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Forex Forum Archive for 03/04/2012

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HK RF@ 23:55 GMT March 4, 2012
Beijing Laowen 23:38 GMT

Indeed 85.5 appears as a target for USD/YEN for the near future, but when the said target becomes a common mantra, one has to watch out when joining the crowd, especially when some momentum indicators show that a pullbacks may occur.

To make safe such a trade as suggested before, I added a condition of "momentum burst", or price target within the next hours.

Lahore FM 23:50 GMT March 4, 2012
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

secondary gold dump which may well be primary by size likely happening this week..maybe even today.

already short silver above 37 here!

Lahore FM 23:44 GMT March 4, 2012
Buy EURNZD
Entry: 1.5910 Target: 1.6500 Stop: 1.57701

long with KB!

Lahore FM 23:40 GMT March 4, 2012
Cambridge Joe 22:28:59 GMT - 03/04/2012

Cheers dear Joe!

Beijing Laowen 23:38 GMT March 4, 2012
RF, would rather long here than waiting for the high to scalp. $Yen has turned to be bullish in a larger time frame.

HK RF@ 23:36 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 83.35(on condition price will reach that level until Europe open) Target: 82 Stop: 83.90

On condition price will reach that level until Europe open.

JERUSALEM KB 23:26 GMT March 4, 2012
Buy AUDNZD
Entry: 1.2866 Target: 1.3018 Stop: 1.2885

Buy AUDNZD
Entry: 1.2866 Target: 1.3018 Stop: 1.2866
Buy AUDNZD
Entry: 1.2866 Target: 1.2926-1.3018 Stop: 1.2825
BOUGHT
============
hit 1st target now with 60pips+ holding rest for 1.3018
============
sl 1.2885

Lahore FM 23:14 GMT March 4, 2012
JN both for the moment on dailies!

JERUSALEM KB 22:57 GMT March 4, 2012
Buy EURNZD
Entry: Target: Stop:

first target 1.5990 not 1.5970

JERUSALEM KB 22:55 GMT March 4, 2012
Buy EURNZD
Entry: 1.5907 Target: 1.5970-1.6060 Stop: 1.5857

bought with 2.5%risk

Syd 22:53 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
US based trader Dennis Gartman today exited his complete US equities portfolio and he advises his clientele to do the same.

Miami JN 22:52 GMT March 4, 2012
FM are you bearish AUD or bullish JPY?

Cambridge Joe 22:28 GMT March 4, 2012
Thanks for the heads up FM. Looks like it could be a smasher !

Joined you @ 87.78.

also I'm long e/$ @ 1.3193 FWIW !

GVI Forex john 22:22 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   



March 4 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, March 5. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: CH- Retail Sales. EZ- Service PMI, Retail Sales, GB- Service PMI.
  • North America: US- Factory Orders, Service PMI.


Lahore FM 22:08 GMT March 4, 2012
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 87.77 Target: 82 Stop: 88.60

sold now

Cambridge Joe 21:57 GMT March 4, 2012
http://youtu.be/_JVRcIX2kVU

Miami JN 21:48 GMT March 4, 2012
No effect

London hmkk 21:09 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

any impact re russian elections on currencies

JERUSALEM KB 21:09 GMT March 4, 2012


Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.35 Target: 85.46 Stop: 80.75

JERUSALEM KB 20:01:12 GMT - 02/29/2012

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.35 Target: 85.46 Stop: 80.35
JERUSALEM KB 20:34:38 GMT - 02/27/2012

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.35 Target: 85.46-87.27 Stop: 80.00
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.35 Target: 85.46-87.27 Stop: 79.60
i forgot entries
======
sl now at 80.00
===========
closed half with 80pips+ sl now to B/E
=============
sl now at 80.75.
as clear on monthly chart , the last closed candle is the first candle to close above middle bollinger band since 1.8.2007

GVI Forex john 21:00 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   

  • Key Items: EZ/GB- Service PMI,  U.S.- Factory Orders, Service PMI..

  • The week ahead will be active on the data front with Service PMI due from major economies, Key Central Banks meeting and U.S. monthly employment data set for Friday.

  • Japanese data on Friday suggested that Japan remains mired in deflation. Prices (CPI) remain dead flat, household spending is weak, and unemployment is rising. Technically many feel the USDJPY has turned a major corner (higher).

