate suggested upside risk to the Friday payrolls report. Euro
slippage was brief and shallow, support and bids at $1.2740 were left
unscathed and the pair turned higher in light trade, awaiting
mid-morning data. Disappointing data from ISM undercut any remaining USD
strength, euro spiking to $1.2799, stalling ahead of a $1.2800 option
barrier strike but only after erasing offers and stops ahead. Talk
loosely cited central bank selling into the highs but as dollar slippage
elsewhere stalled near key supports, euro turned lower, turning euro
back to $1.2755 as profit-taking set in around the London fix. Late
morning into afternoon saw euro wander aimlessly inside $1.2760/75

Austin TX cjg 22:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
short gbp/chf @ 2.3767

Tallinn viies 22:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
from DJ:
DJ RATE FUTURES REPORT: Eurodlrs See Multiple '07 Rate Cuts

By Jesse Thomas
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--New economic data released Wednesday bolstered sentiment in the biggest interest rate futures market that the Federal Reserve is headed for multiple interest rate cuts in 2007 amid signs of moderating economic growth.

The Institute for Supply Management reported Wednesday that its index of manufacturing activity slowed to 51.2 in October, marking the weakest month of growth in three years. The reading was below a forecast of 53.5 by economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires.

Futures markets responded in particular to a large drop in the ISM report's pricing index, which fell to 47.0 in October from 61.0 in September, said Mark Hawkinson, interest rate broker with Cube Financial LLC. The lower price index indicates a retreat in inflationary pressures.

Also Wednesday, the U.S. Commerce Department reported that U.S. construction spending fell 0.3% in September, and that residential construction spending fell 1.1%. The residential spending level was down for the sixth straight month, reflecting a cooling U.S. housing market.

Prices in interest-rate futures markets moved up on the news, and Eurodollar futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange - the world's most active futures contract - reflect strong sentiment for multiple rate cuts next year.

The market has shifted its rate views along with the data. Just last week, when the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee said some inflation risks remain and held rates steady at 5.25%, prices in the futures market reflected expectations for rates to stay there through the middle of 2007.

At Wednesday's closing price, the March Eurodollar contract reflected a 96% chance for the FOMC to cut interest rates to 5% in the first quarter of next year. The contract priced in 72% odds at the close of trading Tuesday.

The June Eurodollar contract, which measures second-quarter 2007 rate expectations, is fully priced for a 5% rate and reflects 72% odds for a 4.75% rate. The odds for that rate stood at 40% at the close of trading Tuesday, and also shifted significantly after the ISM data was released.

Further out on the curve, the September Eurodollar contract is fully priced for a 4.75% rate, and also shows a 40% probability for a 4.5% rate in the third quarter of 2007. Odds for a 4.5% rate were just 12% when the trading session opened Wednesday.

Eurodollar futures are quarterly contracts commonly used by traders to bet on short-term rate expectations even though they are tied to projections of the London Interbank Offered Rate, also known as Libor.

In federal-funds futures at the Chicago Board of Trade, the February 2007 contract reflects 20% odds for a 5% rate at the Jan. 30-31 FOMC meeting, compared with 12% odds after trading Tuesday. The December 2006 contract shows a 6.7% chance for a rate cut at the Dec. 12 FOMC meeting.

Fed funds futures are directly linked to the overnight U.S. funds rate. Because the contracts are monthly, traders are able to project rates for each Fed policy meeting.

Wednesday's reports added to data on Tuesday that also suggested moderating economic growth, and which kicked off the current futures price rally. On Tuesday, the National Association of Purchasing Management Chicago said its index of area business activity for October was 53.5, well below economists' forecasts of 58.0.

Traders also reacted Tuesday to a weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence reading, as calculated by the Conference Board, of 105.4 in October, versus expectations of 108.0.

Market participants will now shift their focus to Friday's report of October nonfarm payrolls data. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires see an increase of 125,000 jobs.

Philadelphia Caba 22:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
about an hour ago:
Greenback Firmer into Close; Rumors of NFP Revisions
Dealers note talk (after the USD recovery) that the week September payrolls of 51K will be upwardly revised on Friday. Why dealers are suddenly concerned about NFP late in the day after two strong anecdotal reports on the employment situation (Hudson rose to 101.4 from 100.5) and ADP (128k private sector jobs) this morning is a mystery, but there was some significant USD short-covering late in the day...(ifr)

Lahore FM 22:05 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
ahore FM 20:10 GMT November 1, 2006
sold audcad at 0.8797 without stops.
----------------------------------

closed part at 0.8770 for 27 pips.

Tallinn viies 22:03 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
fwiw
GS report:
by Robert Savage


USD set to move weaker –A 1.28 EUR break will bring 1.2880 retest. The JPY 116.50 break will mean 115.20 test. Or so goes the technical / momentum traders arguments.Unfortunately we traded to 1.2799 and failed and in JPY 116.57 but reversing. As for fundamentals –US economy is weaker than expected in 4Q start suggesting FED cuts in 2007 are still very much on table for discussion. The stall speed arguments continue. Housing weakness and ISM stall suggests troubles despite the generous financial conditions. Market is buying gold and selling oil –a signal of paper money worries and global demand slowing. Market is pricing in 33 bps of easing to June 2007 –aggressive move considering it was 20 bps.Expect more discussion of the dichotomy of equities up and rates down –with market still arguing about the goldilocks view of world holding. USD weakness may be a tipping point for this battle –leading to some larger doubts about US assets.

LKWD JJ 22:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
fm gotcha

USA Zeus 21:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cbj Jake 17:23 GMT November 1, 2006

Jake- Thx for the nice words.
Keep strong, be selective and crush it!
GT! :-)

Lahore FM 21:58 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
LKWD JJ 21:53 GMT November 1, 2006
m/m is money management or risk managemet.managing the positions once initiated with reasonable risk reward.taking partial profit at points where r/r again supports such action and likewise

LKWD JJ 21:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
good for you!! what is m/m? momentum? r/r is risk reward correct?

Tallinn viies 21:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
fwiw
http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci12-6/ci12-6.html

GVI john 21:46 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
GVI Forex Survey Analysis courtesy Cumino...

CLICK TO VIEW

Lahore FM 21:41 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
LKWD JJ 21:33 GMT November 1, 2006
the daily reversal for me on usdjpy and usdchf is likely within 1 to 3 days.so i will keep longing it all the way down and keep scalping.till these two turn.

i had two stops taken today on usdjpy but in the process got a lower price for my single entry at 116.69 plus have taken 39 pips on partial close.

for usdchf i had 1.2447 and 1.2422 positions but on rise yesterday i closed 1.2447 on even and have entred a 2nd position at 1.2407,the lowest possible price for the day i guess.i am keeping a close watch and following m/m and r/r.let us see what happens with these trades.

LKWD JJ 21:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
fm i know that going against the trend here in usdjpy will have sharp reversals, where do you see upside as there have been a FEW supports broken on the way down?

Philadelphia Caba 21:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 21:09 GMT
thanks FM, having a bit more time for trading now, so enjoying market all day long..
gt/gl 2 you!

Lahore FM 21:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Mtl JP 21:26 GMT November 1, 2006
tehran 21:10 / any lessons in that that you are taking away ?

yes exactly what sort of help Tehran?JP is very right in his observation.most likely yo have account with some dubious characters.Jay is they guy for help in sorting this kind of problem.my advice is that you use the 'contact' button on the left side column of links.it is the 2nd last one as you go down on that column.

Tallinn viies 21:29 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
I start taking prodfits here 55-60, although euro may go higehr, seems daily cycles will turn today.
will buy it again before of after nfp.
good luck it has been pleasure to be with the btreak out.
1,30 minimum on my radar screen for current month btqw

austin mw 21:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
much data coming out of Euro zone today but all ears will be on ECB and Trichet's comments after. gl gt

Lahore you can't leave. Your comments much appreciated so don't let the roaches get under your skin..

Mtl JP 21:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
tehran 21:10 / any lessons in that that you are taking away ?

In this FX buziness, learning fast is a must. Lessons tend to be expensive, but ignorance even more to point of deadly. What sort of "help" are you expecting ?

LKWD JJ 21:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
that was not the case today. this was idiots

Tallinn viies 21:17 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
ca 18:58 GMT - at least 80% of participants loose money, so would nt be suprised if we dont see them soon anyway

Lahore FM 21:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
JJ,i feel it is either ingartitude or unsolicited attack on prolific posters that has them end their participation.though sometimes i have seen prolific posters themselves at each other's neck.lolzzz...

Lahore FM 21:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
long usdcad 1.1218,stop now at 1.1240 with 95 pips already in from partial close.
-----------------
mistake in this one.

closed partially 1.1237 for 120 pips,price 1.1217.remainder in with stops at 1.1240.

tehran 21:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
pls see crook broker
can you help me
http://www.kermanfx.com/mt4fibo21.3.gif

Lahore FM 21:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba 21:07 GMT November 1, 2006
Dear Caba,hope you are well.best of trades!!!

Lahore FM 21:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
open positions.

long gbjpy 223.18,stops 222.70.
short audusd 0.7750,no stop.
short audcad 0.8797,no stop.
long usdcad 1.1218,stop now at 1.1240 with 95 pips already in from partial close.
long usdjpy 116.69,stops at 116.00 with 39 pips already in from partial close at 117.08.
long usdchf 1.2407 and 1.2422,stops in mid 1.23.
there are some other positions but were not posted here if memory serves me right.

Philadelphia Caba 21:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
FM, with you on aussie short from .7755

dc CB 21:04 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
imho. there will be a bit of "taking it off the table" between now and the payrolls on friday.

Lahore FM 21:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
LKWD JJ 20:58 GMT November 1, 2006
agree on usd comment there.
as for defending the fort there will always be others if not you or me.

LKWD JJ 21:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
long from 04 usdjpy. stop is there but put yours where you feel most comfortable.!!lol

LKWD JJ 20:58 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
lahore that leaves me and you and a few select others(who dont blow theyre own horn) who will defend the fort. i do like the 1hr usdjpy and cable charts both showing reversals approaching ...soon. chf joining the fray as well. like it was mentioned in fx 101 its not always the news but the reaction to the news and the usd ducked under todays weak ones agains. its been a week of selling usd since the fomc meeting and like all good things, will come to an end.

Lahore FM 20:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Dubai Khalid 20:51 GMT November 1, 2006
i have no idea.i myself have got stopped.

Bahrain Bahrain1 20:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 20:42 GMT November 1, 2006
Singapore GFX 20:40 GMT November 1, 2006
retail sales below 0.5 would help the shorts greatly and on consensus figures won't have it rise further is what i feel.

Lahore FM// Hi mate, strong number will take the cross up, so take care....hope to see weak number.
I agree with you its overbought...maybe sell and keep a stop and reverse entry better GL.

Lahore FM 20:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
LKWD JJ 20:46 GMT November 1, 2006
JJ,i am another on of the prolific posters.i am getting disenchanted of it all too.might post far less that have been.think carib rafe Omil or some of the other oldies will have to fill in soon.

