Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Wednesday June 9, 2010 - 10:28:53 GMT
Share This Story
Forexpros - www.forexpros.com
Forexpros Daily Analysis - 09/06/2010ForexPros Daily Analysis June 9,
Fundamental Analysis: ECB Press
European traders await the ECB Press Conference on June 10.
European Central Bank holds this monthly press conference about 45 minutes after
the Minimum Bid Rate is announced. It is about an hour long and has two parts:
First, a prepared statement is read; then the conference is opened to press
questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that trigger market
volatility. The press conference, which is broadcasted on the ECB website, is
the ECB's primary method for communicating with investors about monetary policy.
It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and
other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most
importantly, it often provides clues regarding future monetary policy. If the
statement is more hawkish than expected, that is usually good for the
The Euro fluctuated and
penetrated both the support & the resistance specified in yesterdayâ€™s report
without being able to reach any of the suggested targets in both cases. This
behavior enhances our hypothesis that we are in a wave 4 of a 5-wave decline,
since its known in (The Wave Principle) that wave 4 price action appears to be
random while this wave is developing, just as it is the case for wave B as well.
Breaking below 1.20 on Friday has opened the door for guessing the long term
targets in these areas, the question now is where are these targets? In our
opinion, we believe that there is one target, one point, which stands out of the
crowd, and that is 1.1211, which will be our target for the next few weeks. The
importance of this level is that it is the 61.8% Fibonacci for the whole move
from the historical low to the historical high. For the short term, the wave
count illustrated on the chart, shows a 4-wave drop, in which yesterdayâ€™s
â€śbreakâ€ť is wave 4, and we still have room for another leg down below 1.1875, in
what would be wave 5. Short term support is at 1.1923, and if broken the Euro
will continue its drop to 1.1825, and then 1.1754. The resistance is at 1.1975,
and breaking it will give the chance for the Euro to catch a break, and rise to
the important 1.2085 & 1.2148.
â€˘ 1.1923: the
rising trend line from Mondayâ€™s low on hourly & intraday charts.
1.1825: Feb 27th 2006 low.
â€˘ 1.1754: Dec 6th 2005
â€˘ 1.1975: important intraday level.
1.2085: Fibonacci 61.8% for the last drop from 1.2214.
â€˘ 1.2155: the top of
the falling channel on the 4-hour
The Dollar/Yen traded
below 92.14 for the whole past 24- hours, and did not touch this important
resistance. It also dropped to break the support specified in yesterdayâ€™s report
91.54, only to settle for 91.23. This very limited action, has postponed the
excitement, hopefully for no longer than today, especially after a critical
level has appeared this morning, catching all of our attention. This level is
the support at 90.52. The reasons which makes this level a shining star standing
out is that it combines the rising trend line from May 20th, with June 1st low,
giving this level a double importance. But, before we can test this level, we
need to break the intraday support 91.11. And if we do, we will drop to test
this very important (and hopefully very exciting) level. Breaking here would
have serious consequences on this pair, and 89.81 will only be a first &
modest target for this break, on the way to lower levels. Resistance is at
91.67, and if broken, the important support test scenario will be void, and we
will target 92.67 & 93.70.
â€˘ 91.11: important
â€˘ 90.52: June 1stlow & the important rising trend line on
â€˘ 89.81: May 26th low.
the falling trend line from Mondayâ€™s top on the hourly chart.
â€˘ 92.67: May
â€˘ 93.70: Apr 14th high.
---Forex Trading Analysis written
by Munther Marji for ForexPros.
Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex
transactions involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all
investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in
light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose
all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and
recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Forex Trading News
Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research
headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports
provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex
market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing
other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the
headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest
forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less
recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines
and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports
from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."
Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Tue 19 June 2018
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
Wed 20 June 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 June 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 22 June 2018
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Global-View Affiliate Program
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.
Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.
Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.
Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube
Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts
Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.
Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.