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Wednesday February 15, 2012 - 07:01:17 GMT
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TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: PBoC Zhou commits China resources to Europe; Yen weakens

- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 RETAIL SALES EX-INFLATION AND EX-AUTOS/FUEL Q/Q: 2.2% V 1.2%E >- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 3.2% V 3.2%E (4-month high)
- (JP) JAPAN JAN FINAL MACHINE TOOL ORDERS Y/Y: -6.9% V -6.6% PRELIM
- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) FEB MONTHLY REPORT: Maintains economic assessment; Japanese economy has been flat and is expected to remain so for the time being
- (SG) SINGAPORE DEC RETAIL SALES M/M: -2.4% V -0.1%E; Y/Y: 4.2% V 5.2%E; EX-AUTO Y/Y: 8.1% V 5.0%E
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN EXPORT PRICE INDEX M/M: 1.1% V 0.3% PRIOR; Y/Y: 4.6% V 2.5% PRIOR; IMPORT PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.8% V 0.2% PRIOR; Y/Y: 7.9% V 7.1% PRIOR
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JAN NON RESIDENT BOND HOLDINGS: 59.3% V 59.1% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN NOV CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX: -0.1% V -0.2% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES M/M: +1.3% V -2.7% PRIOR (5-month high); Y/Y: 2.7% V -3.0% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX: 101.1 V 97.1 PRIOR
- (CL) CHILE CENTRAL BANK LEAVES NOMINAL INTEREST RATE AT 5.00%; AS EXPECTED
- (PH) PHILIPPINES DEC OVERSEAS REMITTANCES Y/Y: 6.2% V 10.6% PRIOR; OVERSEAS WORKERS REMITTANCES: $1.8B V $1.78B PRIOR
- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) FEB MONTHLY REPORT: Maintains economic assessment; Japanese economy has been flat and is expected to remain so for the time being.
- (NZ) New Zealand Jan Skilled Job Vacancies +0.8% m/m

***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +2.6%
- S&P/ASX +0.3%
- Kospi +1.2%
- Taiwan Taiex +1.5%
- Singapore Straits Times +0.8%
- Shanghai Composite +0.9%
- Hang Seng +2.1%
- S&P Futures +0.7% at 1,356
- April gold +0.6% at $1,728/oz
- March Crude +0.9% at $101.69

***Overview/Top Headlines***
- Markets rallied after PBoC Gov Zhou said China would expand its investments in Europe, saying that China has not cut its reserve exposure to Europe during the crisis. Zhou affirmed that China would play a bigger role in the crisis through participation in EFSF and IMF, saying it can assist through the Central Bank and sovereign wealth fund. He is hopeful that that EU can offer more attractive investment products. This is the clearest statement from a Chinese official on how it may assist the EU. Markets soared on the comments, March S&P500 futures were up over 7 handles above 1,355 on the comments. EUR/USD gained 35 pips around the $1.3165 area, EUR/JPY also gained around 35 pips to ¥103.38. Right before the US session close Greece party leaders Papandreou (PASOK) and Samaras (ND) said they would commit to austerity measures in letter to Troika to be sent tomorrow. This boosted the EUR/USD back above the $1.31 handle. Nikkei225 had a record day after the BoJ announced new easing measures yesterday. It ended at the highest close in 5-months. 5-year JGB yields fell below 0.32% as 3-month low and the 2-year note fell below 0.11% a 16-month low on the news that the additional ¥10.0T in easing would be used exclusively for JGB buying. USD/JPY hit fresh 3-month highs above ¥78.65. Copper and silver both gained over 1% while wheat and corn gained over 0.2%.

***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (NZ) New Zealand Fin Min English: Asset sales will reduce debt, boost savings and improve company performance; Benefit budget by NZ$800M
- (AU) Australia Dept of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations leading employment indicator fell for the first time in 5 consecutive months from Jan to Feb - Australian press
- (CN) China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) has asked banks for more local government financing information - China Daily
- (US) Fed's Lockhart: Monetary policy stance is appropriate for moderate growth until there is further proof of sustained improvement

***Equities***
- Samsung Electronics, 005930.KR: Considering spinning off LCD operations into its own company; Should make it more competitive - financial press
- Elpida Memory, 6665.JP: Exec: There is "uncertainty" over remaining in business because it still doesn't have the necessary financing to repay debts coming due in April - Japan press
- FMG.AU: Reports H1 Net $801M v $840Me; Rev $3.36B v $2.53B y/y
- MTR Corporation, 66.HK: Reports 350M shoppers visited its 12 malls in 2011, +40% y/y - HK press
- OZL.AU: Reports FY11 Net A$275M v A$268Me; Rev A$1.12B v A$1.1B y/y
- CBA.AU: Reports H1 Net A$3.6B v A$3.5Be

***US Equities***
- AAPL: CEO: Company is 'judicious' about how the company spends its cash [in response to question about a potential dividend] - Goldman conf; +0.4% after hours
- ZNGA: Reports Q4 $0.05 v $0.03e, R$311.2M v $301Me; -7.0% after hours
- FTI: Reports Q4 $0.41 v $0.51e, R$1.5B v $1.4Be; -3.3% after hours
- PEET: Reports Q4 $0.42 v $0.43e, R$101.6M v $103Me; -4.1% after hours

***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (US) API PETROLEUM INVENTORIES CRUDE: +2.9M V +1.5ME (largest build in 3 weeks); GASOLINE: +1.81M V +500KE; DISTILLATE: -2.16M V -1ME; UTILIZATION: 83.7% V 83.9% W/W
- USD/CNY: Pres Obama to tell visiting China Vice Premier Xi that Yuan is still undervalued - financial press
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall by 0.3 tons to 1,278.3 tons (first decline since Jan 23rd)

 

 

 

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WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

25-Jul MON
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
26-Jul TUE
00:30 AU- CPI
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
14:00 US- CB Confidence
14:00 US- New Homes Sales
27-Jul WED
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US= Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision & Presser
28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich



Trading Themes --
  • The new week opens on Monday with the closely watched German IFO Survey for July. It is seen slightly weaker from June.

  • The Democratic Party Convention runs from Monday through Friday this week with Hillary Clinton set to be proclaimed the party candidate for President in the fall.

  • The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday. No rate changes are seen as likely, although a slightly less dovish tone is seen as probible following the rebound in the June Jobs data.

  • On Friday, the Bank of Japan meets. Markets reacted badly last week to a month-old BBC radio documentary of BOJ Governor Kuroda where he threw cold water on the idea of "helicopter money". Over the weekend, Kuroda partially walked back those comments indicating the central bank would be supportive of a fiscal stimulus program of the government. We should get some sort of commitment from the BOJ for for additional monetary stimulus by the week's end.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

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