Sydney ACC 20:52 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Singapore GFX 20:40 GMT November 1, 2006
The Federal Treasurer Peter Costello has over the last two days barraged the press with negative statements about the Australian economy. Yesterday he talked down the economy with regard to the drought and the previous day he spoke about energy and base metal prices.
The aim is twofold one to try and sway the Reeserve Bank from increasing interest rates next week and the latter to warn his cabinet colleagues about tightening the purse strings ahead of spending negotiations.
Some holders of Aussie will start to get uncomfortable ahead of next week's Reserve Bank board meeting and liquidate their positions which will limit the upside.
I for one believe the increase will go ahead, however, in the mid 50's where it is now AUD proves a good short term sell with a stop in the seventies just in case this rally in the USD fails.

Lahore FM 20:50 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
tehran 20:45 GMT November 1, 2006
i can't.Jay on occasions can help in such matters i think.mail him.

tehran 20:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
lahore
dont no ENG very mach
you help me
i have problem by broker in london
can you help me

LKWD JJ 20:46 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
heres a bone for the dogs to chew at. cable getting ready to show a bearish candlestick pattern. doji perhaps?? cris and oilman were 2 NICE guys who on their own (without compensation) from ANYBODY ELSE posting here gave of their time and energy to HELP others who were new or learning fx. in any language or religion or culture such behavior is to be commended. the reverse is also true. im sure both odf those guys will make more money now than before due to spending less time here posting to those ungratefull pigs. if your experienced in these mkts like alot are than let it slide whatever they say, it wasnt meant for you in the first place.
but to ridicule or to bash others is not only against the rules of this forum, but also human decency.

tehran 20:45 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
i dont no ENG very mach
you help me
i have problem by broker in london
can you help me

Singapore GFx 20:45 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Thanks Lahore Fm. GT/GL. Off to sleep for 2 hrs

Lahore FM 20:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Singapore GFX 20:40 GMT November 1, 2006
retail sales below 0.5 would help the shorts greatly and on consensus figures won't have it rise further is what i feel.

Singapore GFX 20:40 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore Fm,

The Aud data today, will it have any impact on the short aud/usd, though aud appears to be on the overbought area. Thanks

Lahore FM 20:38 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
tehran 20:36 GMT November 1, 2006
what do you need that for?anyone ho wishes to have my e-mail or messenger can have it by asking Jay for it.

Lahore FM 20:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
a recovery to levels above 118.00 and 1.2520 would be nice over next 24 hours.

tehran 20:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hello lahore
pls do you have ymasenger id ?

singapore gfx 20:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
lahore fm,

thx

Lahore FM 20:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
gfx 20:21 GMT November 1, 2006
it is a sell.
do put the city in there.

gfx 20:21 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
fm,

your view on aud/usd pls. tia

dc CB 20:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 19:39 GMT November 1, 2006
CAIRO AG 19:35 GMT November 1, 2006
FM// thats a very tight stop IMO...
yep,you are right

fwiw. IMM pit closing hour 2 to 3PM EST

Lahore FM 20:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
the anticipated rally in usdjpy and usdchf starting now is one and a half hour too late.

Lahore FM 20:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
sold audcad at 0.8797 without stops.

Lahore FM 19:39 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CAIRO AG 19:35 GMT November 1, 2006
FM// thats a very tight stop IMO...

yep,you are right.

minus 14.

CAIRO AG 19:35 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
FM// thats a very tight stop IMO...

The Caribbean! Rafe... 19:20 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cbj Jake 19:15 GMT November 1, 2006

yes that is correct... but be careful because delhi has a lot of monkeys, don't feed them unless your throwing peanuts from a moving train, else hundreds of them will surround you it is illegal to threaten or harm those animals...

Cbj Jake 19:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Rafe - you are right! You must understand - for a guy from NY all that is fun. Who would believe what happens there unless you saw it. Like any large ountry, whatever you see you can also see the opposite of. First class bored me. In third class everyone wants to talk to me - food is good! - then again you may get hepatitis.

The Caribbean! Rafe... 19:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
oky guys i am off see you all tomorrow, lest i make "some people" choke on their mid-morning coffee.

The Caribbean! Rafe... 19:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cbj Jake 19:00 GMT November 1, 2006

In 3rd class train you roll off the bed when the train hit's a pothole and land on someone sleeping on the floor travelling with an unconfirmed train ticket...it is better to travel in 1st class the food there is better (aka fresh chicken).

Lahore FM 19:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
long usdjpy 117.04 with 116.90 for stops.

Syd 19:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Aussie Soars but May Be Running Out of Steamhttp://www.dailyfx.com/story/currency_crosses/currency_crosses/Aussie_Soars_but_May_Be_1162392773289.html

The Featherlands! Turk... 19:03 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 18:56 GMT November 1, 2006

lol..bruther, nurses have a reputation of making monks out of beer swigging, muscle flexing carnivoures....

Cbj Jake 19:00 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean!Rafe - Welcome back! - To accent Piotr, how was India? I love Indian stories. Once a year I need to have my brain scrambled and find larger metaphors for my life. I take the plane from Kennedy to Delhi. I go all over - third class to soak in the local color. In every 5min period you could write a book. Love it all! Ha!You could live or die there in any moment but it would be humorous! We miss your sanity here.
Lovely story from NYT:a new bride in Pakistan threw herself into a river bks husband said she cannot give child. The river carried her into India where she was immediately arrested as a spy! In the jail, the warden raped her and gave her a child. She gave it the Hindi name for "Gift of God". She said to the reporter,"Isn't it perverse that something so beautiful could come from an act so cruel." Now that is a beautiful woman!

ca 18:58 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
first Oil-man, now Cris.... whose quitting next?

The Netherlands Purk 18:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:38 GMT November 1, 2006
The Netherlands Purk 18:23 GMT November 1, 2006

You make me smile Rafe... guys like you make me stay here and watch the game.
No nurses here thank zen for that...

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Poland Piotr 18:44 GMT November 1, 2006

yes very nice.

The Netherlands Purk 18:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 18:26 GMT November 1, 2006
The Netherlands Purk

Dat was de bedoeling Whippy!
Do your thing and you will be fine. Maybe someday people see what they have to see....

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 18:47 GMT November 1, 2006

don't worry about it, today is another day. good luck.

austin mw 18:51 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 16:57 GMT October 31, 2006
Caribbean! Rafe... 16:49 GMT October 31, 2006
i think you misunderstood what i said. that was 2760 would be a bottom as the pair works off some O/B indicators before we move higher.

austin mw 18:47 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:43 GMT November 1, 2006
I have seen those levels and am not disputing
them but was I not correct in my call yesterday?

Poland Piotr 18:44 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Rafe,

How was Southern India. Nice???

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:43 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 16:49 GMT October 31, 2006
austin mw 16:31 GMT October 31, 2006

i posted euro levels earlier they are good for this week with 12914 being a top 12679 being a bottom and 12797 pivot if we breach 12797 then 12914 is a clear shot.

Poland Piotr 18:43 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Ct Cris,

I always have appreciated your posts. It's just that lately some have not met your target so just wanted some further input from you to justify the trade. Thats all. Not my intention to attack you, honestly. Sorry if it seems like it was an attack. Thanks for the view.

austin mw 18:37 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
A few of you remind me of my childhood , always
arguing with each other. It is very simple, if you
can't type anything trade related or postive
then please keep fingers off keyboard. It is
easy to ignore the fools but it has been getting
old scrolling around to find what the real traders
are doing. tia

CT Cris 18:35 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
my today's signal was gbp.usd in sideways between
19065-19090 , which means buy at dip and sell at high.
continue buy if breaks level 19090.and continue sell if breaks level 19065.
later on I confirmed that we are in uptrend, which means the market will break 19090.
signal is very accurate for today's market.
======
this will be my last signal ,and I will this big honour , for all those attacking me ,and show the forum their success.

Vienna GD 18:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 18:23 GMT November 1, 2006
But who cares, it's the YEAR that counts.

Agree on that ... cheers friend!

Poland Piotr 18:30 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Rye, NY,

Excellent and simple. Great. Thanks for the valuable analysis

Johannesburg Whippet 18:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk

Ha, ha!! Ek verstaan jou taal! Hy het dit egter verdien!

Only will I respond if provoked.

Rye, NY et 18:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Poland Piotr 18:01 GMT November 1, 2006
Short-term bias is up for Eur/Usd
If there is "no change" from the ECB and Trichet sounds dovish tomorrow, probably a strong down move.
If it moves down and hits 1.2595 on Friday, then strongly back up.
That's as simple as I can make it...Good Trades

Johannesburg Whippet 18:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Vienna GD

Sure. I apologise for 'snapping'.
I leave that for my American lizard friend.
I am quick to acknowledge that this has been a difficult year.
For the first time ever, we've had two down months in row, Aug and Sept.
So I am usually first to acknowledge the pain and humilty of the FX markets.
But who cares, it's the YEAR that counts.
:-)
GLGT

The Netherlands Purk 18:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 18:07 GMT November 1, 2006

Well Whippet, wánker is niet erg netjes van u.
You dont have to prove anything, why should you. If you believe yourself that is enough. If you have something to say here and it is normal, i will read it and try to put it in the feelindicator.
Cable: new high almost attacked high of the year, tomorrow another day, too late for the 20 picking stuff.
Cheers all, and be nice to eachother, because Nurse W. is out there with the pills, and we dont want to be caught with a pillow up our noses, what a movie was that.

CT Cris 18:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Poland Piotr 18:15 GMT November 1, 2006
Ct Cris,

Your recent calls have all been bad lately. Any reason with solid analysis why buy cable at that level??? And time frame.

==============
surprise your judgment ,if you followed my signal today .it was
very accurate .

Johannesburg Whippet 18:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Vienna GD

Sorry, what do you mean?
We are clients of theirs, they are a liquidity provider.

Vienna GD 18:16 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 18:12 GMT November 1, 2006
Vienna GD ... Give me your e-mail. Will send if you are really interested.
Sorry whippet ... i was just kidding. This board is really funny those last days. I think that is a sign for a strong reversal to come!

PHX RuGO 18:16 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
University of Pennsylvania finance professor Jeremy Siegel revealed what a dollar invested in various things would have grown to, from 1802 to 2001 -- yes, just about 200 years! (Amounts have been adjusted for inflation.)

Stocks: $599,605
Bonds: $952
Bills: $304
Gold: $0.98

GVI john 18:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Please!

Poland Piotr 18:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Ct Cris,

Your recent calls have all been bad lately. Any reason with solid analysis why buy cable at that level??? And time frame.

Vienna GD 18:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 18:07 GMT November 1, 2006
S A X O ... Whippet that explains all ... that guys (from s*a*x*o) are completely nuts and part of the creature - not?!

Johannesburg Whippet 18:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Vienna GD

Give me your e-mail. Will send if you are really interested.

Vienna GD 18:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 18:07 ... "last month" means nothing at all .... last 5 years f.e. would help. But hey i'm not the gecko!

CT Cris 18:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
gbp.usd buy @ 19060-70 tp 19100-10.

Johannesburg Whippet 18:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Sorry Jay, this idiot is really getting under my skin.
Apologies to the rest of the board.

