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GVI Dollar Outlook


JAPAN

GVI BOJ Policy Meeting Preview

  • Decision: June 16, 2009
  • Current Overnight Target Rate: 0.10%
  • Expected decision: unch
  • Japanese interest rates virtually hit their theoretical 0% floor (0.10%). The central bank surprised many on December 22 by taking a page from the Fed's playbook and throwing everything but the kitchen sink at its weakening economy and an overvalued currency.

BANK OF JAPAN Policy Objective: The Bank of Japan Law states that the Bank's monetary policy should be "aimed at, through the pursuit of price stability, contributing to the sound development of the national economy."

Nationwide CPI

The chart above shows year/year core nationwide CPI and the reported BOJ goal of between 0% and 2% for this price index. 


Manufacturing PMI



CHART: BOJ Quarterly Tankan Survey




s-t rates

The chart above shows the current three month libor rate, the current BOJ overnight rate target  and where the futures markets are currently trading three month rates for the specified periods in the future. The chart also includes comparisons of where these futures rates were trading most recently, a week ago and four weeks ago.  The chart provides a view on where the markets feel Japanese interest rates are headed.


interest rates

The chart above shows the Japanese overnight rate target, three month libor, and two- and ten-year bond yields over the past twelve months.


 

 

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