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Thursday February 23, 2012 - 09:55:33 GMT
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Forex Trade Talk 11:00 GMT 23 February 2012

 

Forex-Trade Talk

Forex Analysis


   Trade Talk: What's Moving Markets continuous on Forex Forum

  • Key Items: US- Weekly Jobs, Weekly Energy, 7-yr.

  • The big question remains whether we can start to move beyond Greece headlines. It seems that some traders are starting to nibble at log EURUSD positions or are reducing their shorts.

  • Today has seen a better than Forecast German IFO survey. Be careful about extrapolating German data to the rest of Europe. There is no doubt that the EZ is a two-speed economy.

  • As for Greece we are skeptical that there has been a permanent fix made for distressed Greek finances. A key question for the not too distant future is how Greek society will deal with another round of tough austerity. 

  • The USDJPY is holding above the psychological 80.00 line. This is likely on the back of covert BOJ intervention. JPY repatriation flows are often common heading into the March 30 fiscal year end.

Check the Forex Forum over the day for an updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER continuous discussion thread.

Forex pairs vs 2-yr note spreads

  

Forex   #REF!     GBP vs. 9:38
EUR 1.3320 79 JPY 106.68 35 JPY 125.79 -1
GBP 1.5706 40 GBP 84.81 29 CHF 142.19 -47
CHF 0.9053 -53 CHF 1.2059 1 CHF vs.    
JPY 80.09 -21       JPY 88.47 28

Some traders focus intently on the Japan vs. U.S. 2-yr note spread (only the U.S. 2-yr moves much).

COMMODITIES and Commodity Currencies


Click on Chart to Enlarge

  

Commodity         9:38
CAD 0.9966 -32 AUD 1.0700 70 Gold 1779 1.92
CNY 6.2982 22 NZD 0.8327 42 WTI 106.32 0.35

EQUITIES & INTEREST RATES

Bonds are a counter to risk trades because risk investments must be financed. When the cost of money moves up (higher interest rates), the return and allure of risk trades such as equities falls. 

  

Equities           9:38
NIK 9596 42 DAX 6894 50 DJIA 12939 0
HSI 21381 -168 FTSE 5944 27 S&P 1358 0
SSEC 2410 6 SMI 6217 0 NAS 2933 0
ASX 4286 -7       TSE 12701 -1

See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas.


John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of Global-View.com. Prior to Global-View.com, he was a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top Fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor and also worked in international liability management for a major N.Y. money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.A. in International Economics from that school.


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The information upon which Global Viewpoint, Inc. Bases its Forex analyses is obtained from sources it believes are reliable, but Global Viewpoint, Inc. Does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of any of the information, content, views, opinions, recommendations or services, contained on, distributed through, or linked, downloaded or accessed from any of the services contained on the Global-View site, and use of the information provided on this web site is at your sole risk. Global-View specifically represents that it does not give investment advice or advocate any purchase, sale or trade. 

Opinions expressed on the forum pages are not necessarily those of Global Viewpoint, Inc. In using the forums you should not assume that any messages provided have been reviewed by Global- Viewpoint, inc., or that such communications contain correct information, Global Viewpoint, Inc. Disclaims any warranty, whether express or implied including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose, with respect to the service or any materials and products. None of the materials presented on our web site are to be regarded as investment advice. 

In no event shall Global Viewpoint, Inc. And other information providers, be liable for direct, indirect, incidental, punitive, or consequential damages of any kind whatsoever, with respect to the service, the materials and the products.

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The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs.

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The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

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Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

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