Johannesburg Whippet 18:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
S A X O

Johannesburg Whippet 18:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
van Gecko

Aw shucks, you got me. You're right, I've been dreaming it all.

Tell you what, why don't you give me your e-mail adress and I e-mail you our trading sheet for last month, ok pumpkin?

Or contact censored and ask them about Merlin FX. My name is Etienne.

You w a n k e r.

RIC fxq 18:04 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
someone, no names mentioned, has a very vivid imagination or small vocabulary. or perhaps is just an "interventionist" conspiracy lover :)

Poland Piotr 18:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Rye, Ny,

So is the sentiment towards bulls or bears. ??? Thanks

Caribbean! Rafe... 17:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
the war mongers on the board need to learn how to enjoy the silence around themselves, it will give them the ability to enjoy the relationships they have with those around them...it will make them better traders also.

Rye, NY et 17:58 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 17:15 GMT November 1, 2006 (re: Eur/Usd)
Good point. If your scenario plays out tomorrow morning (for us)--15 minutes after US jobs!--and there is a sell-off, then the question is, as before, is "How far?" With the break of the T/L at 1.2786, the market has "tipped its hand" to look for the upside. It has also tucked up under the T/L, indicating (to me) that it wants to retrace. Fine. Apart from the Fibs of the current move, there is an, as yet, invisible rising Trendline, a calculated downside expansion of the previous Bull Channel. If there is a sell-off tomorrow and follow-through on Friday, then I would look for that Bullish Trendline at 1.2595. A bounce from that level would indicate a broad continuation of the Bullish Channel or even a new short-term trend. This is the kind of thing that is hard to see in advance but is what my charts are designed to do....so, you all may take this....for whatever...it's worth...Good Trades, mw

Caribbean! Rafe... 17:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 19:00 GMT October 31, 2006

PAR 17:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Added long USDJPY. Thinking lower Nikkei, BOJ and Kampo intervention will boost dollar later on .

London Iain 17:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
JBS. ok ok, to all intents and purposes then - it was completely pegged between 1998 and july 2005...now it's loosely pegged, but a 3.55-3.80 range in a year and a half on such an exotic is good enough to pegged for me...i (maybe wrongly) asumed it was general (not trading) enquiry....

London JBS 17:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
MYR is not pegged anymore. CB intervenes quiet frecuently though.

Poland Piotr 17:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
London Jain,

Can I have your view on gbp/usd pls. Thanks

London Iain 17:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
you're welcome.

iom stan 17:30 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
london. iain. thank you very much.

London Iain 17:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
iom stan 17:21

previous mail obviously for you. MYR pegged to USD so just look at a cable chart...

London Iain 17:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
GBPMYR circa 6.9645.

Cbj Jake 17:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus - "Flush before the crush." That's a keeper! Now - what do you do for a living! lol You do indeed see the forest.
May you handily crush all those who would dare breath your rarified air.

iom stan 17:21 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
could any one give me a spot rate for the malaysian ringgit against cable also any ideas on future trends. your help would be appreciated.

USA Zeus 17:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 17:15 GMT November 1, 2006

M Dubya- Great post with many highly anticipated and hotly debated points. For these reasons and Friday's party we should have a lot of great trades.

GT & Cheers!

austin mw 17:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Austin TX cjg 17:12 GMT November 1, 2006
wwwdotoilman-forexdotcom/analytics

austin mw 17:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
eur$ has priced in 25 bp hike by ECB so do
they pull the trigger tomorrow or wait til Dec
and is there a possiblilty that recent data
keeps them on the sidelines til next year?
How big of a sell-off awaits if they wait
til Dec but Trichet sounds dovish in his interview
afterwards?

Austin TX cjg 17:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
closed gbp/chf at 2.3753 +60

Austin TX cjg 17:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 16:54 GMT November 1, 2006
Hey Oil Man just reviewed your blog and see
you are no longer posting on GVI. FYI, your
views are appreciated and gives me some
thought before pulling the trigger even if
against your trade. So don't let a few idiots
distract you and continue the good work
as many of these new traders and older ones
appreciate the input. gt gl

Austin mw, could you post oil man's blog address? If you have a problem with that would you email it to me? I am interested in his opinions. TIA

USA Zeus 17:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Very important here to pay attention to the range expansion/contraction and degree of price overlap.

GL GT!

Cali mmm 17:11 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
GVI, John & Jay
Isn´t it possible for you to just block this spamers and be done with it?

HK Kevin 17:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 16:59 GMT, may be he got margin call and need to cover part of the short EUR position.

USA Zeus 17:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Anticipate Nov 2-3 to be a barn burner. Watch the pivots, highs, lows etc and take opportunities as the market makes them available.

GVI john 17:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
ab- its all one guy

hk ab 17:05 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
seem each time we enter a trend market with loads of big mouth idiots.......

oilman, those Khalid, KOF, ...etc are just the dusts....

austin mw 17:04 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
England Daniel 16:56 GMT November 1, 2006
Well said Daniel and might add even after 21 yrs
of experience I still enjoy hearing the other side
not so much to change my view but maybe
adjust my r/r..

USA Zeus 17:00 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Some say timing is everything-

USA Zeus 14:57 GMT October 25, 2006
Ahhh- The flush before the crush!

Volatility is here to stay for the rest of the year as anticipated-
Let's crush it!
GT :-)

GVI john 17:00 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
mw- its the same idiot

austin mw 16:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
MOSCOW K - ROF 16:57 GMT November 1, 2006
45 LOTS LONG ON EUR 1.2775
==
same idiot that was shorting 75 lots 200 pips lower without stops

England Daniel 16:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
I very rarely post – mainly due to time I spend in trading – but I am not surprised to see certain people that seem to attack others for their posts and opinions – as the world is made up of winners, losers and people of little breeding.

I take my hat of to people that post and do well at trading at the same time – such as Oilman and others – it does not matter if such traders are right or wrong what matters that they give an opinion of what may happen with some substance to their post.

Posters as Oilman _ Gold Coast Martin and others – may I offer a little advice if I may – if someone attacks your post – do not respond – why – as the more professional trader can see that you are a professionals and knowledgeable – you don’t need to respond to such people – you have nothing to PROVE.

Gold Coast Martin used to post more often but now I guess to such attacks he does not post so much – Martin is probably one of the most knowable traders and successful traders that look at this forum – to my knowledge, and I hope we don’t lose other traders the same way.

I am a trader of a managed closed fund – and I know reading GVI each day I can learn something from some of the very good traders here – lets make GVI a place where we can learn and reduce our losses –

Remember there are some traders trading from their playpen – if they attack your post – don’t join them in the playpen – you are more mature and professional to follow their banter.

austin mw 16:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 16:44 GMT November 1, 2006
a serious rally expected within next two hours for most pairs.leading them all would be usdjpy now 117.04,next usdchf now 1.2435 and finally gbpjpy now 223.36.
===
Lahore from reading your prior post I assume you
are looking for a USD rally?

jkt-aye 16:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
FM, do you mean usd rally ? my 4H usdchf just show signal to squaring short position but no long entry signal yet. btw got 1.2471 as nearest magnetic price on 1H. gt

austin mw 16:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Hey Oil Man just reviewed your blog and see
you are no longer posting on GVI. FYI, your
views are appreciated and gives me some
thought before pulling the trigger even if
against your trade. So don't let a few idiots
distract you and continue the good work
as many of these new traders and older ones
appreciate the input. gt gl

GVI john 16:51 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Just one pathetic soul. Trying to keep after him. Best to ignore him.

van Gecko 16:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
enough bs from you, Whippet.. please be a nice canine & stop spamming the board with after the fact fantasy "trades" picked off the charts..
can't even get dates & levels right.. what a Joker.. :))

Haifa ac 16:48 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
The decorum on the forum is getting raunchy!
Is this sign of things to come?

Philadelphia Caba 16:47 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
U.K. J.B 17:18 GMT October 31, 2006

Do you have any stop in mind? tia!

Zurich 16:45 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man,

Yes pleaseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee, your view is very much needed on cable. TIA

Lahore FM 16:44 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
a serious rally expected within next two hours for most pairs.leading them all would be usdjpy now 117.04,next usdchf now 1.2435 and finally gbpjpy now 223.36.

others may follow in semblance of a rally as well.

USA Zeus 16:41 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Feel like this month will be legendary with massive gains.

Will aim for a new record then perhaps will order a Koenigsegg CCX to add to the collection and name it "Bob"- LOL

GT

Lahore FM 16:40 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
removed stops for audusd short 0.7750 placed earlier at 60 bid.

Lahore FM 16:37 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
gbpjpy is looking somewhat bullish.taking out projected resistance at 223.40 is the job ahead.

Lahore FM 16:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
116.69 closed partially at 117.08 for 39 pips.

Johannesburg Whippet 16:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Very true, Oil Man.

August and September were really crap for us. But religious 'let your profits run and cut your losses short', always save the day. (Year) :-D

Johannesburg Whippet 16:21 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 16:14 GMT November 1, 2006
Johannesburg Whippet 16:10 GMT November 1, 2006

Ok great, i had to push a bit to get my answer!

Sorry bout this, so yes you aren't just trading static, you are booking profits..Good work.


No harm done, any time, and thanks. I also can't always see your responses.

Good luck. ;-)

Cannes Oil man 16:20 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 16:16 GMT November 1, 2006

Ok then, at the end, we trade quite similarly ;) ..Just haven't been ready to keep positions longer than a week for the last 6 months..
Trend =150 pips..
Mega trend is 300 this days.(on euro)
Of course i think right now , this is going to change, break above 1.2820 , is going to be a detonator..Particularly also on $/Yen going sub 116..

Johannesburg Whippet 16:16 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 16:10 GMT November 1, 2006
Johannesburg Whippet 16:01 GMT November 1, 2006
Ok so , you have booked profits now?
Are you adding?

Or you leaving it all open , and ready to see profits thin?It's one way or the other.

No. Our progressive stops have already taken us out of most, except for two. We don't use profit targets, rather relying on progressive stops to exit us naturally. That means we have to carry those returns over for this month, which is a nice way to start a month! :-)

We never add to positions. We did get a NEW signal yesterday in ONE 6-hour EUR trade, enetered at 2713 and out at 2762 and 2751 on quick stops. See?

Lahore FM 16:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
short gold at 615.40 with 618 for stop.


above 1.2445 usdchf a formidable bottom would be in for a revrsal in usd.

Austin TX cjg 16:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Gbp/chf bounced off 2.3700 exactly. i like it when a pair stays in the range to the pip lol. looks like 2.3750/60 tp. gt

Cannes Oil man 16:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 16:10 GMT November 1, 2006

Ok great, i had to push a bit to get my answer!

Sorry bout this, so yes you aren't just trading static, you are booking profits..Good work.

Lahore FM 16:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
stopped on gold shport 603.90 at 612.

austin mw 16:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Rye, NY et 16:07 GMT November 1, 2006
austin mw 16:02 GMT November 1, 2006
Hey there Rye, agree looks like the upside is the way
to go. now need to be patient and look for good entry
points. best of trades

Cannes Oil man 16:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
ca 16:06 GMT November 1, 2006

No positions , ca..

