The U.S. Dollar advanced sharply higher on Wednesday, buoyed
by the news that China
was reigning in bank loans in an attempt to cool off the economy.
The availability of easy money through government stimulus
and favorable loan conditions helped fuel a huge surge in the Chinese economy.
The pace of the growth is a concern for central bank officials.On Thursday, China is expected to report
double-digit 4th quarter GDP growth.
The Dollar also received a boost from the election of a Republican
to a key U.S. Senate seat in Massachusetts.
This event is bullish for the Dollar because some feel it may signal an end to
excessive government spending that has been weakening the Greenback.
The combination of Chinaâ€™s aggressive tightening action
along with the Republican victory boosted the Dollar while putting pressure on
equities and commodities.
The EUR USD continued its five-day freefall on concerns over
Greek budget issues.The problems in Greece have
triggered an international reaction. On Wednesday, International Monetary Fund
Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said Greeceâ€™s debt woes are
â€śseriousâ€ť.Without any aid from the
European Union, or the European Central Bank, look for Greeceâ€™s debt
issues to continue to mount leading to possible talk of default.
European officials have stood there ground about providing
financial help to Greece,
saying that it is not their problem to solve. They also fear that providing aid
will mean other countries such as Spain,
Portugal and Ireland will
begin lining up with their hands out in expectations of free money.
The GBP USD traded sharply lower before settling near
mid-range. Overnight Bank of England
Governor Mervyn King issued a dovish comment about Tuesdayâ€™s higher than
expected inflation report, but his comments were offset by more hawkish
comments generated from the Bank of England minutes. The move to the downside
was also softened after a report showed that the U.K. unemployment rate fell at the
fastest pace since April 2007 in December.
Although the British Pound failed to form a closing price
reversal top on Tuesday, it sold off, nonetheless, when a 50% support price at
1.6355 was violated. The chart indicates that 1.6175 is the next downside
order to curtail bank loans is likely to lead to a slow down in global economic
growth while putting pressure on higher yielding assets. This should help to
put pressure on the USD JPY, but trading was lackluster and sideways. Traders
do not seem to know whether to buy the lower yielding Yen or the Dollar.The chart indicates traders are leaning
toward the long side of the Dollar with .9204 the next upside target.
The USD CHF continued to soar after it broke through a key
retracement price and a downtrending Gann angle.The break in the Euro is making Swiss central
bankers nervous which could lead to a surprise intervention.
On Tuesday, the Bank of Canada left interest rates
unchanged, but took measures to weaken the Canadian Dollar by increasing its
asset-buyback program.Weaker stocks,
gold and crude oil put additional pressure on the Canadian Dollar today.
News that China
was taking steps to limit loans in an effort to cool the economy helped to put
pressure on the AUD USD, one of its largest trading partners. The chart pattern
suggests that .9031 to .8961 is the next downside target.
In addition to the bearish news from China, the NZD
traded weaker because of an unexpected drop in consumer prices.Prices fell 0.20 percent during the 4th quarter
which lessened the chances of an interest rate hike sooner than expected.At this time, traders believe the Reserve
Bank of New Zealand
will stick with its plan to begin raising rates some time after the middle of
the year.The first downside objective
was met on Wednesday at .7206.A failure
to hold this level could lead to a test of .7150.
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Mon 10 Sep 2018 AA 08:30 GB- GDP, Trade, Output Tue 11 Sep 2018 AA 08:30 GB- Employment Decision A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey Wed 12 Sep 2018 A 12:30 US- PPI A 14:30 US- EIA Crude A 18:00 US- Beige Book Thu 13 Sep 2018 A 1:30 AU- Employment AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless AA 12:30 US- CPI Fri 14 Sep 2018 A 08:30 GB- GDP AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales A 13:15 US- Industrial Production AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan
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