User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Tuesday July 7, 2009 - 10:11:39 GMT
Trade the News Staff -

Share This Story:
| | Email

Forex Blog - European Market Update: Upcoming G8 summit provides soapbox on USD views; UK production data falls more than expected while German factory orders exceed expectations

Today 06:04am EST/10:04am GMT

European Market Update: Upcoming G8 summit provides soapbox on USD views; UK production data falls more than expected while German factory orders exceed expectations



- (SA) South African June Gross Reserves: $35.8B v $36.2Be; Net Reserves: $34.6B v $34.4Be

- (FR) French May Trade Balance: -€2.7B v -€4.0Be

- (CZ) Czech May Trade Balance (CZK): 11.7B v 11.5Be

- (HU) Hungarian May Prelim Industrial Output M/M: +2.6% v -5.1% prior, Y/Y: -22.1% v -23.6%e

- (SW) Swedish Jun Budget Balance (SEK) : -102.7B v 16.7B prior

- (TA) Taiwan Jun Total Trade Balance: $16.95B v $2.9Be

- (NO) Norwegian May Industrial Production M/M: -3.1% v -1.6% prior, Y/Y: -7.8% v -4.0% prior

- (NO) Norwegian May Industrial Production Manufacturing M/M: -0.7% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: -9.8% v -7.8%e

- (UK) May Industrial Production M/M: -0.6% v 0.2%e; Y/Y:-11.9% v -11.3%e

- (UK) May Manufacturing Production M/M: -0.5% v 0.2%e; Y/Y:-12.7% v -11.8%e

- (GE) German May Factory Orders M/M: 4.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: -21.8% v -31.2%e


- In equities news overnight:: Equity markets in Europe opened to a positive footing following mixed Asian and NY trading sessions. Initial trades to the upside were dominated by mineral, export and manufacturing names that had seen the largest losses in previous sessions. Continued USD strength, however, rapidly abated this move and equities slid into negative territory. Risk aversion outweighed moderately positive
UK earnings, RBA comments regarding Chinese recovery, Rio Tinto comments regarding iron ore demand and EU speculation regarding accounting rule changes for banking balance sheets. These trends being ignored, saw stronger USD and JPY plays with weaker equity inclination. This trend continued into 4:00EST when markets trended out of negative territory ahead of UK economic data and a pairing of USD gains. UK data at 4:30EST temporarily stymied the equity recovery but a sharp rise in energy futures, specifically oil at 4:40EST rallied commodity, mining and energy complex names pushing markets to session highs just past 5:00EST. These best levels were soon paired but equities held a positive footing into the 5:00EST hour. The choppiness of equity markets has been exacerbated by continued low trading volumes on all three main European bourses. In this environment, moves in either direction have exaggerated.

