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Wednesday July 1, 2009 - 15:38:55 GMT
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Economic Data Preview For Thursday
Thursday will be a major session for data. In Europe, PPI data are another input to the ECB inflation calculus. Later, the ECB decision will be closely watched with y/y HICP moving into negative territory. No rate change is expected. The U.S. sees an active pre-holiday session. Weekly jobless claims should be seen as an early read on the strength of the July employment report. After the ADP data, many estimates for the June NFP report have clibmed to a decline in excess of 400K. Factory Orders and Natural gas inventories are seen unlikely to be market movers.
EZ- PPI- important- ECB targets inflation. Seen higher.
EZ- ECB Decision- very important- ECB rate decision and outlook. Seen unch.
US- Weekly Jobs- very important- early read on employment. See lower claims.
US- Monthlty Employment- very important- Most important release of month. Seen worse.
US- Factory Orders- important- Another industrial economic metric. Seen slightly better.
US- Natural Gas- closely watched- Key component of energy complex.
Upcoming Major Releases:
Nat Gas bcf
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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:
Tue 24 Oct
All Day flash PMIs
Wed 25 Oct
01:30 AU- CPI
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
08:30 GB- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 26 Oct
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 27 Oct
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final Univ of Michigan
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- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Tue-- All Day Global flash PMIs. First good look at October economic performances.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed-- 01:30 GMT AU- CPI. Top Inflation indicator.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed-- 08:00 GMT DE- IFO Survey. Top German indicator.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed-- 14:00 GMT CA- BOC Decision. No Policy Change Expected.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed-- 14:30 GMT US- EIA Crude. Top Weekly WTI Statistic.
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