User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Wednesday June 11, 2008 - 20:34:43 GMT
Reuters -

Share This Story:
| | Email

FOREX NEWS-US dollar down as uncertain Fed-ECB rate outlook weighs

Wed Jun 11, 2008 4:30pm EDT

(Updates prices, adds comment, byline)

* Dollar snaps two-day advance

* Beige Book underlines U.S. economic weakness

* ECB's Stark quashes bets on series of rate hikes

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The dollar slid on Wednesday, snapping its best two-day gain against the euro since 2005, as investors debated the outlook for interest rates in the United States and Europe given statements from central bank officials in recent days.

Investors expect a euro-zone rate rise as soon as July based on comments from European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet last week, although some of the bank's policymakers have doused expectations of further rate rises.

Central bank officials around the world have cranked up their discussion of inflation in the past few sessions, with the Federal Reserve saying it will fight inflation despite concerns about slowing economic growth.

Analysts say the combination of rising inflation and struggling economies is making it difficult for markets to gauge the interest rate outlook and trading could be volatile based on officials' comments in the near term.

The euro did touch a session low against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday after ECB board member Juergen Stark was reported saying the central bank is not considering a series of rate rises. For details, see [ID:nWEA9196]. The euro then recovered as buyers debated Stark's comments compared to tough anti-inflation statements made by other ECB officials in recent days.

"We've seen the dollar retrace some of its gains, but I think at the end of the day, it's a real tug-o-war between Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet as to who's going to be more hawkish," said Kathy Lien, chief currency strategist at in New York. Overall, Lien said she expects the dollar to trade within narrow ranges in the near term.

In late afternoon trading, the euro rose 0.6 percent against the dollar to $1.5553 <EUR=>. The dollar fell 0.9 percent versus the Swiss franc to 1.0319 francs <CHF=>.


The dollar showed little reaction to the Fed's Beige Book report, which underscored U.S. economic weakness. For the Beige Book, see [ID:nWBT009166]

"The Fed is likely to be unhappy about the fact that consumer spending did not react as expected to the tax rebates, and market worries about the U.S. economy are likely to pick up on this as well," said a analyst.

Investors will look to Thursday's U.S. retail report for further clues about the state of the U.S. economy. Analysts forecast a 0.5 percent rise in headline retail sales, and a 0.7 percent increase in ex-auto sales, according to a Reuters poll.

But given the Beige Book's weak assessment of U.S. consumer spending, estimates of an increase in retail sales may be off the mark. If the actual retail numbers fail to match expectations, the dollar could slide further.

Meanwhile, Fed officials on Wednesday continued to trumpet the U.S. central bank's inflation focus.

Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn said that a steady rise in energy prices has fueled an inflationary psychology in the United States and could be a problem if it does not reverse.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard echoed the same sentiment. "After a 10-month period in which the dominant policy concern has rightly been the state of financial markets, policy can begin to address pressing inflationary concerns during the remainder of the year," he said.

As a result, the interest rate futures market is fully pricing a half percentage point increase in the fed funds rate by October and a total of three quarters of point by year-end.

The dollar had risen to three-month highs against the yen to 107.75 <JPY=> earlier in the session, but retreated to 106.91, down half a percent on the day. The dollar gave back gains as investors debated whether the 2.4 percent gain in the dollar against the yen in the previous two sessions was too far, too fast. (Additional reporting by Nick Olivari;)

© Thomson Reuters 2008. All rights reserved. Users may download and print extracts of content from this website for their own personal and non-commercial use only. Republication or redistribution of Thomson Reuters content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters and its logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of the Thomson Reuters group of companies around the world. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.


Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."

Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 10 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output
Tue 11 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 12 Sep 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 13 Sep 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube

Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.

Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.



By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105