-In individual equities: BMW [BMW.GE] Reports June Group sales 127.5K units (-12.7% y/y), Reports BMW Brand June sales 105.2K units (-13.4% y/y), Reports Mini brand June sales 22.3K units (-8.9% y/y). ||ArcelorMittal [MT.NV] Plans to restart facility in
Ghent, Belgium. || ThyssenKrupp [TKA.GE] Company remains on track to sell industrial services unit. || Tata Steel [TATA.IN] Reports June Steel Sales 497K tons v 419K tons y/y. June hot metal output 578K tons v 499K tons y/y. June Crude steel output 514K tons v 425K tons y/y. || Rheinmetall [RHM.GE] Successfully placed capital increase for proceeds of €104M at €29/shr. Reminder: On July 6 - Will seek to place 3.6M shares through capital raise (10% of current shares outstanding). Continues to see export opportunities for the Puma series tank . Expects positive EBIT results in 2009. Share sale and capital raise will be used to pay down debts and expand defense business. || CRH [CRH.IR]: Provides trading statement: Global recessionary environment led to weaker than expected trading in May and June. Expects H1 EBITDA to be -40% y/y (€1.1B in 2008) implies €660m v €791Me. Expects H1 Op profits to be -33% y/y (€700M in 2008) implies €469M v €338.5Me. Expects H1 Pretax to be approx €75M v €245Me. Europe Products has been impacted by the very difficult trading conditions with underlying sales for the period. Approximately 20% behind the relatively strong levels reported for the corresponding period in 2008. Americas Products recorded a fall of over 20% in like-for-like US$ sales due to further declines in US residential construction, combined with a rapid slowdown in non-residential markets. States: H2 profitability will be lower than in 2008, the rate of decline is expected to improve compared with the first half. Meanwhile the Group continues to focus resolutely on commercial delivery and on the implementation of further cost reduction and cash generating measures. || Micheal Page International [MPI.UK] Reports Q2 Gross Profit £83.8M v £152.4M y/y. Group headcount decreased by 10.4% in Q2 to 3,705 at 30 June 2009, -33.1% y/y. || Cobham [COB.UK] Wins US Army personal cooling system deal worth up to $110M. Cobham's initial task order is valued at approximately US$6.5M, with expected revenue of up to $110M during the next five years. || Persimmon [PSN.UK] Provides trading statement: Reports H1 Rev £625M v £998M y/y. H1 home completions 4,006 units. Cancellation rate 16%. H2 Forward sales revenue £700M v £458M h/h. || Air France [AF.FR] Reports June load factor 80.3% v 81.5% y/y (passengers). Cargo load factor 65.4% v 65.4% y/y. Cargo traffic -0.4% y/y. Passenger numbers -6.4% y/y. Traffic -6.4% y/y. || Peugot [UG.FR]Reports H1 unit sales 1.59M units (-14% y/y). H1 Peugeot sales 937K, H1 Citroen sales 650K. || Deutsche Bank [DBK.GE] DPW reportedly has completed sale of stake in firm. States that sale raised €100M more than initially expected. Total of 50M shares sold in operations. || Air Berlin [AB1.GE] Reports June Load Factor 79.1% v 80.9% y/y. Passenger count 2.57M (-4.9% y/y). Capacity -2.7% y/y. || Fiat [F.IT] Overall investment with Guangzhou Auto venture will be above €400M. Accord includes building new factory to begin production in 2011. Phase 1 production seen at 140K per year. ||

- Speakers: US Econ Advisor Tyson commented that the USD was unlikely to face significant decline but "must" fall over long term period. A Spiraling USD is in no one's interest. She noted that a second stimulus package must be considered and that export led growth would require a weaker USD.
China needs to move towards domestic demand led growth. ||| Brazilian Pres Lula commented that the USD to remain important currency for decades, but world dependence on a single currency was not a good thing. Lula noted that it would not be so simple to replace USD as the benchmark for world trade and would take long time to make switch away ||| Reportedly China's PM Wen Jiabao and advisers reiterated the need to maintain an 'easy' monetary policy and agreed on the need to pay attention to Chinese inflationary expectations. ***Reminder: As recent as Jun 25th, the PBoC Monetary Policy Report reiterated the need to o maintain "relatively loose" monetary policy citing that the economic recovery was not yet on solid footing || Japanese Fin Min Yosano commented that consumption levels remain the key to global economic outlook. He noted that major players (US, Japanese and European officials) believe that the worst of the recession was now over || IMF commented on South Korea and noted that the country's recent data pointed towards recovery. However, the IMF cautioned that the global slowdown would limit the strength of any economic rebound. It did note that the exchange rate was appropriate and forecasts 2010 GDP growth of 2.5%. It noted that economic downside risks included higher oil prices and its monetary policy should remain on hold || President Obama stated that both US and Russia have common interest in reversing spread of nuclear arms and can forge partnerships on energy. Russia must respect State sovereignty applies to all, including Georgia, Ukraine. NATO seeks collaboration, not confrontation with Russia ||| Frecnh Presidential Aide commented that G8 does not generally discuss currency topics and that this week's Italian summit was not the appropriate forum to discuss currencies. He added that now was not the time to discuss cuts to stimulus spending as it could risk prolong recession || OECD Head Gurria: Reiterates that now is not appropriate time to remove stimulus operations

- Concerned that growth potential levels may not recover to pre-crisis levels

- In Currencies: The currency markets maintain their recent range that characterized yesterday's session. The price action was somewhat choppy. Most of the movement was attributed to order flow with Mid-East names cited as the main driver. The EUR/USD maintaining a 1.39 to 1.40 range and USD/JPY unable to sustain breaks below the 95 handle. The better-than-expected German factory orders helping the euro probe back towards the 1.40 level as the NY morning approached.

