stock markets are expected to open lower this morning after overnight pressure.
Stocks opened weaker in reaction to an interest rate hike in India. This is
fueling speculation that a rate hike by China will be next. Fear over Greek
financial issues flaring up again are pressuring the Euro which is raising risk
in the equity markets.
The passing of the healthcare reform bill overnight is not
sitting well with equity traders. Many traders feel the new law will increase
the government deficit. The June E-mini S&P 500 looks vulnerable to the
downside with 1122.75 a potential target.
June Treasury Bonds are trading lower ahead of the opening.
Trading has been tight and volume low overnight despite weaker equity markets
and a stronger Dollar. A substantial drop in equity markets could trigger a
flight to quality rally into the T-Bonds. A break under 117â€™23 could indicate
April Gold is under pressure due to weaker demand for higher
risk assets and the stronger Dollar. Downside momentum indicates further
weakness is likely with a change in trend to down under the last swing bottom
June Crude Oil continues to weaken as traders dump higher
yielding assets. A break under 79.77 will turn the main trend down. The next
major downside target is 77.28. The weakening Euro is having a negative
influence on the energy markets and other higher risk commodities.
The U.S. Dollar is trading firm overnight against all major
currencies. Without any major economic reports today, the focus will be on
demand for higher yielding assets and the Greek financial situation.
The Reserve Bank of India unexpectedly raised borrowing
costs on March 19th. This helped support the Dollar as investors boosted demand
for safe investments. Traders fear that the hike in India
means that China
will soon do the same. This news should pressure demand for higher yielding
assets, fueling a rise in the Dollar. The early action suggests the markets are
a little risk negative this morning which should benefit the Dollar.
Traders are expected to continue to pressure the Euro on
expectations the European Union will fail to agree on an aid package for Greece.
Pressure is on the British Pound after a report said the U.K. recovery will be â€śslow and
The passing of the biggest health system overhaul in 40
years could pressure U.S.
stock markets today. Overnight the stock indices are trading lower, but so far
there has been little reaction by the Forex markets to the news. This could
change once U.S.
equity markets open. There still appears to be some debate as to how much if
anything this new bill will increase the U.S. deficit. Lower equity markets
will send money into the lower yielding U.S. Dollar and Japanese Yen.
Euro traders are bracing for a down day ahead of the start
of this weekâ€™s EU summit. Traders are being told by German Chancellor Angela
Merkel that they shouldnâ€™t expect any agreement to be reached on a financial
aid package for Greece.
doesnâ€™t get any aid, then look for it to turn to the International Monetary
Fund for help. This isnâ€™t sitting well with market because it makes Europe
appear weak and makes it look as if Europe
cannot afford to help its own members.
The March British Pound is expected to face another round of
selling pressure on the heels of the news that the Confederation of British
Industry sees a â€śbumpyâ€ť road ahead for the U.K. economy. The report sees a
weaker economy because it expects to see consumers save more and spend less.
Traders also feel that there are too many negatives to support the British
Pound at this time. These negative issues include political uncertainty and a
possible credit rating cut.
The weaker Euro is helping to drive down the March Swiss
Franc. Traders fear that the Swiss National Bank will continue to intervene to
protect its currency and economy from the falling Euro. Losses may be limited
because of the threat of higher interest rates. Watch for a break under .9399
with .9355 the next downside target.
The March Japanese Yen is trading lower in limited action.
Traders appear to be taking a tentative approach to the market while waiting to
see how U.S.
stock markets will fare in the face of the passage of the healthcare reform
bill. The charts indicate that a trade under 1.0984 will turn the main trend
down. Bearish traders are being less aggressive before the opening of the U.S. markets.
Aggressive selling in the stock indices could lead to increased demand for the
lower yielding Japanese Yen.
The March Canadian Dollar is down after confirming last
Fridayâ€™s closing price reversal top at .9938. The market topped late last week
after the release of better than expected Canadian Inflation Data. The report
suggests that the Canadian economy is growing at a faster pace than previously
thought, thereby increasing the chance of a rate hike by the Bank of Canada
before the Fed. The steep rise in the Canadian Dollar has led to overbought
conditions, which is helping to fuel the developing profit-taking break.
Forex Trading News
Daily Forex Market News Forex news reports can be found on the forex research
headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports
provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex
market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found
Forex News Real-time forex market news reports and features providing
other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the
headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest
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Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays
Potential Trading Opportunities
POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.
POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity
POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
John M. Bland, MBA co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Max McKegg’s Daily Forex Trading Forecasts
FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the
Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders
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The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.
The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.
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Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.
Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.
Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.
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