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Forex Forum Archive for 06/14/2012

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Los Angles T 23:58 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
short euro for Friday ???

Syd 23:29 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Jonathan Barratt of Barratt's Bulletin believes a low may well be forming in gold ahead of a stimulus-related recovery.

fnarena.com

ed kw 22:52 GMT June 14, 2012
oil flat 0pips 84.50 is to much r for now mist 5pip target by 1pip

ed kw 22:09 GMT June 14, 2012
oil test in

ed kw 22:04 GMT June 14, 2012
Buy EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

just a asia test

ed kw 22:02 GMT June 14, 2012
e/u bevan at 1.2600,a/u break-even at .9980

ed kw 21:47 GMT June 14, 2012
still have a/u, e/u,up averring 30pips e/y looks strong,do i stay in or run from Friday

GVI Forex john bland 21:31 GMT June 14, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Map

Forex Trading Tools Index

KL KL 21:16 GMT June 14, 2012
Greece is tail wagging the dog........the world.....LOL.

After June 17 its Spain or Italy....or portugal.....all right everybody lay your bets now....LOL

We need all these problems and issues to trade.....otherwise lets RESET and Call in the Loans of this Entire Planet Earth and maybe a tiny country like Kirabati would be the richest on Earth or Bhutan....... total EARTH Debt
$$$ 1,000 TRILLION...... = 1 Google??

Athens Zak Xarian 21:11 GMT June 14, 2012
And adding something more.. If it wasn't Greek knowledge and discoveries that came up again in the front of 1789, the world would be more different than the one you are living in now..And possible, much worse..So, your "move on over the last thousand years" is not true..You borrowed true and forgotten knowledge.Without it where have you been?

Athens Zak Xarian 21:07 GMT June 14, 2012
I never said my friend that Greece is the centre of the universe. But real economy is and how it behaves.. Market players cannot understand the real impact of their decisions and this one counts especially for the policy makers. They belong in another universe...

Belgrade TD 21:04 GMT June 14, 2012
... with real data and real economy - it would be so boring ... and less money for us ... so I vote for unrealistic reasons :)

Lyon Weedman 21:00 GMT June 14, 2012
ib /// "Don’t Huff, Don’t Puff. Keep away from that stuff!"

Paris ib 20:50 GMT June 14, 2012
You may think Greece is the centre of the universe and what happens in Greece determines everything, but things have changed in the last few thousand years. We have moved on.

Athens Zak Xarian 20:49 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1,2630 Target: 1,2055 Stop: 1,2730

This is my target for the next week.. 1,2055 just above the round number..
Euro has too many bad news around it and is just ignoring all these.. Greek election outcome will not be good for the markets, given again a non forming goverment and a period of questions and what is next.. We need the catalyst..It will be given on sunday..And maybe the EU banking union will not take place at all.

As for the FED policy, no QE3 is gonna take place now, but after another round of high uncertainty comes into play just on the US election and emerging the banking sector more. So, wait until October and we'll see about that..

Paris ib 20:43 GMT June 14, 2012
Greece is such a tiny issue. The real issue is the press, the ratings agencies and the disruption of capital markets. I don't know if the Europeans have the wherewithal to do the necessary. But the debt issue is not the real issue, high yields are not the real issue (7% has been done before ad nauseum and for years and can be done again and who cares?)... the disruption to capital markets, excess speculation and possibly insider type trading are the real issues.

GVI Forex john bland 20:38 GMT June 14, 2012
Agree 100%, and when Greece can't make its payments, terms will be extended and the debt eventually forgiven. Greece will stay in the EUR at least for now.

Paris ib 20:37 GMT June 14, 2012
After which they lock all the hysterical Reuters reporters in padded cells so the rest of us can get on with our lives.

Syd 20:36 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Emergency G-7 meeting may be held in Mexico on Mon. or Tues. - Reuters

jeddah Abb 20:35 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
..and 1.275 for`eur/usd, 101+ for eur/jpy ...

KL KL 20:35 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
top of the day...

Early Ninja enter the battle field.....

Shorted eurusd 1.2631...will add every 5 pip higher from here...NSE (non stop entry) from 1.2656.....LOL NSE to Challenge HFT ......

From this eur trade I will then decide on Gold.......

Meanwhile that was a POP....must be the BEN, FED, IMF, World Bank and Euro Copter....prolonging the ponzi....sometimes pays to join them sometimes need to challenge them....Options Expiry is FUN....especially this one.... Lots of short covering until it this out.....lets hope ninja can catch the thinnest with the BIGGEST lot.......gl gt all

btw also short DOW at close 12673......lets see how it goes stops 12700...small entry...so busy...long ASX200 4060....busy...busy morning

Paris ib 20:35 GMT June 14, 2012
John is this all slightly (or even very) insane? Talk about collective madness. I guess the press has a lot to answer for... well it's 2012, the world is going to end.... (didn't they do this already with the 2000 computers were all going to commit suicide or something?). Good grief... it's all some unbelievably tiresome.