- The reserve currency issue continues to provide a rationale behind the erratic price action. The session saw a barrage of comments from all sorts of government officials from around the globe. US Econ Advisor Tyson provided a 'vague' view of the USD in which it had both strong and weak characteristic (see above speaker section). Brazilian President Lula commented that the USD to remain important currency for decades, but world dependence on a single currency was not a good thing. Lula noted that it would not be so simple to replace USD as the benchmark
US official reported that President Obama and Russian PM Putin did not discuss either oil or the USD during their meeting. Russian Kremlin Aide Dvorkovich commented that Russia has no plans to undermine the USD. He noted that Russia and China to stress need for gradual development of new reserve currency at the upcoming G8 summit

in talks this morning.

- On the potential trend one chief dealer noting that the most recent IMM data from Chicago futures showed that outstanding short dollar contracts recently rose from 73k to 85k resulting in the largest short positions since July 2008.

- In Energy/Commodities: BASF [BAS.GE] The company and Sinopec received Chinese government approval to expand petrochemical jv in
Eastern China. Both companies plan to spend $1.4B to expand the plant, which is located in Nanjing with operations expected to commence in 2011 ||India Q1 Steel Imports Y/Y: 1.41M tons, down 5.3%; and Exports Y/Y at 640K tons, down 38%

- In Fixed Income Supply: Sovereign nations are increasingly using the option of syndication for debt issuance to avoid the negative consequences of weak or failed auctions. It is proving to be successful with order books on
Italy's 15y BTP and Netherlands 5y DSL said to be well in excess of the intended issuance, and orders on Poland's USD denominated 10y issue are said to be 4 times the intended $2B size. The DMO sold £4B in a new 10y Gilt. The auction was covered a feeble 1.96 times, drawing a relatively large 1bps yield tail. Yield curves are undergoing bear steepening in all three major markets, with Treasuries holding up better than Bunds and Gilts on a cross markets basis. Three month Euribor continued its decline to fix at a new low of 1.044%.

- Credit Crisis: NY Times noted that
France planned to spend 75% of its stimulus this year. Article noted that France's more centralized, state-directed economy - so often criticized in good times for smothering entrepreneurship and holding back growth - was proving remarkably effective at deploying funds quickly and efficiently in bad times in its $37B economic stimulus program. The article noted that the White House was giving itself until fall 2010 to lay out that big a share of the American expenditure

- Upcoming G8 Summit: Reportedly to discuss exit strategies from crisis mode. German unconfirmed 'source' noted that the G8 draft does not include mention of any oil price regulation but did seek more transparency in oil markets. The G8 draft to demand an end to protectionism and commitment to WTO's
DOHA round of trade agreements. The G8 and G5 leaders tell ministers to meet on Doha prior to G-20 summit in Pittsburgh. German senior official: The official stated that he did not expect specific currency pairs to be discussed at G8 and it would not include USD reserve role.

- Geo-Political: Saudi Arabia denied reports regarding Israeli use of its airspace or any hostile activities || US also denied press speculation of giving Israel 'permission' to attack Iran according to Haaretz

*** NOTES ***

- Headline roulette on the USD as official step up to their turn at the microphone at the upcoming G8 and friends' summit…

- European data in session was mixed. UK production data falls more than expected while German factory orders exceed expectations

- BoC's research bureau Zhang, China's Q2 GDP growth may have risen to as much as 7.5% vs. 6.1% in Q1 - China Finance

***Looking Ahead***

- 7:00 (BR) Brazil Jun FGV Inflation IGP-DI: -0.2%e v +0.2% prior

- 7:30 (SP) Spanish Fin Min Salgado

- 8:30 (CA) Canadian May Building Permits: 0.8%e v -5.4% prior

- 8:30 (CL) Chile Jun Trade Balance: $944Me v $956M prior

- 10:00 (CA) Canadian Ivey Purchasing Managers Index: 50.3e v 48.4 prior


Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.






Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."

Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 9 July 2018
AA 12:00 EZ- Draghi EU Parliament Testimony
Tue 10 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Ind/Prod Output, Trade
AA 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 11 July 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 12 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 13 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube

Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.

Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.



By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105