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Forex Forum Archive for 09/06/2018

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Mtl JP 23:24 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

anything react by going uP or something else by going DOwn ?

GVI 21:55 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Rockets reportedly have struck Baghdad's Green Zone

- press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 20:49 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Reportedly UK Brexit Min Raab's warning over Irish border left EU's Barnier furious - Telegraph https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/06/revealed-dominic-raab-threat-irish-border-left-michel-barnier/

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 20:16 GMT September 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 7 September 2018

Late Thursday
10s 2.880%
DJ +20

GVI Trader john 20:00 GMT September 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 7 September 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1625
Pivot Point: 1.1630

This Week: 1.1543-1.1659
Thu: 1.1606-1.1659
Wed: 1.1543-1.1636
Tue: 1.1559-1.1621
Mon: 1.1590-1.1627

20-day avg: 1.1543
50-day avg: 1.1615
100-day avg: 1.1717
200-day avg: 1.1957

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 100% (100%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 58% (58%).

GVI Forex Blog 19:56 GMT September 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 7 September 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 7 Sep 2018
A 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 08:30 CA/US- Employment

Mon 10 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output
Tue 11 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 12 Sep 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 13 Sep 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 7 September 2018

GVI Forex Blog 19:24 GMT September 6, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 September 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 September 2018

dc CB 19:01 GMT September 6, 2018
East Coast USA
Reply   
Trifecta next week

lasted Eurpean Model

PAR 19:00 GMT September 6, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Short sep VIX @ 15.00. Stop15.50.

PAR 18:07 GMT September 6, 2018
FRANCE
Reply   
Debt/GDP to increase above 100 %.

According to European rules it should be 60 %.

Et alors ?

lkwd jj 18:02 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz ?????

lkwd jj 16:52 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY

look what happened when they had the tsunami/earthquake near nuclear plant that started to leak . lots of damage then as well. if companies lose money due to being closed or needing repair to buildings not only do ins stox get whacked, they all do. then you have people selling their japanese stox and pulling the cash out for other opportunities.. initial reaction is repatriation will be strong jpy, but reality sets in.....

PAR 16:33 GMT September 6, 2018
Russian Rouble
Reply   
Down 1.6 % on US sanctions . Russia and USA enter new cold war with Europe to suffer most .

HK Kevin 16:21 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY

joyya, ya. The FX market is getting complicated over the past few years. Mid-term trade short GBP 1.6260 hit stop at breakeven today. RE USD/JPY, look like inverse H&S chart pattern in the daily chart for upside move. So just covered intraday trade short EUR/JPY 129.80 with nice profits.

Fukuoka joyya 16:09 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY

HK Kevin looks to me jpy gain but its complicated.....

just sold gbpjpy eurjpy audjpy with tght stop yesterday lets see.....

HK Kevin 16:04 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY

joyya, would JPY appreciate due to capital inflow for disaster rebuild?

Fukuoka joyya 15:42 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY

PAR whats your view on usdtry?

PAR 15:32 GMT September 6, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Long USDJPY 110.90 . Stop 110.50. Target 113.00 .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:22 GMT September 6, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
Risk off and EURGBP sell order pressuring EURUSD lower. AT support at 1.1605 tested, so far holding.

AT directional indicator in EURGBP pointed down after a failure around .9000

The Amazing Trader

lkwd jj 15:19 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

crude draw not enough to keep market up with build in heating oil...

GVI Trader john 15:17 GMT September 6, 2018
STOX

10s 2.877%
DJ -66

Lower stocks =>> light flight to safety demand for bonds

Fukuoka joyya 15:09 GMT September 6, 2018
long jpy!

ready for crash....

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -4.300 vs. -1.900 exp vs. -2.600 prev.
Distillates: +0.500 vs. +0.500 exp vs. -5.800 prev.
Gasoline: +1.800 vs. -1.500 exp vs. +1.600 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 14:57 GMT September 6, 2018
STOX
Reply   
Last week's SPX gap 2075 tested yesterday, filled today -- below is a smaller gap to 2856 /// divergence in stox and DJIA

Fukuoka joyya 14:51 GMT September 6, 2018
long jpy!

shrt some usdtry 6.58add later...