GVI Forex john bland 20:31 GMT June 14, 2012
ib- we are on the same page.

Paris ib 20:28 GMT June 14, 2012
Is the Greek election so meaningful?

I'd like to understand the rational behind the hysteria on this issue....

GVI Forex john bland 20:28 GMT June 14, 2012

  • Key Items: JP- BOJ, EZ- Draghi, GB- Trade. US- Empire PMI, TIC Data, Industrial Prod/Cap Utilization, University of Michigan

  • Greece National elections on Sunday triggered a round of short-covering on Thursday. As we have been reporting, the general consensus is still that pro-bailout parties will wind up winning. The surprise would be if the anti-bailout forces win. No matter who wins, it is expected that the terms of the existing bailout plan will be eased.

  • Spain and Italy are being closely watched also. Late Wednesday saw a three notch downgrade of Spain by Moodys because the new debt plan increases its debt burden. Egan Jones reduced its debt ratings by three notches as well. 

  • The Swiss National Bank kept policy steady and reiterated its firm commitment to holding the EURUSD 1.20 peg. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept rates steady. 

  • The EURUSD has been pivoting its key 20-day average (1.2543). The 10-yr bund is 1.49%,  -2 bp  Key European bourses were down. The U.S.10-yr is 1.61%, +1 bp.

  • Key Asian bourses closed lower. The 10-yr JGB is 0.86%, +1 bp. The key USDJPY 20-day average is 79.22. EURJPY 20-day average is 99.38.



GVI Forex Blog 20:25 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Key Items: JP- BOJ, EZ- Draghi, GB- Trade. US- Empire PMI, TIC Data, Industrial Prod/Cap Utilization, University of Michigan Greece National elections on Sunday triggered a round of short-covering on Thursday. As we have been reporting, the general consensus is still that pro-bailout parties will wind up winning.

Forex Trade Talk 00:00 GMT 15 June 2012

jeddah Abb 20:20 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
silver to 29.7 and probably near 31 ..

GVI Forex Blog 19:50 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
AUD and NZD Outlooks: Nervousness ahead of the Greek election on Sunday should keep markets constrained today but Monday has the potential to be explosive. The Australian calendar is empty and NZ data – PMI, monthly consumer confidence, and NZGB offshore holdings – is unlikely to impact the NZD.

Foiex - Westpac Morning Report

GVI Forex john bland 19:47 GMT June 14, 2012
Latest Close Trading Points...
more chart points About Pivot Points

Refresh Forum MANUALLY to update table


GVI Forex john bland 19:44 GMT June 14, 2012
Latest Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


Refresh Forum Manually to Update Table.


GVI Forex john bland 19:42 GMT June 14, 2012


UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


dc CB 19:35 GMT June 14, 2012
Update 1: and here comes the revision:

G20 SOURCES SAY CENTRAL BANKS PREPARING FOR COORDINATED ACTION AFTER THE GREEK ELECTIONS IF NEEDED


Update 2:

EUROZONE MINISTERS TO HOLD CONFERENCE ON SUNDAY TO DISCUSS OUTCOME OF GREEK ELECTIONS

LOL, in other words:

STUFF MAY OR MAY NOT HAPPEN DEPENDING ON WHAT MAY HAPPEN.

What a joke

h/t ZeroHedge

Rumoure Reviseeeeeee

msa nsm 19:26 GMT June 14, 2012
and they fail to break the range again...now i can sleep :)...still holding shorts

GVI Forex Blog 19:25 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
19:25 GMT (Global-View.com) June 14- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Thursday in North America at .5474, -0.34% from its Wednesday close (+1.75% vs. end-2010).

Global-View .com D.O.G. Index June 14, 2012 Close

GVI Forex john bland 19:23 GMT June 14, 2012
19:25 GMT (Global-View.com) June 14- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Thursday in North America at .5474, -0.34% from its Wednesday close (+1.75% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7980, -0.17% (+2.54% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1779, -0.07% (-12.31% end-2010).

Against crude, it is at 0.5397, -0.33% (+10.66% vs. end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

dc CB 19:23 GMT June 14, 2012
that Headline trigger HFT computers to trade
155,911 Emini SnP contracts in 5 minutes

It its quite a money maker if you've Got The Machine.

Central Kwun 19:22 GMT June 14, 2012
weird, this pop only last for 10 min? and everything back to normal?

