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Forex Forum Archive for 04/04/2012

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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dc CB 23:48 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
On the now infamous Ron Paul/ Bernanke silver raid of February 29th, we documented how 225 million ounces of silver were dumped on the market over a span of only 30 minutes, smashing silver $4 from $37.62 to $33.68.

In a sign of the diminishing returns of paper market manipulation, on the heels of today's Fed minutes disappointment, beginning at 2pm EST, over 127,000 contracts, or 637.535 MILLION OUNCES OF PAPER SILVER were dumped on the market in only 1 hour, resulting in a massive silver decline of.... $0.65.

Nearly 80% of ENTIRE ANNUAL WORLD MINING SUPPLY was dumped on the market (during the thinly traded Globex session), over a single hour

Bratislava Emil 23:43 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
I apologise, I meant what amount of Eurchf is SNB able to realise according to their links to other banks.What amount it could be?I have heard there are about 20bln eurchf SL under 1.20 . Are they able to absorb it in short period of time?Thanks.

Bratislava Emil 23:17 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Daily XauUsd,XagUsd ,EurUsd ,EurGbp,DJI potential head and shoulders could happen.
Daily Gbpusd has an hammer,EurUsd right on the trendline.SOB preffered strategy.

Auckland Shaggie 23:10 GMT April 4, 2012
Sheep will stop trembling at the sight of a New Zealand male,before this occurs.....Dont know who writes this drivel..

Sydney ACC 23:04 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
The two countries will field a common Rugby team before this happens.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/currency/9186360/Australia-and-New-Zealand-could-adopt-single-currency.html

Syd 23:04 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Thorsten Polleit, honorary professor at Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, told CNBC, "there is an economic law saying that if too much money is chasing too few goods sooner or later prices will come up and that is inflation and we are at the moment in a situation where the central banks keep printing money."

link

Chicago DV 22:57 GMT April 4, 2012
No limit?

Bratislava Emil 22:45 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
I mean your guess totally

Bratislava Emil 22:41 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
What are the limits for banks in eurchf for SNB anyone has an idea?

Syd 22:41 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
“If one looks at the leading indicators, all signs are flashing green -- the turn is coming if it is not here already,” Dimon said today in a letter today to shareholders of New York-based JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank by assets. “We don’t want to be blindly optimistic, but the facts are the facts.”

bloomberg

GVI Forex john bland 22:08 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   



April 4, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 5. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Canadian employment and CPI data will now permanently be released at 12:30 GMT.

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: CH- CPI. UK- Ind/Mfg Output. DE- Ind Output.
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobs, Nat Gas. CA- Employment, Ivey PMI.


philadelphia caba 22:05 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
==> 25 yards reported. cpi and currency reserves data tomorrow

Syd 21:59 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Considering the treacherous environment, for insights we turned to one of the best gold traders we know, esteemed commodities trader Dennis Gartman..

And he tells us he was dismayed by the sell-off earlier in the week, “it was wrong and ill-advised,” he says.

dc CB 21:53 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
(Reuters) - JPMorgan Chase & Co CEO Jamie Dimon received $23.1 million in compensation in 2011, an 11 percent increase from the previous year, the company said in a public filing on Wednesday.
Dimon, 56, was paid a bonus of $4.5 million and given $17 million in stock and options on top of $1.4 million in salary, according to a disclosure using a format specified by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The previous year Dimon had received total compensation of $20.8 million, including a $5 million bonus and stock instruments worth $14.2 million.

Dimon's pay as head of the biggest U.S. bank by assets was higher than that of chiefs of the other three banks which have more $1 trillion in assets. At Wells Fargo & Co, the fourth biggest bank, CEO John Stumpf received $19.8 million, up about 5 percent from 2010, and Citigroup Inc CEO Vikram Pandit received $14.9 million, up from a nominal one dollar in 2010, according to the SEC formula.

At Bank of America Corp, the second biggest U.S. bank, CEO Brian Moynihan received $8.1 million, more than four times as much as he received in 2010.

dc CB 21:31 GMT April 4, 2012
Mtl JP 20:54 GMT

Hey the CFTC and Gary Gensler are ON THE JOB!.
Why just this week the wernt after the RBC...those Canuck Crooks for trades they put in back in 2005.

Later this week you'll be reading headlines anncing a Major Justice Department Criminal Investigation, headed by Atty Gen Eric Holder his-self, (according to people familiar with the investigation but not permitted to speak publically)...naming Gordon Gecko as the head of a Huge Insider Trading network... in operation since 1987. This will be a Major Prosecution for the Obama Administration...which is finally fullfilling the O's campaign pledge to hold those responsible for the Financial Meltdown of 2008 for any "Wrongdoing".

dc CB 21:09 GMT April 4, 2012


Spot Gold and the 50 Week MA

GVI Forex Blog 21:05 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
The euro slumped to its lowest level against the dollar in three weeks on Wednesday after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the euro zone economic outlook is subject to downside risks, leaving the door open for more policy action.