Johannesburg Whippet 16:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006
Purk: Talking to whippet , who's pumping air, but want to know if he's adding into the trend, or taking profits, if not where is the stops to the longs, or is he taking the risks of seeing his 300 pips profits , thin into nothingness, if Euro crashes ..(Don't believe so, but who can really tell?).

The positions were enetered mostly on Thursday. Our two PROGRESSIVE TRAILING stops I refer to is 1) agressive 2) Slower, to cope with either agressive markets or slow, shallow angle trends.
So we are already out of most of these positions except for two, CHF and JPY. CHF @ 2669, stop now 2461 and JPY @ 119.35 stop now 117.26.

What do you mean by 'pumping air'? Is this the real Oil Man?

Cannes Oil man 16:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 16:01 GMT November 1, 2006
Ok so , you have booked profits now?
Are you adding?

Or you leaving it all open , and ready to see profits thin?It's one way or the other.

The Netherlands Purk 16:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
WTF is spamming oily boily here? One does not have to like the way the other is behaving, but taking it out on the person is not something that i preferr, cause most of us have never met.
So whoever you are i ask polite, dont....

In the meantime flows are drying up in usd pairs, and e/j has chosen its direction. Maybe even 14974 can be reached again.
I was waiting for 19138 in cable, my platform did not reach that, funny i took 19076 yesterday but i did not take like 19120, is that trying to pick tops or what? Almost wet my pants with the e/j long, but the 20 are in the pocketino

nar fxxx 16:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
i'll be glad if you post great man (oil man)

Gen dk 16:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tallinn viies 16:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
chinaman offers near 1,28 as reuters reporting
fwiw

nar fxxx 16:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
oil man why not to post your comments on gbp.... thnx.

Rye, NY et 16:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 16:02 GMT November 1, 2006
Hey hey...Well....sooner rather than later on the T/L break...You were better at 50 than I was further down...took my stop at 92. Could be done on the upside for today. If not, then 12811 is the next Fib. On my view, the market has clearly broken the Trendline now and the bias shifts to the upside....Good Trades...

Austin TX cjg 16:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Kids, could you please grow up or take the juvenile games to the playground? I came here to bounce ideas around with other traders and maybe learn some different perspectives. These are real trades for some of us.

ca 16:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Oil-man, didnt you say you would stop posting here? i was wondering why you decided that and now wondering why youre back. also your blog was down for a while, in case you didn't know already. its working now though.
for the record i do NOT want you to leave gvi and am glad to see you posting again. in fact, i hope you never leave as you are a very valuable asset to this forum and your posts are helpful when comparing them to my own positions.

on a completely unrelated topic, im switching to trading just forex (or 95% forex) and will be spending more time here to learn and help others. perhaps i will also check out some of the services offered here as well. any service that helps me make more money is of interest.

hope everyone's making BIG PIPS!

(currently no open positions.)

austin mw 16:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 16:03 GMT November 1, 2006
funny thing is that I never asked you
about any trade.. guess they hijacked
me as well

Cannes Oil man 16:03 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
I didnt post 1 single trade today on GV , only posted on GVI, austin hope this clarifies matters..

The same spammer is back , a GV-Terrorist.

austin mw 16:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006
austin mw 15:14 GMT November 1, 2006
austin mw 15:08 GMT November 1, 2006
small eur$ short @ 2793 s/l 2810
s/l moved to entry
closed 2774

austin mw 16:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 15:59 GMT November 1, 2006
Cannes Oil man 15:56 GMT November 1, 2006
now sold gbp 1.9069

is this oil man ????
not from me oil man

Johannesburg Whippet 16:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man

I do not understand your comment but will try to answer as best I can.

We trade EUR, JPY, CHF and GBP. We trade each of those in three diversified timeframes (6 hourly and two 12-hourly sessions), none of which the trades lasts longer than about two-to-three days (if we are right) or as short as a few minutes. We also use TWO different stops for each position. Each of these are traded 1xassets under management. This is why we had so mnay positions from levels like 2545, 2555, 2542 EUR, 2674, 2669, 2668 in CHF etc, etc. from Thursday I think. (We only have two left.)
So you can see how a smallish trend can add up very quickly.
We don't always get similar signals for all currencies in all timeframes, hence our loss is not correspondingly as large. We do not abuse leverage for return.

My comments about shorts simply add to the opinions here, I have always said I respect many different styles. Please do not see my opinion as a criticism of others, and don't assume how I trade. We do not have long term carry positions that you refer to.

I hope this clarifies your error of persumption.
GL & GT.

austin mw 15:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil man 15:56 GMT November 1, 2006
now sold gbp 1.9069

is this oil man ????

Austin TX cjg 15:58 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil Man, would you be kind enough to post your blog address? TIA

Cannes Oil man 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Ok jay, can you ban the spammer? he's posting stops and entries which i didnt post..

It's getting ridiculous.

RUS zaits 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hello everebodwhat are EURUSD prognosis for today evening

St. Annaland Bob 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Purky, it really looks like Albert Heijn ritual slaughter ... you think they will take the also the cable off the shelves?

austin mw 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 15:14 GMT November 1, 2006
austin mw 15:08 GMT November 1, 2006
small eur$ short @ 2793 s/l 2810
s/l moved to entry

Cannes Oil man 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Purk: Talking to whippet , who's pumping air, but want to know if he's adding into the trend, or taking profits, if not where is the stops to the longs, or is he taking the risks of seeing his 300 pips profits , thin into nothingness, if Euro crashes ..(Don't believe so, but who can really tell?).

Philadelphia Caba 15:55 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
market talk:..London players with contributor or feed problems are being forced to sit on their hands while the Dollar whipsaws in the wake of the weak US ISM...(ifr)
can anyone confirm that?

chicago goofy 15:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
opps., meant to write goofy under initials..haha

Cannes Oil man 15:52 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Nar fxxx , and the spammers are back , jay , thanks for taking care.

The short posted is obviously not me.

chicago fxxx 15:52 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
younger trader joined the group..welcome...technically, i long usd for a correction.

The Netherlands Purk 15:48 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Oily boily, are you talking to your self now?

Cannes Oil man 15:44 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
At the end only the profits booked are important, you are long from 1.25 or so..If the euro goes back down (which is a possibility, even though i m currentlylong) , you will have booked nothing..

Unless you are adding or taking profits?Let us know...More interesting than seeing you brag.

KL Vijay 15:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
mumbai NS - thanks for the response. Euro at 1.2880 is bit scary. Am basically an elliot wave follower - had all along considererd the current move as B of 2 as being over and even looked to build structural shorts for my company. Am not sure now. Itlooks to be a 5 wave move up - dangerous. tks anyways.

nar fxxx 15:38 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nar fxxx 15:34 GMT November 1, 2006
OIL MAN

do you advise to sell cable now tia.

pleassssss..............

Cannes Oil man 15:38 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Whippet , you caught a 350 pips trend, but talk like you caught 30K pips trend..Funny..I've caught .9925 to 1.26 (posted here too) however the trade took me 10 months...
Nothing to brag about when catching wavelets does the same monthly(see results)..
Asking people why they are shorting and longing for 100 pips , which in the end results is much more pips than a static long term model (particularly when you are on the wrong side of the carry), is hilarious.

hk ab 15:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
the gold strength looks very impressive. But suggest not to chase high. just be patient.

Johannesburg Whippet 15:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Zeus...

...I wish you well for the new month for a continued parabolic, but steep rise in equity curve. :-D

hk ab 15:31 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
but stop is a bit wide on that pair 'cos the 20 dma is at 1.1408.

The Netherlands Purk 15:31 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Move is not over i guess. Flows are in the usd pairs now.

Cannes Oil man 15:31 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Where's the stop , is more important than the entry..The stop might be taken out in the following minutes..

Johannesburg Whippet 15:30 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus

Ha, ha.
I am sure you could've said that simpler.
This is a "chat" forum afterall. :-)

This current move does look like the market is running out of steam, so the shorts are starting to look like sense. We won't have a signal either way for a while.

GL & GT.

hk ab 15:30 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
caba//yes, 1.1480.

Cannes Oil man 15:29 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Facts even much above..See my morning trades for clues on GVI & on blog.

istanbul bg 15:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
time to talk about Bernanke. He will finish the day.

London Carl 15:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Bob - I am also a quick trader, and will only post entries IF I can post on time - which is difficult to do on most of my trades.

Good luck

Cannes Oil man 15:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Not to worry , you'll have chance to sell 191xx , and above:)

USA Zeus 15:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 15:24 GMT November 1, 2006

tend of course =trend. Guess it must be all the tending to the trend. LOL

Bexhill pj 15:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
St. Annaland Bob 15:21 GMT November 1, 2006
London Carl 15:20 GMT November 1, 2006

Rofl... Oh the irony of it all.

USA Zeus 15:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Johannesburg Whippet 15:18 GMT November 1, 2006
Zeus...

How are you? Are you (sort of) trading with this trend?
__________________________________________________
The tend for my is my account equity. The goal is to maintain the parabolic rise. That means taking whatever is available whenever the market makes it available. So, am trading around the core for an alpha booster.

GT :-)

Naples DC 15:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Short aud/usd 0,7748

UK Alex 15:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cable spiked on Euro/GBP option expiry. Keeping a close watch on NFP CME derviatives now ahead of Friday.

Austin TX cjg 15:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
pardon typo 2.3718

Austin TX cjg 15:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
added @ 2.3710

St. Annaland Bob 15:21 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
London Carl 15:20 GMT November 1, 2006

ok, you got a point ... I was busy with taking 0.4% off the AEX dive ... happy trades to all

London Carl 15:20 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Bob - what POSSIBLE value could that post have?

Seriously,why should anyone believe that 15 minuntes after the fact?

I trust for you it is your trade, but waste of space posting it now

Austin TX cjg 15:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
bought gbp/chf @ 2.3728

St. Annaland Bob 15:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
sold cable @ 19125

Telaviv 15:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Any ideas on when the Eur/$ will start dropping, and how low it's expected to drop

Johannesburg Whippet 15:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Zeus...

How are you? Are you (sort of) trading with this trend?

Johannesburg Whippet 15:16 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
I see very little evidence that this trend is over.
We haven't even had a meaningful consolidation since Friday.
At least I would understand these shorts after some sort of consolidation. (meaning short eur, gbp)
And I am also a 'short term trader'.

But that's my opinion. Humble one. Very, very, very humble.

austin mw 15:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
poor grammar my apologies... i will add to short if next hourly bar opens below yesterday's high

Philadelphia Caba 15:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hk ab, are you in aud/nzd long?

USA Zeus 15:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
The Netherlands Purk 11:38 GMT November 1, 2006

Who is this Mariken Clitisha anyway...ZEUS you keep on going now, dont pay attention to the people who hate succes.. The book of love...
____________________________________________________
Thanks Purk. Did not want anyone to ask "What about Bob" so Like Tom Hanks' "Wilson" I now have a football on my shelf named "Bob".

Keep smiling!
GT! :-)

austin mw 15:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 15:08 GMT November 1, 2006
small eur$ short @ 2793 s/l 2810
will add if unable this hourly closes below yesterdays high

Cannes Oil man 15:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Yummy.