GVI Forex john bland 19:20 GMT June 14, 2012
Ridiculous to respond to these headlines. The surprise would be if they were NOT prepared to provide liquidity.

dc CB 19:19 GMT June 14, 2012
HEADLINE:::

This Headline was generated by a Computer Algo

msa nsm 19:16 GMT June 14, 2012
now here comes the stampede....similar reaction to yesterday

dc CB 19:15 GMT June 14, 2012
And the mother of all rumors strikes:

G20 SOURCES SAY CENTRAL BANKS PREPARING FOR COORDINATED ACTION AFTER THE GREEK ELECTIONS

Here Comes The Mother Of All Rumors

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:14 GMT June 14, 2012

--

General pop in risk on - EURUSD, stocks, etc spike higher

Sounds like a contingency plan

Market-Update --
Thursday, June 14, 2012 3:06:14 PM
G20 said to indicate that Central banks are preparing for coordinated action to provide liquidity if necessary after the Greece elections - financial press


Trade the News

dc CB 18:43 GMT June 14, 2012
Last night we presented a very disturbing warning from one FX broker, censored, on what Sunday's election could mean for FX trading on Sunday (nothing good). And, as often happens in such instances, the idea has now been "incepted" - look for every FX brokerage to follow suit, likely followed by the plain vanilla exchanges to issue comparable warnings ahead of Monday.

Here Comes The Herd: "Highly Volatile Trading Conditions Expected Ahead"

GVI Forex john bland 18:41 GMT June 14, 2012
Egan Jones cuts France to BBB+ from A-

Not much of a net reaction

SaaR KaL 18:28 GMT June 14, 2012
tough point here folks for the eurusd
short term trading vs. possible Long term burst
Hopefully...will south...cause not in da mode

SaaR KaL 17:55 GMT June 14, 2012
silver
27.15 to 27.45 My next week's entry long
for tgt 29.2 to 29.60
part of tgt 34.5 in 16 weeks

SaaR KaL 17:41 GMT June 14, 2012
USDCHF .95 to .9820 is a good range

SaaR KaL 17:38 GMT June 14, 2012
EURJPY with the coming short
I think wants new Lows
around 95 in 2-3 weeks

dc CB 17:26 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Jamie Knows

O O O O O O you are so beautiful to meeeeeeeee

SaaR KaL 17:25 GMT June 14, 2012
GBPCAD
Longies from
1.5870
to 1.5850

dc CB 17:23 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Same time, same place, One day later. After yesterday the Treasury engaged in nearly contemporaneous monetization in the 10 Year bond courtesy of the Fed, first buying then selling the paper, at a record low yield of course, so minutes ago the Treasury just sold $13 billion in 30 year paper at another fresh record low yield of 2.72%, down from 3.06% in April. Ignore that the Bid To Cover plunged from 2.73 to 2.40, the lowest since November 2011, and that Indirects were barely interested, taking down just 32.5%, it was all about the Directs, whose 24% take down soared, and as in yesterday's case, was one of the Top 5 highest ever. China? or Pimco? We will find out soon.
Dealers were left with the balance, or 43.5% the lowest since October 2011.

Something tells us that once the Fed extends Twist, or engages in more outright LSAPs, we will be seeing much more of this same day turnaround service as little by little all interest-rate sensitive instruments slowly grind down to zero.

Two Hours After Fed Buys 30 Year Bonds

dc CB 17:16 GMT June 14, 2012
Time to reward those who stepped up and bought the 30Y

stocks down...30Y Up....quick 3 hours to Billions in Profit.

Jamie Likes

SaaR KaL 17:15 GMT June 14, 2012
Short CHFJPY
starting to show a down trend into next week
will short Every 10 pips rise for tgt 82.2
then into 78

Lahore FM 17:08 GMT June 14, 2012
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

a reasonably good resumption signal on 1 h for eurusd long...although there is a scare in holding positions from any side due to sunday elections...1.2530 key for this signal.stops below.

SaaR KaL 17:08 GMT June 14, 2012
happy eurusd shorts
audusd shorts

not so happy with Cable Longs
so i put a stop at 1.550 trail with 10 pips
Locked some good pips

same with GBPJPY...not so happy long
will short next day for sure

Lahore FM 16:49 GMT June 14, 2012
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

a dead cat probably has more life in it compared to gbpusd...1.5520 key.