GVI Forex Blog 14:44 GMT September 6, 2018
Bank Of Canada Holds Policy Steady; Signals October Hike
Reply   


Bank Of Canada Leaves Key Target Rate Steady At 1.50% On Wednesday, as expected, the Bank of Canada left policy unchanged. There was a slightly dovish tone to the latest policy statement, but the central bank said that recent data reinforces the view that higher rates will be warranted. We recently saw Governor Polotz at the Jackson Hole conference interviewed on television seeming to imply that the Bank of Canada was comfortable following the lead of the Fed.

Bank Of Canada Holds Policy Steady; Signals October Hike

Fukuoka joyya 14:38 GMT September 6, 2018
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

stox still at top if stox crash where will be gbpjpy audjpy eurjpy.....

Livingston nh 14:33 GMT September 6, 2018
Contagion

jp - CPI inflation maybe 4 to 4.5% in six months - markets have been willing to buy out to 30 yr w/ a negative real yield BUT that can turn quickly // Contagion in India and Indonesia currency, Turkey still on the edge

Powell doesn't take the economists' Unknowables too seriously - rates will rise (normal = 10 yr yield 2 above CPI)

so far seems like 1998 not 2008 -- problem is not in US banks (1988 and 2008) but EM --- QE can't fix that

GVI Trader john 14:30 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +63 vs: +62 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 14:17 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Here is the daily dose of Brexit news. GBPUSD falls on thi but so far with limited follow through.

10:15 (UK) Group of Brexiteers in PM May's cabinet said to advocate for new BRexit strategy based on EU-Canada free trade deal if EU dismisses Chequers plan - Buzzfeed

- New strategy supporters said to include Brexit Sec Raab - Source TradeTheNews.com

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 14:14 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Services PMI Much Stronger in August 2018
Reply   
ISM And Markit final Services PMI

MORE: U.S. Data Charts
ISM Services PMI rebounds strongly in August 2018.Markit Sevices PMI Revised doen slightly. Employment sub-component better.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Services PMI Much Stronger in August 2018

PAR 14:10 GMT September 6, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump tweeting stocks higher .

The Deep State and the Left, and their vehicle, the Fake News Media, are going Crazy - & they don’t know what to do. The Economy is booming like never before, Jobs are at Historic Highs, soon TWO Supreme Court Justices & maybe Declassification to find Additional Corruption. Wow!

dc CB 14:09 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

"In the labor market, we have seen a noticeable increase in difficulty to attract and retain talent at all levels. We have begun taking steps to change compensation packages to combat this issue.” (Retail Trade) - ISM

"Business activity is markedly higher now that the government is in the fourth quarter of its fiscal year and agencies need to obligate their fiscal year 2018 funds. Many contracts expiring in this time frame require renewal." - ISM

"Based on current trends on customer quote requests and conversions to orders, we are trending for this month to be the best August in the history of our company.” - ISM respondent

GVI Trader john 14:06 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. ISM Services PMI August 2018

MORE: U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
58.5 vs. 56.7 exp. vs. 55.7 prev.
Employment sub-component
56.7 vs. 56.1 prev.


RELEASE: ISM Services PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer



-------------

Factory Orders August 2018




ALERT
-0.80% vs. -0.60% exp. vs. +0.70% (r )prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Markit final Services PMI August 2018

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
54.8 vs. 55.2 exp. vs. 55.2 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 13:02 GMT September 6, 2018
Are You Making Money Trading?
Reply   
Are you consistently making money trading? If the answer is yes, go back to your trading platform. If no, then read on..

Are You Making Money Trading?

GVI Forex Blog 12:55 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Low
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims fall.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Low

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT September 6, 2018
Contagion

Livingston nh 11:19 // Despite what jerome's implied concern about USD's and interest rate's effect on EMs may be , I think that the powers that be do have good reason to be concerned about both usd and rates rising. It is called Contagion and it promises to have nega effect on some systemically important financial outfits.

So I keep an alert ear and eyeball on the Fed yikyaking about taming rate hikes - like bullard and kashkari are already - and all that is missing is yikyak about restarting the printer (i.e. QE).