Lahore FM 15:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
long once more usdjpy at 116.69 with stops at 116.00

austin mw 15:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
small eur$ short @ 2793 s/l 2810

Lahore FM 15:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
2nd long usdchf at 1.2407 with 1.2340 for stops.

stopped out of 117.88 long usdjpy at 117.60.

slv sam 15:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
slv sam 15:19 GMT October 31, 2006
$/yen : levels of 114 even 113 will be seen within few sessions..imo!GT

my be after Friday payrolls?GT

lugano fc 15:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
stopped on both
gbpusd at entry
usdjpy with -25pips

Philadelphia Caba 15:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Out of kiwi short

USA Zeus 15:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
This must be the "Bob" extension pop for GBP/USD from 1.9074. Thinned @ 1.9133

Philadelphia Caba 15:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Oct mfg ISM data show prices paid 47.0 vs 61.0 as gas fell.
New orders 52.1 vs 54.2, Employment 50.8 vs 49.4 (suggests a payroll gain), and Production 51.9 vs 56.1.

The Netherlands Purk 15:00 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
And the party begins. Feel indicator switched off now, market is here

Philadelphia Caba 14:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD: More Talk ISM to Fall Below 50

toronto Dr Unken Katt 14:48 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM
cablehyena is short on big frames , im gonna be interested in shorting from 224
toronto stock exch fallout -300points at the opening

USA Zeus 14:48 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 12:09 GMT November 1, 2006
as I told you yestrday ,you need to change your brain to understand.
no special color as you understood..candles have 2colors
red for bearish blue for bullish.
good traders did not short any candle in blue color.

____________________________________________________

Odd that you suggest that there are only two colors for candle conditions- red and blue for which you suggested that we knew what a "blue" candle was before your global definition. Guess your special brains must have been lost when I told you my candle was orange.

Lahore FM 14:46 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
london mamun 14:34 GMT November 1, 2006
Dear Mamun,we are going to base around at the market levels in 2 more pairs.usdchf and usdjpy are good medium term to long term longs where they are now.this is as yet unconfirmed by gbpusd and audusd but i think they will suffer soon from some sort of downsizing of rate expectation from BOE and RBA.best of trades.

St. Annaland Bob 14:43 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   

Purk, I may agree with you that ritual slaughter may cause cable to go 18950 at least

Sydney ACC 14:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
MasterCard Third-Quarter Profit Surges on Purchases (Update2)

By Will Edwards - Bloomberg

Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) -- MasterCard Inc., the credit-card company that went public in May, said third-quarter profit topped analysts' estimates as cardholders increased spending and the company charged fees on more overseas transactions.

Net income rose 82 percent to $193 million, or $1.42 a share, from $106.1 million, or 79 cents, a year earlier, the Purchase, New York-based company said in a statement today. The company was expected to earn $1.07 a share, the average estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial.

The amount of money charged using the company's cards increased 15 percent to $502 billion. Consumer credit in the U.S. grew at a 2.6 percent annual rate in August, according to Federal Reserve statistics, and a drop in gasoline prices since then has spurred cardholders to spend more on clothing, furniture and computers.

jkt-aye 14:35 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
gbpusd
for me it look like that we are now in the same consolidation phase on 09/22-25 hourly chart. any comment ? tia

london mamun 14:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 14:09 GMT November 1, 2006
shall i start long usd now? please advice?

austin mw 14:31 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 15:13 GMT October 31, 2006
eur$ sold short 2762
open order hit O/N @ 2750
now let us see what happens today
gt gl to all

The Netherlands Purk 14:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Well, movements are goig to happen into ny again, so cable shorters be aware of the fact that it can be a long run with quick downmoves. I am going to wait for a nice jump to fall back... gee am i good with words or what....
e/j will see what happens when cable goes up.
But than again, maybe cable is set for a fall, think everybody is set for a jump....

Lahore FM 14:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
small long gbpjpy at 223.18 with 222.70 for stops.

Lahore FM 14:00 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Doc,if it can overcome 223.40 we can see it go much higher is all i have to say on the pair.gtgl.

GVI john 13:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
In the latest monthly sentiment survey of professional forex dealers by global-view.com, the leading forex discussion website, sentiment for the USD against the EUR was virtually unchanged. The three-month ahead mean forecast for EUR/USD was 1.2804 from 1.2809 a month earlier. The EURUSD spot price at the mid-point (October 30 close) of when the survey was being conducted was 1.2730.

The GVI-Cumino Euro bull index (Range 0-100; 0 = most bearish, 100 = most bullish, 50 = neutral) was steady in the EUR/USD at 58 from 56 previously. The GVI-Cumino index uses a theoretical neutral option strategy to measure the intensity and direction of individual trader sentiment from price levels at the time when forecasts were made.

The USD/JPY mean dollar forecast turned sharply lower to 114.86 from 116.16 one month ago. The USD/JPY spot rate at the mid-point of when the survey was being conducted was 117.42. The GVI-Cumino dollar bull index turned more USD bearish. It was 30 after 41.

Traders expect the price of crude oil (WTI) to close at $58.33 in three-months time from the current spot vs. the previous $63.17 estimate.

In a special question, participants were asked if they thought that the EUR/JPY had peaked for 2006. 61% said yes while 29% said no.

For complete detailed survey results including history see:
Click to View

hong kong seek 13:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hong kong nt 11:32 GMT November 1, 2006
Has already loaded Nov/Dec calls but are dreaming/praying/waiting for a pullback to 58x this week to load more core spot. However, heavy short at 600 in bucket shops may imply 600 become strong support...

right..im waiting/preying/dreaming a $20~30 pullback...

Kreplakistan Dr Unken Katt 13:48 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
you Lahore are like a Forex robot
help us maintain our shorts
you have any view on cablehyena?

dc CB 13:46 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Is Canada a scary place to invest?

Lahore FM 13:43 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
sold audusd at 0.7750 with 60 bid for stop.

hk ab 13:40 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nt//maintained your dlr/cad short?

Lahore FM 13:39 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
for 119* pips

Lahore FM 13:37 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
closed remainder of usdcad long 1.1218 at 1.1237 for 129 pips cumulative profit.raised stops for nzdusd short to 0.6740 bid.

Gen dk 13:35 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

dc CB 13:33 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Trading stampede possible after Flaherty says trusts' tax advantages will end
Wed Nov 1, 8:20 AM

By James Dalziel

TORONTO (CP) - The Toronto stock market could face a trading stampede Wednesday after the federal government announced late Tuesday that income trusts will be taxed more like corporations.

After markets closed, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced tough new rules designed to curb conversions into income trusts, putting in doubt such plans by Telus Corp. (TSX:T) and BCE Inc. (TSX:BCE).

BCE said early Wednesday it will evaluate its options in the wake of Flaherty's restrictions and retirement home operator Extendicare Inc. (TSX:EXE) said its will delay its conversion plan.

Income trusts pay much less tax than corporations as they make regular cash distributions to unitholders, shifting the tax burden to those investors. Conversions have routinely driven companies' stock higher.

The Canadian dollar opened at 88.43 cents US, down 0.61 of a cent.

San Juan Lil 13:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
This is Adam Athens yesterday post from TrendWays--see Link on Left Side Menu (Warm Greetings To You):

EUR/USD: Model EUR positive. Long EUR preferred at 1.2705-10 and/or 1.2670-75 with some risk below 1.2660...Take partial profit on longs if failing to clear 1.2750-65.

USD/CHF: Model USD negative. Short USD preferred at 1.2500-05 and/or 1.2535-45 with some risk above 1.2570-75...Take partial profit on shorts if failing to clear 1.2450-65..

USD/JPY: Model USD negative. Short USD preferred at 117.85-95 and 118.30-35 with moderate risk above 118.40...Take partial profit on shorts if failing to clear 117.10.

GBP/USD: Model GBP positive. Long GBP preferred at 1.8960-70 and/or 1.8875-85 with some risk below 1.8835...Take partial profit on longs if failing to clear 1.9040-45 and more ahead of 1.9070.

lugano fc 13:00 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
lugano fc 10:41 GMT November 1, 2006
bought usdjpy 117 stop 116.75
sold gbpusd 1.9095 stop 1.9110

**************

stop gbp at entry

Philadelphia Caba 12:50 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
loonie tricky now, took out placed s/l, will sell more around 1.1370 if seen, manual stop above 1.1425

Philadelphia Caba 12:47 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Sold usd/cad at 1.1335, s/l 1.1370, t/p 1.1200

CT Cris 12:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 05:39 GMT November 1, 2006
===


will continue during Europe sideways . between the levels 19065 and 19090.
buy if breaks 19090 sell if breaks 19065. confirmed by close of 3 bars 5 mins chart.
=====
cable confirmed it uptrend.

Gen dk 12:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

CT Cris 12:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 07:02 GMT November 1, 2006
CT Cris 06:42 GMT November 1, 2006

your candle had a special color code so you avoided what you said you would do.

====
as I told you yestrday ,you need to change your brain to understand.
no special color as you understood..candles have 2colors
red for bearish blue for bullish.
good traders did not short any candle in blue color.

istanbul bg 12:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
i am not an expert but it seems we should not be opposite to the trendline.

bdg pdi 12:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
imho ...cable resistance at 1.9130 . may be save for short position with stop above there.

USA 12:04 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
should buy or sell GBP?? Short term strategy.. Comments please...

hk ab 11:44 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nt//fully concur. especially many couples get married these 2 months...............

Mumbai NS 11:39 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
KL Vijay 11:30 GMT November 1, 2006

Hi Vijay actually all i am saying is that till we get a signal we can't say a dollar bottom is formed . If u ask my opinion though my heart says close to a bottom but my mind finds no signal at all .Infact i strongly feel we can go to more lows from here i won't be surprised if 1.9140 is taken out this time and if 1.2880 is taken out i will hold back buying dollars.The reason is usdjpy it has given easy money for the last 4 months to any carry model player and if they reverse their position u can see the titanic sink of usdjpy and that can see a spillover effect on other majors.My hands are twitching so short cbl but out of experience i am holding back but am looking if at all to buy dollars thru this pair but not till i find a sign which is still a zero for me now at this moment.

gl gt

The Netherlands Purk 11:38 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Nothing to say really about e/j. Keeping the acount lively by taking 20's on the cable. It did not work out yesterday, i was too early with shorting (19076) But i closed anyway at 19070 because indeed we are in some kind of uptrend.
Looking e/u to touch 12812-40 BUT this depends of the move this week. Nobody knows where the reversal is...
Who is this Mariken Clitisha anyway... people are hunting me down still.
ZEUS you keep on going now, dont pay attention to the people who hate succes.. The book of love...

hong kong nt 11:32 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hk ab 11:13 GMT November 1, 2006

Has already loaded Nov/Dec calls but are dreaming/praying/waiting for a pullback to 58x this week to load more core spot. However, heavy short at 600 in bucket shops may imply 600 become strong support...

KL Vijay 11:30 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Mumbai NS 10:36 GMT November 1, 2006

NS, are you seeing a dollar bottom at current levels?

