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Wednesday January 19, 2005 - 12:50:07 GMT
FX Thoughts for the Day - www.fxthoughts.com

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FX Thoughts - Evening - 19/01/05.......1202 GMT

GO SANIA!!!
------------
We are rooting for Sania Mirza of Hyderabad, the first Indian woman to enter Round 3 of a Grand Slam encounter. May she reach the Finals too, and WIN!

*********************


Euro @ 1.3092/5.....Remove Sell Order
----------------------------------------
R: 1.3114-29 / 1.3145-64 / 1.3179-94
S: 1.3074 / 1.3052-48 / 1.2994-83
The Euro has risen well so far today and may have potential to rise further towards 1.3140-50 today. In the morning we'd said that such a rally would be very good for Euro Bears. That may be so, but perhaps we need to sell a little higher than planned in the morning. Or maybe not sell at all today.

We'll prefer to remove our Sell Order and watch what the market does today. The point is, Euro-Yen could be bullish and the Euro-Dollar could be on the verge of breaking out of its steep decline since the beginning of the year (look at the Daily Candles)


$-Yen @ 102.28/32....Sideways now
----------------------------------
R: 102.80 / 103.01 / 103.24
S: 102.10 / 101.90 / 101.67
Should the market remain ranged between 101.65 and 103.00 over today and tomorrow (and it may), it could build up enough steam to rise towards 104+ in the next couple of days thereafter.



Euro-Yen @ 133.92/7.....Sign of bullishness?
----------------------------------------------
R: 134.33 / 134.64-78
S: 133.73-62 / 133.20
Need to keep a close watch on the Cross as it could be a key mover over the next couple of days (as it has been yesterday and today). Today's upmove, coming on the heels of yesterday's rally AND fall, may be significant, possibly pointing to a further rise towards 135, maybe tomorrow.

134.13 being the statistically projected high for the day, the Cross has met its potnetial for the day. As such, a furhter upmove might happen tomorrow while the Cross remains above 133.75-60 now.

We went Short at 133.87, but have been stopped out at 134.24.





$-Swiss @ 1.1771/76...Chances of 1.1725 now?
-----------------------------------------------
R: 1.1825-37 / 1.1870 / 1.1898-1.1907
S: 1.1764-49 / 1.1726-10 / 1.1688-73
Thankfully we resisted the temptation to go Long in the morning itself. As it turns out, the earlier supports at 1.1837 and 1.1800 have been broken. As such, the chances of 1.20 have reduced and instead the chances of a further fall towards 1.1725 have increased.

We continue to watch the market as no immediate tradeable idea suggests itself.


Cable @ 1.8799/8804...Chances of 1.8950? Buying
---------------------------------------------
R: 1.8832 / 1.8890-97 / 1.8917-36
S: 1.8779 / 1.8761-48 / 1.8688-74
The Cable has risen well today and may now have chances of rising further towards 1.8950 if it remains above 1.8730 now. A falling EURGBP comes to the aid of GBPUSD

Trade:
Buy GBP 15K at current level, SL 1.8725, TP 1.8926

 

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