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Tuesday July 7, 2009 - 22:04:50 GMT
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FOREX NEWS-Yen, dollar rise as taste for risk fades

Tue Jul 7, 2009 4:23pm EDT

* Yen rises as risk aversion remains high

* Sterling falls on weak UK factory orders

* Euro losses capped by German factory data

* Market wary of U.S. 2nd quarter earnings (Updates prices, adds detail)

By Steven C. Johnson

NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - The yen and dollar rose broadly on Tuesday as uncertainty about the global economic outlook and forthcoming U.S. corporate earnings increased the safe-haven appeal of both currencies.

Sterling fell as weak industrial output data reinforced doubts about a UK recovery, and the euro retreated, approaching $1.39 after having climbed above $1.40 following data showing a surprise increase in German factory orders.

When risk aversion rises, investors often cut holdings of stocks and higher-yield currencies and buy back the yen and dollars that were used to finance the trades.

"We've been getting very mixed signals, with some positive data and some very poor data, so it's extremely difficult to pinpoint direction," said Fabian Eliasson, vice president of currency sales at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York.

"As a result, people are backing out of high-yield assets and into the yen and dollar. Now, the focus will turn to corporate earnings as the main driver for the market."

The dollar fell 0.6 percent at 94.72 yen JPY= while the euro fell 1.1 percent to 131.81 yen EURJPY= and 0.4 percent to $1.3914 EUR=, according to Reuters data.

Sterling shed 0.9 percent to $1.6119 GBP=D4 as data showed UK manufacturing output fell 0.5 percent in May, confounding expectations for a rise. For more see [ID:nONS004337].

"The risk is clearly that the 'green shoots' are turning dry," said Michael Klawitter, senior currency strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort in Frankfurt.

EARNINGS, G8

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 was down 1 percent at $0.7895 after the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates at a record low 3 percent on Tuesday and left the door open to more cuts. [ID:nSYD181802]

Traders are bracing for second-quarter U.S. corporate earnings, which will be released in coming weeks. Analysts said poor results, especially from financial institutions, would likely crank up dollar demand.

"If bank earnings disappoint in any way or the S&P breaks crucial levels, traders will probably start reducing long positions in (high-risk currencies) and the dollar could be bid more," said Chris Turner, currency strategist at ING in London.

Analysts were also keeping an eye on this week's Group of Eight leaders summit that starts in Italy on Wednesday.

China, Russia and Brazil have said they will push their view that the world needs to start seeking a new global reserve currency as an alternative to the dollar, though they admitted such a shift would take time.

A draft of the communique obtained by Reuters made no reference to the issue. [ID:nN06279385]

U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin did not discuss oil prices or the dollar in talks in Moscow on Tuesday, according to a U.S. official. (Additional reporting by Nick Olivari; Editing by James Dalgleish)

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