FOREX NEWS - Euro falls to 3-week low vs dollar as ECB and Fed diverge

GVI Forex Blog 20:59 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
AUD yesterday clearly broke below trend support dating from 4 Oct 2011 with bearish medium-term implications but near term, it is due for a minor intraday bounce towards 1.0350. NZD should similarly stage a corrective bounce towards 0.8200 today, but further out a break below March’s range at 0.8060 looks likely.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

Mtl JP 20:54 GMT April 4, 2012
CB 20:40 -re regulators have penalized ... settled and agreed to pay a fine...
-
lets be frank: the bullsh!t is multiple
a) it is not penalty not a fine, just a licence fee
b) it reflects on fundamental problem in society: too many rules and regs and either inability or unwillingness to apply them.
d) a+b=menadicity and -> distrust
-
which also seems to lead to confusion.
See Syd 20:30. The guy migh have been a good shot. But if he can't figure out the proper target there is still a long long way to go to clear thing out.
--

dc CB 20:40 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
When Lehman Brothers collapsed at the height of the financial crisis, JPMorgan Chase was at the center of the storm. The bank was a major lender to the firm, which filed the biggest bankruptcy in United States history.
Now, more than three years later, regulators have penalized JPMorgan for actions tied to Lehman’s demise.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed a civil case against JPMorgan on Wednesday, the first federal enforcement case to stem from Lehman’s downfall.

The bank settled the Lehman matter and agreed to pay a fine of approximately $20 million.

The Lehman action stems from the questionable treatment of customer money — an issue that has been at the forefront of the recent outcry over MF Global. JPMorgan was also intimately involved in the final days of that brokerage firm.
The trading commission accused JPMorgan of overextending credit to Lehman for roughly two years leading up to its bankruptcy in 2008.

d#ealbook.nytimes.com

GVI Forex john bland 20:37 GMT April 4, 2012

  • Key Items: CH- CPI, UK- Ind/Mfg Output, US- Weekly Jobs, CA- Employment, Ivey PMI.

  • Markets continue to adjust to the latest Fed Minutes. The focus now is whether jobs data on Friday will reinforce or moderate the latest positive USD sentiment. 

  • The EZ Services PMI was revised higher from the flash estimate, but remained below (49.1) the "50" economic expansion line. The U.K. Services PMI was also stronger than forecast. The U.S. Services PMI was a touch weaker than expected, but at a high level.

  • The ECB policy decision (one day early) contained no surprises. ECB President Draghi remains something of a policy dove. The BOE decision is due on Thursday. No rate changes are expected.. 

  • Markets (except for U.S.) should start to wind down now for the Easter break which will extend through Monday for many centers. 

  • The EURUSD is now trading below its key 1.3217 20-day average.

  • The U.S.10-yr is currently  at 2.23%, -5bps and the German bund ended at 1.79%. -1 bp. Bond markets are a barometer of market confidence.

Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc, needed and greatly appreciated!

GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Key Items: CH- CPI, UK- Ind/Mfg Output, US- Weekly Jobs, CA- Employment, Ivey PMI. Markets continue to adjust to the latest Fed Minutes. The focus now is whether jobs data on Friday will reinforce or moderate the latest positive USD sentiment.

Forex Trading Talk 00:00 GMT 5 April 2012

Syd 20:30 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
A man shot and killed himself in the middle of Syntagma Square in Athens this morning, the location which has been the center of protests in Greece.

businessinsider.com

dc CB 20:30 GMT April 4, 2012
Quote of the Day:

ECB President Draghi Press Conference- Says banks not addicted to cheap financing

KL KL 20:20 GMT April 4, 2012
Top of the day.... no problem keeping gold shorts.....some 1/3 from 1695......and some 1/3 from 1683....and 1/4 from yesterday 1644......that is ninja accumulate style short.....LOL

Now waiting for dip in thin markets....all have trailling stops till 1635....so no problem from a short perspective. Thinking to long and cover soon but the low of 1613 not very convince....lets hope the GOLD RAID start @ 4pm like the last time $100 plunge.....gold bugs are trapped proper ....only 8 days ago it was near 1700.....and calls for 1750....now I just want another $20 at 1600 is it too much from here 1620???...LOL anyway will play ninja long from 1617 and cover 1620.5 all day starting now,,,maybe agressive short starts again near 1623....lets see....things can change in 4 hours when Asia Aunties wakes up to their position....

NFP will be released Fri when market close...so heads up.....and Serious Warning to open position holders. I am looking to lighten my boat .....Gold can POP and be Trashed on Monday......I call it......Its all a Sham.....LOL

So NFP another 220k+.....or will we see shrinkage??....Short Dow still being kept fyi!!

dc CB 20:17 GMT April 4, 2012


This was on Zero Hedge yesterday...but it pretty much sums it up.

The whinney petulant Free Money Sepculators didn't get the promise of Extended Free Money Yesterday. So they are adjusting the screws --Torquemada style--until the conditions are right for Benny and the Jets to Print again.