SaaR KaL 16:42 GMT June 14, 2012
gold next 2-3 weeks range 1573 to 1670

cable next days shorts 1.5560 to 1.5420
starting down trend too to 1.48 IMO

Lahore FM 16:37 GMT June 14, 2012
al to 1610...= sl to 1610

Lahore FM 16:37 GMT June 14, 2012
Buy Gold
Entry: 1583 Target: Stop: 1610 protective

Lahore FM 16:37:39 GMT - 06/11/2012

Buy Gold
Entry: 1589.90 and 1583 Target: Stop: 1575 for 1
Lahore FM 09:59:30 GMT - 06/11/2012

Buy Gold
Entry: 1589.90 Target: Stop:
small long in play now.another small long order at 1583 and one more at 1578.stops for all 1568
--
closed 1589.90 for small gain.running 1583 entry with 1575 sl.

--
al to 1610...

a long order at 1596 and one more at 1588 in place...just in case.

SaaR KaL 16:28 GMT June 14, 2012
end of this month tgt for EURUSD is 1.228

SaaR KaL 16:18 GMT June 14, 2012
NZDJPY is finish with up trend today
62.17 will start down trend into next week +
will start short with every 5 pips north
for 60.9
and 59 next week

dc CB 16:12 GMT June 14, 2012
Take a look at Iceland recently? Bankers and Pols are getting hard time. But then news from Iceland is pretty easy to ignore...esp if no media outlets carry the story.

Don't think Command and Control will ever let "Iceland" happen again.

SaaR KaL 16:09 GMT June 14, 2012
sniff sniff....Money in accounttttttttttttttttt
yeeeeeeeeeee haaaaaaaaaaaa

SaaR KaL 16:05 GMT June 14, 2012
eurusd adding shorts at 1.2634 to 1.2665 ---> Tops
tgt in 24 hrs 1.2450 (Is no problem)

Mtl JP 16:04 GMT June 14, 2012
soon ... soon...

Tsipras says the Germans are bluffing. I tend to agree.

According to ex-gs man and current BoC head Carney: "rise in risk aversion would exacerbate pressures on bank balance sheets and could prompt a tightening in lending conditions to households and businesses, adding to the drag on global economic growth. ... Diminished prospects for growth would
also foster expectations of continued low interest rates... Mitigating the risks to the stability of the international financial system requires a number of policy actions. The most pressing near-term priority is to contain the resurgent crisis in the euro area. Euro-area banks need to be adequately and transparently capitalized. In addition, the financial
firewalls (the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and the European Stability Mechanism (ESM)) need to be reinforced and made fully operational to alleviate contagion. ... / BoC Financial System Review (pdf)

Exclusive - Euro zone discussed capital controls if Greece exits euro -sources reuters

Ya dont think the globalist banksters are going to leave the Greek to democraticaly, freely and liberaly put the banking zombies and their internationalist project at riks, do you ?
-----------
"I consider it completely unimportant who in the party will vote, or how; but what is extraordinarily important is this—who will count the votes, and how". - Stalin

dc CB 16:01 GMT June 14, 2012
I think the raid was targeting silver. Open Interest in the July contract, which comes deliverable in about 2 weeks, is currently around 45K contracts. Over 12K contracts traded in the hour of the raid....almost 9K in the first 30 min.

Jamie D got a pass on the Hill yesterday...He also wore Presidential Cufflinks to the hearing.

Who's yo daddy?

SEAL OF APPROVAL

hk ab 15:49 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
CB, I believe that if gold doesn't pass 1630 today, the team will have another raid during the NY lunch time.

By that time if I don't see the raid, then I will cut the lost on eur shorts.

SaaR KaL 15:47 GMT June 14, 2012
short gold another batch here

houston st 15:44 GMT June 14, 2012



EUR/USD intraday...up to best levels of the day here as it approaches the upper pivot zone...once again, shorts have to endure pain into European close...

London DG 15:40 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Hi any ideas on eur/usd does anyone think we are seeing the high here 1.2616? also any views on the dow would be nice? thx

SaaR KaL 15:31 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
GBP/AUD B
NZD/USD S
GBP/NZD B
AUD/USD S
USD/CHF B
EUR/USD S

adding

Paris ib 15:29 GMT June 14, 2012
You're not in Kansas anymore !

GVI Forex Blog 15:27 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
FX trading remains within recent ranges while traders take stabs at restoring risk appetite. The chatter of "secret polls" in Greece and renewed talk that China might do something helped strengthen the euro.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Greek Election Rumors Wash Away Spain Pain

dc CB 15:15 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
The Fed has just bought $2 billion in 30 year bonds just two hours before the Treasury sells $13 billion in 30 year paper.

