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Forex Forum Archive for 07/07/2012

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GVI Forex john bland 19:01 GMT July 7, 2012
Helpful addition to FX Trading Outlook by Dillon Al



"I would add imho"

Greece troika meeting monday clearly they are offtrack
US earnings begins this week

HK RF@ 12:45 GMT July 7, 2012 Reply   
Look for selling oil(before the Iranians will be ahead of you); THE OIL EMBARGO ON IRAN IS A SCAM TO APPEASE ISRAEL AND MAKE MORE MONEY FOR TRADERS!!!!!

HK RF@ 12:35 GMT July 7, 2012
HK RF@ 14:07 GMT July 6, 2012
Strong drop in oil is possible.: Reply
My impression is that de facto there is no oil embargo on Iran, means that the US which is not interested in any military conflict(or higher oil prices) allows Iran to export oil as much as needed to selected destinations.
This can be easily done by changing ships identity, or by simply allowing oil laden ships to sneak out of the Gulf.

In short; It looks much of a drama.
....................................................................................

And today..... the cat is out of the bag:)
____________________________________

DUBAI - Sat Jul 7, 2012 8:04am EDT

(Reuters) - Iran has reached agreements with European refiners to sell some of its oil through a private consortium, an official said on Saturday, a move designed to circumvent sanctions intended to put pressure on Tehran to halt its disputed nuclear program.

The head of the oil products exporters' union said the agreement between the exporters' union, Iran's central bank, and the oil ministry would get round a European Union ban on shipping insurance for tankers carrying Iranian oil, though he gave few details and did not name the refiners involved.
"There have been discussions with European refiners, and a final agreement has even been reached," said Hassan Khosrojerdi, the exporters' union head, according to Iran's Mehr News Agency.

"In accordance with the agreement, it is planned that 20 percent of Iran's oil exports will go through this private consortium."

He added: "It is likely that because of international restrictions, we will give minor privileges or discounts to some of the buyers of our oil."

GVI Forex john bland 12:27 GMT July 7, 2012 Reply   

-- GVI Forex Trading Theme of the Week--

This is my fourth discussion of Forex Trading themes for the new week and the first time that I do not have a very strong feeling about what the markets will be trading on. This is in part because the week ahead is a relatively slow one on the data and political front. We feel that concerns about a global economic slowdown will extend into the new week, especially after the lackluster June U.S. employment report on Friday. Following what appeared to be a coordinated policy easing by the ECB, BOE and PBOC on Thursday, expectations will increase on the Fed to do something new on July 31, but I don't know what they can do that they haven't tried already.

One interesting idea brought up by Jay Meisler, is that the EUR is at risk of becoming a "funding" currency for carry trades. The ideal funding currency would be liquid, have low interest rates and be flat to soft in the forex markets. Sophisticated investors borrow funding currencies to finance their investments in harder assets. We will be watching to see if this pattern develops.

-- John M. Bland, www.global-view.com

Dillon AL 03:24 GMT July 7, 2012
Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD

To access the videos Click here

kl fs 00:59 GMT July 7, 2012 Reply   
So spain and italy expect easy bailouts? In the end Germany will most likely quit the rotten EU and leave the rest bleeding their gigantic debts. Euro 1.18 from here, then 1.24 then 1.08 to 1.13 and finally below parity, time frame 6-12 months

 


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