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Tuesday January 29, 2013 - 10:15:36 GMT
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CURRENCY WARS: JPY in correction. Abe admits 2% Inflation target unrealistic. Market awaits Fed decision tomorrow, data today.
|CURRENCY WARS: JPY in correction. Abe admits 2% Inflation target unrealistic. Market awaits Fed decision tomorrow, data today.|
29 January 2013 11:00 gmt
CALENDAR- North America: US- Case-Shiller, CB Confidence Survey, 5-yr, API.
- HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Case Shiller, CB Confidence Survey, 5-yr auction.
- CURRENCY WARS: Trading is off to a cautious start early Tuesday as the markets await the Fed decision Wednesday and a slew of data reports at the back end of the week.
- U.S. data recently have been mixed but generally stronger. The Fed policy decision on Wednesday will come before the full employment data will be known. Key employment data are due on Friday.
- Data from Europe remains mixed with stronger than expected German data mixed with weaker data elsewhere.
- The markets are currently trying to decipher the likely impact of repayments of special ECB LTRO funding for banks which will start this week. Depending on HOW the funds are repaid, the repayments could result in a tightening of ECB monetary policy.
- The key EURUSD 20-day moving average is 1.3264. the 10-yr bund is 1.67%, -2 bp. European bourses are mixed. U.S. shares are mixed. The U.S. 10-yr is 1.96%, -1bp.
- Key Far East bourses were mixed. The 10-yr JGB is 0.77%, +2bp. The USDJPY 20-day average is 88.77. EURJPY 20-day average is 117.76.
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John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com has been a forex trader and a FX analyst for a top N.Y. Fed watching service. Previously he was an FX consultant to major institutions. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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