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Tuesday November 24, 2009 - 12:36:30 GMT
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Forexpros Daily Analysis - 24/11/2009Forexpros Daily Analysis Nov 24, 2009
Free Webinar Today on Forexpros: Beyond the Forex Chart: Inter-Market Analysis
Hosted by: Mark Dela Paz, of FX Instructor
Tue, Nov 24, 2009, 11:00 EST
Have you ever wondered why the dollar drops when gold and oil prices
are up, or the Yen crosses rally when the stock markets are on a run.
Join Mark de la Paz of FXinstructor in his latest module for the â€˜Forex
101â€™ series, as we examine the fundamental reasons behind inter-market
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The US Census Bureau will release the Monthly New Home Sales Report tomorrow (Nov 25th).
The report helps analyze the strength of the US housing market, and the
economy as a whole, by measuring the annualized number of new
residential buildings that were sold during the previous month.
The new home sales report is quite volatile and subject to huge revisions.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for
the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as
negative/bearish for the USD.
Analysts expect last monthâ€™s measure of 402.00K to rise to 408.00K.
Although it broke the resistance at 1.4952, The
Euro was unable to surpass 1.50. The sharp drop that followed made
1.4875 the most important support for the short-term. This support,
could reverse this drop, and initiate a rising move. But if it is
broken, the drop coming from 1.4997 will continue, targeting 1.4820
first, and then the most important support for the time being at
1.4786. On the other hand, short-term resistance is 1.4951, and if it
is overtaken, then the technical outlook will have the strength to
reach 1.5018 first, and if this is broke we have the right to expect
1.5082 for the first time this year.
â€¢ 1.4875: Fibonacci 61.8% for the short-term.
â€¢ 1.4820: November 13th low.
â€¢ 1.4786: Fibonacci 61.8% for the rising move from 1.4625, the most important support for the medium-term.
â€¢ 1.4951: short-term resistance.
â€¢ 1.5018: Nov 9th & 10th high.
â€¢ 1.5082: previous resistance from 2008.
Dollar-Yen moved in a tight range again, but it dropped to 88.54 this
morning which is the same level that stopped yesterday's drop! The down
movement has slowed down, drawing our attention to what could be a
wedge pattern, which is a pattern that could limit the current drop to
the bottom of this pattern, or a support that is close to it, and could
push price higher on the short-term. If this scenario turns out to be
right, we will rise and break short-term resistance 88.97 where there
is the moving average SMA100, and we will witness a rising move
targeting the falling trendline from October 26th top, and the upper
limit of the above mentioned pattern at 89.71 first, and if broken we
could see a jump to 90.73. On the other hand, if the short-term support
at 88.72 is broken, we will target 88.13 which is the last significant
support before the last 15 years low 87.10
â€¢ 88.56: short-term support.
â€¢ 88.13: Oct 13th low.
â€¢ 87.10: Jan 12th low.
â€¢ 88.97: the moving average SMA100.
â€¢ 89.71: the top of the supposed wedge formation.
â€¢ 90.73: intraday top.
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Mon 19 Mar 2018
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Tue 20 Mar 2018
AA 9:30 GB- CPI
A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 21 Mar 2018
AA 03:00 AU- Employment
AA 9:30 GB- Employment
A 12:30 US- Current Account
AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A A 18:00 US- Fed Rate Decision
A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision
Thu 22 Mar 2018
AA All Day flash PMIs
AA 9:30 GB- Retail Sales
AA 12:00 GB- Bank Of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 23 Mar 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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