USA Zeus 11:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Nimweghen Clitisha Mariken (Spoof Bob) 07:20 GMT November 1, 2006

Hey spineless "spoof Bob"!
What is your opinion of the post below? LMAO!!
Hopefully there was a real clogman who has benefited-


USA Zeus 08:34 GMT November 1, 2006
Think GBP/USD could see a pop if 1.9074 is broken in the next few mins.

lugano fc 11:17 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Palermo guido 11:08 GMT November 1, 2006



fin che continuo a guadagnare chiamami pure come vuoi.

io di dollari non ne voglio proprio avere. ne per idee economiche ne morali.

hk ab 11:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nt//I think gold has started its winter move. I may go long at dma 5.

hong kong nt 11:11 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
lugano fc 10:49 GMT November 1, 2006

FXCx and SAXx medium term bullish view on USD is pretty bearish sign per se...

Palermo guido 11:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
lugano fc 10:46 GMT November 1, 2006
We have a word for people that think like you..how you say it.."Baccala"...

geneva jfo 10:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Haifa ac : I wld appreciate if yu give yr suggestions in E/usd
from actual levels
Thks by frwd

lugano fc 10:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
...and please dont tell about interest differential....at the end they cannot help a currency. i remember italian lira with 15/20 % interest but continuing to slide (against chf lost 90% of value in 10 years)

central bankers are also swichting away from usd....just they cannot do all in once ofcourse ... sometimes they need to bring up the usd in order to reduce their position....

lugano fc 10:46 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hi FM .... dont be offset....if you remember they are the big usd bulls that are little bit nervous about their position ;-))

i repeat for all ... the usd has no value, should be traded on a per kg price like junk paper ;-)))

Lahore FM 10:43 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
for NS and AC i was just conveying my feelings re the market.i have no affilation with any currency as i buy or sell for value alone.

NS i really am not irked by anything or anyone.gtgl.

ABHA FXS 10:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CLOSED ALL POSTION..
LONG GBPUSD 9092
LONG EURUSD 2753
SHORT USDJPY 117.03

lugano fc 10:41 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
bought usdjpy 117 stop 116.75
sold gbpusd 1.9095 stop 1.9110

Mumbai NS 10:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
FM hi hope u r doing fine frd seems u r a lot annoyed with someone or something but the fact is thing are coming close to a bottom in dollar where none of us know nor are masters but ''salutary'' means nothing mate 'cause there is no prize for us if our calls turn out wrong .It hardly matters what happens to dollar and neither writing about such salutations lead to betterment for any country.Frd suggest we can keep our cool
and appreciate ur views a lot all the best cheers!

Aus Stu 10:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cable achingly close to a glory run, is today the day? ISM will decide methinks, US data now released in the wee hours here downunder courtesy of d/light saving, very frustrating.

Madrid mm 10:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Market Focus IMHO Wednesday:

Confidence in ADP employment data is building. Sharp strength or sharp weakness would undoubtedly cause a stir and upstage the ISM report.

Lahore FM 10:32 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 09:16 GMT November 1, 2006
sold gbpusd at 1.9086 with stops at 1.9105 bid.

-----------
stopped.

Haifa AC,what is a belletristics effect,lolz...

Haifa ac 10:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 09:51 GMT November 1, 2006
..."a salutary effect "//

??

This is a Forex forum. YOu must stop with all these belletristics.

Lahore FM 10:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
long usdjpy 116.98 with 116.80 bid for stop.

London Iain 10:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
chart on gvi blog..

This chart shows the overall, expected pattern. Notice the 3 legged nature of the fall from 1.9140 to 1.8520 within the downward channel (orange) - this is distinctly corrective and points to a new high above 1.9140 in the days/weeks ahead. The move higher should be a terminal 5th wave to a lasting top - possibly for the whole of 2007.

The only concern to this view is that the current rise to 1.9100 is still only 3 legs. If this rally fails and a sharper pullback commences the alternate interpretation is that we are going sideways in a triangle.. this doesn't alter the overall view that we see an eventual new high above 1.9140 to complete the entire pattern from 1.7040.

ABHA FXS 10:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Short Usdjpy 117.06 Stop 117.55 T OPEN

hong kong nt 09:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
AB -- re: GOLD: you may consider to buy 1 x Dec 570 put now @ 5 + step buy 1 x Dec 640 call @ 9 , 6.5 and 4.5. Upside target is $700. The 1 x Dec 570 put is act as insurance, you may get back your initial premium if gold sinks to 545..fwiw..

Lahore FM 09:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
correction*

Lahore FM 09:51 GMT November 1, 2006
the latest upswing in usdcad*

--------------
the next natural candidate is usdjpy.

out till laterz.

hong kong seek 09:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
kl kl -- if u are around , view on gold pls ..gt and gl

Lahore FM 09:51 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
the latest upswing will one way or the other have a salutary effect on USD.looking forward to how it unfolds from here.

out till laterz.

Lahore FM 09:39 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
small short nzdusd at 0.6705 with 0.6730 bid for stop.

Lahore FM 09:35 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 07:15 GMT October 26, 2006
53* pips

Caba.that aud/nzd long idea was a trade of the week after all.anyways now short 1.1614.with 100 pips for stop.
-----------------------------------

closed remainder at 1.1530 offer for cumulative gain of 84 pips.had closed part earlier at 1.1550.

ABHA FXS 09:32 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CORRCTION.........

EURUSD STOP 1.2680
GBPUSD STOP 1.8980

ABHA FXS 09:24 GMT November 1, 2006
Added 3 Postion Long Eurusd 1.2752 stop 1.2730 T 2831

ABHA FXS 09:22 GMT November 1, 2006
Added 2 Postion Long Gbpusd 1.9086 stop 1.9065 T 9200+

ABHA FXS 09:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Added 3 Postion Long Eurusd 1.2752 stop 1.2730 T 2831

ABHA FXS 09:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Added 2 Postion Long Gbpusd 1.9086 stop 1.9065 T 9200+

Lahore FM 09:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
San Juan Lil 09:14 GMT November 1, 2006
Thanx Lil,though being an angel is easy.i do the tougher job of being a human.Thanx sentiment conveyed.gtgl.


Zeus i understand.no peoblem at all.all the best!

Lahore FM 09:16 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
sold gbpusd at 1.9086 with stops at 1.9105 bid.

San Juan Lil 09:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Hello everyone!

Lahore...........

THANK YOU soooooooo much for your generous posts. You are an angel. I LOVE your style.

Lahore FM 09:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
khi ad 09:08 GMT November 1, 2006
shud top around 0.7750/60 as already stretched some.some banks doubt if there would be a hike at all next week by RBA.can be a cautious sell with stops around 70.

Madrid mm 09:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Hello FX Jedi,

1st November 2006 - News Highlights

North Korea says it will return to 6-party talks, It will seek discussion of lifting of financial sanctions - KNCA .

Japan will maintain sanctions against N Korea despite Pyongyang's agreement to return to 6-party talks. Japan Foreign Minister Taro Aso welcomes N Korea return to talks, but says Japan will continue sanctions and will continue to demand that N Korea give up all its nuclear weapons and existing nuclear programme - Kyodo.

Chief Cabinet Sec Yasuhisa Shiozaki says the Japanese government welcomes N Korea's unconditional return to talks, but says Japan will continue sanctions against Pyongyang - Bloomberg.

Canadian MoF Jim Flaherty, in surprise move which breaks campaign promise, announces tax changes to level playing field between income trusts and corporations, proposes taxing trust distribution, cutting corporation taxes.

Japan PM Shinzo Abe, in FT interview, says "unfortunately, we have not reached target of growing out of deflation." Hope BoJ would underpin recovery through monetary policy, rules out formal commitment from BoJ on inflation target.

NZ Finmin Michael Cullen says Kiwi is "stubbornly high", though he adds that inflation remains "uncomfortably high".

IMF China Chief's Steve Dunaway comments that CNY has risen more rapidly, but pace of appreciation still too slow.

BBC News: Hezbollah's leader has confirmed that indirect talks with Israel on a prisoner exchange are under way, describing them as "serious". Hezbollah's TV station.

Aussie building approvals for Sept +6.1%m/m.

Quiet markets after US selloff on US data, with focus on huge 117 USD/JPY expiry, as market players now looking to sell at 117, while Japanese importers, mega-city banks buy at 116.50-60.

Still talks of Japanese, funds, and real money interest to buy AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, probably carry trades, but both Aussie, Kiwi coming off after hitting 5-half mth highs 0.7758, NZD 8-half mth highs.

NZD dipped initially on NZ Finmin Michael Cullen verbal intervention from 0.6720-25 to 0.6680, before rising again to 0.6740 on stoploss buying as large big 4 Australian banks and funds bought to hit stoploss above 0.6725-30 and then down again. AUD options at 0.7800.

CAD sold off across the board as market players read the surprise tax changes by Finmin Flaherty as negative, hurting CAD, sentiment. USD/CAD rose to 1.1275-80, from 1.1215-20 as market players continue to monitor the negative effects of the surprise tax moves.

CAD still under pressure, as Londoners and N Americans are likely to react to the news of the tax changes, which came after markets closing. USD/CAD stoploss orders above 1.1300, CAD/JPY could come under fresh selling, and EUR/CAD, AUD/CAD higher.

CNY continues to hit new high 7.8718, though little direct impact on USD/JPY, USD/Asians.. EUR/USD capped by options related offers ahaed of 1.2800 triggers, eye Fed Bernanke, ISM, pending home sales. GBP supported on EUR/GBP sales, eye BoE Lomax today.

Nikkei -24.13pts at 16,375. JGBs little changed after BoJ Fukui yest, 10-year yield unchanged at 1.710%.

Asian FX ranges: USD/JPY 116.75/117.03, EUR/USD 1.2755/1.2769, GBP/USD 1.9063/1.9090, USD/CHF 1.2434/1.2446, AUD/USD 0.7733/0.7757, NZD/USD 0.6688/0.6642.

khi ad 09:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
any comments on aussie/usd

Gen dk 08:59 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Naples DC 08:46 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Closed half € short at 1.2745, holding the rest with trailing stop at b/e

Yorkshire Master Trader 08:36 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Qindex - if you are around.. whats your view on euro. Guess we will not see the lows you anticipated. TIA

USA Zeus 08:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Think GBP/USD could see a pop if 1.9074 is broken in the next few mins. Otherwise cancel idea.

GL GT

USA Zeus 08:29 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 08:22 GMT November 1, 2006

FM friend- No worries. Was a reference to someone else trying to criticize oil man then you as a last ditch effort to justify their poor signals and draw attention to himself.
As you know, always appreciate your posts.

GT & Cheers! :-)

Lahore FM 08:27 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
closed 1.2447 usdchf long at 1.2447.


amended stop for 1.2422 long lowering it from 1.2380 to 1.2350.

Bahrain Bahrain1 08:23 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Bahrain Bahrain1 05:22 GMT November 1, 2006
Hi Friends....its also good to short EURCAD, here at 65/70, add more at 1.4390 with stop at 1.4420. GL.

stopped at -55pips. GD.
Still think we sell the rallies. GL.

hong kong nt 08:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
london carl 07:52 GMT November 1, 2006
nt - some tax loophole being closed in Canada - reason for the CAD shorting

thanks, i just try to "sell on fact"...

