User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Monday June 15, 2009 - 20:45:17 GMT
Westpac Institutional Bank -

Share This Story:
| | Email

Forex Research - Morning Report

Morning Report  Tuesday 16 June 2009

News and views

Risk retreats. Risk aversion barometer VIX moved higher to almost 31, and the S&P500 fell 2.5%, most of that in an opening plunge. The IMF said a return to trend economic growth in the advanced economies was unlikely before late 2010, countering the more optimistic forecasts implied by US equity and rates markets. It also said the US dollar will remain the reserve currency for a long time. Further dollar supportive news came from reports the weekend's BRIC meeting would not focus on reserve currencies. And later, a Fed spokesman said exit strategies were being given ongoing thought, keeping equities subdued. Most commodities were weaker, oil -2.5%, copper -3.6%. US 10yr treasuries were 6bp lower.

The US dollar was bid throughout the session, rising 1.3%. EUR fell from 1.3900 to 1.3755, as Eurozone employment posted its largest quarterly fall on record, -0.8%. Adding to the downbeat mood, ECB spoke of $283bn more losses by Eurozone banks by 2010, and Moody's place UBS's Aa2 rating on negative outlook. GBP did bounce a little to 1.6430 around London noon, but followed dollar direction to touch 1.6250. The yen showed its safe haven colours, gaining from 98.40 to 97.60.

AUD fell from 0.8050 to 0.7905, and is consolidating just above. Today's RBA minutes were be watched for clues regarding further easing, something the market has recently thought unlikely.

NZD drifted moderately lower to 0.6280, leaving the AUD/NZD cross slightly below 1.2600.

US NY Fed index falls from -4.6 to -9.4 in June. After two months of aggressive rises, the Empire Fed index weakened somewhat, though at -9.4 the index is still 1/ stronger than in any month since September last year (except for May just gone) and 2/ weaker than in any month prior to September last year stretching back to the 2001 recession, with the exception of one-off plunges that were reversed in the following month due to the Iraq War in 2003 and the Bear Sterns near collapse in 2008. So the latest result can be interpreted as further evidence that the doom and gloom scenario for the economy that looked most plausible in the aftermath of the Lehman's collapse, has now been pretty much discounted by respondents. But that still leaves the survey a touch weaker than where it was just prior to Lehman's - when the economy was in recession coupled with an ongoing but not crippling credit crunch.

US net capital inflows weakened in April, to $11bn (long term) and -53bn (total), mainly due to increased buying of overseas assets by US entities, consistent with the improvement in risk appetite through the month, and the consequent depreciation in the US dollar against some currencies.

US NAHB homebuilders' sentiment fell from 16 to 15 in June. The overhang of unsold recently-built homes continues to weigh on new home building and prices, and a sharp rise in mortgage rates in recent weeks is likely to compound the misery.

Canadian manufacturing shipments fell 0.1% in April, on top of their 3.1% March plunge, keeping in place the downtrend that began in August last year, although the steepness of that downtrend has abated somewhat, consistent with the generally less weak tone of economic data around much of the globe heading into Q2. The April result reflected a 16% jump in aerospace sales and a 19% jump in auto parts, both reversing March losses, but a 2.8% fall in ex transport sales.

Canadian auto sales were flat in April, in line with the "essentially unchanged" guidance from StatCan. That leaves sales up 8% on December's sales pace, which was the lowest for ten years. Guidance for May was for a 1% gain.


The move down from the 3 June 0.66 high continued last night. Today a small correction to 0.6350 is possible, before a resumption of the decline. The US dollar will be the main driver this week, in the absence of local events or data.



Westpac Banking Corporation ABN 33 007 457 141 incorporated in Australia (NZ division). Information current as at 14 November 2007. All customers please note that this information has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this you should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness, having regard to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Australian customers can obtain Westpac's financial services guide by calling +612 9284 8372, visiting or visiting any Westpac Branch. The information may contain material provided directly by third parties, and while such material is published with permission, Westpac accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any such material. Except where contrary to law, Westpac intends by this notice to exclude liability for the information. The information is subject to change without notice and Westpac is under no obligation to update the information or correct any inaccuracy which may become apparent at a later date. Westpac Banking Corporation is regulated for the conduct of investment business in the United Kingdom by the Financial Services Authority. © 2004 Westpac Banking Corporation. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The forecasts given in this document are predictive in character. Whilst every effort has been taken to ensure that the assumptions on which the forecasts are based are reasonable, the forecasts may be affected by incorrect assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The ultimate outcomes may differ substantially from these forecasts.



Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."

Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 10 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output
Tue 11 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 12 Sep 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 13 Sep 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube

Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.

Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.



By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105