Fed Buys 30 Year Bonds Two Hours Before Treasury Sells 30 Year Bonds

GVI Forex Blog 14:37 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
June 14, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, June 15, 2012. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

GVI Forex Data Outlook for 14 June 2012

GVI Forex john bland 14:34 GMT June 14, 2012



June 14, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, June 15, 2012. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: JP- BOJ.
  • Europe: EZ- Draghi, GB- Trade.
  • North America: US- Empire PMI, TIC data, Industrial Production/ Capacity Utilization, University of Michigan.


GVI Forex john bland 14:30 GMT June 14, 2012

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
+67 vs. +71 exp. vs. +62 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 14:03 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
ok, enough 1.2601 5x

ed kw 14:03 GMT June 14, 2012
long

ed kw 13:57 GMT June 14, 2012
s$p up poss on the wrong side 10 mor min

kl fs 13:55 GMT June 14, 2012
ok adding 1.2588, stop above 1.2610

hk ab 13:44 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
hm... they have decided to flex their muscles tonight?

hk ab 13:43 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
add 5x eur and aud short at mkt....

they will follow gold path!

kl fs 13:42 GMT June 14, 2012
adding euro short if 1.258x seen

ed kw 13:42 GMT June 14, 2012
silver big drop test a/u short

kl fs 13:42 GMT June 14, 2012
short euro as well 1.2568, stop above 1.2610

dc CB 13:40 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Raid

kl shawn 13:39 GMT June 14, 2012
euro is also very shy with 1.26, maybe time to visit 1.22 again and even lower

kl shawn 13:37 GMT June 14, 2012
if 1.5550 shown again from here then i am wrong hehe

kl shawn 13:35 GMT June 14, 2012
follow you fs, gbpusd looks heavy, cannot stay above 1.5550 area

kl fs 13:32 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
trying to get the feel of the market, going short gbpusd 1.5524, stop 30 pips above, target open

GVI Forex john bland 12:43 GMT June 14, 2012
Weekly Jobless Data continuing to deteriorate??







Click on chart for seven-year history

GVI Forex john bland 12:40 GMT June 14, 2012


U.S. CPI and Core PCE... price pressures in the U.S. abating?

HK RF@ 12:39 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Even those jobless, who lost hope and stop searching for a job , are coming out from their houses to find one. Really a dire situation.

GVI Forex Blog 12:37 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss is trading silent in a narrow range of 0.9539-0.9574.

FX Thoughts for the day : 14-Jun-2012 - 1233 GMT

GVI Forex john bland 12:33 GMT June 14, 2012

-- ALERT --
U.S. CPI May 2012
Headline:
m/m:-0.3% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
y/y: +1.7% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. 2.30% prev.
Core:
m/m: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
y/y: +2.30% vs. +2.20% exp. vs. 2.30% prev.

U.S. Weekly Jobless
Initial Claims (000)
386K vs. 378K exp. vs. 377K prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
3.278 vs. 3.270 exp. vs. 3.311 prev.

U.S. Current Account 1Q12 (USD bln)
-137.3 vs. -132.0 exp. vs. -124.0 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:21 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
The GVI Inner Circle private trading room has been launched and the feedback has been great (see below).

For details on the new trading room and info on the no charge option

send me an EMAIL

Contact us as well if you use MT4

FeedbacK:

Trading is a tough business, but this forum is a lot of help.

I am really learning a lot and having a pretty decent day.

Stops were right on again. You guys are great!




houston st 12:03 GMT June 14, 2012



crude intraday...price continues to struggle to stay near the 50% balance point, and as long as we stay below that level ($83.00) I think we have a shot at returning the lower pivot zone supprot ($82.07 through $81.85)...as I wrote earlier, it just appears that crude has a date w/ $80.xx and perhaps even lower before we finally bottom out, imho...use the other guidedogs today as well (euro/brent/refined products) for potential flows & directional bias.

houston st 12:02 GMT June 14, 2012



EUR/USD intraday...price is finding some value around the intraday 50% balance point (1.2551) for now...as long as we can stay above that level we have a chance to rotate towards the uppoer pivot zone resistance area...price stalled out on Wednesday @ 1.2610, so keep an eye on that level if seen...below the 50% BP you'll need to watch for a move towards the lower pivot zone support, which coincides around Wednesday's low (1.2472).

houston st 12:02 GMT June 14, 2012



EUR/USD daily...euro continues to defy gravity & the shorts here a few days ahead of the Greek elections...so far my 5d & 10d ema's are supporting, and as long as we can stay above those as well as the 50% balance point (1.2507) we have a chance to continue to rotate back up towards the weekly pivot high zone, and maybe even back to Sunday's Spanish bank bailout high for the week...

