User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Monday April 20, 2009 - 10:18:17 GMT
Trade the News Staff -

Share This Story:
| | Email

Forex Blog - European Market Update: Cautious IMF global outlook view brings risk aversion back to the table; GBP currency weighed down by UK budget concerns

Today 05:56am EST/09:56am GMT

European Market Update: Cautious IMF global outlook view brings risk aversion back to the table; GBP currency weighed down by UK budget concerns


- (JP) Japan March Convenience Store Sales Y/Y: 4.2% v 2.0% prior

- (SP) Spain Feb Service Sector Sales Y/Y: -20.5% v -17.6% prior; Service Sector Employment Y/Y: -5.9% v -4.8% prior

- (HK) Hong March Kong Unemployment Rate: 5.2% v 5.3%e


- Equities: European equity markets opened to the downside following mixed trading in the pre market. Following the sixth straight week of gains, markets volume and direction has remained light in early going. Technical issues have continued to delay the NYSE Euro next open with the CAC40 not fully open until 3:50EST (50 min delay). Sector movement to the downside continues to be led by industrials and utilities with many of the heavy steel names pairing gains marked last week following upgrades from Credit Suisse and optimism regarding increases in Chinese demand. Past the 4:00EST hr, selling accelerated in the markets as opening level lows were breached to the downside with continued weakness in metals and mining names. Banks have, however, continued their lighter note as traders position for further earnings out the
US, with Bank of America (BAC.UK) seen reporting during the 6:00EST hr in NY. All three bourses continued their downward slide into the 5:00EST hour accelerating their losses at US futures and energy commodities pushed their session lows. Financial names in the UK and on the continent came off their best levels and joined automotive names (ex Fiat) in rapid move towards their session lows. Markets continue to eye US corporate earrings out of Bank of America, Halliburton and Eli Lilly all expected in the 6:00EST hour.

Royal Dutch Shell [RDSA.UK] $4B
Iraq oil development contract could be rescinded/renegotiated by Iraqi gov -Guardian. Jabir Khalifa Jabir, Sec of Oil and Gas Committe in Iraqi Parliament has allegedly threatened to push Shell out of Iraqi oil production contracts. Jabir has stated that Shell and Sinopec's agreements for operations in Southern Iraq are illegal as they were not approved by Parliament. ||Arcandor [ARO.GE] Announced consolidation program: The Group expects a further financing requirement of up to €900M over the coming 5 years for the implementation of these measures in addition to the pending refinancing in the summer of 2009. || Porsche [PAH3.GE:] Company reportedly in talks with banks on possible issue of debt to pay back a €3.3B portion of €10B loan secured last month - Der Spiegel. || UBS [UBSN.SZ] Sells its Brazilian unit UBS Pactual for about $2.5B to BTG Investments. The transaction will take place at a premium to book value. It will increase Tier 1 capital by CHF 1.3B, decrease risk weighted assets by CHF3.0B, and reduce total assets by CHF6.3B. It will strengthen UBS''s BIS Tier 1 ratio by approximately 60 bps. || Allied Irish Bank [ALBK.IR] To seek additional €1.5B in capital. ||

- Speakers: British Trade Min Davies: Reiterated his view that GBP currency low level offers a huge opportunity for exports. He commented that the
UK had an opportunity to export its way out of economic crisis || BoJ's Shirakawa noted that financial conditions remained “severe” as domestic demand remained week. He noted that it pay attention to economic downside price risks and that exports have fallen dramatically. Core consumer prices to keep declining but there are signs that the output, export drops were moderating. Nonetheless the Japanese economy was still deteriorating significantly. Lastly he expected situation to turn around and start recovering in late 2009 ||Philippine Economic planner Recto commented that Q1 GDP might have slowed to 2.1% to 3.2% range; cites slowing exports. Just last week the country cuts its 2009 GDP estimate to 3.1-4.1% from its prior range of 3.7-4.4%. || China's sovereign wealth fund (CIC) Chairman Lou Jiwei commented in an FT interview that CIC was considering investment opportunities in Europe and had identified many potential targets . He expressed relief that snubs from the continent saved Beijing from embarrassing investment losses last year || || French budget director: French public deficit to be €104 to €105B; sees 2009 budget gap at 5.5% || UK CBI commented that perhaps the the worst of the recession was over and saw UK economy with modest growth in the H2 of 2010. || German Bank Assoc: Saw downside risk to 2009 GDP forecast of -3.5% y/y. It reiterated the view that the ECB still had room to lower interest rates. || HKMA's Yam commented that the ultra- loose US monetary policy helped cushion Hong Kong due to its currency peg policy