I call it 2008 V.2. - Opportunity to get rich off the "authorities" interventionist solution of only thing they know: lower rates and printing.

On the other hand, in light of President Trump loading up on deficit and military expenditures and involvements here is my Qtn:

Which do you think has better odds of being seen first:
A- lower interest and renewed QE OR
B- 10-15-20% inflation / interest rates

GVI Trader john 12:30 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

203K vs. 215K exp vs. 213K (r. ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



-------------------------


U.S. Productivity 2Q18




ALERT
+2.90% vs. +2.90% exp. vs. +2.90% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 12:26 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

August 2018 ADP misses estimates. Previous data revised down a touch.







GVI Trader john 12:15 GMT September 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. ADP Private Employment August 2018

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT

+163K vs. +190K exp. vs. +219K (r +231 ) prev.


RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 11:52 GMT September 6, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 6 September 2018

10s 2.909%

DJ +14

A Markets Cube Broker Review 11:43 GMT September 6, 2018 Reply   

A Broker Review for A Markets Cube Broker Review has just been added.

GVI Trader john 09:25 GMT September 6, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 6 September 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE-NEUTRAL

Spot EURUSD: 1.1625
Pivot Point: 1.1602

This Week: 1.1543-1.1659
Thu: 1.1614-1.1659
Wed: 1.1543-1.1636
Tue: 1.1559-1.1621
Mon: 1.1590-1.1627
Fri: 1.1585-1.1690

20-day avg: 1.1539
50-day avg: 1.1613
100-day avg: 1.1725
200-day avg: 1.1958

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 100% (98%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 58% (58%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.899% -0.1bp
DE: 0.377% -0.5bp
GB: 1.444% -0.1bp
JP: 0.108% -0.7bp

DAX: +44
Implied Open
DJ: +52
SP: +1.7




See the Amazing Trader Live!


PAR 09:08 GMT September 6, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Sell more VIX futures .

GVI Forex Blog 09:04 GMT September 6, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 6 September 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 6 Sep 2018
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 7 Sep 2018
A 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 08:30 CA/US- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist 6 September 2018

PAR 08:45 GMT September 6, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD 1.1610 stop . Target 1.1480 .

HK `[email protected] 08:24 GMT September 6, 2018
Gold:My thinking is that we are soon to:...

!
Reverse; Gold has better chances now to climb to about 1216, after breaching the hourly channel.

HK [email protected] 07:35 GMT September 6, 2018
Gold:My thinking is that we are soon to:...
Reply   
!
Revisit and challenge the critical support at 1170.


HK [email protected] 07:31 GMT September 6, 2018
Forests or reforestration may not prevent catastrophic landslides. Hokkado

!
Try again to post the image

HK `[email protected] 07:27 GMT September 6, 2018
Forests or reforestration may not prevent catastrophic landslides. Hokkado
Reply   
!
Houses were buried by multiple landslides after a powerful earthquake in Atsuma, Hokkaido

dc CB 03:04 GMT September 6, 2018
Winners and Losers

where is your US Supreme Court Nominee???
Still in the Senate Hearing Room---since 9:30 this morning...it's now 11PM (ET)

Dillon AL 02:03 GMT September 6, 2018
Winners and Losers

oh it would be The President's personal pleasure to enact that torture
Not a case of should but would

Mtl JP 01:37 GMT September 6, 2018
Winners and Losers

AL 23:24 u really think that a coward to some hero to others hiding behind anonymity would need to be waterboarded to sing ?

Dillon AL 00:42 GMT September 6, 2018
Winners and Losers

by next Monday we will know who the fool is

Livingston nh 00:25 GMT September 6, 2018
Winners and Losers

The poor fool who wrote this OP-ED may not be covered by the First Amendment protection extended to the Press and its EMPLOYEES // a REPORTER can protect his source for a story but a "letters to the editor" author may not fall under the NYT shield

dc CB 00:01 GMT September 6, 2018
Winners and Losers

Trump Orders NYTimes To Reveal Op-Ed Source For "National Security" Purposes

ZeroHedge

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 10 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output
Tue 11 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 12 Sep 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 13 Sep 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


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