GVI Forex john bland 11:46 GMT June 14, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Map

Forex Trading Tools Index

hk ab 10:55 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
looks weak... short eur and gbp....

but may be eur first 'cos it might drag eur/gbp down....

short again 1.2580

GVI Forex john bland 10:50 GMT June 14, 2012
DAX -22

futures:
DJ +30
SP +4

Correlation trade has kicked back in since yesterday

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:26 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
10:20 GMT (Global-View.com) June 14 -
Jay Meisler's Daily Forex Weathermap - EURUSD (current rate 1.2566)

As I have been saying this is not a week to expect large bets being made and it seemed only a matter of time before there was some book squaring given the extent of market positioning. This saw Wednesday close just above the 20 day mva (1.2547 on Thursday), first time since May 2.



Jay Meisler's Daily Forex Weathermap - EURUSD

Indo jak 10:25 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

I think Gold Will visit 1602 and lower to 1588
gold now 1619+
we will sell @ 1620 stop 1625

Syd 10:14 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
It was only a few days ago that the S&P 500 hit a low of 1,278 on June 4, after being north of 1,400 for much of early spring.

link

GVI Forex 10:12 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Once again the session's price action mostly reflected short covering sentiment of prior risk aversion theme. The Euro managed brushed off a fresh round of sovereign downgrades after the NY close on Wed and fresh record Spanish 10-year yields.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Spain 10-year Govt yield test the pivotal 7.0% level following downgrades

Syd 10:11 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Melbourne, Australia’s second-largest city and home to 300,000 Greeks — the largest population in Australia.

link

GVI Forex john bland 10:07 GMT June 14, 2012

  • Key Items: US- Weekly Jobs, 30-yr.

  • National elections in Greece on Sunday are keeping Europe as the primary trading theme. Uncertainty about what a new government in Greece will look like following the vote is making many cautious. Observers note that the extremes have been moving to the middle.

  • Spain and Italy are being closely watched as well. Late Wednesday saw a three notch downgrade of Spain by Moodys because the new debt plan increases its debt burden. Egan Jones reduced its debt ratings by three notches as well. 

  • As expected, the Swiss National Bank and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept monetary policy steady. The SNB reiterated its commitment to hold the EURUSD 1.20 peg.

  • The EURUSD has been pivoting its key 20-day average (1.2547). The 10-yr bund is 1.49%,  -2 bp  Key European bourses are down. The U.S.10-yr is 1.60%, +0 bp.

  • Key Asian bourses closed lower. The 10-yr JGB is 0.86%, +1 bp. The key USDJPY 20-day average is 79.22. EURJPY 20-day average is 99.41.



GVI Forex Blog 10:06 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Key Items: US- Weekly Jobs, 30-yr. National elections in Greece on Sunday are keeping Europe as the primary trading theme. Uncertainty about what a new government in Greece will look like following the vote is making many cautious. Observers note that the extremes have been moving to the middle.

Forex Trading Talk 10:00 GMT 14 June 2012

atlanta slowly said the slothh 09:55 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Sell EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

short 1.2650 - 1.2700 target 1.2500

now looks like a good entry time.

GVI Forex john bland 09:50 GMT June 14, 2012
09:40 GMT (Global-View.com) June 14- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Thursday in North America at .5493, -0.01% from its Wednesday close (+2.10% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .8001, +0.09% (+2.81% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1780, -0.01% (-12.25% end-2010).

Against crude, it is at 0.5397, -0.33% (+10.66% vs. end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

SaaR KaL 09:48 GMT June 14, 2012
Longing USDCHF with every 10 pips
tgt .965

SaaR KaL 09:36 GMT June 14, 2012
abb
wil short eurjpy around 100.20 to 100.34
for tgt .98.6

gbpjpy now long
will short from 123.78
probably for 122.1

GVI Forex john bland 09:30 GMT June 14, 2012


EZ HICP easing..

SaaR KaL 09:25 GMT June 14, 2012
gbpnzd Longs from 1.9920
tgt 2.0052

Jeddah Abb 09:24 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
eur/jpy and gbp/jpy 100 up or more is expected ..prices now 99.6-122.9

GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT June 14, 2012

-- ALERT --
EZ HICP (CPI) May 2012
mm: -0.1% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +1.30% prev.
yy: +2.40% vs. +2.40% exp. vs. +2.40% prev.


HICP Core.
yy: +1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:59 GMT June 14, 2012

-- Earlier --
Swiss National Bank

Policy Left Unchanged



TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 08:40 GMT June 14, 2012
gbpchf longs with every 15 pips
tgt 1.4950

Hong Kong Qindex 08:32 GMT June 14, 2012
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The followings are still valid. It is unlikely that the market is able to close above the barrier at 1.2665 // 1.2667 at the end of this week. The market momentum is strong when it is trading above the barrier at 1.2516 // 1.2548.


