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Thursday December 16, 2004 - 14:41:30 GMT
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Global-View - www.global-view.com
GVI BiWeekly Forex SurveyThanks to all who participated.
The BiWeekly Survey of professional forex traders on Global-View.com, the original forex forum, saw the mean forecast for the eur/$ for December 30, 2004 of 1.3275. The mean $/yen forecast for that same date was 104.08.
The mean three month forecast (previous 3mo forecasts in brackets) for the eur/$ as of March 18, 2005 was 1.3363 (1.3139). The mean $/yen forecast for the same date was 102.51 (102.89).
The forecast for Fed Funds at the end of 1Q05 was fairly evenly split between 2.50% (41%) and 2.75% (42%).
The mean Crude Oil price forecast for March 18, 2005 was $44.09 ($46.69).
In a special question, 78% said the odds of forex intervention were below 50% between now and the end of 1Q05.
For complete survey results go to:
CLICK TO VIEW
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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:
Mon 18 Dec
10:00 EZ- final HICP
Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account
Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP
Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes
Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays
Potential Trading Opportunities
John M. Bland, MBA
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed --15:30-- US- EIA Crude
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated
EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated
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