  • Testimony by Fed Chairman Bernanke last week was taken as a signal that new QE is not coming soon. This perspective has triggered s major turn in market sentiment in favor of the USD. On this score the monthly employment report on Friday could be pivotal.

Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc, needed and appreciated!

GVI Forex Blog 20:59 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Key Items: EZ/GB- Service PMI, U.S.- Factory Orders, Service PMI.. The week ahead will be active on the data front with Service PMI due from major economies, Key Central Banks meeting and U.S. monthly employment data set for Friday.

Forex Trade Talk 00:00 GMT 5 March 2012

JERUSALEM KB 20:57 GMT March 4, 2012


GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

check how price react after support breakout .
those kind of trades(instant execution) will be taken with entries on my demo account because there will be no enough time to report it.

JERUSALEM KB 20:51 GMT March 4, 2012


GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

JERUSALEM KB 19:35:38 GMT - 03/01/2012

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

waiting for support breakout
=========
please check this old chart

Syd 20:27 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
This president and his secretary of anti-energy, Dr. Chu, have as a goal getting us to pay European-level prices of $8 or $9. Dr. Chu was clear about that before he became secretary. He wants us to get to be a European-level price structure of $8 or $9 a gallon,” said Gingrich. “He said this week, in testifying in the House, he has ‘no intention of trying to lower the price of oil or the price of gasoline.’ The American people on the other hand would much rather pay $2.50 and be independent of Saudi Arabia than be where we are today. ”

llink

GVI Forex Blog 20:11 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: There’s much local event risk for both currencies this week but today’s data releases have limited market-moving potential. Australian inventories plus and inflation gauge are out, and in NZ there’s migration and building work. AUD targets 1.0715 immediately below, while NZD targets 0.8265 if 0.8285 breaks.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

Syd 19:54 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Reuters) - Saudi Arabia has raised the price of its flagship Arab Light crude oil for customers in Asia, who buy more than half of its crude exports, by $1.25 a barrel for April, while cutting prices for its heavy crude for European buyers, state-run Saudi Aramco said on Sunday.

Reuters)

GVI Forex john 19:24 GMT March 4, 2012

-- Trade Talk --
Daily Trading Points Table

We have recently made a couple of minor alterations to our daily chart points table. We made two changes to the table. Both are in the TEND BIAS section. First of all we made the bias more sensitive than it was before, formerly it was determined by subtracting the 20-day moving average from the 5-day. Now it is determined by the relative value of spot to the 20-day average. Secondly, we have increased the font to the market bias to call greater attention to it.

It has been our observation that there frequently has been a significant change in the tone of the markets when the spot rate moves to a new side of the 20-day average. In general, we recommend extreme caution when buying a currency pair below its 20-day average and the same on short sales above that level. We also strongly suggest you use additional tools before making your trading decisions, but this is a big item to watch.

Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc. are needed and appreciated!

JERUSALEM KB 19:21 GMT March 4, 2012


EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

h4 chart , price still above important support , a buy signal could be formed above this trend line and shows a false break on daily chart

JERUSALEM KB 19:12 GMT March 4, 2012


EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:


Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3307 Target: 1.3210(adding higher spread Stop: 1.3307

Sell
Entry: 1.3307 Target: 1.3245-1.3205 Stop: 1.3380
sold
=====
hit 1st target with 62pips and sl to B/E for 1.3210
==============
hit target with 97pips+
looking at eurusd daily chart , it forms a strong sell signal below old broken support and push the price down to close below support trend line and middle bollinger band.
now i expect a a range trade around the middle bollinger with high 1.3251/74 before price go down to 1.2975(no trades until we have forming trade setup on smaller time frame ).

JERUSALEM KB 19:06 GMT March 4, 2012
Brock Thor 20:43:41 GMT - 03/02/2012

KB

I closed 1/2 the EUR/USD trade you posted on 3/2/12 at 1.3245.

Thanks for the 53+pips.

Will you stay until about 1.3205 as posted?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
KB... I just got to log on (was out all day)and took a nice profit on this mornings trade.
Thanks again Sir.
============
you are welcome thor

GVI Forex john 19:01 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Latest Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


Refresh Forum Manually to Update Table.


GVI Forex john 17:19 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Latest Close Trading Points...
more chart points About Pivot Points

Refresh Forum MANUALLY to update table


GVI Forex john 15:54 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Latest data...

