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European Market Update ***
ECONOMIC DATA ***
¬∑ SW Nov Swedbank PMI: 55.1 v 58.4e
Oct Producer Prices: M/M 0.6% v 0.4%e || Y/Y 3.3% v 3.0%e || Prior revised
from 2.8% to 2.7%
¬∑ SP Nov Manufacturing PMI: 50.7 v 49.6
¬∑ SZ Nov SVME PMI: 63.4 v 59.5e
¬∑ IT Nov Manufacturing
PMI: 51.3 v 51.7e
¬∑ FR Nov Manufacturing PMI: 52.5 v 51.
¬∑ GE Nov Manufacturing PMI: 53.7 v 52.9e
¬∑ EU Nov Final
Manufacturing PMI: 52.8 v 52.6e
¬∑ UK Nov Manufacturing PMI: 54.4 v
¬∑ EU Oct Unemployment Rate: 7.2% v 7.3%e
¬∑ SNB Will provide ample liquidity during the
¬∑ EU Almunia: Does not yet see an end to the
financial market turmoil
¬∑ EU Almunia: Global credit conditions are
seen tightening further
¬∑ EU Dos Santos: More concerned about an
economic slowdown than inflation
¬∑ EU Dos Santos: Need to see if the
rise in inflation is a temporary hitch
¬∑ UAE President: The UAE is
committed to forging a common positioning on economic and other issues at
the gulf summit
¬∑ UAE President: Has not intention to change the
Dirham exchange rate
¬∑ *** FIXED INCOME/FX/COMMIDITIES/ERRATUM
¬∑ The session has been quiet overall, with fixed income, fx,
equity, and commodity trading all dictated by the same thing‚Ä¶ namely,
continued credit concerns. Increased concerns have arisen following an
article on the collapse of the interbank market, as well as rumors of a
notable writedown at RBS, and the shadow MPC's split vote to cut rates head
of the BOE's meeting this week.
¬∑ On the commodity front Morgan
Stanley raised its long-term WTI price forecast to $85/barrel from
$65/barrel. Morgan Stanley said that bull mid-cycle oil prices could
average $115/barrel, adding that bear mid-cycle oil prices could average
$65/barrel. Morgan Stanley also forecasted an average oil price of
$80/barrel in 2008.
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Tue 19 June 2018
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
Wed 20 June 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 June 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 22 June 2018
John M. Bland, MBA
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