HK RF@ 20:00 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
It is time to watch the 65weekly simple MA. currently at ~1600.
Possibly a good reentry for a robust rebound after the holiday.

GVI Forex john bland 19:52 GMT April 4, 2012
Latest Close Trading Points...
more chart points About Pivot Points

Refresh Forum MANUALLY to update table


GVI Forex john bland 19:49 GMT April 4, 2012
Latest Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


Refresh Forum Manually to Update Table.


GVI Forex john bland 19:46 GMT April 4, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Map

Forex Trading Tools Index

GVI Forex john bland 19:42 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

dc CB 19:41 GMT April 4, 2012


Gold ETF

dc CB 19:38 GMT April 4, 2012


fwiw
Silver ETF----Raid Day 2

GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
19:35 GMT (Global-View.com) April 4- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Wednesday in North America at .5235, +0.75% from its Tuesday close (-2.69% vs. end-2010).

Global-View D.O.G. Index April 4, 2012 U.S. Close

GVI Forex john bland 19:36 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
19:35 GMT (Global-View.com) April 4- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Wednesday in North America at .5235, +0.75% from its Tuesday close (-2.69% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7825, +0.35% (+0.55% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1778, +1.54% (-12.35% end-2010).

Against crude, it is at 0.4382, +2.30% (-10.14% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

dc CB 19:35 GMT April 4, 2012
the last time spot gold closed above the 200dma was March 26...on my chart at that was a one day wonder

GVI Forex john bland 19:30 GMT April 4, 2012
viies Ive got 1691 for the 200day avg in spot gold.

JERUSALEM KB 19:28 GMT April 4, 2012
Buy GBPCAD
Entry: 1.5836 Target: 1.6160 Stop: 1.5719

bought

Tallinn viies 19:17 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
is spot gold closing under 200-day moving average?

Cambridge Joe 18:53 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
A ÂŁ200,000 bar Bill ?? The guy's a light-weight ! LOL !

Trader who racked up ÂŁ200,000 bar bill is arrested.

A self-styled currency trader who earned notoriety for running up a ÂŁ200,000 bar bill has reportedly been arrested on suspicion of involvement in an unauthorised foreign exchange trading scheme.
The Financial Services Authority said yesterday that a 23-year-old in East London had been arrested in a raid alongside City of London Police. Alex Hope, 23, was named by City AM, which reported that his publicist had confirmed the arrest.
Mr Hope is registered as the sole director of Short Sterling Limited. He lives at an address in Canning Town, East London, according to his Companies House disclosures.
The FSA refused to confirm whether Mr Hope had been arrested. Neither Mr Hope nor his company appear to be on the FSA’s register of agents licenced to carry out financial services.
The FSA said the arrests were made under the Fraud Act 2006 and the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000.

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/business/industries/banking/article3374162.ece

msa nsm 17:57 GMT April 4, 2012
msa nsm 17:13 GMT April 4, 2012
breakout and fibb: Reply
small long crude for 102..............
_______________
Target hit...safe trades

Kranj ES 17:43 GMT April 4, 2012
BUY BUY BUY... dont even think about selling... It is going forward 1.750 now

Kranj ES 17:41 GMT April 4, 2012
Dream on

Kranj ES 17:41 GMT April 4, 2012
censored

Kaunas DP 17:40 GMT April 4, 2012
silver will be <28 very soon

Chennai AMI 17:35 GMT April 4, 2012
Thank you Raden. Silver is pushing gold upwards

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:30 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
to Chennai AMI
the window 1582.08 have been opened

Chennai AMI 17:30 GMT April 4, 2012
it's broken now....... Then sure for 1582.08?

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:23 GMT April 4, 2012
if 1613.33 be broken again, mean welcome to 1582.08. it will give strong energy to other charts to confidence move.

msa nsm 17:21 GMT April 4, 2012
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3095 Target: 1.3238 Stop: 1.3065

buy limit...safe trades

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:18 GMT April 4, 2012
if today low can reached 1.3051, have more probability back to 1.3257. but if not today low 1.3051, eur/usd tend to reach early ke band 1.2999-1.2965 as till low to back 1.3259.

msa nsm 17:17 GMT April 4, 2012
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0256 Target: 1.0300 Stop:

risky small long with tight stop...

msa nsm 17:13 GMT April 4, 2012
small long crude for 102 and cable sell order at 1.5925.....if we break audusd 1.0250 next level is 1.01xx.......long orders in place at the extreme 1.0100......safe trades

So Cali MJ 17:08 GMT April 4, 2012
I am short on this with you. It did touch .8262 and headed back north and now seems to be sar and headed back south once again. Do you see it reaching .8102?

BTW, thanks for all you recent posts.

MJ

Chennai AMI 17:07 GMT April 4, 2012
Raden.... how will gold go from here.... up or down ?

Austria KW 17:01 GMT April 4, 2012
Anyone see eurusd back to 1.32?

