The German ZEW Survey of investment managers was much stronger than forecast. Word was the strength came from optimism based on the current expansive ECB policies.
Markets are still digesting the surprise Moodys downgrades of Spain, Portugal and Italy with a negative outlook. It also placed AAA-rated France, U.K. and Austria on a negative outlook.
The Bank of Japan also surprised the markets by increasing its monetary ease *additional liquidity) and setting a target for Japanese CPI of 1.0%.It appears that global monetary ease is being coordinated between the major central banks.
It appeared Tuesday that another Greek deadline was not going to be met as EU Finance Ministers were sending signals that they would not vote on approving an aid package for Greece. It may be that the package will not be addressed until the March 1 EU Leaders Summit. EU leaders want to hold Greece accountable after aid has been approved.
End of fiscal year Japanese life insurance investment adjustment activity coming into focus? Covert intervention by the BOJ has been confirmed, and more was threatened on Friday.
Check the Forex Forum over the day for an updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER continuous discussion thread.
See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas.
John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of Global-View.com. Prior to Global-View.com, he was a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top Fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor and also worked in international liability management for a major N.Y. money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.A. in International Economics from that school.
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WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar: 29 Mar Wed
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- EIA Crude 30 Mar Thu
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- GDP
23:30 JP- CPI 31 Mar Fri
7:55 DE- Jobless
8:30 GB- GDP
9:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
14:00 US- final Univ of Mich 2 Apr Sun
00:00 AU/NZ- Clocks "Fall Back"
Forex Market: items driving the forex market:
Event Risk: Solid U.S. data have helped stabilize the USD today. It appears now that unless the Trump Administration can get its legislative act together that the Fed will be forced pursue a cautious policy tightening posture, as opposed to an aggressive one.
Event Risk: Article 50 was signed late Tuesday UK hours by PM May. It will be presented to the EU today at 13:30 CET to the EU. (11:30 GMT).
As expected, a request to the U.K. Parliament for a second Scotland Independence referendum was approved by the Scottish Parliament Tuesday. Odds are the request will not be considered immediately.
There is a growing perception that the ECB might start to consider stepping back from excessive policy ease. Watch flash HICP data Friday. The March German Ifo Survey (Monday) was considerably stronger than expected and will be noted by the ECB.
Lots to consider. Please comment...
John M. Bland, MBA co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are
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