Lahore FM 08:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 07:02 GMT November 1, 2006

As for FM and oil man with your recently tageted attacks it would seem you are growing desperate for attention.

Perhaps you should join Khalid and take a refreshing break to clear your thoughts.
--------------------------
grabbing attention is truly thelast thing on my mind.it is just that our friend Oil man acts paranoid and conspicuous some times.he may,i don't have any problem with any poster.wish you and the rest bestof trades!

istanbul bg 08:21 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
morning all.

gl - gt

Lahore FM 08:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Vienna GD 07:56 GMT November 1, 2006

yes GD i read your posts.also thanks.

London C,many thanx.

Lahore FM 08:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 20:24 GMT October 31, 2006
long usdcad at 1.1217 with 1.1170 bid for stops

------------------

closed in part at 1.1312 for 95 pips.stops for the rest at 1.1240 from earlier 1.1170.

Shanghai beyond_destiny 08:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
short euro 1.275 t/p 1.254

stay away from yen crosses(chfyen down, cadyen down+, ausyen flat, gbpyen/euryen sliding) and cable (opposite side of euro and.

Eurgbp is a short, but too low to entry.

long 1/3@1.599 more usd/sgd t/p 1.6...finally, we will see a up trend for usdsgd over the yr.

hong kong nt 08:05 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Toronto MRC 07:50 GMT November 1, 2006
usdcad moving higher...$strength

audusd moving higher...$strength?

Vienna GD 07:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 20:24 GMT October 31, 2006
long usdcad at 1.1217 with 1.1170 bid for stops

FM ... i noticed your trades yesterday ... now this is the payback for you ... really appreciate that, Nice!!!
(btw: double happy, because i also bot at 1.1215).
Did you notice my posts for you re FuMo. Really amazing this time.

london carl 07:52 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nt - some tax loophole being closed in Canada - reason for the CAD shorting

London C 07:51 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Lahore FM 20:24 GMT October 31, 2006
long usdcad at 1.1217 with 1.1170 bid for stops

great trade!

Toronto MRC 07:50 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
usdcad moving higher...$strength
usdcrude down...almost 80% corelation

is gold going to reverse shortly after moving through downtrend line? could be interesting.

Shanghai beyond_destiny 07:50 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Loonie may just fly if it breaks 1.14 this time.

Completely miss the boat and could be tricky to seek an entry now.

hong kong nt 07:49 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/CAD -- sell small at 1.1315...

hong kong nt 07:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD -- patterns in early March to mid Apr may repeat here, i.e. 300-350 pips up followed by 200-250 pips correction. last bottom is noted at 1.248, so we may expect 1.278-1.283 short term top and possible correction to 1.26..fwiw..

Como Perrie 07:26 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
There's now a comet in the evening sky. Scientists have been tracking it for some while with telescopes, but last week, it flared up so brightly, it became visible to the naked eye. I want to see it for myself before I decide what kind of message it carries. Clouds, though, so far, have hidden it from my view.


(Comet 'Swan' can only be seen in the northern hemisphere. It appears against the constellation Hercules high above the zodiac. But, if you were to trace its position down to the ecliptic for interpretation purposes, it would currently have a position of roughly 3degrees Sagittarius.)

Shanghai beyond_destiny 07:20 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Break of 1.248-1.25 of swissie will see short-covering and ECB deicision & relatively good NFP will accelerate the gain to 1.272-1.276 area and then we will talk about whether it breaks the upper band to t/p 1.29.

1.26 is the magic # this yr of euro and swissie...

Nimweghen Clitisha Mariken (Purks auntie) 07:20 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 07:17 GMT

I was asking CT for his opinion.

USA Zeus 07:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Will be off the forum for some time so the "crack is whack" posters can feed off of each other.

hong kong nt 07:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
poland piotr 07:12 GMT November 1, 2006

hope to see 115.25/75 by Friday, expect 115-117 for time being..fwiw..

USA Zeus 07:17 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Nimweghen Clitisha Mariken (Purks auntie) 07:07 GMT November 1, 2006

Your second spoof post on the forum and you want to forget about all the gains taken into the "retrace" before the trend continuance?
Even those where profits were taken aggressively (+60) and the support level was posted with tight profit stops? Why doen't you come out of your shell and call yourself sponge bob?-


USA Zeus 11:09 GMT October 31, 2006
This is where the support is. Let's see if it cracks.
Out for a coupla hours.

USA Zeus 11:07 GMT October 31, 2006
How bad do the dealers want to target 1.8953?

USA Zeus 11:02 GMT October 31, 2006
thinned some more GBP/USD @ 60 for +60 net.
Leaving the rest with tight stop for a chance to crack it!

USA Zeus 10:58 GMT October 31, 2006
Buenos Aires 10:54

YW :-)

You may want to take some off here @ 67 for +41 in the fat man's game and let the rest ride. Tighten stops up and watch yesterday's low.

USA Zeus 15:02 GMT October 30, 2006
Are we about to see a retrace from the recent runup in GBP/USD?

tokyo ginko 07:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
add more long usd/cad.

major shift in investment outflow for cad FWIW

hong kong nt 07:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
GOLD -- for short term momentum sellers, 605-610 is a sell for 585-590..fwiw..

poland piotr 07:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nt,

whats the tp for short usd/yen. thx

hong kong nt 07:11 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
GOLD -- 588 is a good r/r level to buy if market decides to retrace from 610 here..fwiw..

hong kong nt 07:08 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/JPY -- take some profit, set trailing stop, feel somewhat relaxing, go out for a walk. Prisoners at 119 may get cooked at 115...

Nimweghen Clitisha Mariken (Purks auntie) 07:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 06:42 GMT

What is your opinion of the posts below CT?

USA Zeus 11:07 GMT October 31, 2006
How bad do the dealers want to target 1.8953?

Buenos Aires
You can move your stop to or just below 1.8908 if that was your entry price.

Sure. Put the stop @ .36 for safety. No target except to take out the low 1.8953.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
This forum is not for competition for space and pips. It is for sharing ideas. How ever arrogant the Oil Man sounded to some he at least gave us a view of why he took his positions. He did this FREE of charge and I can only judge what a person does now or in the past (not in the future). So if people are accusing him of taking to much space then look around. I for one am appreciative of positive contributions so I must say we will miss his comments in general. I have seen this year after year were good people that contribute their ideas here have to go away. Hopefully we will see Oil Man's comments again soon. I will have to take a break from this Mother Teresa act I must be sounding very dull by now. Time to lurk again until the forum cools off I guess. In the meantime watch your pips and your manners. Peace and GT

USA Zeus 07:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 06:42 GMT November 1, 2006

LOL- You are posting strange and funny comments lately. It is ok to take a loss just that you seem to hide from your losses with silly excuses and taunt and tout with chest thumps when you are right predicting the market would stall when it ran out of gas.

I counted 4 missed cues yesterday when you suggested buying before GBP/USD fell then said you would go short right into a massive surge only later to say your candle had a special color code so you avoided what you said you would do.

Again it is ok to be wrong but your silly way of sluffing losses off and flashing the bling on any that do work is comical. Had your mis-cues worked after the fact you would claim them all as I have yet to see you explain why any of your signals that worked were not taken but you readily have excuses for all your losses.

As for FM and oil man with your recently tageted attacks it would seem you are growing desperate for attention.

Perhaps you should join Khalid and take a refreshing break to clear your thoughts.

That is all. No need for us to continue with it now that it is all clear again.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:43 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Mtl JP 23:28 GMT October 31, 2006
Melbourne Qindex 00:18 GMT November 1, 2006

Good to see some good comments here once in a while. I feel that the $ bears are running out of steam for now. I believe they are just refueling at this stage. The market is looking for further fuel (NFP or any other fundamental drive) on way of the other. It is time to watch the mid term $ bear positions as they might be ready to unload and secure profits for a deeper correction IMHO. Peace and GT

CT Cris 06:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 06:15 GMT November 1, 2006
=====
you are here to attack my posts only.
as after my post FM called to short cable at 19001 with 19050
stop , which means 50 pips loss.
while if you apply my 10-15 pips s/l .

van Gecko 06:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   

U.K. J.B 17:51 GMT October 31.. thx & gl..

Johannesburg Whippet 18:54 GMT October 31.. your pleasant description for forum members here as "weird, retarded, & shitgoblins" are in direct conflict with "Whippet" temperament.. I suspect your breeders must have crossed up somewhere..
FYI.. that "Wall Street Gekko" and yours truly's handle are two different breed.. the former is depicted as ruthless whereas the other is linked to survival..


lots of Quacking going on.. close to 80dB noise levels across the board..
"April 23, 2006
.. the c9 indicator (c9X) is a subset of my 'Quacking Duck Contrarian' (QDC) indicator..
As with the QDC, c9X usually occurs after the market had made a move to some intermediate or short term high/low levels..
Good risk adjusted short & mid term fading opportunities can be have in addition to its exuberant hindsight cheerleading values.. "

USA Zeus 06:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 06:14 GMT November 1, 2006

LOL- So your signals are only valid if they work to your benefit later- gotcha.
BTW- my candle was orange.

CT Cris 06:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 06:06 GMT November 1, 2006
What happened to this on the major crack higher?

CT Cris 14:07 GMT October 31, 2006
====
I will short 19010.
======
Simply ,I did not short ,cause candle was blue at that level.

USA Zeus 06:10 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Personally, I have found that entry prices can be random. Most important is how you manage the trade for size exposure and when/where to get out for minimum loss and max benefit.

USA Zeus 06:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
What happened to this on the major crack higher?

CT Cris 14:07 GMT October 31, 2006
====
I will short 19010.

USA Zeus 05:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 05:51 GMT November 1, 2006

Very rarely would anything have changed after the flows died off but if you want to take credit for predicting nothing to happen when no one was left to trade then cheers!

CT Cris 05:51 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus 05:44 GMT November 1, 2006
=====
not always market turned into sideways in narrow path,
after big rise , sometimes it reverse big too , my system can
show that , and I posted here in just few words.

USA Zeus 05:44 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 05:39 GMT November 1, 2006

Yes market was exhausted and had no fuel for any major reactions as the world stopped trading after the big moves.

CT Cris 05:39 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 21:14 GMT October 31, 2006
===
it is sideways in narrow range.

as I said cable was in narrow range during asia , and will continue during Europe. between the levels 19065 and 19090.
buy if breaks 19090 sell if breaks 19065. confirmed by close of 3 bars 5 mins chart.

dc CB 05:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
tokyo ginko 05:01 GMT November 1, 2006

thanks...found this too

http://ca.news.finance.yahoo.com/01112006/6/finance-canada-energy-trust-bosses-warn-output-suffer.html

USA Zeus 05:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 05:06 GMT November 1, 2006

oil man posted all his contacts and his site and his blog, through this forum ,traders whom attacks others for the same
reason , did not say anything and they suggest to go direct to his site for the signals.
I think he occupied big space here for little benifits.
_________________________________________________
Perhaps sending people to his blog takes less space here for greater benefit there where he has charts, commentary etc.

