- In equities: BCE [BCE] In a formal Release it confirmed press speculation
that it the potential purchaser had terminated agreement to acquire them citing
that the solvency Condition was not satisfied || Club Med [CU.FR] Reported FY08
Net â‚¬2.0M below the â‚¬9.5M expected. Revenues came in at â‚¬1.49B below consensus
expectations of â‚¬1.56B. The company stated that its top priority next year was
to increase market share || L'Oreal [OR.FR] French press noting that the
company would eliminate 500 US positions (approximately 4.8% of workforce) and
that the cuts would take place in the first half of 2009.
|| Santhera Pharmaceuticals [SANN.SZ] Enrolled Last Patient In European Phase
III Trial Evaluating SNT-MC17/Idebenone In Friedreich's Ataxia || Industria de
Diseno Textil [ITX.SP] Reported 9-month Net â‚¬843M below the â‚¬871M estimates. ,
EBITDA â‚¬1.55B v â‚¬1.57Be, while revenues were â‚¬7.35B roughly in line with the
consensus of â‚¬7.36B. The company noted that sales in Q4 have so far trended
similar to Q3 || UPM-Kymmene Oyj [UPM1V. FH]Stated that it was unlikely to hit
Q4 targets citing market conditions || Outokumpu [OUT1V.FH] To cut 450
positions in Sweden (5% of total workforce); and saw its Q4 operating profit
lower than expected. Company noted that the stainless steel demand had weakened
further and that the market situation had deteriorated faster than expected
|| Bouygues [EN.FR] In a French newspaper interview, the CEO reported stated
that its 2008 orders were "very satisfactory" || Anheuser-Busch InBev
[ABI.BE] Launched accelerated institutional placement for rump and noted that
99. 58% of new shares subscribed in rights offering at â‚¬6.45/shr. The new
shares to begin trading on Dec 16 in Brussels || Morphosys [MOR.GE] Announced
second clinical milestone in Therapeutic antibody program and added that the
firm had derived a fully human antibody || Heritage Oil [HOIL.UK] Announced
discovery of oil at the Kingfisher-3 well, Block 3A, Uganda. Encountered oil in
all three reservoir intervals with a gross hydrocarbon bearing interval of 110
metres and net oil pay of up to 40 metres. || Tullow Oil [TLW.UK] Provides
and also announced successful drilling results from the Hyedua-2 appraisal well
offshore Ghana and the Kingfisher-3 appraisal well in Uganda. || Bunzl [BNZL.UK] Stated that revenue
growth remained in line with prior expectations and that the group revenue
growth was consistent with the recent Interim Management Statement and overall
performance was in line with expectations despite increasingly difficult
economic conditions || HMV [HMV.UK] Reported H1 Net loss of Â£19.8M compared to
a year-ago loss of Â£25. 9M. Revenues were Â£754.5M versus Â£729M y/y, while its
SSS were flat compared to year-ago levels. Company noted that in particular,
the book market had seen a marked deterioration in the five-week period to 29
November. || EVN [EVN.AS] Reported FY08 Net â‚¬186.9M (-18% y/y), EBITDA â‚¬362. 3M
(+3.3% y/y), Rev â‚¬2.4B inline with the â‚¬2.45B expected || Premier Farnell
[PFL.UK] Reported Q3 Pretax Â£17.7M below the Â£18.9M estimates. However,
revenues were Â£209.1M slightly above the Â£207M consensus. It noted that recent
trading conditions had been variable, but the board believes that it has taken
the actions necessary to position the company well in the challenging and
unpredictable global economy || Serco [SRP.UK] Acquired InfoVision Group for Â£977M in friendly all
cash offer || Deutsche Boerse [DB1.GE] CEO commented that that its goal was
organic growth compared to consolidation || Unilever [UNA.NV] Named Paul Polman
new CEO, effective January 1, 2009
- Speakers: SNB stated that it noted that the Economies in US and Europe
economies were declining and that Asia was slowing considerably. SNB stated it
would continue to monitor its economy and currency markets and would act if
necessary. The Status of financial markets had worsened since that of Sept and
would take all necessary steps to bring 3month libor rates to mid range . The
Bank would continue to implement further measures if they are required . ||
ECB's Trichet commented that the increased in bond spreads were due to
increased liquidity risk as well as other factors. He reiterates that the Euro
Zone economy was not yet out of financial storm just yet and that the ECB would
continue to support sound banks. Lastly he added that there is no room for
complacency| SNB's Roth stated that the inflation outlook had improved
significantly, giving Central Bank more room to maneuver. He added that the
rate cut was appropriate given the determination of the economy and reduced
risk of prolonged downturn || ECB's Noyer Stated that the condition of EU zone
interbank lending was far from normalized and added that Q4 would be a
difficult quarter for European banks. He commented that he did not see
deflation in Q4 || ECB's Tumpel-Gugerell stated that the ECB gave no signal on
future interest rates. She added that the central bank was monitoring
developments and was neither promising nor excluding anything in the future. Lastly
she noted that there was no dissent in last weeks 75bps cut || Germany's IFO revised its assessment of German
growth lower. It now sees German economy shrinking in 2009 by -2.2% vs +1.0%
prior view. It lowered its 2008 GDP view to 1.5% from 2.45 prior. 2010 GDP
shrinking by -0.2%. It saw German jobless rate increasing to 8.0% in 2009 from
7.5% in 2008 could could reach 9.2% in 2010 || India Central Bank stated that
the economic situation remained uncertain and that the current global financial
crisis was significant || Irish govt official sought legal guarantees from EU
on tax neutrality as condition of second referendum to Lisbon treaty || SNB
Jordan noted that tensions in CHF made directing LIBOR more difficult. He noted
that the SNB could extend money markets maturities to steer LIBOR and that the
central bank could intervene in markets other than money markets. Monetary
conditions are not only determined by interest rates but that currency also has
input. He expressed that the Swiss Franc still had elements of safe haven but
the recent weakening of CHF was intended
- In Currencies: The USD was under pressure as the European morning approached.
