- Equities: European Aeronautic Defense & Space Co [EAD.FR] Reported FY08
Net profit of ÔéČ1.57B better than the ÔéČ1.23B consensus expectations. Its EBIT
was ÔéČ2.8B above ÔéČ2.18B consensus. Revenues were in line with forecasts at
ÔéČ43.3B versus ÔéČ41.37B estimates. EADs reported Q4 Net profit of ÔéČ490M beating
consensus of a loss ÔéČ160M. It expected FY09 revenues to be roughly in line with
FY08 level but saw its EBIT (ex items) to fall in 2009 but would remain
'significantly' positive. Airbus was expected to receive 300-400 gross orders
this year and its order book was at ÔéČ400B, which was up 18% y/y. The firm did
note that the order book was being challenged by market deterioration. The CFO
commented that deliveries of Airbus commercial 300 series aircraft during 2009
could be below those of 2008. the firm has backlog of orders for 2009 and 2010
|| E.On [OAN.GE: Reported FY08 Adj Net ÔéČ5.6B above the ÔéČ5.17B forecasts.
Revenues came in at ÔéČ86.75B better than estimates of ÔéČ79.72B. the company noted
that the economic crisis would take its toll on its business as it will likely
lead to lower power and gas demand. Thus lower energy prices, the depreciation
of currencies and higher costs of financing its business will impact earnings.
It would cut spending by ÔéČ6B and noted it would allocate ÔéČ10B per year form
2009-2011, in which 1/3 of spending to be used to modernization of its
facilities|| Barclays, [BARC.UK] the bank stated Monday that it its financial
records would be subjected to intense Treasury examination if it decided to
enter the APS according to the Financial Times. Additionally, Barclays Capital
agreed to acquire the Bear Wagner Specialists LLC unit currently held by
JPMorgan Chase. || HSBC [HSBA.UK] Held a press conference regarding its capital
raise. A spokesperson for the bank stated that January was good trading month
at the the firm and that the bank was to raise its HK lending to HK$4B.
Further, it was stated that the rights issue had been fully underwritten and
that the bank remained well capitalized. HSBC reiterated that it was not seeking
government support and that the cap raise will bring tier 1 cap to 10%. The
bank plans to being dividend payments in 2010. || Weir Group [WEIR.UK] reported
its FY08 figures. Op profit was reported at ┬ú185M compared to the ┬ú181.4M
expected with revenues at ┬ú1.35B, ahead of the ┬ú1.31B expected. Stated that the
firms order book is significantly stronger than year-ago levels but that net
debt increased to ┬ú239.9M v ┬ú171.3m y/y. || Deutsche Bank [DBK.Ge], reportedly
it does not intend to merge with Postbank saying Deutsche Bank and Postbank
will maintain their own strategies. || Antofagasta
[ANTO.UK] Reported FY08 Net $1.71B above the forecasts of $1.03B. Revenues were
$3.37B below consensus of $3.5B. it would pay a final dividend of $0.536/share.
It's FY08 turnover $3.37B compared to $3.83B y/y. It saw a sharp deterioration
in the global economic environment which was likely to continue well into 2009.
For 2009, copper and molybdenum production were expected to be 433,000 tons and
8,100 tons respectively || Sodexho [SW.FR] Announced the Acquisition of India's
Radhakrishna Hospitality Services Group; terms not disclosed. The parties
expected to close the transaction before the summer of 2009. || Roche [ROG.SZ]
CEO Schwann stated that the firm had continued to perform strongly in first 2
months of 2009 . Its Operating profit was better than management's expectations
and remained confident regarding full-year outlook
- Speakers: ECB's Bini Smaghi: Should the situation worsen, ECB is ready to cut
rates further, "even to zero". He noted that cutting interest rates
to zero would be appropriate if economy was threatened by deflation|| IMF's
Strauss Kahn stated that the Global GDP growth would slow below zero in 2009
and thus economic growth outlook was 'worst in our lifetime. The IMF commented
that the world was in a 'great recession' || Chinese Foreign Ministry condemned
the US naval
activities noting that an incident occurred when a US
ship violated international law. China
called upon the US
to halt illegal activities || ECB's Weber stated that the German economy would
be hit harder and longer than previously expected by global market crisis. The
financial turbulence still provided downside risks to its growth outlook.
