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Tuesday August 3, 2010 - 09:31:53 GMT
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Forexpros Daily Analysis - 03/08/2010

ForexPros Daily Analysis August 03, 2010


Fundamental Analysis: Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate is a measure of the percentage of the total labor
force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work
in New-Zealand.
A high percentage indicates weakness in the labor market. A low percentage
is a positive indicator for the labor market in New-Zealand and should be
taken as positive for the NZD. The analysts predict a future reading of
6.20%.

---

Euro Dollar

The Euro broke resistance specified in yesterday's report 1.3086, and came
very close to hitting the suggested target of 1.3200, but it stopped only 6
pips before it, then it spent the night in a tight range between 1.3183 &
1.3150. With this, the Euro jumped strongly, but this jump has not reached
its target yet. Naturally, we expect more of the same today, and soaring
above 1.32. But, before we get overexcited, we must wait for a break of the
falling trend line from yesterday's top on intraday chart, which is running
currently at 1.3174. If we do break this line, the Euro will start rising
again, and we will target 1.3266 first, and may be at a later time 1.3325.
On the other hand, short term 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3112 will be our
support of the day. If broken, a correction will be initiated, and the price
will start giving up yesterday's gains. This will target a test of a very
noteworthy trend line at 1.3040. If this is also broken, the positive
technical outlook will change dramatically, and we will target 1.2952.

Support:
* 1.3112: Fibonacci 38.2% for the rise from Friday's low.
* 1.3040: the rising trend line from Jun 29th low, and also Jul 28th high.
* 1.2952: a well known previous support resistance, which includes several
daily highs and lows, among those Jul 27th high, and Jul 15th low.

Resistance:
* 1.3174: the falling trend line from yesterday's high on intraday charts.
* 1.3266: Apr 25th important bottom.
* 1.3325: Apr 7th low.

---

USD/JPY

No change! Nothing of any technical importance took place yesterday,
therefore, we still hold the same technical outlook we did yesterday. After
we have clearly surpassed wave 5 bottom, the correction we have been
monitoring for the past days is finally over, and it is official: we are in
a new down wave! But the bounce from Friday's low 85.93, which is closing on
the important resistance 86.81 this morning, warns of a correction to what
we have seen of the new wave so far (the drop from 88.10 to 85.93).
Nevertheless, with a correction in these areas, or without, dropping far
below 86 and may be below 84.81 itself has turned into a most probable
scenario. The resistance which will determine if this bounce from Friday's
low will go on or stall, is 86.81. If broken, the Dollar will keep shooting
higher, targeting 87.49 & then what we imagine as the "ceiling" for the
price at this stage 88.10. But, if we break the exciting support 86.25
instead, we will start dropping to areas below Friday's low, we find 85.52 &
84.81 to be the most attractive of which.

Support:
* 86.25: Jul 16th low, just 2 pip below Thursday's low.
* 85.52: the falling trend line combining the daily lows of Jul 1st & 16th.
* 84.81: Nov 27th 2009 low, and the low of the last 15 years.

Resistance:
* 86.81: Jul 26th & 27th lows, and an obvious hourly support.
* 87.49: Jul 29th high.
* 88.10: Jul 28th top.

---


Forex trading analysis written by Munther Marji for Forexpros.

---

Disclaimer:

Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex
transactions involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for
all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for
you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You
may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and
recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Forex Trading News

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Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

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Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."



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Trading Ideas for 18 December 2017

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 18 Dec
10:00 EZ- final HICP
Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account
Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP
Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes
Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays

Forex Trading Outlook


Potential Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed --15:30-- US- EIA Crude

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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