EUR/USD elected the rumored stops above the 1.3050/70 level to test 1.3159
before retreating. The USD was off its worst levels against the European pairs,
but comments from the Saudi Oil Minister that its was near compliance helped
oil rebound from negative territory to probe towards the $46 neighborhood. Some
dealers adding that doubts are beginning to creep in as to whether projected
pent-up demand for the U.S. currency would materialize over the
year-end period. ECB's Stark noted that on Wed that the bank did not have a lot
of room for maneuver after its cut last week || Russian Central bank widens
Rouble band against basket || According to a Chinese Regulator: Yuan should
stay stable and not depreciate||
-In Fixed Income: The UK sold Â£3B of the 4.5% 2013 Gilts with a weaker than
expected bid-to-cover of 1.96. Yields were lower across the curve in Germany, which, combined with a volatile
political situation in Greece, pushed the spread on 10y GGB's to a
record 185bps over Bunds, noteworthy ahead of Italian supply on Friday .
- In Energy: Saudi Arabia Oil Min Al-Naimi stated that its Nov oil output was
8.49M BPD (near OPEC quota) ||IEA noted that 2008
oil demand to fall for the first time since 1983 by 200K BPD from 2007 levels; noted that global oil
demand to fall citing the economic crisis. The IEA noted that global oil demand
would likely rise in 2009 by 0.5% || Lukoil [LKOH.RU] Reported Q3 Net $3.47B v
$3.16Be, Pretax $4.74B, Rev $32.56B v $31.4Be
- Credit Crisis: SNB Hildebrand: Bank credit risks to rise as economy slows. He
noted that UBS [UBSN.SZ] liquidity position had stabilized, but remained
'serious' and that credit risk provisions needed to increase. Big banks have
risks from trading portfolio || FT reported that US banks level 3 assets increased in Q3 by
15. 5% to $610B || Commerzbank [CBK.GE] CEO noted that Credit volumes in Germany were growing and that no 'credit crunch'
was taking hold in Germany. He did cautiously add that there could
be a decline in credit in near term ||
*** NOTES ***
- Oil gets its groove back as Saudi Arabia Oil Min Al-Naimi noted that that its
Nov oil output was 8.49M BPD, which was near OPEC quota. NYMEX Jan crude futures were moving
higher towards $46 as a result. OPEC to meet on Dec 17th and recall that Russia stated it would comply on the group's
oil output reduction. || U.S. House of Representatives approved the auto
bailout plan late Wednesday but traders noting it will be a much closer call in
the Senate (vote could be held on Friday) ||
Looking Ahead weekly jobless claims are the focus in US to guage to extend of
the economic slowdown
- 8:30 (CA) Canadian Oct Int'l Wholesale Trade: Consensus expectations are 3.3B
; The prior number was 4.5B.
- 8:30 (CA) Canadian Oct New Housing Price Index M/M: Consensus expectations
are -0.1%; The prior number was 0.1%.
- 8:30 (US) Oct Trade Balance: Consensus
expectations are -$53.5B; The prior number was -$56.6B
(US) Nov Import Price Index : M/M consensus expectations are -4.9% ; The prior
number was -4.7%. Y/Y Consensus expectations are -2.0%; The prior number was
- 8:30 (US) Initial Jobless Claims w/e Dec 6th :
Consensus expectations are for 525k; the prior number was 509k. Continuing
Claims: Consensus expectations are 4.1M; The prior number was 4.087M.
- South African Interest Rate Decision: Consensus expectations are for a 50bps
cut to 11. 50%, Current base rate is 12.00%
(US) Treasury Dept to sell $16B 3.75% 10y Notes due Nov 2018
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Tue 17 July 2018 AA 08:30 GB- Employment A 13:15 US- Industrial Production AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony Wed 18 July 2018 AA 08:30 GB- CPI A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony Thu 19 July 2018 AA 1:30 AU- Employment AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales A 14:30 US- EIA Crude A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 20 Jun 2018 A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
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