Bahrain Bahrain1 05:22 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Hi Friends....its also good to short EURCAD, here at 65/70, add more at 1.4390 with stop at 1.4420. GL.

PHX RuGO 05:17 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CT Cris 05:06 GMT November 1, 2006
---
I don't see any conflict in this as long as he does this out of the goodness of his heart... Certainly, there's no reason to criticize those that give something back… even though, for some, this may be just a symbolic gesture. On the other hand, if those intentions are the impetus for something other than ‘charitable contributions’… well, let’s hope this is not the case with Oil man!

GER ad 05:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Long CAD/JPY at 103.90
50 pips S/L

CT Cris 05:06 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Zurich 22:40 GMT October 31, 2006
Cris Ct
========
oil man posted all his contacts and his site and his blog, through this forum ,traders whom attacks others for the same
reason , did not say anything and they suggest to go direct to his site for the signals.
I think he occupied big space here for little benifits.

tokyo ginko 05:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
http://www.canada.com/topics/finance/story.html?id=38c948ef-bdb1-4cf9-8d1c-d4b4d38f2018&k=26601

cad ==> 70cents ?

Tejas TMan 04:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/CAD just Tricked my Treat!

tokyo ginko 04:51 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hi all, gbp and eur gotta stop out last night. whaz up with usd/cad ? preparing for take off ?

Sydney ACC 04:40 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Last week's prediction of Friday's NFP was on the whole 125,000. Given that the data released since hasd been on teh soft side, has anyone seen a revision?

Mumbai NS 04:17 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
For those looking for irrationality in terms of lvls just typing an old trading adage 'Markets can long remain as what u perceive irrational till the time u become insolvent'. Gud luck learn from here exercise care n put stops.

gl gt

Mumbai NS 03:58 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Hi all

Seems BOJ+Kempo have left some high and dry but for now it's looking bad and blips provided by carry enthusiasts shuld be given as s/l is defined at 118.40 but abyss is not known still
and is a gud r/r to shorts on bounces.

Aussy looks a bit overstretched though and short here s/l .7763 is a good r/r.

gl gt

Syd 03:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
EUR/JPY May Fall To 148.47 Coming Days
Dow Jones technical analysis shows EUR/JPY negative biased with both daily MACD, stochastic indicators bearish, targeting 148.47 (Oct. 18 low) in coming days. EUR/JPY last at 149.21.

Syd 03:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Australian Prime Minister John Howard Wednesday warned the situation in Fiji could deteriorate rapidly.

The Australian government is concerned a coup will be mounted in Fiji - the fourth in the past two decades - and has issued a travel warning for the Pacific Island nation.

"Naval vessels are being prepared to help with the evacuation of Australians, if that should prove necessary," Howard told parliament.

"The situation is uncertain and could deteriorate quite rapidly, without warning."

Rye, NY et 02:56 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 21:01 GMT October 31, 2006
Sorry for the late reply...had to go out. What I have for today...
On the Upside: Trendline is at 1.2786, which is also an intra-day pivot. Could see a touch on this. (Although yesterday's high qualifies nicely as a touch, as well) These levels are so tight, that my stop is at 92. But, a break of 1.2786 opens the upside. No tails, flags or overshoots on this. As you know, my view is that we won't see a major break until the election but you have to play both sides,right? The open seems to indicate that we' ll have a two-way market again today. I would look for 1.2781 to cap. (Our friend Zeus will be happy to know that 1.2777 is also an intra-day pivot today, but I think the market will break it just to tempt his wrath) Sorry...now to your actual question: Downside: Yesterday's high was the 114.6 Fib of last week's upmove. Looking at retracements on the whole move would give: 76.4=1.2722, 61.8=1.2684, 50=1.2654,38.2=1.2624. I'm looking first for 1.2684, if, indeed we don't break through the T/L. Sorry for all the verbiage--just wanted to be clear....Good Trades...

USA Zeus 02:52 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Poland Piotr 01:54 GMT November 1, 2006
LOL-No tricking here- Always a treat watching the kids get all dressed up and having fun.

sydney gvm 02:09 GMT November 1, 2006
Such a scary frightful looking fella eh? LOL

GT! :-)

Syd 02:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Adrian Foster Director Foreign Exchange Strategist.Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein doesnt see a rate rise next week by the RBA says market overdone.

Bahrain Bahrain1 02:30 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Bahrain Bahrain1 16:10 GMT October 31, 2006
Bahrain Bahrain1 16:04 GMT October 31, 2006
ok we have a sell signal now.....sell above 75/80 if seen with stop at 95. GL
short now at 72 will add more at 80 if seen with stop at 95 GL.
will book profit at 50 if seen. GL.

Good morning Friends, order was done at 80 last n8....was short at 76......closed now at 63 +13 pips. Good day to you all.

sydney gvm 02:09 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
had a couple of very young dudes trock or treat me last night - Iopened the door roaring like an idiot - scared the b-jesus out of the little buggers - they both burst into tears so I had to off load all my treats in one go to stop 'em from bawling

Philadelphia Caba 02:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
GEP, did you get my e-mail?

Poland Piotr 01:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USA Zeus,

Knowing you, it will be more tricks than treats. LOL

USA Zeus 01:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Out trick or treating with the ghosts goblins and princesses while monitoring on this mobile thingy.

hong kong nt 01:41 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
HK_macau 01:20 GMT November 1, 2006

EUR/JPY 145-147, if seen, maybe good r/r buying levels for position buyers...

hong kong nt 01:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
CL -- aircraft.com buying heavy at 57-58 vs mass selling and shouting for 50, chart firing bullish divergence..fwiw..

Zurich 01:29 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba,

Either way no problem, am glad to long or short as long as it is profitable. Thanks

Philadelphia Caba 01:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Zurich 01:11 GMT
maybe,..take your pick.. I'm just seeing very strong resistence at 6720...if won't hold, than (depends on overall $ sentiment) Oil man can be right...

HK_macau 01:20 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
nt,

What do you think of eur/jpy. Seems stalled now. Thank YOu

hong kong nt 01:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
AB -- agree AUD/NZD is a buy at 1.15 and below for 1.17-1.18...

Poland Piotr 01:13 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Nt,

Based on your analysis looks like not much gas left on the bull run for cable. Hmm. Intersting. THX Pal

Zurich 01:11 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba,

Seems like Kiwi more likely to see 0.6750 then 0.6650??? Agree??? Thanks

hong kong nt 01:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Poland Piotr 00:54 GMT November 1, 2006
Hong Kong Nt, Whats your opinion on cable/usd, where does the bull stop??? Thanks

looking at price/yield of US 2/5/10 T-notes, expect to see 1% higher than last week's high this week. notice heavy selling at 1.890-1.900 in bucket shops and analysts issuing strong sell at said levels. Chartwise, it appears to be a BUY market since day 1 of 2006...

USA Zeus 01:02 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
See that lucky 1.2777's level has stopped EUR/USD cold in its tracks. Coiling to build energy for next cycle. Action should remain active next several sessions with periods of rest.

GT

Poland Piotr 00:54 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Hong Kong Nt,

Whats your opinion on cable/usd, where does the bull stop??? Thanks

hong kong nt 00:53 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Philadelphia Caba 00:42 GMT November 1, 2006
hong kong nt 00:40 GMT
nt, view on eur/chf, pls? tia!

I do not trade EUR/CHF. Chartwise, expect 1.585-1.610 in coming weeks..fwiw..

hong kong nt 00:48 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/CAD -- looks pretty bearish, 1.130 maybe top for some weeks..fwiw..

Philadelphia Caba 00:44 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Australian Building Approvals Plus 6.5 (2.1% Expected)

Philadelphia Caba 00:42 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hong kong nt 00:40 GMT

nt, view on eur/chf, pls? tia!

hong kong nt 00:40 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
EUR/GBP -- anything below .6700 is a buy for .6800/50..fwiw..

Austin TX cjg 00:39 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
austin mw 00:01 GMT November 1, 2006
Austin TX cjg 22:46 GMT October 31, 2006
I agree that market is overly pessimistic when it comes to the USD and it will probably stay that way until the NFP report Friday that may be the time to start getting long as employment and all the inputs in labor are the only thing keeping the FED from cutting rates.


Don't forget about the impending doom shadowing the United States. AKA Inflation :)

I agree that Friday NFP should be a wild one. Thanks for the reply

hong kong seek 00:37 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hong kong nt 00:18 GMT November 1, 2006
many thx ...
Dec 680C is still very cheap ...hope to get a X10 lottery ....XDDDD

hong kong nt 00:34 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
AB -- still maintain simple view of .65-.70 for NZD/USD. NZD/JPY and possible bottom building in commodity fronts are not good signs for NZD bears...

hong kong nt 00:25 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/CHF -- good size stop loss hiding at 1.2350/80, yummy hunt...

Zurich 00:24 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Cannes Oil Man,

If you are around your view on KIWI pls. TIA

hong kong nt 00:19 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/JPY -- for intra-day momentum seller, 117.25/35 maybe a sell..fwiw..

dc CB 00:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
I would think that there would be extreme unhappiness with sub 117 level in USD/JPY...in certain circles.

hong kong nt 00:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hong kong seek 00:14 GMT November 1, 2006

range not so important, just need $20 pullback to load enough spot, enough call options for rest of 2006...

Melbourne Qindex 00:18 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market will dissipate its upward momentum when it is trading below 1.2760.

hong kong nt 00:15 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
USD/JPY -- market maybe likely to inflict more pain onto those buying at 119...

hong kong seek 00:14 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
morning nt , expect gold range 600~680 this mth !

hong kong nt 00:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hong kong nt 12:52 GMT October 28, 2006
AB -- Just work out 1.3388 as most updated medium term target for Euro. 1.2688 maybe good buy...

Trailing stop in force...

Philadelphia Caba 00:12 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hk ab, how's your aud/nzd longs, did you get in some yet?

hong kong nt 00:07 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
hong kong nt 14:52 GMT October 30, 2006
More than half bucket shops are still calling for buying dollar on any dips. Rest are calling for sell dollar at very high level eg USD/YEN 119. Expect heavy margin call at USD/YEN 115-116..

hong kong nt 09:22 GMT October 30, 2006
USD/JPY -- expect 115.5-118.0 this week...

Trailing stop profit now...

austin mw 00:01 GMT November 1, 2006 Reply   
Austin TX cjg 22:46 GMT October 31, 2006
I agree that market is overly pessimistic when it comes to the USD and it will probably stay that way until the NFP report Friday that may be the time to start getting long as employment and all the inputs in labor are the only thing keeping the FED from cutting rates.
The slowdown that the US is experiencing is a one maybe two quarter event then we see a pick up in either Q1 or Q2 of 2007 and maybe even as early as Q4 of 2006. As for my feeling the FED is still very much in the picture and the market is discounting it at least up to this point. If you are a growth player then you are begging for rate cuts and if inflation hawk then hikes.
I might add that the data from the E12 hasn't been all that great in itself. Inflation running below ECB mandate and with recent price action in oil should stay that way. VAT coming in January all spell slower growth. gt to all