Kaunas DP 16:49 GMT April 4, 2012
Raden,
We have >2 days till w/e + Monday - all period with thin liquidity - long enough to realise volatility... so even its not today, it will come for sure... GL and GT

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:49 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
its time.. bell is ringing now. gold chart have no time again to stay. just only have time max 10 minutes.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:32 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
I want to see dramatic movement today. once again I hope u are all ready for it.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 16:29 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
gold have finished touching 1621.xx
I hope we are ready for down strong eur/usd or gbp/usd tonight (Indonesia Time).
sinchronized .lets goo !!!

GVI Forex john bland 16:05 GMT April 4, 2012
DAX ends -198

At noontime
DJIA -148
S&P -16

fwiw we've not seen very much in fixed income markets (bonds) today. The adjusted to the Fed Minutes yesterday.

GVI Forex john bland 15:56 GMT April 4, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Map

Forex Trading Tools Index

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:54 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
please finishing your top area at 1621.xx soon before your momentum gone. All of charts only wait u now, while eur/jpy have started. after u get start level to drill again, lets we move together in harmonic movement.
tq.

Central Kwun 15:54 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1618 Target: Stop: 1600

Buy Gold at 1618

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:47 GMT April 4, 2012
thanks ab. I hope u succes always.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:39 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
ok.ok.okay. still one "passenger chart " is not yet get their start level. let eur/jpy finishing top target corection at 108.60 as the start level to drill it till 106.07. Maybe from this chart will open the key for all chart to move sharp soon today. lets wait it. tq

GVI Forex 15:36 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
The risk-off tone boosted the greenback and the yen this morning. EUR/USD tested three-week lows around 1.3110 as the ECB repeated that any exit talk was premature at this point. Commentators were pointing out that ECB references to taking "an emerging market stance" to help EU economic growth hinted that Europe may pursue a weaker euro to help stimulate exports.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 15:29 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
gold after touched little below 1613.33 have momentum to look for balancing chart at 1621,xx for rest till close market or down sharply below 112 again to give new signal for tomorrow continuing down for new target at 1582.08
if bankers play like this scenario, it will give strong energy for eur/usd and gbp/usd and so on to give us surprise movement today after "sleep" at their comfort area from several hours ago although gold players have given them triggering movement. I think all will wake up soon today to finishing their "job". In my system gbp/usd have lost their momentum to go up 3 hours ago, so for now have no momentum again to go up. I hope they play them soon.
tq

Cambridge Joe 15:22 GMT April 4, 2012
FM. Praise from Caesar is praise indeed !

Thank you !

Lahore FM 15:16 GMT April 4, 2012
Joe well played and well done!

msa nsm 15:13 GMT April 4, 2012
Closing Wti, eurcad and u/j shorts now....still holding the gold longs...very red at the moment but no problem ;) safe trades

GVI Forex Blog 15:05 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
April 4, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 5. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for April 5, 2012

hk ab 15:04 GMT April 4, 2012
gold,

Raden, good call, it touched 1613 on my bangster provider.

but I think they are fighting for 1600 now... with this speed.

GVI Forex john bland 15:03 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   



April 4, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 5. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: CH- CPI. UK- Ind/Mfg Output. DE- Ind Output.
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobs, Nat Gas. CA- Employment, Ivey PMI.


GVI Forex Blog 14:58 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Markets at times demonstrate infantile tendencies. One of those is the need to relearn lessons. Today we re-learned that the Draghi-led ECB is not your daddy’s Trichet-led ECB. Despite higher oil prices, Draghi made it clear there is no inflation risk in the medium-term and inflation is expected to fall to its 2% target by 2013. Yes there is short-run upside risk to inflation from elevated energy prices, but this will not get in the way of what the ECB sees as the greater risk…weak growth.

Draghi and ECB Established Downside Risk to Growth Greater Than Upside Risk to Inflation - Sell Euros (FXA)

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:57 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
exit gold now, please. enough.

Cambridge Joe 14:35 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
I'm not often right.... or that lucky come to that... so I like to make a bit of a fuss if and when it happens ! :-))

Cambridge Joe 16:25 GMT April 3, 2012
Oil: Reply
Looks like Oil has a heavy date with the South side... maybe this side of Asia. Expecting it to revisit... maybe 102

Yee Harr !

GVI Forex john bland 14:31 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Energy Inventories (mln)
Crude Oil: +9.000 vs. +1.900 exp vs. +7.120 prev.
Gasoline: -1.500 vs. -1.400 exp. vs. -3.640 prev.
Distillates: +0.019 vs.-0.400 n/a exp vs. -0.700 prev.
Cap/Util: 85.7% vs. n/a exp. vs. 84.50% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

makassar alimin 14:29 GMT April 4, 2012
Thanks FM, I think you are right re. jpy. Seasonal factor may also help.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:27 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
sell on up tick, let speculators play their danger play. if they try to buy at the strong bearish now. if they play, please dont think gold will up (still no reversal), but please think to say thank to them give us good level for sell.

hk ab 14:22 GMT April 4, 2012
such an explicit mention of stop at 1626 will lure the sharks to touch your stop first before hitting bull stops under.