Trading Reference


... 1.2453 - 1.2485* - 1.2516 ... 1.2548* - 1.2579 - 1.2611 ...



You Searched For: City: Hong Kong > Author: Qindex > Comment: EUR/USD > Date: June 11, 2012 - June 13, 2012
Hong Kong Qindex 14:36 GMT June 12, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2530 : Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The weekly cycle pivot centers are positioning at 1.2150 - 1.2370 - 1.2441. The market is under further pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot center at 1.2441


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 12:57 GMT June 12, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2530 : Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is below 1.2486.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 12:32 GMT June 12, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2530 : Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The odds are in favor of maintaining a short position when the market is rejected from the critical barrier at 1.2516 // 1.2530.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 14:35 GMT June 11, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2530 : Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : As shown in the monthly cycle directional indicator the current expected trading range is 1.2441 - 1.2577.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 14:10 GMT June 11, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2530 : Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2530


Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is rejected from the barrier at 1.2530 // 1.2552.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

msa nsm 08:27 GMT June 14, 2012
by the way, between gbp/jpy and usd/sek one long is bound to fail coz they are in inverse correllation so don't get married to the trades if you do take them or one of them.

SaaR KaL 08:21 GMT June 14, 2012
short AUDUSD Here
later will add more

msa nsm 08:19 GMT June 14, 2012


these are my scalping levels for the next few hours on eur/usd

msa nsm 08:16 GMT June 14, 2012


moving sl to b/e on the small cable short....currently testing 4hr TL which MIGHT hold

HK RF@ 08:12 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
More patience is needed to short Euro possibly at 1.2750 if seen.

HK RF@ 08:12 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
More patience is needed to short Euro possibly at 1.2750 if seen.

SaaR KaL 08:05 GMT June 14, 2012
short gold here for 1570

msa nsm 08:01 GMT June 14, 2012
usd/sek still awating a 4hr close above the support...this is a classic example of ress. turned support retest. don't go long until we close above the support...currently testing fibb level..or you can try to scale in if aggressive.

GVI Forex Blog 07:56 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
- (NZ) RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND (RBNZ) LEAVES OFFICIAL CASH RATE UNCHANGED AT 2.50% (AS EXPECTED) - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAY FOOD PRICES M/M: +0.3% V -0.1% PRIOR (first rise in 3 months) - (AU) A

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Moody's cuts Spain and Cyprus sovereign ratings; RBNZ on hold but acknowledging weaker economic outlook

msa nsm 07:53 GMT June 14, 2012


usd/sek 4hrs

msa nsm 07:52 GMT June 14, 2012


Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

usd/sek daily.....

SaaR KaL 07:51 GMT June 14, 2012
i will short eurusd at around 1.26 + / - 20 pips
I do not think its a problem at all

Paris ib 07:48 GMT June 14, 2012
What an absolute classic. Eur/Aud is darn near a 30 year low and the Germans are NOW considering buying Aussie for their reserves. I guess we can add this to the list of great German offshore investment choices: Spanish property, U.S. Sub-prime mortgages.... (oh and Aussie Government bonds in the 1980s). Good work guys. No wonder they had to mothball the Bundesbank.

msa nsm 07:45 GMT June 14, 2012
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

that is gbp/jpy..
_______
looks like a good buy on daily basis...seeing a daily TL breakout retest at key support now.

THIS IS A DAILY BASED TRADE AND NOT INTRADAY...if you can handle the taste of time only then consider it.

SaaR KaL 07:43 GMT June 14, 2012
eurgbp now in bear mode
will short every 10 pips

msa nsm 07:43 GMT June 14, 2012


looks like a good buy on daily basis...seeing a daily TL breakout retest at key support now.

SaaR KaL 07:40 GMT June 14, 2012
AudUSD from around here to .9970
will short till .9867
I think starting to decline 2 weeks position till .9650

SaaR KaL 06:42 GMT June 14, 2012
GBPJPY Long for 1.2420

KL KL 06:37 GMT June 14, 2012
ab,

lets hope....you in the game or waiting in the bushes...?? you selling or buying??

this is the deal 1630 -1610 - 1600 -1580 -1560...nice figure to play ninja up or down. Since Eurusd is in Risk On mode...so gold should get risky to long....LOL..... Gold in Double tops galore or double bottom.....for me I follow eurusd.....maybe time to cover my eurusd soon too....too heavy load .... prefer 20 pips than 3 pips anytime so out 1/2 1.2561...rest trailing to 1.2573....at least 10 pips for some nice feast!!

...moving heavy 2nd Gold cherry Short lower...covering 1/3 here 1617.59......was a long hour wait .....but have to be greedy sometimes.....lets see....

