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Monday November 2, 2009 - 13:01:02 GMT
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Fundamental Weekly OutlookEU:
â€¢ Monday: France PMI Manufacturing (Previous 55.3, Expected 55.3),
Germany PMI Manufacturing (Previous 51.1, Expected 51.1), Euro-zone PMI
Manufacturing (Previous 50.7, Expected 50.7).
â€¢ Wednesday: France PMI Services (Previous 57.8, Expected 57.8),
Germany PMI Services (Previous 50.9, Expected 50.9), Euro-zone PMI
Services (Previous 52.3, Expected 52.3). Euro-Zone PPI MoM (Previous
0.4%, Expected -0.4%) & YoY (Previous -7.5%, Expected -7.7%).
â€¢ Thursday: Euro-Zone Retail Sales MoM (Previous -0.2%, Expected 0.2%)
& YoY (Previous -2.6%, Expected -2.4%). ECB Rate Decision (Previous
1.00%, Expected 1.00%) & then Trichet Speaks at ECB Monthly News
â€¢ Friday: France Trade Balance (Previous -3.4 B, Expected -3.0 B).
Germany Factory Orders MoM (Previous 1.4%, Expected 1.0%) & YoY
(Previous -20.4%, Expected -13.6%).
â€¢ Monday: ISM Manufacturing (Previous 52.6, Expected 53.0).
â€¢ Tuesday: Factory Orders (Previous -0.8%, Expected 1.0%).
â€¢ Wednesday: FED/FOMC Rate Decision (Previous 0.25%, Expected 0.25%).
(Previous 0.25%, Expected 0.25%).
â€¢ Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims (Previous 530K, Expected 520K).
â€¢ Friday: Unemployment Rate (Previous 9.8%, Expected 9.9%), Change in
Nonfarm Payrolls (Previous -263K, Expected -175K). Wholesale
Inventories (Previous -1.3%, Expected -1.0%).
â€¢ Monday: Labor Cash Earnings YoY (Previous -3.1%, Expected -2.1%)
â€¢ Thursday: BOJ Board Meeting Minutes (text report).
â€¢ Friday: Leading Index CI (Previous 83.2, Expected 86.2), Coincident Index CI (Previous 91.2, Expected 92.5).
â€¢ Monday: PMI Manufacturing (Previous 49.5, Expected 50.0).
â€¢ Wednesday: Nationwide Consumer Confidence (Previous 71.0, Expected 73.0), PMI Services (Previous 55.3, Expected 55.5).
â€¢Thursday: Industrial Production MoM (Previous -2.5%, Expected 1.2%)
& YoY (Previous -11.2%, Expected -10.3%). BoE Rate Decision
(Previous 0.50%, Expected 0.50%).
â€¢ Friday: PPI Input MoM (Previous -0.5%, Expected 1.5%) & YoY
(Previous -6.5%, Expected -1.3%). PPI Output MoM (Previous 0.5%,
Expected 0.3%) & YoY (Previous 0.4%, Expected 1.9%), PPI Core MoM
(Previous 0.5%, Expected 0.2%) & YoY (Previous 1.4%, Expected 2.0%).
â€¢ Monday: House Price Index QoQ (Previous 4.2%, Expected 3.0%) &YoY House Price Index (Previous -1.4%, Expected 4.3%).
â€¢ Tuesday: RBA Decision about the interest rate on the Australian Dollar (Previous 3.25%%, Expected 3.50%).
â€¢ Wednesday: Retail Sales (Previous 0.9%, Expected 0.5%).
â€¢ Thursday: Trade Balance (Previous -1524 M, Expected -2150 M).
â€¢ Thursday: Building Permits MoM (Previous 7.2%, Expected N/A). Ivey PMI (Previous 61.7%, Expected 58.0).
â€¢ Friday: Unemployment Rate (Previous 8.4%, Expected 8.4%). Net Change in Employment (Previous 30.6K, Expected 10.0K).
Forex trading analysis by Forexpros â€“ Written by Munther Marji
Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex transactions
involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all
investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable
for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial
resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.
Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any
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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:
Mon 18 Dec
10:00 EZ- final HICP
Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account
Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP
Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes
Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays
Potential Trading Opportunities
John M. Bland, MBA
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed --15:30-- US- EIA Crude
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