GVI Forex john bland 14:10 GMT April 4, 2012


U.S. Services PMI weaker from relatively high level...

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:08 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

I am sorry I mean 1613.33 ( not 113).

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 14:03 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Sell
Entry: 122.50 Target: 113 Stop: 126

lets sell gold now to push till 113. big sharks will come to play.
lets go !!!!! :-)

Lahore FM 14:03 GMT April 4, 2012
for 10 dollar spike or hundred?

can be 100 or 200 down from here!

hk ab 14:01 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
the order is always aud, gold and then eur.

if aud bottoms today, then, gold may bottom 2 weeks/3 weeks later

GVI Forex john bland 14:00 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
U.S. Services PMI March 2012
56.0 vs. 56.8 exp. vs. 57.3 prev.
Employment sub-component
56.7 vs. n/a exp. vs. 55.7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 13:59 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
everything seems to have a chance to retrace except gold. The bangster has done a lot to keep it tame.

Will only be interested to buy when it is under 1600.....those bought at 35, 45 were just initial entry core, it's ok.

Bandar Seri Begawan Sabekayo 13:59 GMT April 4, 2012
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

Time to BUY GOLD and SILVER

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:53 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

seen strong bearish although still in the little battle after touched 107.85.
see my chart, tq

Paris PY 13:52 GMT April 4, 2012
40 touched for snack money.

Lahore FM 13:45 GMT April 4, 2012
Dear Alimin i suppose we have only seen day two of many for gold bear today.

i suppose gold will fall and usd will rise.jpy shud be key here.strengthening jpy has historically helped risk off trades so it may happen yet again.

Paris PY 13:44 GMT April 4, 2012
Working nicely if 1.3125 can now hold above

makassar alimin 13:40 GMT April 4, 2012
FM, do you think gold may once again go in tandem with usd? not often, but we have seen this in the past...

hk ab 13:39 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
never witness such a bearish sign on gold from silly bank indicator, I think the coming days must be very cautious.

Swan Valley Trout 13:37 GMT April 4, 2012
Take gains at your leisure.

Lahore FM 13:33 GMT April 4, 2012
a risk off of historic proportions in the cards imho

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 13:33 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


Sell EURGBP
Entry: 0.8271 Target: 0.8102-0.8080 Stop: 0.8360

caused by broken of 0.8276, now have given clear info to get key band 0.8102-0.8080. very strong bearish, so will give serious damage for eur/usd and gbp/usd.
se my update chart. tq

Paris PY 13:26 GMT April 4, 2012
Get it above 1.3125 and will see 40-55

Swan Valley Trout 13:06 GMT April 4, 2012
Double barrel load on longs at 1.3110

Lahore FM 13:05 GMT April 4, 2012
Sell Gold
Entry: 1675.20 Target: 1575 Stop: 1649.00 for half

Lahore FM 18:07:29 GMT - 04/03/2012

Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:
Lahore FM 17:32 GMT April 3, 2012 - My Profile
" Trade Ideas " : Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: 1675.20 Target: Stop: 1679

Lahore FM 08:40:23 GMT - 04/03/2012

Sell Gold
Entry: 1675.20 Target: 1575 Stop: 1683.00* bid
sold.
--
sl lowered

--
half out 1655 now.sl to entry

--
sl lowered to 1649 for half.target remains same.

UK Malc 12:56 GMT April 4, 2012
It is the timing more than the direction that was the surprise at a time when liquidity is on the low side due to a short holiday week. More than 2 weeks of gains wiped out in less than 24 hrs.

Swan Valley Trout 12:50 GMT April 4, 2012
Long at 1.3117 for a bounce then SAR later.

Singapore PW 12:43 GMT April 4, 2012
what level are you looking to reload?

Swan Valley Trout 12:40 GMT April 4, 2012
Anticipating price reactions now

Swan Valley Trout 12:33 GMT April 4, 2012
No brainer E-Z pips

NC JJM 12:26 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


Euro-Gbp (.8280)>>> Not a pretty picture in the cross. Break below trend-line of congestion pattern does not bode well. Major key support is near .8225. Break out of this pattern opens the door for a major decline. Only back above .8375 stabilizes cross and indicates a false break.

Swan Valley Trout 12:24 GMT April 4, 2012
Closed all shorts at 1.3127 and will look to reload after the bounce.

GVI Forex john bland 12:22 GMT April 4, 2012
ADP data in line...






Click on chart for more than 10-yr history



London Mick 12:22 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
What can Draghi say? Yesterday at this time the market would be looking for something hawkish. Today it is more sensitive to any hint of dovish. He will probably talk out of both sides of his mouth.

GVI Forex john bland 12:15 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
U.S. ADP Private Employment March 2012
209K vs. 225K exp. vs. 230Kr prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Fx Trading Discussion 11:52 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   

EURUSD Trading Plan

GVI Forex john bland 11:45 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
European Central Bank (ECB)
Refi Rate steady at 1.00%


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HK RF@ 11:28 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Now very clear good chances to see it tonight below 1600.