Daily Pip Ranges

Forex Trading Tools Index

Refresh Forum MANUALLY to update table


Hong Kong Qindex 15:27 GMT March 4, 2012
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The daily cycle normal upper limits are positioning at 82.63 - 82.84 - 83.37.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex Jay 14:44 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
I am surprised that there there was no reaction, either in the thread I started or offline by email to the article I wrote in our monthly newsletter, I Hate Hedging." I know this is a feature that many retail traders use but one I do not like. I am open to other views and thought my stance on hedging would provoke some discussion. You are still free to comment, agree or disagree.

Newsletter:
Thoughts From the Forex Trenches

Thread:
I Hate Hedging

Hong Kong Qindex 13:28 GMT March 4, 2012
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : Weekly Cycle Analysis


My weekly cycle analysis indicates that if the market can trade above 83.63 a positive signal will be hoisted in my system.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 13:23 GMT March 4, 2012
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : The monthly cycle directional indicator suggests that if there is a pullback at 83.35 USD/JPY will get support at 82.69 and the odds are good that it will charge ahead again and tackle the next barrier at 84.31 // 84.46.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

HK RF@ 12:56 GMT March 4, 2012
Dr. Q.

Thanks for your different view, where I expect some pullback at ~83.35.

Trading Systems 12:55 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   

KB's Trading Plan

Trading Systems 12:54 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   

Re-launch of Scalper EA

Hong Kong Qindex 11:52 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : Critical Point 82.69


A critical range is positioning at 82.37 - 82.76. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market momentum is strong enough to overcome the resistant barrier at 82.69 // 82.76. The odds are in favour of maintaining a long position when the market is trading above 80.63 // 81.19.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

HK RF@ 09:35 GMT March 4, 2012
Dillon AL 06:29 GMT

Thanks for the videos. very interesting.

Dillon AL 06:29 GMT March 4, 2012
Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD

To access the videos Click here

There is a look at the long term DX chart inside the GbpUsd video

HK RF@ 06:29 GMT March 4, 2012
.



Thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 04:07 GMT March 4, 2012
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

HK RF@ 03:42 GMT : I will do it later today or tomorrow.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

Hong Kong Qindex 04:06 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

Crude Oil : Critical Point 105.07


The monthly cycle directional indicator suggests that supporting barriers are expected at 102.17 // 103.60 and resistant barriers are located at 108.19 // 112.62. On one hand the monthly cycle charts suggest that the market has a tendency to trade between 105.07 and 111.32 but on the other hand the market is under pressure when it is trading below the monthly cycle pivot centre at 108.19.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

Crude Oil : Monthly Cycle Charts

Boston eFX 03:53 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews)It was literally a run for the money between yen and the dollar and earlier Friday.

The yen for some time had been a safe haven but the effect of deflation on the Japanese economy is hurting and forcing its central bank, the Bank of Japan, to take actions that could put the currency under pressure. The yen's long-standing role as a place to flee in times of turmoil could be ending.

Accordingly, the dollar's month-old uptrend was extended to Y81.840.

Such is the difficulty....

CHARTING MARKETS: USD/JPY Runs For The Money (full story)

Boston eFX 03:50 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews)Though smoking continue to fall in much of the developed world, ConvergEx says a country's rate actually has a good correlation to its debt-to-GDP ratio.

Wouldn't you know that there's 65% correlation in Europe. And which country has the most smokers? .....

Smoking And Sovereign Debt: Correlation Or Causation? (full story)

HK RF@ 03:42 GMT March 4, 2012
Hong Kong Qindex 02:13 GMT

Will appreciate your view about USD/JPY, especially when looks like momentum indicators are diverging(on some time-frames) at overbought conditions.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:13 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Analysis


As shown in the monthly cycle directional indicator the market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot centres at 1.3165 // 1.3187. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market resumes its downward trending momentum and penetrates through the barriers at 1.2893 // 1.2898. The distribution profiles of the monthly cycle charts suggest that the market is going to work on 1.3138 and the distribution profile of the monthly cycle probability chart indicates that the market is pulling towards 1.2665.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

HK RF@ 01:35 GMT March 4, 2012 Reply   
Contrary to those drumming up the Cad$, USD/CAD has still the capacity to Ret. to 1.02, though the chart on longer term looks bullish for the Cad$.

On a background of possible oil/gold looming drop, one needs to bring that into account.

Seems like some big players are being trapped in a short USD/CAD and are looking this time for suckers to bail them out.

 


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