- Equities: Bunzl [BNZL.UK] Reported FY08 Net Â£142.2M slightly below the
Â£149.4M estimates. Its revenues were Â£4.18B compared to the consensus of Â£4.1B
expected. It has committed funding totaling Â£1.1B from US private placement and
noted that all four business areas showed increased revenues and op profits ||
European Aeronautic Defence & Space [EAD.FR] French press reporting that
the delayed A400M cargo aircraft could be delivered up to 5 years late ||
Daimler [DAI.GE] German press reports that company has abandoned its mid-term
target of 5% Rev growth || AB Foods [ABF.UK] Provided interim statement in
which its H1 operating profit to be below prior year, H1 Primark unit LFL sales
+5% y/y || Anheuser-Busch InBev [ABI.BE] To sell Labatt USA Inbev unit to KPS
Capital partners. The financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed ||
Merck KgAA [MRK.GE] Makes NOK13.50/shr offer for Medicullt, in a deal valued at
NOK383M. Medicult Board recommended shareholders to accept the offer||
- Speakers: ECB's Trichet commented that severe EMU financial strains are
impacting the real economy. The financial system woes are preventing an
economic recovery. Trichet noted that problems have not limited to financial
sector and the decline in credit flows is party driven by partly of demand and
supply associated with deleveraging || EU's Almunia commented that he dud not
rule out possible assistance for a non-EMU country; doubted any rescue was
needed within its current membership. || German Government stated that it did
not see any reason to revise 2009 GDP forecast of decline of 2.25% y/y at this
time. || ECB Orphanides stated that the ECB could use unconventional measures
if needed || ECB's Bini Smaghi commented that the EU might intervene in
countries " in difficulty" and that the economic crisis could
accelerate for newest EU members. The central bank would provide assistance
with of without help from IMF || IMF's Strauss Kahn: Supports the idea of
common European bond issue but that such an issue must be aimed at combating
economic crisis || Polish Dep Fin Min Kotecki stated that it would prepare a
draft of its detailed Euro adoption by April ut noted that Euro adoption road
map might be revised. The final decision to be taken by May ||
- In Currencies: The session was marked by an increase in risk appetite on news
that the U.S.
government might take a larger stake in Citigroup. The European equity markets
were up over 1.0% across the board and the JPY-related pairs were higher as a
result of the scenario. USD/JPY nearing the mid-94 level and EUR/JPY cross
above the 121.20 neighborhood. . || USD/JPY currency pair was approaching the
95.00, which had been a historical pivot point and the former Coordinated
intervention point back in 1995. Some dealer chatter pondering if JPY
intervention could be duplicated at this time given the price action below the
90 level in Late Jan/Feb period. || EUR/USD opened the European session probing
the 1.30 area, but saw its Asian session gains erode as the European morning
wore on. The pair tested 1.2820 ahead of the NY morning. EUR/GBP lowers as well
by 120 pips to test. 0.8775. European dealers were trying to understand the
chaotic price action in USD-related pairs on Friday afternoon. The thin-trading
conditions had removed from potential US
bullish momentum from the charts and keeps the prior range of 1.2750 to 1.31
intact for the time being. || The CHF continues to be hampered by continued tax
haven concerns. The USD/CHF opened the European morning at 1.1470 and the CHF
gradually weakened to test 1.16 level. EUR/CHF was moving back above the 1.49
level after testing 1.48 in Asia.
- Fixed income: Renewed strength in equity markets has sent government bond
prices lower in light volumes this morning. Short end underperformance is
leading to compression in the UK
yield curve , with the yield on the 2y Gilt above 1.55% for the first time in
almost 2 weeks, against a backdrop of the BoE's Gilt purchase operation,
expected to be finalized in coming weeks. Better selling of longer dated issues
in Bunds and UST's has led to bear steepening in those markets. At the time of
writing the yield on the 10y Note is 5bps higher in electronic trade at 2.84%,
whilst the 10y Bund is up by the same amount at 3.07%.
- In Energy: Petrologistics: OPEC 12 Feb oil output expected at 27.6M v 28.7M
in Jan || IEA Tanaka reiterated the view that any additional OPEC output
reduction deemed to increase prices poses a risk to global economic recovery.
IEA noted that oil prices must remain at current levels would be very important
for global recovery . Oil demand seen growing by 1% in 2010 but it might lower
oil demand outlook again on economic outlook
- Credit Crisis: Fitch provided comments on Austria's
long term ratings. It saw its most important factor in ratings decision being
based on level of crisis in Eastern Europe and noted
that the situation could become 'nasty' if Eastern Europe
were to experience Asian-style crisis ||European G20 statement: EU needs common
rules to deal with impaired assets, to extend regulation of overall financial
market, asset classes and participants. It sought to subject rating agencies to
mandatory registration and oversight. The members agreed that banks should
build extra capital buffers during economic upswings. Hedge Funds to be
regulated as they pose systematic risk and would crackdown on tax havens,
including sanctions. The G20 commented that confidence in financial markets has
not yet restored. To support and assist systematically important financial
institutions and that Government stimulus measures would tangibly support
growth in coming months but added that stimulus must not distort competition
*** NOTES ***
- The Monday session lacked enthusiasm but Equity markets mildly firmer on more
of a technical bounce then any response from the weekend preG20 summit in
Berlin. The US and global banking system appear to be on the verge of
. European leaders challenged the rest of the world to sign up to tighter
- Looking Ahead:
- (GE) German Jan Wholesale Price Index M/M: -2.0% expected v -3.0% prior; Y/Y:
-6.3% expected v -3.3% prior
- 8:00 (HU) Hungarian Interest Rate Decision: Consensus expectations are for no
change, current Base Rate is 9.50%
- 8:30 (CA) Canadian Dec Retail Sales M/M: -2.7% expected v -2.4% prior; Less
Autos M/M: -2.0% expected v -2.3% prior
- 8:00 (EU) ECB's Nowotny and Sramko speak in Vienna
- 10:30 (US) Feb Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity: -52.5% expected v -50.5%
- 10:30 (IS) Israeli Base Rate Announcement: 50bps cut to 0.50% expected,
current Base Rate is 1.00%
-12:40 (US) Fed's Lockhart speaks in Orlando
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Mon 19 Mar 2018 Tue 20 Mar 2018 AA 9:30 GB- CPI A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey Wed 21 Mar 2018 AA 03:00 AU- Employment AA 9:30 GB- Employment A 12:30 US- Current Account AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales A 14:30 US- EIA Crude A A18:00 US- Fed Rate Decision A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision Thu 22 Mar 2018 AA All Day flash PMIs AA 9:30 GB- Retail Sales AA 12:00 GB- Bank Of England Decision A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 23 Mar 2018 AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales A 12:30 US- Durable Goods A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
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