FFT HH 11:26 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
1.3100-50 could see support.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:20 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Sell
Entry: 1622 Target: 1613 Stop: 1637.50

1628.82 be broken, its mean easy to touched 1613.33
see my chart before.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:14 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

keep buy usd/cad and cut switch at 0.9993. sellers wait to action at that level.
see my chart.
tq

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:10 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


EURGBP
Entry: keep sell Target: Stop:

eur/usd will drop early than gbp/usd, but as soon as gbp/usd will drop sharply caused by the other side room of trade is eur/gbp. see my cross rate eur/gbp chart.
still good enough gain if you play eur/gbp now.
tq

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:01 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
10:55 GMT (Global-View.com) April 4 -
Jay Meisler's Daily Forex Weathermap (Current rate 1.3168)
Cloudy day for the EURUSD as it continues to slide following yesterday's FOMC minutes, which is most noteworthy by the reaction more than the news itself. There are two key levels to watch with a 1.31 handle,


Forex Weathermap - EURUSD

GVI Forex 10:49 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
The euro hit a two-week low versus the dollar on Wednesday as debt-laden Spain's borrowing costs jumped at an auction and after Federal Reserve minutes reduced expectations for further monetary stimulus in the United States.

FOREX NEWS - Euro hits 2-wk-low after weak Spanish auction; ECB eyed

GVI Forex 10:48 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
The USD and JPY currencies maintained a firm tone during the European morning after Tuesday's release of the FOMC minutes weighed on global market sentiment and reduced expectations of Fed policy stimulus. The ECB rate decision was move up a day to accommodate the extended holiday weekend for Easter. The European currencies failed to respond to better PMI Services data released throughout the session as risk aversion sentiment appeared to build momentum throughout the session.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Spanish bond auction results disappoints and offsets a parade of better PMI Services data in session

GVI Forex john bland 10:43 GMT April 4, 2012
DAX -116

futures:
DJ -90
SP -11

Correlation trade to EURUSD working great...

ngn cfanfx 10:37 GMT April 4, 2012


Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0255 Target: 1.0850 Stop: 1.0200

HMMM..... AUDUSD short to 1.0132 .... haa that will mean margin call here ooooo please save a soul



I LONGED

Perth WTR 10:22 GMT April 4, 2012
nice one Raden Mas, keep audusd short, let's go to 1.0132

GVI Forex john bland 10:21 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
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GVI Forex john bland 10:01 GMT April 4, 2012
Data from Germany continues to be mixed. No clear trend.

GVI Forex john bland 10:00 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
DE Industrial Orders February 2012
0.30% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. -1.80%r prev.


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GVI Forex john bland 09:46 GMT April 4, 2012

  • Key Items: US- ADP, Svc PMI.

  • Fed Minutes released Tuesday in the U.S. turned the tone of the markets more positive for the USD. It was clear that the reduction of EURUSD longs hit a market unable to absorb the selling. 

  • The EZ Services PMI has been revised higher from its flash estimate, but remained below (49.1) the "50" economic expansion line. The U.K. Services PMI was also stronger than forecast.

  • Today sees the ECB policy decision (one day early). U.S. Service PMI data and the ADP Private Jobs Survey are also due. 

  • After today, markets, except for the U.S. will start to wind down for the Easter break which will extend through Monday for many centers. 

  • The market expects no interest rate changes from the  ECB and BOE today and tomorrow.

  • The EURUSD steady climb for over two weeks saw the bottom of its channel penetrated yesterday. At the moment, it is below its 20-day average of 1.3217. 

  • The U.S.10-yr is currently  at 2.25%, -3bps and the German bund is at 1.82%. +2 bp. Bond markets are a barometer of market confidence.

Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc, needed and greatly appreciated!

Lahore FM 09:42 GMT April 4, 2012
Raden dear lovely to see you back and also back in full form..thanx for all the updates.

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:24 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

1.0132 as the bottom. better you keep selling and cut swith there.
see my chart. tq

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:19 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
sorry.. I mean 1628.82. tq

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:17 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


128.82 enough. this level is very important.
see my chart.

GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
EZ Retail Sales February 2012
mm: -0.1% vs. -0.00% exp. vs. +1.10%r prev.
yy: -2.1% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. -1.10%r prev.



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GVI Forex john bland 08:58 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
08:55 GMT (Global-View.com) April 4- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Wednesday in North America at .5216, +0.35% from its Tuesday close (-3.07% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7817, +0.25% (+0.45% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1765, +0.79% (-13.00% end-2010).

Against crude, it is at 0.4308, +0.55% (-11.68% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

hk ab 08:39 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
it could be that "unbelivable" spike down to 1585 straight from here to end this south run......

hk ab 08:37 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
put my last bait before heading for other biz.....

1622 long....

GVI Forex john bland 08:34 GMT April 4, 2012


U.K. Services PMI stronger than forecast.