Now I have Merge 2 Armada Ac into 1 to create Star Ship Godzilla Account.....LOL....wating to play now...getting ready for June 17 or maybe tonight ...maybe tomorrow night Quad Witch option Expiry.....only fear is the broker I use don't collapse like MF Global and the likes during GFC......After June 17 maybe I recreate 4 Armada Account...........lots of money management in my mind and in play.......scary times .

hk ab 06:15 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
KL, your shorts work like magic.

SaaR KaL 06:03 GMT June 14, 2012
gold
north from here
might see 1637

SaaR KaL 05:51 GMT June 14, 2012
most likely
eurusd
intraday
a buy here to 1.2620
then south to 1.2550
then 1.2720

Syd 05:19 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Federal Opposition Leader Tony Abbott says it is typical of Labor that someone within the Prime Minister's office was tasking ministerial staff with digging dirt on the Coalition.

There is disquiet within Labor ranks about the request, with one member of the Government telling AM it is aimed at "looking for censored on Labor's opponents".

HK RF@ 05:17 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
This one is still a possibility
.......................................................................................
HK RF@ 13:43 GMT June 13, 2012
gold: Reply
Should not be a surprise to see it close to 1645 within this upleg. Daily shows some resumption of a bull market.
.......................................................................................

There is a Res. at 1630 which has to be taken out first.
Strong Res. will appear at the range 1645-47, that will need a world event to blow it over to 1670.
The only possible one(political)is any serious deterioration in the situation of the Syrian war(western intervention).

Syd 04:46 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
KL KL 04:32 GMT yes but only one new property and no stamp duty relief so peanuts really

KL KL 04:40 GMT June 14, 2012
short eurusd 1.25855.....Sell the Rally..regardless of QE3....QE3 is last bulle to be used only near September just before USA Presidential Election....meanwhile....many more avenues to raise money...Like raiding the paper gold, paper money in Trillions around the world and Selling Expensive Bonds with 1-2% yield....pity no one can seem to borry for their mortgage at that level...that means the Powers to be wants to make slaves and continue their SHAM to humanity......where is UN on this Crime against the Investor humanity......LOL

Central Kwun 04:35 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Buy
Entry: 1622 Target: 1632 Stop: 1615

Today is up mode again, seem smart money already getting in the market, QE3?

KL KL 04:34 GMT June 14, 2012
out 2/3 1621.45...rest for the run down to 1600...LOL I wish.....rest lock in 1622.5

KL KL 04:32 GMT June 14, 2012
Syd,

Seems like the NSW Libs is Helping to continue the Property bubble......in NSW.....WOW....Looks like the pain ispushed aside for a short time......but 10,000 Public Jobs goes might just help bring the propertymarket down 6-8 months later...who knows...what is the staying power of flippers...LOL

KL KL 04:23 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Short Gold 1623....

Waiting to short eurusd above 1.26 and aussie on the magic parity.....nothing else to do but play ninja at levels of my comfort...

also small short DOW 124542...

Apart from the USA Florida Presidential SHAM election ...hanging chad...etc...LOL...Looks like this Greece Election is topping that now.... A Puny country holding the world at Ransom.....lets hope the ANTI Austerity WINS Big and see what happens.......LOL

GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
The US markets had closed lower yesterday.

Morning Briefing : 14-Jun-2012 -0334 GMT

Syd 03:08 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Pensioners at a favorite gathering spot in central Athens. Many Greeks wonder whether they and their country will emerge from the economic downturn with a secure future.

NYT

Syd 02:39 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Officials from Germany's central bank have stepped up meetings in recent months with major Australian banks to discuss the possible change in foreign currency strategy, said two people with knowledge of the meetings, who both declined to be named because of commercial confidentiality.

The Reserve Bank of Australia prepared a briefing document for the Bundesbank in 2010 that detailed the nature of Australia's debt markets and the economy, said a former Australian central bank official with knowledge of the study.

Syd 01:25 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
Germany’s central bank has reportedly been in talks with the RBA and the four major retail banks to commence buying Australian dollars to include in its reserves for the first time.

afr

hk ab 01:15 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   
gold looks losing steam finally.

double top 1630?

NC JJM 00:51 GMT June 14, 2012 Reply   


GBP/Usd (1.5510)>>>>>> the pattern off the june 1st low near 1.5265 up to the recent high near 1.5585 looks like a corrective overlapping wedge. Gbp is sitting on a well-tested hourly trend line. A break below and then 1.5450 should set-up a move to 1.5250 at a minimum. Above 1.5600 now would negate this immediate sell-off outlook.

 


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