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Tuesday November 3, 2009 - 22:29:30 GMT
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GVI Forex Discussion Points 3 November 2009 EveningHeading into Wednesday, the focus is going to be on a couple of key items out of the U.S. in the day ahead. The ADP jobs data will be watched more closely than usual amid expectations for a significant improvement in the Friday jobs report. Keep in mind that the initial ADP report is a notoriously poor forecaster of non-farm payrolls, but it can impact expectations for the report. The session will also see the latest Fed policy meeting decision. The Fed has already promised that rates will stay low for a long time. The markets will focus on anything the central bank hints about an exit from its current policy of excessive ease. The EURUSD fell out of bed today on a risk aversion trade following word of another round of capital infusions to U.K. banks and EU estimates of another EUR200-400bln in bank sector losses this year and next.
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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:
Mon 18 Dec
10:00 EZ- final HICP
Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account
Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP
Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes
Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays
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John M. Bland, MBA
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed --15:30-- US- EIA Crude
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