Saar KaL 08:28 GMT April 4, 2012
AUDUSD Day Today
but still a bit weak imo
placing long from 1.0200 to 1.0150
Date Avg High Avg Low Max High Min Low

4/4/2012 1.0495 1.0216 1.0557 1.0170
4/5/2012 1.0499 1.0211 1.0559 1.0161
4/6/2012 1.0492 1.0203 1.0559 1.0156

GVI Forex john bland 08:28 GMT April 4, 2012

-- ALERT --
GB Services PMI March 2012
55.3 vs. 53.4 exp. vs. 53.8 prev.



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warsaw TOMi 08:16 GMT April 4, 2012
just 3.1444 looks toppishhh ..
gl/gt

gdynia xipt 08:12 GMT April 4, 2012
are You saying TOMi there is something in the cards that You know of?

GVI Forex john bland 08:11 GMT April 4, 2012


EZ Services PMI revised higher...

Cambridge Joe 08:07 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
$/X South from 11:25 GMT..... that's what I have flagged... !

GLGT

Saar KaL 08:01 GMT April 4, 2012
Cable will have to correct
Date---- Avg High Avg Low Max High Min Low
4/4/2012 1.6124 1.5895 1.6184 1.5801
4/5/2012 1.6150 1.5915 1.6193 1.5820
4/6/2012 1.6164 1.5928 1.6200 1.5801

GVI Forex john bland 07:58 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   

-- ALERT --
EZ Service PMI March 2012
49.2 vs. 47.7 exp. vs. 48.7 (flash)



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warsaw TOMi 07:57 GMT April 4, 2012
gdynia, sell dollar today

Saar KaL 07:57 GMT April 4, 2012
USDCAD Output

Date Average of High Average of Low Max of High Min of Low
4/4/2012 0.9986 0.9839 1.0022 0.9750
4/5/2012 0.9990 0.9843 1.0035 0.9746
4/6/2012 0.9993 0.9847 1.0041 0.9748

Lahore FM 07:57 GMT April 4, 2012
xipt any sl wider than 0.9885 shud not be wasted on this bitchy pair...i though feel 0.9940 may happen soon enough and it can then rise several hundred pips even

gdynia xipt 07:53 GMT April 4, 2012
thanks fm. i am long with SL at 9850 and slowly losing my patience

KL KL 07:52 GMT April 4, 2012
i think another $10 drop in gold coming soon from here 1637....looking to cover more shorts there....meanwhile trail stops.... SELLLLLL!!!

Bond is sold off.....LOL.....USD is gaining power....recovery is here.....LOL....at the peak of DOW & SnP we talk recovery..... some scukers will be holding some worthless stocks for retirement in 5 years time.....

Hey my braodband is up ...no drop off....for 32 hours....so ninja in full swing!! slashing....when ninja appears...take heed....LOL!!!!

Saar KaL 07:51 GMT April 4, 2012
slightly disappointed for da early entry cable and eurusd
still long
now maybe early for gold long...but what can i say.

Lahore FM 07:45 GMT April 4, 2012
usdcad had poor techs to rise and cad started gaining on crosses such as eurcad and gbpcad when other usd pairs fell.overcoming 0.9940 will sort all tech matters and it will rise as well i think.

KL KL 07:44 GMT April 4, 2012
Cambridge Joe

Just my humble opinion......we need Relentless Revolution across the world to end the SHAM...from Western Society to ...including Middle East, North Korea, Burma....China....etc
People must be educated now to know what is a lie and what is not....and Carbon Tax, CO2 emission...Global warming fall into the same Sham category....just spun differently

gold on a slippery road now 1640 is distant memories...hello 1600 or lower ....Ben/Obama please talk more......we buy Apple Sell Gold......LOL.... but i am looking to Sell Apple and Gold....have to wait what the yanks do on the Crude Inventory....Gold delivery....etc.....ominous signs ahead .....good for Ninja....

gdynia xipt 07:34 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

any insight why this pair is not joining this usd buying?

matsudo rana 07:27 GMT April 4, 2012
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

bought gold also 1635...happy trade

GVI Forex Blog 07:27 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
(AU) AUSTRALIA FEB TRADE BALANCE (A$): -480M V +1.1BE (2nd consecutive deficit) - (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR AIG PERFORMANCE OF SERVICE INDEX: 47.0 V 46.7 PRIOR (2nd month of contraction) - (UK) UK MAR

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Aussie dollar weakens in the wake of an unexpected trade deficit; China mulls breaking up its large banks

matsudo rana 07:26 GMT April 4, 2012
here is support for bulls 1.318/1.319 my stop 40/60pips for all trades...

Kaunas DP 07:18 GMT April 4, 2012
matsudo, I think its better to save some ammo for 1.3130 defence...GL

hk ab 07:17 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
2nd entry reload

matsudo rana 07:17 GMT April 4, 2012
positions taken now...

Kaunas DP 07:17 GMT April 4, 2012
1608 will be hit in the coming week or two... IMHO

matsudo matsudo 07:15 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: here Target: 200/500pips Stop: 100pips

long eurusd eurgbp audusd gbpusd...short euraud..happy trade

Cambridge Joe 06:51 GMT April 4, 2012
KL KL 06:39

I like your comments re:the lie ! :-)

More likely that the 'Monopoly Board' will get knocked over before world debts get repaid IMHO.

