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Wednesday December 10, 2008 - 20:42:26 GMT
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FX Blog- GVI Forex Analysis Thread: December 11, 2008 Pre-Far East Open
Pre-Far East Open
- Asian equity markets took comfort from expectations that a bailout of the U.S. automobile sector might be at hand. This optimism did not carry forward much into Europe or the U.S. The early call now is for only a nmodestly higher U.S. close. Not much more is known into the closing of trade than was known at the open. Key to the auto deal will be if it gets sufficient support from the Senate Republicans. Equity market linkage to key currency values has broken down today.
- The volatile commodity currencies are mostly firmer. Gold and oil are higher.
- One explanation for unusual demand for treasury bills was that many equity fund managers are closing their books for the calendar year and need a safe place to park cash into January. The 2-yr U.S. minus E-Z spread now stands at -142bps 0 bps. U.S. bond prices are weaker while E-Z bond prices closed mixed.
- Key data Friday include the U.S. and Canadian October trade figures and weekly U.S. Jobless claims. See the GVI calendar for an updated schedule of data releases in the two weeks ahead
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Mon 19 Mar 2018
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Tue 20 Mar 2018
AA 9:30 GB- CPI
A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 21 Mar 2018
AA 03:00 AU- Employment
AA 9:30 GB- Employment
A 12:30 US- Current Account
AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A A 18:00 US- Fed Rate Decision
A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision
Thu 22 Mar 2018
AA All Day flash PMIs
AA 9:30 GB- Retail Sales
AA 12:00 GB- Bank Of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 23 Mar 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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