¬∑Pier 1 (PIR) Imports announced overnight the withdrawal of its proposal to
acquire Cost Plus (CPWM) noting that it is unlikely that they would be able to
acquire a majority interest in Cost Plus at a price that would make sense for
their shareholders. GalxoSmithKline [GSK.UK] announced overnight that the FDA
has approved KINRIX, a vaccine that offers protection against diphtheria,
tetanus, pertussis and polio diseases in one shot. Barclays [BARC.UK] confirmed
overnight that it will raise ¬£4.5B via the sale of 1.58B new ordinary shares. StatoilHydro
[STL.NO] noted upon completion of drilling at Wildcat Well 30/9-21a that the
well cannot be put into production.
¬∑In the newspapers, according to an article in the Wall Street Journal the
possibility of higher fuel prices is seen lowering demand for planes. A third
of Boeing (BA) and Airbus' [EAD.FR] orders could be delayed or canceled due to
higher fuel prices. According to a Business Week article, at a few recent
meetings executives at GM (GM) talked about the prospects of a merger with Ford
(FR). The article notes that talks went no further than some internal chatter
¬∑In energy news overnight, Chevron (CVX) Resumed production at one of its crude
units at the El Segundo Refinery. The unit can process 70K bpd. According to Nigeria's Punch Kaduna Refining and
PetroChemical Company has stopped production due to the inability of the plant
to procure crude due to geopolitical tensions. The Wall Street Journal reported
that Congressional Democrats have proposed mandating margin requirements as
high as 50% for oil contracts. Goldman Sachs reportedly raised its 2008 WTI
crude oil average price forecast to $118/barrel from its previous forecast of
$108/barrel. The UAE Oil Minister said overnight that he expects demand for oil
to rise despite the "unusual prices". The minister said that
speculators are driving up oil prices, adding that the UAE will not agree to
any output hike unless OPEC does.
¬∑In new supply overnight Italy sold ‚ā¨2.5B in April 2010 Zero-Coupon
bonds with an average yield of 4.797% and a bid-to-cover of 1.55x.
¬∑In currencies the USD maintained its recent range despite a barrage of hawkish
ECB talk ahead of next week's ECB policy meeting. The EUR/USD held below the
1.56-level. The USD did see some initial strength at the European open as
dealers noted that some Eastern European supply was helping an early push
towards the 1.5540-level. Echoes of some USD verbal intervention emerged as the
ECB's Trichet reiterated that the US favors a strong USD. Elsewhere, the
Russian President added that a weak USD is an international problem. The
Canadian Finance Minister said overnight that gains in the CAD have helped keep
inflation tame. According an analyst note from Goldman overnight, the Rupee may
still fall despite the recent rate hike because of the country's high current
¬∑On the speaker front, the ECB's Tumpel-Gugerell reiterated overnight that the
ECB is ready to raise rates if needed and remains in state of heightened
alertness. Tumpel-Gugerell sees a temporary slowdown in Euro Zone, but no
sustained economic slowdown. The ECB's Wellink said overnight that real
economic growth in US has become stagnant adding that the US housing market has not calmed down at
this point. The ECB's Trichet reiterated in his testimony to the European
Parliament's economic and monetary affairs committee that the ECB is in a state
of "heightened alertness," adding that the ECB is concerned that
current high inflation may become entrenched. Trichet noted that high inflation
is due to energy and food prices, and asserted that wage growth may be stronger
than previously expected. Trichet added that the ECB must keep longer term
inflation expectations anchored, and said that Q1 growth reflects temporary
factors noting that the ECB views Q1 and Q2 together. Trichet added in his
speech that verbal discipline on the Euro is important, reiterating that the US favors a strong Dollar. Trichet noted
however that the ECB does not campaign for the Euro to have an international
role. The ECB's Noyer pointed out overnight that the US economy is growing slower, noting that
he does not see a recession. Noyer asserted that inflation justifies the ECB's
extreme vigilance, adding that he sees upward risks to price stability. Noyer
also said that currency rates are not an objective of the monetary policy of
developed countries. The German HDB Construction Group raised its 2008 industry
growth forecast to 4% from 3%, noting that 2009 sales are expected to be
relatively flat in real terms.
¬∑*** NOTES ***
¬∑Norges bank is due out with their interest rate decision at this morning. The market consensus is
split with 45% of economists surveyed forecasting a 25bps interest rate hike,
and 55% forecasting that Norges bank will hold rates at 5.50%. Given the recent
data this is a tough call. Recall however that at the May policy meeting the
bank held rates due to market turbulence and global growth risks. Central bank
members said that the high inflation outlook suggested further tightening.
¬∑Despite the numerous ECB speakers on the wires overnight there was nothing new
in speakers' respective tones. As things stand right now the ECB is sticking to
its price stability mandate, and is ready to forge ahead at full speed in the
fight against rising inflation.
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Mon 19 Mar 2018 Tue 20 Mar 2018 AA 9:30 GB- CPI A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey Wed 21 Mar 2018 AA 03:00 AU- Employment AA 9:30 GB- Employment A 12:30 US- Current Account AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales A 14:30 US- EIA Crude A A18:00 US- Fed Rate Decision A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision Thu 22 Mar 2018 AA All Day flash PMIs AA 9:30 GB- Retail Sales AA 12:00 GB- Bank Of England Decision A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 23 Mar 2018 AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales A 12:30 US- Durable Goods A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
John M. Bland, MBA co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.
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The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.
The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.
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The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.
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Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.
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