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Monday March 8, 2010 - 16:27:44 GMT
Trade the News Staff - www.tradethenews.com/freetrial.asp?gv

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Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

Monday, March 08, 2010 11:23:30 AM

 US Market Update

 

***Economic Data***
- (CL) Chile Feb Trade Balance: $1.3B v $2.0Be; Total Exports: $4.9B v $5.9B prior; Total Imports: $3.5B v $3.8B prior:
- (CA) Canada Feb Housing Starts: 196.7K v 190Ke

- Markets opened very slightly higher this morning and have been trading sideways just above the unchanged mark in the first hour and a half of trading. Volume is notably light; while there have been no economic data releases to speak of. Crude is around even at $82, while gold is essentially unchanged at $1,135. President Obama is scheduled to speak on healthcare later this morning, with indications that the president will excoriate the health insurance industry as part of his ongoing campaign to move forward on healthcare reform legislation.

- Just a week after it sold off its
AIA unit to the UK's Prudential, AIG said it would sell its foreign life insurance unit to MetLife for about $15.5B as the firm continues to raise funds to repay Govt aid. MetLife said it would pay $6.8B in cash and about $8.7B in equity for the unit, noting that the deal would increase its 2011 operating EPS by $0.45-0.55, excluding one-time expenses. Note that the equity component of the deal will give AIG around a 14% ownership stake in MetLife, with a convertible share component possibly pushing this up to 20% over time. Commentators noted that the proceeds from the two deals should let AIG pay down much of its debt to the Fed, although the US Treasury will still hold a 80% equity stake in the firm. Both MET and AIG are up around 5% in early trading.

- In other equity news, US-listed Chinese solar name Yingli Green is down 6% in the early going after missing earnings estimates by a hair and reporting a much reduced quarterly gross margin. The firm did offer a bullish outlook on its FY10 gross margin performance. US-listed ADRs of AstraZeneca are off 2% after a Phase II/III study in colorectal cancer missed its primary endpoint.

- The greenback maintained a marginally softer tone against the European pairs in a very subdued
New York morning. With a dearth of economic releases or central bank speak, the focus has been on analysts notes. There was early dealer chatter on Goldman's March US nonfarm payroll outlook, with the firm projecting a +275K number (comprising an underlying trend assumption for March of 50k, a weather snapback of 100k, and census hiring of 125k). Anxiety over European peripherals continues to subside for the time being. Portugal provided a roadmap for its austerity package for 2010-13. The country is looking to cut its deficit-to-GDP ratio to 2.8% by 2013. The draft plans noted that spending cuts would account for 49-50% of the planned deficit reduction, revenue measures would make up 15-16% of the reduction and economic growth would do the rest. The New York Fed announced it was to expand the number of firms participating in reverse repo facility, stating that no inferences should be drawn regarding monetary policy from the move.

 

 

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Global-View.com Chart Gallery
09/9/2010                
20:08 GMT   2yr bp 10yr bp DJIA 10427 47
USDX 82.64 3 0.55 4 2.74 8 S&P 1105 7
  USD vs.     Fixed Income   NAS 2238 10
EUR 1.2705 12 0.70 7 2.34 4 DAX 6222 57
GBP 1.5435 31 0.69 3 3.04 5 FTSE 5494 64
CHF 1.0149 31 0.44 3 1.42 3 SMI 6425 0
JPY 83.80 8 0.14 0 1.13 -1 NIK 9098 74
CAD 1.0335 40 1.48 12 2.98 5 TSE 12003 85
AUD 0.9233 67 4.54 8 4.93 6 ASX 4582 45
NZD 0.7250 28 HSI 21167 78
CNY 6.7830 120 SSEC 2656 42
  EUR vs.     GBP vs.       AUD vs
JPY 106.47 20 JPY 129.35 38 GBP 1.6714 155
GBP 82.31 9 CHF 156.65 16 CAD 0.9542 30
CHF 1.2894 27 CAD 1.5955 92 CHF 1.0663 11
AUD 1.3759 111   JPY vs.   NZD 1.2727 48
CAD 1.3132 62 CHF 82.57 33 Commodities
  CHF vs. CAD 1.233 -37 Gold 1244.4 10.85
CAD 1.0663 114 AUD 77.39 51 WTI 74.28 0.37
                   
                   




Extensive Free Daily Technical Chart Points

9/9/2010 EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
Close 1.2703 83.89 1.0150 1.5442 1.0331
High 1.2767 84.02 1.0169 1.5477 1.0394
Low 1.2665 83.50 1.0100 1.5376 1.0302
Mov avgs EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD
5 day 1.2775 84.04 1.0131 1.5428 1.0379
10 day 1.2758 84.28 1.0164 1.5431 1.0471
20 day 1.2757 84.75 1.0265 1.5489 1.0465
50 day 1.2847 86.10 1.0411 1.5475 1.0416
100 day 1.2664 88.80 1.0813 1.5132 1.0392
200 day 1.3296 89.89 1.0671 1.5406 1.0385
Pivots 1.2712 83.80 1.0140 1.5432 1.0342

Source: Free Global-View FX Database

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