Trade Talk: What's Moving Markets continuous on Forex Forum
Key Items JP- Ind Output, BOJ, GB- CPI, DE- ZEW, Ind Prod, US- Retail Sales, API.
There was not much of a market response to the Greek austerity budget approved by the Parliament late Sunday evening in Athens. The budget is a pre-requisite for Troika aid (EU Commission, IMF and ECB). Greece still needs economic growth to generate revenue to finance its budget.
The next major event is a vote Wednesday by EU FinMins to approve financing for Greece.
Tuesday sees the economic calendar pick up after a slow Monday.
End of fiscal year Japanese life insurance investment adjustment activity coming into focus? Covert intervention by the BOJ has been confirmed, and more was threatened on Friday.
Check the Forex Forum over the day for an updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER continuous discussion thread.
See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas.
John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of Global-View.com. Prior to Global-View.com, he was a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top Fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor and also worked in international liability management for a major N.Y. money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.A. in International Economics from that school.
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All Day flash Mfg PMIs 25-Oct Tue
08:00 DE- IFO
14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence 26-Oct Wed
All Day flash SVC PMI
00:30 AU- CPI
14:00 US- New Homes Sales
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- EIA Crude 27-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobs
12:30 US- Durable Goods
23:30 JP- CPI 28-Oct Fri
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan 30-Oct Sun
00:00 RZ/GB Clocks turn back one hour
Today has a light data calendar with only key Canadian CPI and Retail Sales data slated.
As expected, the highlight of trade this week has been the Thursday ECB policy board meeting outcome. While the ECB statement included no surprises, markets took the Draghi comments to be dovish. The ECB used its standard rhetoric and said no decision on a "taper" would be announced until the December meeting. Markets reacted by taking out stops above and below the markets in EURUSD.
UK Retail Sales data Thursday were lacklustre, while Australian Employment data for September were weaker than expected.
U.S. Bond yields remain depressed following mixed September CPI data and recent Fed comments. Both the Fed and BOE have started to make it clear that they would ignore an inflation overshoot to get their economies growing again.
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