equity markets are expected to open higher as investors are putting risk
trading back on the table. Upside momentum is building which could trigger a
further acceleration to the upside.The
next target for the December E-mini S&P 500 is 1112.25.A breakout through this level sets up a
further rally to a major 50% price at 1122.00.The inability to reach the minimum upside target could lead to renewed
selling pressure.A failure to hold the
psychological level of 1100.00 will be the first sign of weakness.Watch for strong volatility today and
possible expanded ranges.
Talks continued in Dubai
to shore up its debt woes.Traders are
continuing to chip away at last weekâ€™s losses in the foreign currency and
equity markets as they grow more confident that this issue is a local problem
rather than worldwide.Officials are
defining the talks with creditors as â€śconstructiveâ€ť.As this situation improves, investors are
stepping up demand for higher yielding currencies and assets.
Treasury markets are trading lower as investors are shunning
the lower yields being offered by March Treasury Bonds and March Treasury
Notes.An acceleration to the upside in
the equity markets is likely to push yields higher and fixed income instruments
The U.S. Dollar continued to weaken overnight against most
major currencies after China
announced that its manufacturing sector rose to a seasonally adjusted 55.7 last
month.This growth rate was the fastest
pace in five years or since the index began being tracked.
The December Euro is up again overnight and in a position to
challenge yesterdayâ€™s high at 1.5084.Upside momentum is building which can trigger a further rally to the
high for the year at 1.5144.Later this
week, the European Central Bank is set to meet.Traders expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but ECB members will
make announcements regarding the gradual ending to government stimulus plans.
The December British Pound has erased yesterdayâ€™s weakness
and is now trading higher.On Monday,
this currency pair fell after U.K.
consumer confidence unexpectedly fell.This morning the British Pound is trading at 1.6573 which is a 50%
retracement of the 1.6876 to 1.6270 range.Further upside action could take this market to 1.6645.This retracement rally is very important to
the structure of this market.A failure
to rally above this potential resistance zone could set up a secondary lower
The Dollar is trading sharply higher versus the Yen after
the Bank of Japan took action to weaken its currency.While not actively intervening to weaken the
Yen, the BoJ provided additional liquidity to the economy by saying it will
provide three-month loans to commercial banks at an interest rate of 0.10
percent.This action by the BoJ is
expected to help stimulate growth and prevent deflation.Some analysts feel, however, that the size of
the stimulus package is not enough to turn the economy around.Traders are nonetheless selling Yen to
lighten up exposure.
Higher equity and commodity markets are helping to boost the
Canadian Dollar.As demand for higher
yielding assets increases, look for more weakness in the U.S. Dollar versus the
Canadian Dollar. This morningâ€™s trading action has put this currency in a
position to turn the main trend up on the daily chart on a move through
.9570.An acceleration to the upside
could start following a breakout over the November top at .9599.
February Gold surged to a new all-time high overnight.The weaker Dollar is providing all of the
support this morning.The follow-through
to the upside has been limited so far so watch to see if this market turns
lower intra-day.A higher-high,
lower-close will be a strong sign that a top is being formed.A break in the Dollar Index through 74.27
should lead to an acceleration to the upside.
March Crude Oil is mounting a strong rally this
morning.Greater demand for higher
yielding assets is helping to boost prices along with higher equity markets in
Europe and Asia.Speculators are once again driving this
market higher.The trend remains down
until the last main top at 82.30 is violated, but regaining a key retracement
price at 80.27 has put a bullish tone in this market.A break back under 79.24 will be a sign of
Forex Trading News
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Mon 19 Mar 2018 Tue 20 Mar 2018 AA 9:30 GB- CPI A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey Wed 21 Mar 2018 AA 03:00 AU- Employment AA 9:30 GB- Employment A 12:30 US- Current Account AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales A 14:30 US- EIA Crude A A18:00 US- Fed Rate Decision A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision Thu 22 Mar 2018 AA All Day flash PMIs AA 9:30 GB- Retail Sales AA 12:00 GB- Bank Of England Decision A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 23 Mar 2018 AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales A 12:30 US- Durable Goods A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
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Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.
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