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Friday October 8, 2010 - 12:05:14 GMT
Reuters - www.reuters.com

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FOREX NEWS - Dollar rises on Bullard remarks; payrolls awaited

7:45am EDT

 * Dollar turns higher after Fed's Bullard comments
 * Bullard says more easing not obvious case, face tough call
 * All eyes on U.S. payrolls at 1230 GMT

 (Adds quote, updates prices)
 By Jessica Mortimer
 LONDON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Friday after a
U.S. policymaker played down the chances of aggressive monetary
easing, prompting investors to take some profit on the
greenback's recent falls before key U.S. jobs data.
 St. Louis Fed chief James Bullard, a voting member this year
on the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee, told CNBC
that policymakers face a tough decision at next month's policy
meeting as the economy has slowed but is still bumping along.
[ID:nN08192815]
 Market speculation the Fed will resume quantitative easing
when it meets on Nov. 2-3 to shore up the economy has increased.
But Bullard did not rule this out, saying more help from policy
may be needed to push up inflation.
 "Bullard is confirming himself as an incrementalist who is
not in the very aggressive easing camp," said Chris Turner, head
of FX strategy at ING.
 "The reaction to the comments was very much a function of
positioning - we've had an almost uninterrupted dollar decline
and going into the payrolls numbers there is a risk of
short-term position squaring in the dollar".
 The last reading of U.S. payrolls before the U.S. mid-term
elections will be used by the market as a gauge of how
aggressive U.S. easing could be. Payrolls data, due at 1230 GMT,
is forecast to be flat in September, with the unemployment rate
seen edging up to 9.7 percent from 9.6 percent. [ID:nN05187700]
ECONUS
 At 1121 GMT, the euro was down 0.2 percent at $1.3896,
knocked off an eight-month high of $1.4030 hit on the EBS
trading platform on Thursday. It hit a session low of $1.3843
after the Bullard comments.
 Traders said options expiries at $1.3910 and $1.3950 were
due later in the day.
 The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the
greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, was up
0.2 percent at 77.544 .DXY, moving above an 8-1/2 month low of
76.906 on Thursday. It has support at 76.60, the index low for
2010 hit in mid-January.
 The Australian dollar AUD=D4 fell 1 percent to a session
low of $0.9708 on Bullard's remarks. The U.S. dollar's slide has
benefited high-yielding currencies like the Australian dollar,
which hit a 28-year high of $0.9918 on Thursday. 
 
 PAYROLLS, G7/IMF AHEAD
 Market players were wary about a surprise improvement in the
U.S. jobs data as it would temper expectations of aggressive Fed
easing.
 "The big question given the recent speed of the U.S. dollar
declines is how much possible QE is already priced in? How the
markets react to this afternoon's figures should give us some
indication of that," CMC Markets' Michael Hewson said in a note.
 Markets were also wary in case G7 and IMF meetings starting
in Washington on Friday produce a surprise in the form of a
coordinated front on currencies, as calls have mounted for
global efforts to avoid competitive currency devaluations.
 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
 For graphic on payrolls      link.reuters.com/nem47p
 For PDF on 'currency war'       r.reuters.com/dyw27p
 FX tensions interactive map     r.reuters.com/jec96p
 FX COLUMN on payrolls                       [ID:nLDE69617N]
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
 The dollar traded at 82.26 yen JPY=, close to a 15-year
low of 82.11 yen hit on Thursday and edging ever closer to its
1995 record low of 79.75 yen.
 Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan said Japan would take
decisive steps on the strong yen if needed but added it also
wanted to cooperate with the G7 and other countries.
[ID:nTOE69700W]
 (Additional reporting by Tamawa Desai; Graphics by Scott
Barber; Editing by Susan Fenton)

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