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Forex Futures Forum Archive for 05/20/2005
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SanFrancisco analyst 21:08 GMT May 20, 2005
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Or I suppose we could go back to gold or bartering sheep, which there isn't/aren't enough of and there are reasons why they aren't used anymore.
Western business has progressed to a more cooperative productivism, it is not the Marxist horror being portrayed, and it would serve Europe well to move out of the 1800's ideas and get with the program. Closely watching the upcoming EU voting.
SanFrancisco analyst 20:34 GMT May 20, 2005
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The TRUTH is that the FED has been scaling back the amount of money supply in recent quarters. In due time the hype card of supposed value-less US money will not be available for the scare tactic crowd, just as the hype card of inflation has died, along with all the rest.
I'm sure you will be busy with the words housing bubble in coming weeks now that Gspan used the terminology. What you will fail to site is that he noted while pockets of bubble like conditions are present, he made sure the audience understood the condition is not a national one.
From Greenspan this time -
1) He's confirmed there is an inevitable slowing of the housing pace on the horizon. A housing recession coming? Hardly.
2) He's stated a Yuan revaluation will not significantly cut into the trade deficit. I've actually come to almost that point myself over time. But no benefit? Hardly. Plenty of people don't want to recognize the underlying economic benefits to the entire asian region, the subsequent global (including the US) benefits, the de-strangulation of competitive flexibility with relation to the US and other regions, and the improvement in Chinese structure that benefits all economies.
3) There is an implication of US rate (measured) increases forthecoming. Bad? Hardly. Inevitably foreign/domestic funding receives a greater bang for the buck, while inflationary pressures are counter-balanced by the resulting condition that eases consumer debt/spending.
This is all complex. The most important thing I've learned is that there are people who only want people to hear the dragging effects, and not the other effects. And there are more.
I like to make sure the truth is reflected here. Because those here who peddle nothing but false doom and gloom are negatively affecting the perception of traders still learning, stoking the fire of negativity toward America erroneously, and creating a damaging impression that socialist economics are better. The terrible conditions in Europe speak clearly to the counter. And we even hear politicians saying they want to crush "western anglo-capitalism", feeding emotions but providing only a recipe for further economic collapse. If Europe thinks it has economic troubles now, where does it think it will be later by throwing rocks at business?
Think positive.
Kyiv Alexa De 10:39 GMT May 20, 2005
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Cape Town 09:24 GMT May 20, 2005
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Thanks!
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