- In Currencies: GBP maintained a softer tone in the session. The GBP/USD tested the 1.4550 level while EUR/GBP cross moved back above the 0.89 area. Dealers attributed the price action as more of a position adjustment rather than a change in fundamentals. Both the U.K. CBI and the Item Club think tank said the worst of the recession was over and that the U.K. was no longer in free fall, but with little impact. All eyes are on the upcoming
UK budget due out on Wednesday. The FT noted that Chancellor Darling was expected to say that the cost of the government's bank bailouts may reach £60B and acknowledged that the government was unlikely to ever fully recover the funds it put into the banking sector.||

- EUR/USD: dealers noting that some “sizeable” 1.2950 strikes rolling off later this week. Level seen a s initial and was holding ahead of the NY morning. Dealers noting that volatility has been selling off, suggesting perhaps some tighter ranges times ahead.

- Commodity currencies were notable softer. The IMF IMF's Managing Director Strauss-Kahn conducted interview in
Germany's Handelsblatt stated that the outlook for global growth forecast to be presented by IMF this week would be worse than the contraction of 0.5% made previously. However, he remained optimistic that modest economic growth would return in 2010. The softer energy prices helped USD/CAD to move above the 1.22 handle.

- Fixed income: Weakness in equities had driven the bid in fixed income this morning, and with central bank purchases imminent long end out performance is leading to bull flattening in Gilts and Treasuries, with Bunds following in sympathy. || The Bank of England confirmed it would conduct another round of Gilt buying later today, aiming for £3.5B worth of purchases in the 10y part of the curve, whilst tomorrow the NY Fed will look to buy UST's maturing between 2016 and 2019. || 2y EUR and USD swap spreads are a touch wider , whilst 3M Euribor fixed unchanged at 1.405%, halting a streak of consecutive declines stretching back to October 9 2008

- In Energy: UAE Oil Min Haml commented that keeping oil prices at reasonable levels was essential and reiterated that significant investment was needed to avoid high oil price cycle . It was uncertain when financial crisis would end and added that OPEC members are concerned over demand uncertainty. It continued to view that the oil market remained well supplied and that prices around $50/bbl would help achieve fast economic recovery || IEA Tanaka commented that the oil price is stabilizing and that he expected oil markets to tighten in 2009 || NYMEX May Crude futures were lower by $2/barrel to test $48.30 area. The cautious IMF global outlook comment made in
Asia was one factor cited the lower price action. || China Electricity Council: China Q1 Power plant coal use 308M tons (-8.0% y/y)

- Credit Crisis: Reportedly Spain to create €90B bank fund according to Economista. The article noted that the Spanish government would apportion about 75% of the value of the fund, with the remainder coming from
Spain's deposit guarantee funds The fund, to be constituted by government decree, would enable the central bank to push through mergers of troubled institutions or take them over. ||

*** NOTES ***

- Quiet European session on the data front. USD firmer and oil lower as IMF rekindles risk aversion theme with their cautious growth outlook

- Pepsi offered about $6B in cash and stock to buy out other shareholders of its two biggest bottlers to gain greater control over product sales in North America

- Healthcare mergers continue as UK's Glaxo to purchase Stiefel labs for $3.6B.

- Australia's Q1 PPI comes in at -0.4 compared to consensus expectations of +0.6

- FT noted that the UK government was expected to acknowledge that it was unlikely to ever fully recover the funds it put into the banking sector

- Looking Ahead: About a quarter the S&P to report corporate earnings this week. Bank of America [BAC] focus this morning

- 8:00 (HU) Hungarian Base Rate Announcement: No change expected, current Base Rate is 9.50%

- 8:00 (
PD) Polish March Producer Prices: 0.4% expected v 2.3% prior, Y/Y: 5.7% expected v 5.4% prior

- 8:30 (CA) Canadian Feb International Securities Transactions: C$1.00B expected v C$10.43B prior

- 9:00 (US) Fed's Evans to speak in Chicago

- 10:00 (US) Fed's Bernanke speaks in Chicago

- 10:00 (US) March Leading Indicators: -0.2% expected v -0.4%


Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.





Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."

Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 10 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output
Tue 11 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 12 Sep 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 13 Sep 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube

Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.

Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.



By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105