Gold.... if it (when) takes out 40.41, then it becomes possible for an aggressive buy, when passing above that level again.

Just my 2 cent view. GLGT.

KL KL 06:39 GMT April 4, 2012
At the end of the day.....gold also a form of Paper money....the more one have "special" sentimental value to it....the more it bites you as you hold on without stops.

I too am wondering for years and still no one can explain ...how is it the AUD denominated gold cost less than USD denominated gold by about $100 sometimes even when Aussie Dollar is higher than USD........Its all a sham of EPIC proportions....the Systems is Ruined and only when the Debt is repaid by every country...will there be a proper Financial systems....meanwhile tech analysis is the best and follow the trend or momentum...my 0.2c and rant for the day....

HK RF@ 06:00 GMT April 4, 2012
It is too big a sacrifice for the bulls, to let gold fall below 1627, which means it may not happen this time.

The more who will not agree on that view the more the chances for it to happen.

If gold will not break below 1627, the long term target is still 2060.
The recovery in the US economy is mild and not too promising, so a stronger USD may not be in favor of the US administartion.

Strong USD does not go with jobs creation which is in the main interest of the present Admin. before election , so one may expect a limited upside strength.

Lahore FM 05:59 GMT April 4, 2012
Laowen dear 1.3740 target...in ant case the long eurusd seems to be an ill advised ideas as its clsoer to the stop.

"3" key was hit and missed while punching in target!

hk ab 04:53 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
great time for Chi. govt to diversify their reserve. Can sell a lot of T-bond and in exchange with phy. gold.

HK SAP 04:52 GMT April 4, 2012
IF EUR/USD is a buy, then how can gold be a sell?? both will mostly move in same direction right?

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:37 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

today gbp/usd chart have given new low target at 1.5802. The behavior of chart when touched that level will give important information that new lowest target at 1.5476 will be youched soon or not.
keep your selling position untill the first reversal line 1.5802 be touched as your minimal profit target.
I think selling action will come more after strong sell signal passed be built last night(Indonesia time) and too many victims speculators who tried to bought above 1.6045 as their danger playing, we can say good bye from now to them. LOL

Solo Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:12 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   


Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

keep sell till my band be touched.
important band level 1.2999-1.2965. buyers eur/usd wait there after get big profit from keeping their sell position.

Perth WTR 03:16 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
looks like audusd is heading to under parity again

HK RF@ 02:49 GMT April 4, 2012
KL KL 02:06 GMT

I agree that if gold will drop below 1635 it may continue below 1600. I am not sure it will happen. But if it will it is a short down to 1585.

Perth WTR 02:21 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
hold on to usd for the moment, usdchf daily chart is pointing to a serious upside next!

KL KL 02:06 GMT April 4, 2012
RF

Maybe Ben is speaking again today.....later......1600 is the zone or lower....now waiting for 1640 to crack....lots of memories for me there....still in the next 4 hours i play long gold scalp near 1642 and cover before 1643.99....LOL

I see serious damage to all currency and gold.......USD is on the rise thanks to APPLE....the new Gold!!

Perth WTR 02:04 GMT April 4, 2012
td, the stop looks good or a bit above, maybe 1.0335 should suffice, entry-wise for fresh one maybe some sort of bounce near 1.03 would be better but it may not happen ;)

singapore td 01:48 GMT April 4, 2012
WTR, sell now with stop above 1.0320 can be tried IMHO?

Perth WTR 01:46 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
as expected, audusd was a big sell, today is no different!

HK RF@ 01:16 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
Indeed the daily RSI has gone slightly below 50, combining my view with other indicators, euro may even bounce higher on the day. Seems this view not popular at the moment:)

KL KL 01:02 GMT April 4, 2012
ab

lost the audusd battle again with stops at 1.0308....then relong again 1.0295...and just covered 1.0306....to make me feel better....this is a tough one. Think I will leave it alone for the time being and concentrate firepower on Gold Short.....


or Apple short ....coming close to my trigger...had it at 630.6....but did not trigger...so moving it up now to 638 for tonight and perhaps NFP pop on Friday then drop.....Just got to start accumulating shorts indices and stock now..... This Apple trade is 1/5...so have Lots of fire power ....

Trading is about Fire Power.....+ Stops.....use wrongly like on Gold and account can be wiped.....Maybe gold go lower until Friday ...or even lower or POP super high......hard to play the lie....against paper money is still to follow trend.....and Gold is Down regardless on what sentiments and gold bugs write....but good trading long and short gold this year.....most profitable by far for me.......2nd is short Eurusd,,,,...gl gt

HK RF@ 01:01 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
A break of the last low may send gold to 1625, thus forming a new low since the last ~1627.

Regarding that yesterday story is done, it may not happen that easy or not at all.

hk ab 00:07 GMT April 4, 2012 Reply   
KL, could the aud lost again for today?

 


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