Falling demand has impacted Germany's economy and expected to see a few months
of negative inflation this year, which should not to be confused with deflation
|| Polish Central Banker Czekaj commented that the economic situation in coming
months may not back view for additional interest rate cuts || German Fin Min
Steinbrueck reiterated that he saw no advantage in reduced VAT rates || German
National central bank (Bundesbank) to create financial stability division
effective May 1st || Japan MoF Senior Official commented that currency would
not likely to be a major topic at upcoming Fin Min G-20 summit this weekend
(ahead of the formal April 2nd G20 meeting) G-20 ministers to take every action
to confront crisis and help economies.
- In Currencies: The USD was softer across the boards in the session as a
firmer equity markets prompted some unwinding of long USD positions. Dealers
attributed the price action to position squaring rather than fresh fundamentals
but the supply of pending US Government debt auctions this week seen as a
factor in the sentiment. The EUR/USD tested back above the 1.2730 area but
remains below its post US payroll employment highs of 1.2770. Comments from ECB
Bini Smaghi that the ECB could lower interest rates to zero if warranted helped
to cap the Euro currency upside momentum in the session.
- The JPY was initially firmer ahead of the European morning as dealers took
note of comments from the Singapore Sovereign wealth fund GIC, who commented
that the JPY and CNY currencies were 'safe'. USD/JPY moved towards the 98.25
level after opening in Asia at 99.00 level. || Citigroup
analyst commented on CAD currency noting that USD/CAD could moved towards 1.24
level and suggested that CAD should not be selling off (CAD hit its lowest
level since Q4 2004 on Monday against the USD at 1.3070 area).
- Fixed income: On the supply front the Netherlands
sold ÔéČ2.B in 2012 DSL's whilst results of Austrian 5y and UK
10y auctions are imminent. US
Treasuries are weaker across the curve ahead of todays 3y note offering, with T
Note futures down 12 ticks at 121-08 at the time of writing. The Bank of
England announced it would issue a new $2.0B USD denominated, 3 year bond, with
pricing indicated at 40bs over swaps. The bond replaces a previous EUR
denominated program, with proceeds to be used to supplement the Bank's own
foreign exchange reserves as opposed to UK
- In Energy: Qatar Oil Min Al-Attiyah stated that OPEC needs 100% quota
compliance before making additional supply cuts || Salamander [SMDR.UK] To sign
production sharing contract for block 31 Vietnam with PetroVietnam
- Credit Crisis: Singapore wealth fund GIC official commented that Gold,
Sovereign bonds, JPY and CNY were all ÔÇťsafe betsÔÇŁ while corporate bonds look
more attractive than equities || A Irish republican dissident group reportedly
claimed responsibility on Sunday for shooting dead 2 UK soldiers at an army
base. This is the first killing of British soldiers in Northern
Ireland in 12 years. || PBoC Vice Gov Su
Ning, the growth of China's
FX reserves slowed in Jan - Shanghai Securities News
*** NOTES ***
- Citi says enjoying a good start to the year.
- More and more talk any decline in prices would be short lived among
government officials and central bankers. China says not in deflation despite
- Singapore GIC official: commented that Gold, Sovereign bonds, JPY and CNY are
all safe bets; corporate bonds look more attractive than equities
- Violence returns to Northern Ireland with a second deadly attack in as many
- China Feb steel
output and power consumption up but too early to conclude industry recovering.
China Feb Vehicle saw their first advance in four months
- Looking Ahead:
- 6:30 (IR) ECB's Hurley speaks at Irish Parliament
- 8:00 (BR) Brazil Q4 GDP (IBGE) Q/Q: % v -2.3%e; Y/Y: % v 1.9%e; GDP
Accumulated: % v 5.2%e
- 8:30 (US) Fed's Bernanke speaks in Washington
- 10:00 (US) Jan Wholesale Inventories: -1.0% expected v -1.4% prior
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Mon 19 Mar 2018 Tue 20 Mar 2018 AA 9:30 GB- CPI A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey Wed 21 Mar 2018 AA 03:00 AU- Employment AA 9:30 GB- Employment A 12:30 US- Current Account AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales A 14:30 US- EIA Crude A A18:00 US- Fed Rate Decision A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision Thu 22 Mar 2018 AA All Day flash PMIs AA 9:30 GB- Retail Sales AA 12:00 GB- Bank Of England Decision A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 23 Mar 2018 AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales A 12:30 US- Durable Goods A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
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