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Wednesday November 4, 2009 - 10:11:28 GMT
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GVI Forex Discussion Points 4 November 2009 Morningfrom GVI Forex Discussion Points
The primary focus early Wednesday is going to be on the ADP jobs data. Expectations for a significant improvement in the Friday jobs report will intensify interest in the report. The ADP report is a notoriously poor forecaster of non-farm payrolls, but it impacts street forecasts for the report. Later, the latest Fed policy decision is due. The markets want to trade on this decision, but the central bank has already promised that rates will stay low for a long time. Markets will focus on anything that hints about an exit from its current policy of excessive ease. Service PMI data out of the EZ and UK today were better than estimated. The service sector is the dominant part of most major economies. Political losses by the Democrats yesterday could see Congress turn cautious and more conservative about deficit spending. Markets appear to be in a cautious frame of mind again today. They could go on the offensive after Friday‚Äôs data.
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Mon 10 Sep 2018
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output
Tue 11 Sep 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 12 Sep 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 13 Sep 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan
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