The U.S. Dollar traded mixed in a tight and narrow range. The
trade weighted Dollar Index finished slightly lower after confirming last
Friday‚Äôs closing price reversal top.
The lack of major U.S. economic reports on Monday
helped hold the Forex markets in a tight range as investors awaited testimony
later in the week from Fed Chairman Bernanke. His comments should move the
markets especially if they come after a few days of range bound, directionless
trading. His testimony before the House Financial Services Committee is
expected to be about employment growth prospects and whether fiscal stimulus is
Traders will be looking for Bernanke to give them clues
about the timing of future U.S.
interest rate hikes. In addition, he may be asked to explain why he hiked the
discount rate last week.
The Euro finished lower as investor confidence evaporated
following a failure by the European Union to reach an agreement with Greece
regarding its fiscal responsibility. Depending which side you talk too, the EU
are either very close or far apart.
The GBP USD traded flat to higher, but inside Friday‚Äôs
range. Traders were covering short positions after the recent sharp sell-off in
an effort to lock in profits. There has been no change in the fundamentals. The
budget deficit, weak economy and lack of confidence in the Bank of England are still
the catalysts behind the weakness in the British Pound.
Risk sentiment drove the USD JPY lower. Traders were acting
a little jittery about holding on to risky assets. This helped to support the
The weaker Euro helped to support the USD CHF. Traders reacted
as if the falling Euro would trigger another round of intervention by the Swiss
Lower gold and last session weakness in crude oil helped to
underpin the USD CAD.Technically this
market is in a position to form a daily closing price reversal bottom that
could trigger the start of a short-covering rally.
The AUD USD and NZD USD were up but well off their highs.
Both of these markets tried to break out to the upside, but risk sentiment
helping to limit gains.Traders are
waiting to take clues from Fed Chairman Bernanke‚Äôs testimony. These markets
will be sensitive to stock market volatility and direction.
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Tue 19 June 2018 A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts Wed 20 June 2018 A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales A 14:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 21 June 2018 AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless Fri 22 June 2018 AFlash PMIs
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