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Wednesday November 4, 2009 - 20:27:49 GMT
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GVI Forex- Data Outlook for November 5, 2009GVI Forex Discussion Points... Wednesday Evening
The closely followed ADP private employment report showed a job loss of 203K for October. That was almost exactly the consensus forecast. If the ADP figure is accurate, it would imply a non-farm payroll loss of below 200K when government jobs are factored in. The ADP report can be a very unreliable forecaster of non-farm payrolls, but it will impact street forecasts for the jobs. The Fed policy decision contained no surprises. After the political losses suffered by the Democrats yesterday, odds are that an additional stimulus is dead. That means that support for the economy will have to come from the monetary side. Service PMI data out of the EZ and UK today were better than estimated. The service sector is the dominant part of most major economies. The U.S. ISM Service PMI was weaker than expected. Markets remain in a cautious frame of mind. They could go on the offensive after Friday‚Äôs data.
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Tue 31 July 2018
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
AA JP- Bank of Japan
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP/GDP
AA 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 1 Aug 2018
A Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Federal Reserve Decision
Thu 2 Aug 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 3 Aug 2018
A Final Services PMIs
AA 12:30 US- Employment
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade
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