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Thursday June 18, 2009 - 00:51:37 GMT
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FX BLog - Economic Data Preview For Friday
GVI Forex Data Preview
Thursday will be another active session on the data front. The Swiss National Bank has little room left on the downside to cut rates further. At this point, any action would only be token. Later U.K. retail sales will be another key indicator of how the economy is recovering. Canadian inflation data are released before the North American open. Bank of Canada policy is frozen until at least 2Q10. In the U.S., weekly jobless claims are closely watched as the most current employment indicator. Analysts expect an outcome below 600K for the week. Later the Philly Fed Index is always seen as a bellwether of how the national PMI will come out. The leading indicator is a dated statistic. Weekly natural gas inventories can impact prices in the energy complex.
CH- SNB Decision- very important. No change expected.
UK- Retail Sales- important- key measure of domestic activity. Seen less strong.
CA- CPI- very important- BOC targets inflation. Rates on hold until 2010. Seen lower.
US- Mortgage Statistics- important- Leading housing indicator.
US- Weekly Jobless- Very important- Most current reading on employment. Seen modestly better.
US- Philly Fed- important- Key regional PMI. Seen less weak.
US- Leading Indicator- watched- Composite of already released data. Seen higher.
US- Natural Gas- important- impacts energy prices.
Upcoming Major Releases:
CA- Retail Sales
Ret Sls mm
Ret Sls yy
BOC CPI yy
Nat Gas bcf
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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:
Tue 24 Oct
All Day flash PMIs
Wed 25 Oct
01:30 AU- CPI
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
08:30 GB- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 26 Oct
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 27 Oct
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final Univ of Michigan
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John M. Bland, MBA
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Tue-- All Day Global flash PMIs. First good look at October economic performances.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed-- 01:30 GMT AU- CPI. Top Inflation indicator.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed-- 08:00 GMT DE- IFO Survey. Top German indicator.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed-- 14:00 GMT CA- BOC Decision. No Policy Change Expected.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed-- 14:30 GMT US- EIA Crude. Top Weekly WTI Statistic.
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